NFC West: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions
The prediction-market read on the NFC West. Our DAEPA model favors the San Francisco 49ers at 12.7 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.
This week on the boardNFL Week 7 predictions →NFL Week 8 predictions — early lines →Week 6 results →
Week 7 gamesPatriots at BearsSteelers at Saints49ers at FalconsBengals at RavensBuccaneers at PanthersGiants at TexansColts at VikingsDolphins at JetsBrowns at TitansBroncos at CardinalsPackers at LionsRams at RaidersChiefs at SeahawksCowboys at Eagles
Projected 2026 standings
San Francisco 49ers12.7+3.2Playoff2
Seattle Seahawks9.7+3.7Playoff3
Los Angeles Rams8.1+1.9Playoff4
Arizona Cardinals6.5-3.9Below AvgProjected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.
NFC West winner odds
Kalshi = mid of the KXNFLNFCWEST bid and ask from our daily capture (a book 10¢ or wider is not shown). Model = share of our 10,000 simulated seasons the team wins the division. “Model vs mkt” is the model's read against the price, in percentage points — context, not a position call.
Beyond the NFC West: Super Bowl LXI champion odds
The title market is the one every division race feeds. Every team's live Kalshi champion price on the KXSB winner series, ranked, updated hourly.
Head-to-head schedule (12 games)
Every NFC West team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).
NFC West 2026 — frequently asked
Who is favored to win the NFC West in 2026?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC West, projecting 12.7 wins — 3.0 ahead of the next team, the Seahawks (9.7). Each figure is the mean of our 10,000-season simulation, which plays every team's 17-game schedule out with rating uncertainty and the real NFL tiebreakers.
What are the projected win totals for the NFC West?
49ers 12.7, Seahawks 9.7, Rams 8.1, Cardinals 6.5. These are the mean of our 10,000-season simulation — the same figure on every team hub and the win-totals board; compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.
Can you trade NFC West markets on Kalshi?
Yes — Kalshi lists a division-winner contract for every NFL division (for this one, KXNFLNFCWEST); the table above shows each team's live price beside our model. It also lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four NFC West teams, individual game winners (KXNFLGAME), and conference and Super Bowl champion markets, all CFTC-regulated event contracts.
How many times do NFC West teams play each other in 2026?
Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four NFC West teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.
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This division in the first-quarter report
The race so far, the market against our simulation, and the games that decide it. Read the report →