Gridiron EdgeNFC

NFC West: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions

The prediction-market read on the NFC West. Our DAEPA model favors the Los Angeles Rams at 11.3 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.

Projected 2026 standings

#TeamProj WPWRTier

Los Angeles Rams11.3+6.3Playoff 2

Seattle Seahawks10.8+5.2Playoff 3

San Francisco 49ers8.8+0.8Average 4

Arizona Cardinals6.4-3.6Below Avg

Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.

NFC West winner market

A dedicated NFC West division-winner contract isn't consistently listed on Kalshi yet. In the meantime, the win-total ladders (KXNFLWINS) and conference & Super Bowl champion markets are the cleanest prediction-market read on this race — and the per-team hubs above carry each club's live line. When a division-winner market opens, the model-vs-market edge fills in here.

Head-to-head schedule (12 games)

Every NFC West team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).

WeekMatchupModel edge

Wk 149ers at RamsRams 72%

Wk 2Seahawks at CardinalsSeahawks 68%

Wk 3Cardinals at 49ers49ers 70%

Wk 549ers at SeahawksSeahawks 69%

Wk 6Cardinals at RamsRams 82%

Wk 9Cardinals at SeahawksSeahawks 80%

Wk 10Rams at CardinalsRams 71%

Wk 12Seahawks at 49ersSeahawks 55%

Wk 14Rams at 49ersRams 59%

Wk 16Rams at SeahawksSeahawks 54%

Wk 1849ers at Cardinals49ers 56%

Wk 18Seahawks at RamsRams 60%

NFC West 2026 — frequently asked

Who is favored to win the NFC West in 2026?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC West, projecting 11.3 wins — 0.4 ahead of the next team, the Seahawks (10.8). The model sums single-game win probabilities across all 17 games for each team.

What are the projected win totals for the NFC West?

Rams 11.3, Seahawks 10.8, 49ers 8.8, Cardinals 6.4. These are model projections (Poisson-binomial expected wins); compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.

Can you trade NFC West markets on Kalshi?

Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four NFC West teams, plus individual game winners (KXNFLGAME) — which for 2026 opened months ahead of kickoff — and conference and Super Bowl champion markets — available in all 50 states as CFTC-regulated event contracts. A dedicated division-winner market is not consistently listed; when it is, we surface the model-vs-market edge here.

How many times do NFC West teams play each other in 2026?

Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four NFC West teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.

Trade NFL markets on Kalshi →Kalshi NFL hub →All 32 win totals →

Get the daily NFL prediction-market read — NFC West edges + every division, free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Every NFL division

AFC East →AFC North →AFC South →AFC West →NFC East →NFC North →NFC South →

Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.