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NFC West: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions

The prediction-market read on the NFC West. Our DAEPA model favors the Seattle Seahawks at 10.8 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.

Projected 2026 standings

#TeamProj WPWRTier

Seattle Seahawks10.8+5.5Contender 2

Los Angeles Rams10.5+5.1Contender 3

San Francisco 49ers8.9+1.0Playoff 4

Arizona Cardinals6.6-3.7Below Avg

Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.

NFC West winner market

A dedicated NFC West division-winner contract isn't consistently listed on Kalshi yet. In the meantime, the win-total ladders (KXNFLWINS) and conference & Super Bowl champion markets are the cleanest prediction-market read on this race — and the per-team hubs above carry each club's live line. When a division-winner market opens, the model-vs-market edge fills in here.

Head-to-head schedule (12 games)

Every NFC West team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).

WeekMatchupModel edge

Wk 149ers at RamsRams 63%

Wk 2Seahawks at CardinalsSeahawks 68%

Wk 3Cardinals at 49ers49ers 65%

Wk 549ers at SeahawksSeahawks 64%

Wk 6Cardinals at RamsRams 75%

Wk 9Cardinals at SeahawksSeahawks 76%

Wk 10Rams at CardinalsRams 68%

Wk 12Seahawks at 49ersSeahawks 56%

Wk 14Rams at 49ersRams 54%

Wk 16Rams at SeahawksSeahawks 59%

Wk 1849ers at Cardinals49ers 57%

Wk 18Seahawks at RamsRams 56%

NFC West 2026 — frequently asked

Who is favored to win the NFC West in 2026?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC West, projecting 10.8 wins — 0.3 ahead of the next team, the Rams (10.5). Each figure is the mean of our 10,000-season simulation, which plays every team's 17-game schedule out with rating uncertainty and the real NFL tiebreakers.

What are the projected win totals for the NFC West?

Seahawks 10.8, Rams 10.5, 49ers 8.9, Cardinals 6.6. These are the mean of our 10,000-season simulation — the same figure on every team hub and the win-totals board; compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.

Can you trade NFC West markets on Kalshi?

Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four NFC West teams, plus individual game winners (KXNFLGAME) — which for 2026 opened months ahead of kickoff — and conference and Super Bowl champion markets — available in all 50 states as CFTC-regulated event contracts. A dedicated division-winner market is not consistently listed; when it is, we surface the model-vs-market edge here.

How many times do NFC West teams play each other in 2026?

Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four NFC West teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.

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