NFL Week 4 Derek Henry, Chiefs running away and Saints vs Falcons Shootout: Fade the Field Ep. 19

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome in to another edition of the Fade the Field podcast. I am Coach Jean Clemens, joined as always by my guy CJ. Um, that is Chris James at CJF Florida9 onX. You can follow me at Jean Clemens onx. Thank you for another week for for giving us another week. And let me start here, right? You people, if you listen to CJ when he told you Derek Henry to lead the league in touchdown in rushing touchdowns, which started at I believe what like 12% was it was it 12 and now it's up to 30.9 times your money. Yeah. And now it's up to 30 something%. Which means that you've already tripled your money, right? Like that's how it works in prediction markets. You've already got three times your money. So if you wanted to take it and say, "Hey, I'm good. I'm out of here," you can, but why would you do that with a with a with a matchup so juicy they have this week? I can't wait to get into it. CJ, how are you doing? Doing pretty well on this end. You know, uh, living life down in New Orleans. Hoping my Saints can get a W this Monday night. But hey, [sighs] they [laughter] did just lose the Raiders. So, the Raiders that I feel like we'll be talking about the Raiders here pretty soon by I have a I have a feeling. Let's get started cuz it's a lot going on and there's a lot going on tonight. If you are about to tune in to the Monday night, excuse me, the Thursday night game, right? Um, we don't want to hold you. We want to get get a chance for you to kind of get a feel of what's going to go on this weekend. Let's get to the first one. And quarter one is our best favorite of the week. CJ, I'm going let you start us off. Best favorite of the week. So, we did in the intro mention this. You know, my Saints did just lose to the Raiders. I actually picked that, unfortunately. Trying to be a quality analyst out here. But the Raiders finally face a team that I think can give them not only a test, but I think will put them in a stress situation. I think the Chiefs are like four and a half point favorites. I'm willing to tease that up to 6 and a half, get 2.24 extra money. Listen, the Chiefs are operating at full go. They're running the ball. Momes looks like he's back to being a guy who can be explosive. They haven't been stressed since week one with regards to how that passing game goes. And yes, week two was a close game, but give me the Chiefs making sure the Raiders understand that that 3 and 0 is actually a little fugazy. You know what? I I couldn't agree with you more. This is actually my best favorite of the week. And I agree with you. Like for me, I I just looked at it from this this standpoint. If you're telling me that the that the over or excuse me that the spread is four and a half, why am I betting the four and a half? When was the last time you saw like NFL games teams win by five points, right? Like that's not that's not a line that you normally see. You normally will see six, but you also see seven a lot, right? You see nine a lot. You don't see four and like four points. You don't see five points very much. So for me, I looked at this and said, "Hey, you know what? I would be willing to take it at four and a half because I think they're going to win by a touchdown. And if I think they're going to win by a touchdown or more, why would I not bet the six and a half? Why why would I not invest in the six and a half? Why would I not put more money and get more out of it from the six and a half?" And so I agree with you. I could not agree more. I think that the for for the Chiefs, everybody has something to prove. And that's a scary proposition, right? You've got Travis Kelce. This may be his swan song, right? If they take a if they get a long run into this thing, it's over for him. He know he knows that he has waiting for him this podcast like gold mine that they have in the New Heights podcast. He's married to a bajillionaire, right? His life is great. There's going to be more opportunities for him to make more money outside of football than there ever was in football. And he has nothing else to prove. He's a first ballot hall of famer. He's going in as soon as his name pops up. Like like what else? So we So if it's a great year for him, which it has been so far, and he continues to let people know, hey, listen, I'm going to retire and all of you are going to be able to say, yo, he retired and he still had stuff left in the tank, just like my big brother did. I think you're going to see that. Momes, he wants to remind you that he's an alien. We all know it. We've never doubted him, but he's reminded all of you, right? Rasheed Rice out there trying to let you know that he's a wide receiver one, a legitimate one because he's got money that's coming up soon. You've got you've got, you know, um Ken Walker, the guy I'm sorry, Kenneth Walker. Well, it it's not just Kenneth Walker, and that's what I was trying to get to. It's not Kenneth Walker who has anything to prove cuz he just got paid and he has a championship. But you know who does have something to prove? his offensive coordinator, right? Everybody said that Eric Benemy was not the architect of those offenses that were there when he was in charge. They all tried to say that was Andy Reid. The problem is is the moment he left, the offense looked trash. The offense looked disjointed. The offense didn't look like it has an identity. Guess what it has an identity right now. And you know what? You know what that identity is? The identity is f of me if you want to. F of me if you want to and we'll run this [ __ ] right down your throat and you can't do anything about it cuz if you do something about it I'm going to unleash the alien, right? And so like everybody Xavier Worthy has something to prove. The defense has something to prove. Y'all stole two of our quarterbacks. Cool. We're still that. I think all of this thing says, "Hey, Raiders, you're about to run into a buzz saw." That's why it's my best favorite of the week. And one additional thing that doesn't usually matter, but people are talking about Kenneth Walker being run to the ground. They have a week five buy. I think they're going full out because they know they get to rest next week and they want to prove a point to everyone who exists and is a perfect target to let their aggression out on. Yeah, I agree as well. Let's get to quarter two and and what we have going on there. Quarter two, best underdog to cover or win for the week. I'll start first this time. CJ, I'm I'm I'm all in on the Jets and I'm I'm all in on the Jets when it comes investment, right? I'm not saying that the Jets are going to win a championship. I'm not saying that the Jets are going to win the NFC East. I don't really actually care if they win the NFC East or if they're You know what I know? I know that they have a quarterback that's competent. They have a defense that is being ran by the head coach should have always ran the defense. They're much better than what they were. They have talent all over the place. They've they've done well with their draft picks. They've done well with the people that they brought in in trades and free agencies. They have more picks to come. This is a team that stays competitive with every single team they face. And that will not be different um today or excuse me, this week. The Jets are three and a half point dogs, right? The three and a half point dogs. And I was trying to sit back. I was trying to like sit down and and try to understand why it was that the Jets were this were this big a dog to a team that in my opinion like eh okay like people got real excited over the Bears and what they were able to do with a with a a 30 39 year old quarterback 38 year old I don't know I think he's younger but he he's up like 36, 37, something like that. But a guy who hadn't played in a couple of in a couple of years, right? Hasn't had time. Well, guess what the Jets now get to do? They get to sit and and put a dossier together on what they saw on film, which is him just get the ball out of his hands fast and some guys make some plays that are 50-50 plays in my in my mind. When you throw the ball to a guy coming across the middle and he has to reach behind him, that's not always a catch to me. That's a coin flip thing, right? And so everything flipped heads for him, right? Everything flipped heads and it was beautiful and it was great and the story lines are great. Now the Jets know and they're saying, "Hey, we're going to sit on all all that underneath stuff and see if you can actually drive the ball downfield." Right? See if you can drive the ball downfield outside in Chicago. Good luck to it. I think the Jets have a great opportunity to not only cover here, which I think they will, but they have a chance to outright win this game. I'm saying be safe, right? Be safe. Take the points. Take the three and a half points. But if you wanted to take a piece of your investment, a smaller piece like a and let's say a 20% of whatever you were willing to invest on them to um cover at three and a half, take 20% of it and put it on them to win because if they win, you not only get the the the massive windfall from the the flatout win, but you also get the cover money as well. I think that's a great way to kind of put your investment in here. I love what the Jets are doing offensively. I don't think it matters that they're without um um um Bree Hall because I have a lot of faith in Brilen Allen. I have a lot of faith in Isaiah Davis as as running backs to fill in for him. I I like this a lot. What do you think? So, there are several different factors. If we're doing an actual line setting with All right, we'll start here. The reason it's three and a half is because we just had a national TV game where everyone got to see the Bears destroy a team that's respected. So, the entire goal is to set a line that gets 50% to fall on each side. They had to set it with that hook over three to get enough people to take the Bears. You're taking the false bait. There's so many different factors that come into this one because a Sharp would actually, if they were setting it, set this line at the Bears being favored but by one and a half points. That's where you would set it. I like the swing gate on this one from that two points that are being given because of the national TV and and and false expectations. Darnell Wright might not play in this game. He left the game with a knee injury. Also, even though I think it's a veteran rest day, we have a knee situation again with DeAndre Swift popping up. You have Case Keenan who tried to throw a couple of pick sixes in this game. They just didn't get caught by Quan Mitchell. young man start catching the ball or just this close to being picked by Cooper Dean. Cooper Deene, if you want to call him that, Coopa De if it would have been an accurate throw, it would have been a pick six. So you got those coming off a short week, an emotional win over the Philadelphia Eagles. And you got the Jets just sitting here going, "Okay, all the factors actually point to it. Oh, by the way, their defense, they're actually able to get pressure this year. they're actually able to generate a situation that puts Case Keenum in a problem situation. Even if it's Tyler Beijing, Tyson Beijing, it's going to be the same thing. All I'm saying is I actually like this pick because the Jets can win straight up. My pick, I don't really get it either other than this. You have Nick Bosa who is dealing with an injury. Didn't play last week, right? He might be out this week. We'll see. How are the Broncos underdogs to the 49ers in this particular game? I'm taking the Broncos straight up. They're 2 and a half point dogs. It's 2.19 extra money. I know that the situation they're coming off an emotional win, but they're not coming off an emotional win with a backup quarterback. This was their unit. This was their situation. I think that they'll be better than they were last week, and I think they beat the 49ers. Um, it could be going away, but I haven't straight up that. I mean, that's provocative right there because a lot of people feel like the 49ers are like like they they almost seem to be injuryp proof right now. They almost seem to be like bigger than um whatever their circumstances are. Well, like like for me, when you look at the way Brock Party's been playing, he's been playing out of his mind. been playing super well, but he's always played that well. Um, how do you think they match up with San Francisco when San Francisco decides to start dialing up some of those those passing concepts that seem to always have a guy wide open? I don't think that they have the situation to actually adhere to that this week. Mike Evans is still dealing with some some issues just from being a dude who's a first ball of famer type guy who's 30 freaking three years old. It's hard at that at time. I think they're going to press up more. I think they're going to put bad situations into the ether there and I think they'll get the pass rush going in this one. And those linebackers, they're going to take the cheese, but Huanga is going to come down. I think they're going to play actually an eight-man front and play three back just to make sure that there's not a lot of gaps in that intermediate area of the field because that's where they can be taken advantage of. I think Kufua actually balances them out and they play almost like an old school 46 defense to some extent. So, I think they handle all of that intermediate stuff that San Francisco likes to throw at people because San Francisco doesn't have the bodies that they're used to having. A lot of younger guys will be playing minutes that haven't really had them in in the past. Low key, um, Christian McCaffrey has not been a great runner this year. Like, it hasn't been great for him. Um, he's scored touchdowns. He's been able to get in the end zone almost every game, if not every game. Um, but it hasn't looked good for him as a rusher. Part of that is him, right, and the injuries that he came into the season with. the fact that he is going to probably age. He's he's probably not going to age the greatest. Part of it is their offensive line just not moving bodies the way that they have in the past. And it doesn't matter how good your offensive coordinator is at scheming. At some point, the bill comes due on the athletes that are out there on the field. So, wouldn't be surprised for this to come through. And this is a it's a provocative one and it's one that's going to get you some on return on your investment if you go with it. So, I like it there. Let's go and check out quarter 3. Quarter three, best over total. And I'm just going to let in on it. We were talking about overtotals and both of us almost at the same time came out of our mouth for this one. Um, talk about what your favorite over total of the week is. So, [sighs] we all see what I'm wearing. I don't make any bones about it. I don't hide it. I am a Saints fan, born and raised in New Orleans, but I try to use my analyst brain again. That's why I picked the Raiders to win actually by three last week and end up winning by eight. I think this one is prime for an over on Monday night. You have Michael Penn revisiting the situation with that offense. He's going to have a live arm. I actually think Kyle Pittz isn't a zero in this game like some people think. Drake London, who might be the slowest ex receiver in the NFL, does not matter. He's going to do work against that Saints secondary because we don't have a corner who can handle him. Opposite side of the field, the Saints play with one of the quickest paces, if not the quickest pace in the entire NFL. This feels like a defensive matchup. I think that they'll be slinging that thing. I think both teams are capable and primed for going over 25 points each in this game. Right now it's sitting at what is it? 48 and a half. That feels like an a layup. This feels like almost a Detroit Lions game type feel to it. Give me the over in that one. And right now just at the normal rate, it's getting you 1.97x. I think you can tease this up a little bit. I really feel confident that both of these teams can score points inside the dome with a return to uh the Monday night game that kicked things off for the Saints in their rebirth year. Yeah, I I'll just tell you it's like, you know, 47 and a half um is trading at 52%. If you tease it all the way up to 50 and a half, you're getting that 44%. That's 2.24 extra money. That's where I like it at. Um I I don't see how this stays under 50 points, right? Atlanta can't stop New Orleans offense. New Orleans can't stop anybody. So, what gives? Right. You you said the magic word like Drake London is not one of my favorite wide receivers in the league, by the way. I don't like the fact that he doesn't make plays beyond what's what's perfect, right? Or what's what's there for him. I don't like the fact that I never see him just go and snatch something away from a defender. I don't like the fact that he doesn't go and and and use his ridiculous length to go grab a pass that's not thrown perfectly. Guess what he he's not going to have to worry about? He's not have to worry about doing that. We saw that with the with the with the Packers. It started off slow as Penn was trying to get his rhythm back. He wasn't as accurate and it looked like Drake London was going to have a bad day. And then Pennix calmed down. He relaxed. He started putting the ball more on target. And Drake London is huge for wide receiver in the NFL. He is he's hard to to combat as a DB because he has so much size and he takes up so much bandwidth that you have to be able to play through like a legitimate arm and a half in order to get to him. So there's going to be com there's going to be completions. And that's before we talk about whom if we're being honest about it is probably the best player in the league right now, right? And that's the and that's their running back. I don't see them stopping Bejian from running. I think Bejon goes crazy. I think he probably puts a couple in the end zone himself. We're talking about a game that could easily be uh um a 3120 a 3128 game, right? Like a a a 3134 game like like easy points. I would look for this 50 and a half. And I'm not even lying. I would even possibly think about trying to throw some little ladder together later on because at 54 and a half you're getting that at 29%. And now you're talking about 3 to one at three to one on your money. So like I think this is going to be points and bunches. If I'm wrong, guess what? As we always tell you, if you died doing something we told you, we died together. We're not telling you anything that we're not willing to put. And both of us like this over total right here. So take it at the 47 and a2. Cool, right? You're good. Take it at the 50 and a half. You're good. Take it at the 54 and a2. I promise you I will have some investment in there as well. That's all I'm saying. That's all I'm saying. Let's get the You got I'm sorry. Go ahead. I want to clean this up for folks who might try to clip this and come back at it. He's not the best fantasy player. That's Jir Gibbs. But if it's pound-for-pound real football, Bejian is the dude. And that's no slight of Jir Gibbs. They're both excellent. No, no, no, no, no. Be jean is a very close second. Bean's a We're just like, but I'm just saying just as a football player, I really coming out of college, I like Bejon more than I like than I like, you know. Same. But it was because it was because I could not see I'm sorry. All right. I like Jir Gibbs more than I like Bejian out of college. Interesting. Okay. But that was because I could quickly see the transition if you got the ball in this man's hands. Oh yeah. But Bejon, he's so subtle with the way in which he sets you up at the second level while he's still at the first level. You almost can't see it in college because I'm looking at the film and it's so easy in college that you're like, "No, it can't be that easy in the NFL." Well, guess what? Checkers and chess. Yeah. And and and Gibbs is checkers, but he g That's the point. Is chess like Bejon and you said it perfectly there. Be jean is chess. At the first level, Bejon is already setting up second level moves. At the first level, Gibbs is just doing work to the first level. And if the second level is open, he deals with it when he gets there. That's not how Bejon works. And and I I I feel like like from a fantasy standpoint, can't go wrong with either. Be jean probably number one fantasy. I'm sorry. Um Gibbs probably number one fantasy. Be jean in my opinion right now is playing the best football. Him, JSN, right? Him and JSN. I'll put I'll put six in one hand, half dozen in the other. Right. Let's go to Let's go to quarter four. order for best undertot. I love the best undertotal because I don't normally do a lot of unders because I don't want to root for mediocrity, but when I see it, I just call it like and and one thing I looked at this week, the Dolphins Vikings game. Number one, the Dolphins is their defense is much better than people give it credit for. Their defense is why they've been able to stay in a lot of these games that they've had so far is because that defense is better than what people believe. The Vikings offense not that great. They might be without Justin Jefferson as well. So now all the Dolphins has have to do is worry about stopping one guy who can make plays but also can be inconsistent at time. They have to worry about getting pressure on a Kyler Murray who I don't really know how much he loves football and can be frenetic back there in the pocket. And then when we flip over to this to this Vikings defense, we know what that coordinator is going to do to this Dolphins offense. I'd be surprised if they score. If they score, it'll be three, maybe seven. I just don't see the other team putting up 31 points. I don't see the Vikings putting up 31 points. And so for this to be at 38 and a half and that's a 50/50 coin flip, I like the under in this. So the under is the play and it makes sense. I'm going to frame it for the over for a second. You made mention of two things that really do lend themselves to the over and it's both quarterbacks. Kyler Murray has been a little comfortable in his box and not turning it over, but because of everything that's been happening this year, he may take a chance or two trying to drive it into Justin Jefferson who allegedly is going to play and also when he's run recently, he's been a little loose with the ball. Turnovers are the way that this could go over. And you have Malik Willis in that offense where they're going to send 19 people. Yes, there's only 11 on the team, but it's going to feel like 19. And he might throw a pick six or fumble. And it's not cuz Malik Willis is bad at football. He has very little to work with right now because even when they have talent, everyone's injured. So that's the only way I could see this one going over. It has a chance, but I think the under is a good approach here. You want to take it early before it gets bet down. So jump on with it right now and maybe you take the over just to hedge your bet if it does get a little bit too low. Yeah, I could I could see what you saying it being almost like a calamity over where there's like two or three defensive touchdowns andor defensive short fields that allow the other team to point. I I could understand that. That makes sense. Um and it makes sense on the back end. Like if right now you get in and you get it at 50 and then it gets bet down to where you could get the let's say you can get the over at 30 34, right? 34 and a half. Now you put a little on the over and now you're good on both sides, right? Like I can see you can win both bets. Yeah. [laughter] You could you could literally do both things at the same time. And so like that that that definitely makes sense to me. I could see that happening. Um, but I just feel like with how much this defensive coordinator hates that team and what they tried to do to him, he's going to pull every trick imaginable out at them. And I feel bad for Malik Willis because he doesn't even have Devin Aan to like lean on anymore. Now he's got to worry about stiff north south running Ali Gordon. Like come on. Like what what we doing here? And a bunch of dudes that are like the lollipop guild at wide receiver. So like it it's tough to get like excited about it. Who who's your what's your excuse me? What's your best under total for the day? So I'm actually gonna go with one that doesn't make sense, especially since my best bets for the first three weeks were attached to this on the oversight. I had a team that was in a game that went 61, then it went 72, then it combined 55. The under on the Detroit Lions versus the Panthers. Now, I'm going to frame it with the following. We're going to start with the weather. The weather conditions supposed are supposed to be in the 60s and rainy and sloppy on Sunday night there in Charlotte. I used to live there. I can tell you it's not pleasant sometimes when that rain decides to get after you. Number two, the Panthers secondary is in shambles. JC Horn went down indefinitely. He's done possibly. I don't know if it's going to be the season, but he's done for a while. I think Jackson on the other side is probably done for this game. So, I think you'll get a lot of two high safety situations. That's going to entice the Detroit Lions in the running the ball. Now, Jir Gibbs is willing to pop off for long distance runs, but in this mucky field, I think he'll get a lot of runs that'll keep the clock moving. Also on the other side, Bryce Young doesn't have a starting left tackle, starting right tackle, or at least intended ones. And now I believe he lost to starting left t left guard. He's faced the most quick pressure in the entire NFL. It's only going to get worse. This Detroit Lions team has not won but two games this season with five sacks. I think that this becomes a very in between muted game where you have Detroit win but they win with like a score of 24-10 on a 51 and a half over. Also don't play Bryce Young and fantasy if you have the opportunity to not. That that's fair. I I think a lot of people are just like, man, this Detroit defense is so bad on the back end, right? And which is weird because Aiden Hutchinson is still Aiden Hutchinson, but he can't do it alone. If you don't give him any time to be able to get back there, it's kind of hard for him to have effectiveness. But it's so bad on the back end that bad teams are able to mo move. But I think you you hit something on, you know, kind of the the obvious one is always the one that that that trips you up. If you ever do a parlay, the one that you think is the absolute smash in your foreplay or your three pick, that's usually the one that's going to lose, right? Like unfortunately, that's kind of how it works. And so I could see this definitely being one that gets that starts off fast, then all of a sudden levels out, and by the time they pick it back up, they just run out of time. Like run out of time to get to what 51 and a half right there. Like Yep. That's That's a lot of points. It's a lot of points when you're not when you're expecting a lot of points. It's a lot of points when you're expecting a lot of points. And so it it that'll be interesting. And I think that's another good one that's probably you're probably not going to hear from anywhere else but from us over here um at Fade the Field. Let's get to the final of the day. One of my favorite. Let's go to overtime. We are starting with best prop bets. What is your best prop for this week, DJ? So, last week my best prop was Drake London going over I think it was like 70 yards. I said tease up to 80. He could tease it almost up to 100 and he went for what, a buck 91. This one feels weird to me because I don't understand it. It's Jawan Johnson anytime touchdown and it's 3.28 extra money. He already has a game where he has two touchdowns. So, he already has another game where he has a touchdown. He has a connection with Tyler Shuck. And the tight end position in this offense seems to cook to where Noah Fat has multiple games with multiple touch with with a touchdown. Give me Jawan Johnson with a anytime touchdown at more than three extra money. I like that one. I like Jawan Johnson. He's been doing really well. Um, I could see that one definitely having some legs to it. I'm gonna tell you one that I like a lot and and and we're going back to Derek Henry. Derek Henry plays who this weekend? Oh, that would be his old team, the Tennessee Titans. The team that told him that it was it was over for him, that he his best days were beyond him, that he wasn't going to be the same guy, the guy that they didn't want to invest in going forward. That same that same Derrick Henry versus that same Titans team that looks like they can't stop water from running that one. Okay, cool. Who who um what are they going to do with Derk Henry and Lamar Jackson together? They're going to do Nathan. They're going to do nothing. And here's the best part of this, CJ. Lamar Jackson, if you're with the shits, Lamar Jackson's with the shits, which means that if Derek Henry go, "Yo, I want to score four touchdowns versus these goofies. Lamar Jackson's going to make it happen. Lamar Jackson will throw for 300 yards and zero touchdowns and give Derrick Henry all the opportunities for a touchdown because Lamar Jackson really does not care about his stats. He's one of those weird ones that you find where they just don't they truly don't care. Some of the others say they don't care until the stats look bad. He really doesn't care. Jaylen Herz really doesn't care. All they care about is winning and they care about putting their people on when their people needs to go. This is what I'm telling people right now. Get your get your pencils ready. I like a Derek Henry ladder play right here. One touchdown, 68%. That's almost a given. He scores a touchdown every game. He's going to be in a position, right? Two touchdowns, 26%. Ladies and gentlemen, we got action. Ladies and gentlemen, we've got action. Whenever it drops precipitously like that from one touchdown to two touchdowns, that's them saying, "We don't think we don't think it's going to happen." That's why we have it at two touchdowns. CJ, three touchdowns, 7%. That's what I So 7% CJ and and this isn't like the prop we said for season long rushing touchdowns. It's any sort of touchdown. So there's one thing that Derrick Henry isn't known for doing that he actually if you get him in space and get him one of those screens cancel Christmas. Yep. He's taking to the crib if he has any space because no one wants to tackle that big joker running 21 miles an hour like he's done in the past. So he can score in any way. It doesn't have to just be a running touchdown, rushing touchdown. Yeah. No, it and and that's the and that's the part that people need to understand about like how you want to look at your investment, right? Because the way I look at it is I'm trying to see how I can get my like my investment in with the best opportunity to make money. The best opportunity to make money. And so I look at this and I go, it's a I don't even want to call it a gamble. It's a calculated risk, right? It's a calculated risk. But let's just say that I was planning to to put 75 bucks, right? And I wanted to invest that into Derrick Henry to win, I mean to score a touchdown anytime touchdown. Right? Just one of them. If I put that in at $75, I'm going to it's going to pay out 109. Right? That's what So, I'm going to make essentially what? $34 off that. I'm going to make $34 profit. Now, I'm not sneezing that $34 profit. We'll take it because you can take that and flip it somewhere else. But if you take that same 75, right, put 25, invested in him to get one touchdown, that's $36. Invested in 25 in him to get two touchdowns, that's $91. You've already made more money than you would by putting it all on him to make one. But if he hits three, and I'm telling you, I really think he's going to get in the end zone three times, that's three $35 that you make off that one investment, which means your total investment is coming up over $450 off of a $75 investment. You make $450. To me, that's a no-brainer. And if you and and again, I'm talking short money. Some people out there that like to really, you know what I'm saying, put these things on the line. But I think this Derek Henry ladder on the touchdowns, it's something you have to feel. It's not something you're going to find in the statistics. If you go over to the sevenoracles.com, and please do so. Go over to sevenoracles.com. Check out all the things we have over there. One one thing you won't find is is is touchdowns. Why? Because they're hard to quantify. It's a feel thing. It's a feel thing. And that's why the numbers drop off so much when you go from one touchdown to two touchdowns. But if you catch it early, if you do it before the game starts, before they can see how everything is going out, you get a chance to take advantage of them before they have the opportunity to change the numbers on you. This is one you want to get in on early because I believe it has a great opportunity to hit. Basically what he's saying, and I don't even need to explain it, emotions get tied to stuff that furthers a situation happening. We watched it happen in college football where Old Miss beat LSU because that was a game form and then the next week got their teeth kicked in. It's not cuz they're a bad team. They poured all their emotion into that. Same thing here. Lamar Jackson, they might get down to the three yard line and instead of like other quarterbacks and this is not shade on the one yard line taking a touchdown. Guess who's getting this ball? We going to make sure Derrick Henry gets every opportunity to shine as bright as he can. I'll get it next game. So, you got to take emotions into into account when it comes to situation scenarios. It's much like people getting bonuses. We going to feed you to make sure you keep up a record or get a bonus late in the season. Yeah. I just think that they're going to want him to like do really good versus his old team who, by the way, doesn't do well versus the run. Like, it's not like they're even asking him to do something crazy. They already don't play well. Like, yeah, this is the one. This is the one this week that I'm looking at and I'm going, this is how we This is how we really like level up the portfolio this week. I I I think it's a a really good opportunity. Um tell everybody where they can find everything that you're doing right now because I know um you always have a lot going on. Yeah. So uh you can find me on Spotify, Apple, wherever you find your favorite free podcast. Chopping it up with CJ. I do four episodes a week. I do Turf Talk Thursdays, Fantasy Football Fridays, Make Good Mondays, and Weekside Side Wednesdays. I'm already up to 31 episodes so far this season in season 6. If you're in the New York tri-state area, you can find me on the NY Blitz Sports Show. I do the Fantasy Focus. I give you must starts, must sits, and I also give you a few sleepers to keep you updated. And I'm popping around all sorts of pods all over the place trying to give you some some work. Again, trying to give you as much information as feasibly possible to help you win a little coin and also learn more about this sport that we love so much. Absolutely. You can find me at Jean Clemens everywhere. Also, New York Giants on SI a giant issue. Check out my stuff over there. But really, go to the sevenoracles.com. Check out everything we're doing over there. Go and check out our combo edge. That's where you can put together a a Koshi or a Poly Market combination, right? We'll we'll put your numbers in there and we'll tell you if that is a combination that you should play, if it's one that you should like be cautious of, or if it's one you should run away from. We'll even tell you what percentage of your overall investment you should be making in that type of play. Go over there, check that out. There's some big things coming. I can't talk about it now. I was told by the others that I was not allowed to spill the bean on beans on what's coming, but I'm telling you there's something coming big and it's going to be here before you know it. Right. Pause to all of you people who play the pause game because I know that was just wild what I just said right there. Um, for CJ, I am Coach Jean Clemens. Until next time, you all be blessed.