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AFC North: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions

The prediction-market read on the AFC North. Our DAEPA model favors the Cincinnati Bengals at 8.7 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.

Projected 2026 standings

#TeamProj WPWRTier
1Cincinnati Bengals8.7-0.5Average2Baltimore Ravens8.4-0.5Average3Pittsburgh Steelers8.1-0.9Average4Cleveland Browns7.5-2.8Below Avg

Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.

AFC North winner market

A dedicated AFC North division-winner contract isn't consistently listed on Kalshi yet. In the meantime, the win-total ladders (KXNFLWINS) and conference & Super Bowl champion markets are the cleanest prediction-market read on this race — and the per-team hubs above carry each club's live line. When a division-winner market opens, the model-vs-market edge fills in here.

Head-to-head schedule (12 games)

Every AFC North team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).

WeekMatchupModel edge
Wk 3Bengals at SteelersSteelers 56%
Wk 4Steelers at BrownsBrowns 52%
Wk 6Ravens at BrownsBrowns 51%
Wk 7Bengals at RavensRavens 57%
Wk 8Browns at SteelersSteelers 63%
Wk 10Steelers at BengalsBengals 59%
Wk 13Bengals at BrownsBrowns 51%
Wk 15Ravens at SteelersSteelers 56%
Wk 16Browns at RavensRavens 64%
Wk 17Ravens at BengalsBengals 57%
Wk 18Steelers at RavensRavens 59%
Wk 18Browns at BengalsBengals 64%

AFC North 2026 — frequently asked

Who is favored to win the AFC North in 2026?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC North, projecting 8.7 wins — 0.3 ahead of the next team, the Ravens (8.4). The model sums single-game win probabilities across all 17 games for each team.

What are the projected win totals for the AFC North?

Bengals 8.7, Ravens 8.4, Steelers 8.1, Browns 7.5. These are model projections (Poisson-binomial expected wins); compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.

Can you trade AFC North markets on Kalshi?

Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four AFC North teams, plus individual game winners (KXNFLGAME) one to two weeks before kickoff, and conference and Super Bowl champion markets — available in all 50 states as CFTC-regulated event contracts. A dedicated division-winner market is not consistently listed; when it is, we surface the model-vs-market edge here.

How many times do AFC North teams play each other in 2026?

Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four AFC North teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.

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