AFC North: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions

The prediction-market read on the AFC North. Our DAEPA model favors the Baltimore Ravens at 9.3 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.

Projected 2026 standings

#TeamProj WPWRTier

Baltimore Ravens9.3+1.3Average 2

Cincinnati Bengals8.6-0.6Average 3

Pittsburgh Steelers8.2-0.5Average 4

Cleveland Browns7.9-2.0Average

Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.

AFC North winner market

A dedicated AFC North division-winner contract isn't consistently listed on Kalshi yet. In the meantime, the win-total ladders (KXNFLWINS) and conference & Super Bowl champion markets are the cleanest prediction-market read on this race — and the per-team hubs above carry each club's live line. When a division-winner market opens, the model-vs-market edge fills in here.

Head-to-head schedule (12 games)

Every AFC North team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).

WeekMatchupModel edge

Wk 3Bengals at SteelersSteelers 57%

Wk 4Steelers at BrownsBrowns 53%

Wk 6Ravens at BrownsRavens 52%

Wk 7Bengals at RavensRavens 63%

Wk 8Browns at SteelersSteelers 62%

Wk 10Steelers at BengalsBengals 57%

Wk 13Bengals at BrownsBrowns 53%

Wk 15Ravens at SteelersSteelers 52%

Wk 16Browns at RavensRavens 67%

Wk 17Ravens at BengalsBengals 52%

Wk 18Steelers at RavensRavens 63%

Wk 18Browns at BengalsBengals 61%

AFC North 2026 — frequently asked

Who is favored to win the AFC North in 2026?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North, projecting 9.3 wins — 0.7 ahead of the next team, the Bengals (8.6). The model sums single-game win probabilities across all 17 games for each team.

What are the projected win totals for the AFC North?

Ravens 9.3, Bengals 8.6, Steelers 8.2, Browns 7.9. These are model projections (Poisson-binomial expected wins); compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.

Can you trade AFC North markets on Kalshi?

Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four AFC North teams, plus individual game winners (KXNFLGAME) — which for 2026 opened months ahead of kickoff — and conference and Super Bowl champion markets — available in all 50 states as CFTC-regulated event contracts. A dedicated division-winner market is not consistently listed; when it is, we surface the model-vs-market edge here.

How many times do AFC North teams play each other in 2026?

Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four AFC North teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.

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