Gridiron EdgeNFC

NFC East: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions

The prediction-market read on the NFC East. Our DAEPA model favors the Philadelphia Eagles at 9.5 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.

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Projected 2026 standings

#TeamProj WPWRTier

Philadelphia Eagles9.5+2.4Playoff 2

Dallas Cowboys8.8+1.4Playoff 3

New York Giants7.7-1.3Average 4

Washington Commanders7.6-1.5Average

Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.

NFC East winner market

A dedicated NFC East division-winner contract isn't consistently listed on Kalshi yet. In the meantime, the win-total ladders (KXNFLWINS) and conference & Super Bowl champion markets are the cleanest prediction-market read on this race — and the per-team hubs above carry each club's live line. When a division-winner market opens, the model-vs-market edge fills in here.

Head-to-head schedule (12 games)

Every NFC East team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).

WeekMatchupModel edge

Wk 1Commanders at EaglesEagles 67%

Wk 1Cowboys at GiantsGiants 50%

Wk 2Commanders at CowboysCowboys 65%

Wk 5Giants at CommandersCommanders 57%

Wk 7Cowboys at EaglesEagles 58%

Wk 8Eagles at CommandersEagles 51%

Wk 9Giants at EaglesEagles 66%

Wk 10Commanders at GiantsGiants 58%

Wk 12Eagles at CowboysCowboys 57%

Wk 17Giants at CowboysCowboys 65%

Wk 18Eagles at GiantsEagles 51%

Wk 18Cowboys at CommandersCowboys 50%

NFC East 2026 — frequently asked

Who is favored to win the NFC East in 2026?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC East, projecting 9.5 wins — 0.8 ahead of the next team, the Cowboys (8.8). Each figure is the mean of our 10,000-season simulation, which plays every team's 17-game schedule out with rating uncertainty and the real NFL tiebreakers.

What are the projected win totals for the NFC East?

Eagles 9.5, Cowboys 8.8, Giants 7.7, Commanders 7.6. These are the mean of our 10,000-season simulation — the same figure on every team hub and the win-totals board; compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.

Can you trade NFC East markets on Kalshi?

Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four NFC East teams, plus individual game winners (KXNFLGAME) — which for 2026 opened months ahead of kickoff — and conference and Super Bowl champion markets — available in all 50 states as CFTC-regulated event contracts. A dedicated division-winner market is not consistently listed; when it is, we surface the model-vs-market edge here.

How many times do NFC East teams play each other in 2026?

Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four NFC East teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.

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