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NFC East: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions

The prediction-market read on the NFC East. Our DAEPA model favors the Dallas Cowboys at 8.9 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.

Projected 2026 standings

#TeamProj WPWRTier
1Dallas Cowboys8.9+0.9Average2Philadelphia Eagles8.9+0.7Average3New York Giants7.9-1.1Average4Washington Commanders7.9-1.1Average

Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.

NFC East winner market

A dedicated NFC East division-winner contract isn't consistently listed on Kalshi yet. In the meantime, the win-total ladders (KXNFLWINS) and conference & Super Bowl champion markets are the cleanest prediction-market read on this race — and the per-team hubs above carry each club's live line. When a division-winner market opens, the model-vs-market edge fills in here.

Head-to-head schedule (12 games)

Every NFC East team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).

WeekMatchupModel edge
Wk 1Commanders at EaglesEagles 63%
Wk 1Cowboys at GiantsGiants 51%
Wk 2Commanders at CowboysCowboys 63%
Wk 5Giants at CommandersCommanders 57%
Wk 7Cowboys at EaglesEagles 57%
Wk 8Eagles at CommandersCommanders 52%
Wk 9Giants at EaglesEagles 63%
Wk 10Commanders at GiantsGiants 57%
Wk 12Eagles at CowboysCowboys 58%
Wk 17Giants at CowboysCowboys 63%
Wk 18Eagles at GiantsGiants 52%
Wk 18Cowboys at CommandersCommanders 51%

NFC East 2026 — frequently asked

Who is favored to win the NFC East in 2026?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Dallas Cowboys in the NFC East, projecting 8.9 wins — 0.0 ahead of the next team, the Eagles (8.9). The model sums single-game win probabilities across all 17 games for each team.

What are the projected win totals for the NFC East?

Cowboys 8.9, Eagles 8.9, Giants 7.9, Commanders 7.9. These are model projections (Poisson-binomial expected wins); compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.

Can you trade NFC East markets on Kalshi?

Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four NFC East teams, plus individual game winners (KXNFLGAME) one to two weeks before kickoff, and conference and Super Bowl champion markets — available in all 50 states as CFTC-regulated event contracts. A dedicated division-winner market is not consistently listed; when it is, we surface the model-vs-market edge here.

How many times do NFC East teams play each other in 2026?

Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four NFC East teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.

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