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NFC East: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions

The prediction-market read on the NFC East. Our DAEPA model favors the New York Giants at 8.8 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.

Projected 2026 standings

Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.

NFC East winner odds

TeamKalshiModelModel vs mkt
Dallas Cowboys45¢18.7%-26.3 pts
New York Giants27¢47.0%+20.0 pts
Washington Commanders16¢6.2%-9.8 pts
Philadelphia Eagles13¢28.1%+15.1 pts

Kalshi = mid of the KXNFLNFCEAST bid and ask from our daily capture (a book 10¢ or wider is not shown). Model = share of our 10,000 simulated seasons the team wins the division. “Model vs mkt” is the model's read against the price, in percentage points — context, not a position call.

Beyond the NFC East: Super Bowl LXI champion odds

The title market is the one every division race feeds. Every team's live Kalshi champion price on the KXSB winner series, ranked, updated hourly.

Head-to-head schedule (12 games)

Every NFC East team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).

WeekMatchupModel edge
Wk 1Commanders at EaglesEagles 67%
Wk 1Cowboys at GiantsGiants 50%
Wk 2Commanders at CowboysCowboys 64%
Wk 5Giants at CommandersCommanders 62%
Wk 7Cowboys at EaglesCowboys 65%
Wk 8Eagles at CommandersCommanders 62%
Wk 9Giants at EaglesEagles 60%
Wk 10Commanders at GiantsGiants 58%
Wk 12Eagles at CowboysCowboys 57%
Wk 17Giants at CowboysCowboys 65%
Wk 18Eagles at GiantsEagles 51%
Wk 18Cowboys at CommandersCowboys 50%

NFC East 2026 — frequently asked

Who is favored to win the NFC East in 2026?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the New York Giants in the NFC East, projecting 8.8 wins — 1.3 ahead of the next team, the Eagles (7.5). Each figure is the mean of our 10,000-season simulation, which plays every team's 17-game schedule out with rating uncertainty and the real NFL tiebreakers.

What are the projected win totals for the NFC East?

Giants 8.8, Eagles 7.5, Cowboys 7.1, Commanders 6.1. These are the mean of our 10,000-season simulation — the same figure on every team hub and the win-totals board; compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.

Can you trade NFC East markets on Kalshi?

Yes — Kalshi lists a division-winner contract for every NFL division (for this one, KXNFLNFCEAST); the table above shows each team's live price beside our model. It also lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four NFC East teams, individual game winners (KXNFLGAME), and conference and Super Bowl champion markets, all CFTC-regulated event contracts.

How many times do NFC East teams play each other in 2026?

Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four NFC East teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.

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This division in the first-quarter report

The race so far, the market against our simulation, and the games that decide it. Read the report →