Projected 2026 NFL Standings by Division
The prediction-market read on every division race. Each card shows our DAEPA model favorite and the four member teams — tap through for projected standings, win totals and the head-to-head schedule.
AFC
NFC
Stat tiles
Full-season NFL visuals — free to embed
Red zone conversion
Who actually finishes drives — red-zone pass attempts vs. touchdown rate. Bubble size = total passing TDs.
Passing: playmaking vs. risk
Big-play throw rate vs. giveaway-risk rate. Top-left is the dream: big plays without the giveaways.
NFL divisions 2026 — frequently asked
How many divisions are in the NFL?
Eight — four in each conference (AFC and NFC East, North, South and West), with four teams apiece for 32 teams total. Every team plays its three division rivals twice a year, home and away, and those six games usually decide the division winner.
Can you trade NFL division winners on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all 32 teams and conference and Super Bowl champion markets as CFTC-regulated event contracts in all 50 states. A dedicated division-winner contract is not consistently listed; when one opens, we surface the model-vs-market edge on that division hub.
How do you project NFL division standings before the season?
Pure model: our DAEPA (Defense-Adjusted EPA) power ratings drive a single-game win probability for all 17 games, summed into projected wins (Poisson-binomial, home field +2.5). The team with the most projected wins is the model favorite shown on each division card.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.