NFL Season Leader Markets: Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Prices
Who leads the league in passing, rushing and receiving yards, touchdowns, sacks and interceptions, who wins MVP and the AP awards — every player priced on both prediction markets, side by side, with the gap between the two venues in cents. Where the two disagree most is where a trader should look first.
As of Sep 11, 8:50 PM ET · 14 markets · 153 players priced on both venues across 9 of them · Kalshi lists 278 contracts, Polymarket 843 · widest gap: Bijan Robinson (Rushing yards leader), 7.5¢
Polymarket prices are from the international book. Polymarket US is a separate exchange with its own order book — verify the price there before taking a position.
Passing yards leader
Kalshi lists 28 · Polymarket lists 46 · 23 priced on bothWidest gap: Justin Herbert, Kalshi 4.5¢ above Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 90¢, Polymarket field sums to 25¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 6.5¢ | 2.0¢ | +4.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Dak Prescott | 14.5¢ | 13.5¢ | +1.0¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Matthew Stafford | 6.5¢ | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Joe Burrow | 13.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jared Goff | 10.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Caleb Williams | 8.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Allen | 7.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jordan Love | 4.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Drake Maye | 3.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Trevor Lawrence | 3.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Baker Mayfield | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bo Nix | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Tyler Shough | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| C.J. Stroud | 1.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Aaron Rodgers | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Purdy | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bryce Young | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Daniel Jones | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jalen Hurts | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Lamar Jackson | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Sam Darnold | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Shedeur Sanders | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Geno Smith | no book | — | |||
| Jacoby Brissett | no book | — | |||
| Cam Ward | no book | — | |||
| Jayden Daniels | no book | — | |||
| Malik Willis | no book | — | |||
| Jaxson Dart | — | 3.2¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| Player AH | — | no book | |||
| + 13 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Rushing yards leader
Kalshi lists 25 · Polymarket lists 52 · 11 priced on bothWidest gap: Bijan Robinson, Kalshi 7.5¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 89¢, Polymarket field sums to 85¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 11.5¢ | 19.0¢ | -7.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| James Cook III | 6.5¢ | 14.0¢ | -7.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jonathan Taylor | 11.0¢ | 15.5¢ | -4.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 13.5¢ | 10.0¢ | +3.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Derrick Henry | 10.5¢ | 13.5¢ | -3.0¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Javonte Williams | 3.5¢ | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Saquon Barkley | 7.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Christian McCaffrey | listed · no book | 5.0¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| De'Von Achane | 5.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kyren Williams | listed · no book | 4.8¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Jacobs | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Omarion Hampton | 5.5¢ | — | |||
| Kenneth Walker III | 4.5¢ | — | |||
| Ashton Jeanty | 3.5¢ | — | |||
| Breece Hall | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Chase Brown | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Cam Skattebo | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Alvin Kamara | no book | — | |||
| Chuba Hubbard | no book | — | |||
| David Montgomery | no book | — | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| Player AH | — | no book | |||
| + 4 more listed on Kalshi only · + 31 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Receiving yards leader
Kalshi lists 26 · Polymarket lists 63 · 15 priced on bothWidest gap: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kalshi 5.0¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 87¢, Polymarket field sums to 72¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 5.5¢ | 10.5¢ | -5.0¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| CeeDee Lamb | 6.5¢ | 10.0¢ | -3.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 6.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -2.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Garrett Wilson | 4.5¢ | 2.6¢ | +1.9¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Malik Nabers | 3.5¢ | 1.9¢ | +1.7¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 14.5¢ | 13.0¢ | +1.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Puka Nacua | 12.5¢ | 13.5¢ | -1.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Emeka Egbuka | 2.5¢ | 2.8¢ | -0.3¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Zay Flowers | 2.5¢ | 2.4¢ | +0.1¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Nico Collins | 4.5¢ | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Jefferson | 8.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Drake London | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| George Pickens | 1.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| A.J. Brown | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Bowers | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Jaylen Waddle | 5.5¢ | — | |||
| Ladd McConkey | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Mike Evans | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Rome Odunze | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Tetairoa McMillan | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Davante Adams | no book | — | |||
| DK Metcalf | no book | — | |||
| Tee Higgins | no book | — | |||
| Brian Thomas Jr. | no book | — | |||
| Courtland Sutton | no book | — | |||
| KC Concepcion | — | 1.2¢ | |||
| Jordyn Tyson | — | 0.5¢ | |||
| Carnell Tate | — | 0.3¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| + 1 more listed on Kalshi only · + 38 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Receptions leader
Kalshi lists 0 · Polymarket lists 63 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet. Polymarket field sums to 7¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | — | 4.0¢ | |||
| Drake London | — | 2.6¢ | |||
| Rashee Rice | — | 0.6¢ | |||
| Jordyn Tyson | — | 0.3¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| + 53 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Passing touchdowns leader
Kalshi lists 28 · Polymarket lists 76 · 27 priced on bothWidest gap: Caleb Williams, Kalshi 6.2¢ above Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 112¢, Polymarket field sums to 14¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | 8.5¢ | 2.3¢ | +6.2¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jayden Daniels | 3.5¢ | 1.6¢ | +2.0¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Lamar Jackson | 3.5¢ | 1.7¢ | +1.8¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Patrick Mahomes | 4.0¢ | 2.6¢ | +1.4¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Tyler Shough | 1.5¢ | 0.8¢ | +0.7¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Trevor Lawrence | 3.5¢ | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Joe Burrow | 21.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Dak Prescott | 14.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jared Goff | 12.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Matthew Stafford | 10.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Herbert | 8.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Drake Maye | 4.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jordan Love | 4.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Allen | 4.0¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bo Nix | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| C.J. Stroud | 2.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Aaron Rodgers | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Purdy | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bryce Young | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Cam Ward | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Daniel Jones | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Geno Smith | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jacoby Brissett | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jalen Hurts | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Malik Willis | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Sam Darnold | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Shedeur Sanders | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Baker Mayfield | 2.5¢ | — | |||
| Kyler Murray | — | 0.9¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| + 39 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Rushing touchdowns leader
Kalshi lists 25 · Polymarket lists 75 · 21 priced on bothWidest gap: Saquon Barkley, Kalshi 6.5¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 95¢, Polymarket field sums to 79¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | 4.5¢ | 11.0¢ | -6.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Javonte Williams | 5.5¢ | 1.1¢ | +4.4¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kenneth Walker III | 7.5¢ | 3.2¢ | +4.3¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jonathan Taylor | 8.5¢ | 12.0¢ | -3.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Derrick Henry | 12.5¢ | 14.0¢ | -1.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| James Cook III | 10.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +1.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 15.5¢ | 16.5¢ | -1.0¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bijan Robinson | 7.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Allen | 7.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Omarion Hampton | 6.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| David Montgomery | 4.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kyren Williams | 3.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Chase Brown | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Christian McCaffrey | listed · no book | 2.3¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Jacobs | listed · no book | 2.0¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Cam Skattebo | listed · no book | 1.8¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| De'Von Achane | listed · no book | 0.8¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Ashton Jeanty | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Breece Hall | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Chuba Hubbard | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Alvin Kamara | no book | — | |||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | no book | — | |||
| Lamar Jackson | no book | — | |||
| RJ Harvey | no book | — | |||
| Jalen Hurts | — | 1.6¢ | |||
| Joe Mixon | — | 0.9¢ | |||
| Bucky Irving | — | 0.8¢ | |||
| Jaxson Dart | — | 0.8¢ | |||
| D'Andre Swift | — | 0.7¢ | |||
| J.K. Dobbins | — | 0.7¢ | |||
| Rico Dowdle | — | 0.5¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| + 44 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Receiving touchdowns leader
Kalshi lists 26 · Polymarket lists 62 · 14 priced on bothWidest gap: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kalshi 5.5¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 82¢, Polymarket field sums to 47¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 3.5¢ | 9.0¢ | -5.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Puka Nacua | 4.0¢ | 9.0¢ | -5.0¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 9.5¢ | 13.5¢ | -4.0¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 11.5¢ | 8.5¢ | +3.0¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| CeeDee Lamb | 5.5¢ | 6.0¢ | -0.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Jefferson | 5.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Tee Higgins | 5.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Bowers | 3.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Davante Adams | 3.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Nico Collins | 3.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Drake London | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Malik Nabers | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| A.J. Brown | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Garrett Wilson | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Mike Evans | 6.0¢ | — | |||
| Emeka Egbuka | 3.0¢ | — | |||
| George Pickens | 2.5¢ | — | |||
| Brian Thomas Jr. | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Courtland Sutton | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Jaylen Waddle | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Ladd McConkey | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Rome Odunze | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Zay Flowers | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Travis Kelce | — | 1.1¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| + 2 more listed on Kalshi only · + 38 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Scrimmage touchdowns leader
Kalshi lists 0 · Polymarket lists 96 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet. Polymarket field sums to 20¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Jahmyr Gibbs | — | 19.5¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| + 86 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Sacks leader
Kalshi lists 21 · Polymarket lists 57 · 11 priced on bothWidest gap: Maxx Crosby, Kalshi 5.5¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 82¢, Polymarket field sums to 58¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxx Crosby | 7.0¢ | 12.5¢ | -5.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| T.J. Watt | 7.5¢ | 3.2¢ | +4.4¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Will Anderson Jr. | 16.0¢ | 12.5¢ | +3.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Myles Garrett | 26.5¢ | 24.0¢ | +2.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Danielle Hunter | 13.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Nik Bonitto | 7.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Sweat | listed · no book | 1.6¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jonathan Greenard | listed · no book | 1.1¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Aidan Hutchinson | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Micah Parsons | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Trey Hendrickson | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Brian Burns | 4.0¢ | — | |||
| Alex Highsmith | no book | — | |||
| Byron Young | no book | — | |||
| Chase Young | no book | — | |||
| Nick Bosa | no book | — | |||
| Tuli Tuipulotu | no book | — | |||
| Khalil Mack | no book | — | |||
| Quinnen Williams | no book | — | |||
| Will McDonald IV | no book | — | |||
| Rashan Gary | no book | — | |||
| Jaelan Phillips | — | 1.6¢ | |||
| Jared Verse | — | 1.6¢ | |||
| Odafe Oweh | — | 0.2¢ | |||
| David Bailey | — | 0.2¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| + 36 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Interceptions leader
Kalshi lists 24 · Polymarket lists 50 · 6 priced on bothBoth venues agree within the spread on every matched player. Polymarket field sums to 46¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Byard III | listed · no book | 13.5¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jaycee Horn | listed · no book | 12.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Marlon Humphrey | listed · no book | 9.5¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kerby Joseph | listed · no book | 2.8¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Derek Stingley Jr. | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Sauce Gardner | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Antoine Winfield Jr. | no book | — | |||
| Fred Warner | no book | — | |||
| Trent McDuffie | no book | — | |||
| Jalen Pitre | no book | — | |||
| Derwin James Jr. | no book | — | |||
| Ernest Jones IV | no book | — | |||
| Jamel Dean | no book | — | |||
| Brian Branch | no book | — | |||
| Devin Lloyd | no book | — | |||
| Kyle Hamilton | no book | — | |||
| Xavier McKinney | — | 8.0¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| + 8 more listed on Kalshi only · + 34 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
All-purpose yards leader
Kalshi lists 30 · Polymarket lists 0 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Ashton Jeanty | no book | — | |||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | no book | — | |||
| Breece Hall | no book | — | |||
| Bucky Irving | no book | — | |||
| Bijan Robinson | no book | — | |||
| Chase Brown | no book | — | |||
| CeeDee Lamb | no book | — | |||
| Christian McCaffrey | no book | — | |||
| Cam Skattebo | no book | — | |||
| Derrick Henry | no book | — | |||
| + 20 more listed on Kalshi only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
MVP
Kalshi lists 45 · Polymarket lists 40 · 25 priced on bothWidest gap: Drake Maye, Kalshi 4.0¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 103¢, Polymarket field sums to 105¢. Our model on this market →
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 5.5¢ | 9.5¢ | -4.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Herbert | 8.5¢ | 11.5¢ | -3.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Dak Prescott | 6.5¢ | 8.6¢ | -2.1¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Lamar Jackson | 9.5¢ | 11.5¢ | -2.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jordan Love | 4.5¢ | 2.8¢ | +1.8¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Trevor Lawrence | 4.5¢ | 2.7¢ | +1.8¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Purdy | 6.5¢ | 7.7¢ | -1.2¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Matthew Stafford | 3.5¢ | 4.8¢ | -1.2¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Patrick Mahomes | 6.5¢ | 5.5¢ | +1.0¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Caleb Williams | 6.5¢ | 7.3¢ | -0.8¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1.5¢ | 0.9¢ | +0.6¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bo Nix | 2.5¢ | 2.0¢ | +0.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Baker Mayfield | 1.5¢ | 2.0¢ | -0.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Joe Burrow | 10.5¢ | 10.1¢ | +0.4¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jared Goff | 3.5¢ | 3.1¢ | +0.4¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jaxson Dart | 1.5¢ | 1.1¢ | +0.4¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jalen Hurts | 2.5¢ | 2.3¢ | +0.2¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Allen | 10.5¢ | 10.5¢ | 0.0¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Saquon Barkley | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Sam Darnold | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bijan Robinson | listed · no book | 0.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Christian McCaffrey | listed · no book | 0.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Jefferson | listed · no book | 0.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Myles Garrett | listed · no book | 0.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Puka Nacua | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Jayden Daniels | 3.5¢ | — | |||
| CJ Stroud | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Kyler Murray | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| A.J. Brown | no book | — | |||
| Ashton Jeanty | no book | — | |||
| Aaron Rodgers | no book | — | |||
| Bryce Young | no book | — | |||
| CeeDee Lamb | no book | — | |||
| Cam Ward | no book | — | |||
| Daniel Jones | no book | — | |||
| Derrick Henry | — | 0.2¢ | |||
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | — | 0.2¢ | |||
| Player K | — | no book | |||
| Player L | — | no book | |||
| Player M | — | no book | |||
| Player N | — | no book | |||
| Player O | — | no book | |||
| Player P | — | no book | |||
| Player Q | — | no book | |||
| Player R | — | no book | |||
| + 10 more listed on Kalshi only · + 5 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Offensive Player of the Year
Kalshi lists 0 · Polymarket lists 83 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet. Polymarket field sums to 97¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Jahmyr Gibbs | — | 13.5¢ | |||
| Ja'Marr Chase | — | 9.5¢ | |||
| Puka Nacua | — | 9.5¢ | |||
| Bijan Robinson | — | 8.5¢ | |||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | — | 6.0¢ | |||
| Justin Jefferson | — | 6.0¢ | |||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | — | 3.7¢ | |||
| CeeDee Lamb | — | 3.7¢ | |||
| Derrick Henry | — | 3.5¢ | |||
| Nico Collins | — | 2.9¢ | |||
| + 73 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Defensive Player of the Year
Kalshi lists 0 · Polymarket lists 80 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet. Polymarket field sums to 117¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Myles Garrett | — | 19.5¢ | |||
| Will Anderson Jr. | — | 18.0¢ | |||
| Aidan Hutchinson | — | 14.0¢ | |||
| Nik Bonitto | — | 7.5¢ | |||
| Maxx Crosby | — | 4.3¢ | |||
| Jalen Carter | — | 3.8¢ | |||
| Trey Hendrickson | — | 3.0¢ | |||
| Nick Bosa | — | 2.8¢ | |||
| Christian Gonzalez | — | 2.6¢ | |||
| Abdul Carter | — | 2.3¢ | |||
| + 70 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
How to read this board
Each price is the mid of a real two-sided book — bid and ask both present, no more than 5¢ apart. A listing without one shows as “listed · no book” and carries no gap. The gap is the Kalshi mid minus the Polymarket mid; we flag it at 3¢. The cheaper venue is named only when both books are real and the Polymarket market has at least $500 of volume — a thin book is not a price. Kalshi’s fee is included when comparing costs; Polymarket charges none on these markets.
Kalshi first on coverage and economics, never on legality — Polymarket US is live for US traders, and it is a separate exchange from the international book priced here.
Same board, other football: the 2026 Heisman Trophy on Kalshi vs. Polymarket prices every contender across both exchanges with the cheaper venue named.
NFL season leaders on Kalshi and Polymarket — FAQ
What is on this page?
Every NFL season-long leader and award market that Kalshi or Polymarket lists — passing, rushing and receiving yards leaders, touchdown leaders, receptions, sacks, interceptions, MVP, and the AP Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year — one row per player, with each venue’s price side by side and the gap between them in cents. Players listed on only one venue appear greyed below the matched set.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket price the same player differently?
They are separate exchanges with separate order books and separate traders. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange; the Polymarket prices here are its international book, which does not share liquidity with Polymarket US. Thin season-long markets drift apart because nobody is forced to keep them aligned. The gap is where that shows.
What does the overround number mean?
The sum of a venue’s YES prices across every player it lists in a category. A perfectly priced field sums to 100¢; anything above is what the venue’s traders are collectively charging for the whole field. It is a cheap, honest read on which venue is pricing a category more generously.
Is a gap a recommendation?
No. A gap is a price difference between two venues on one question. We show it because it is where a trader should look first, and we name the cheaper venue when both books are real, but we are not saying who will lead the league. The Oracle calls on the player-prop board are the only thing on the site that says play.
Which Polymarket price is this?
Polymarket prices are from the international book. Polymarket US is a separate exchange with its own order book — verify the price there before taking a position. We ingest the international book from Polymarket’s public Gamma API and label it as such on every row.
How often does it update?
Both venues are captured twice an hour and the page rebuilds every 15 minutes. Season-long markets move slowly outside of injury news, so that cadence keeps the prices current without pretending they tick.
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More NFL Markets
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- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner, win probability and projected score for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Moneyline, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
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- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
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- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale