NFL Season Leader Markets: Kalshi vs Polymarket — Live Prices
Who leads the league in passing, rushing and receiving yards, touchdowns, sacks and interceptions, who wins MVP and the AP awards — every player priced on both prediction markets, side by side, with the gap between the two venues in cents. Where the two disagree most is where a trader should look first.
As of Oct 19, 12:50 AM ET · 14 markets · 156 players priced on both venues across 9 of them · Kalshi lists 286 contracts, Polymarket 843 · widest gap: Joe Burrow (Passing touchdowns leader), 6.0¢
Polymarket prices are from the international book. Polymarket US is a separate exchange with its own order book — verify the price there before taking a position.
Passing yards leader
Kalshi lists 28 · Polymarket lists 46 · 23 priced on bothWidest gap: Patrick Mahomes, Kalshi 2.1¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 62¢, Polymarket field sums to 46¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 2.0¢ | 4.1¢ | -2.1¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Matthew Stafford | 21.5¢ | 23.0¢ | -1.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Joe Burrow | 7.0¢ | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jordan Love | 11.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Dak Prescott | 9.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Purdy | listed · no book | 5.0¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Tyler Shough | 4.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Drake Maye | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Herbert | listed · no book | 2.3¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Lamar Jackson | listed · no book | 1.9¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Allen | 1.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Trevor Lawrence | 1.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Aaron Rodgers | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Baker Mayfield | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bo Nix | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bryce Young | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| C.J. Stroud | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Caleb Williams | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Daniel Jones | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jared Goff | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jalen Hurts | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Sam Darnold | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Shedeur Sanders | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Cam Ward | no book | — | |||
| Geno Smith | no book | — | |||
| Jacoby Brissett | no book | — | |||
| Jayden Daniels | no book | — | |||
| Malik Willis | no book | — | |||
| Jaxson Dart | — | 3.2¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| Player AH | — | no book | |||
| + 13 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Rushing yards leader
Kalshi lists 25 · Polymarket lists 52 · 11 priced on bothWidest gap: Derrick Henry, Kalshi 3.5¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 59¢, Polymarket field sums to 66¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 8.0¢ | 11.5¢ | -3.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bijan Robinson | 25.0¢ | 26.3¢ | -1.3¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| James Cook III | 14.0¢ | 15.0¢ | -1.0¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 11.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Saquon Barkley | listed · no book | 5.0¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Javonte Williams | listed · no book | 3.5¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Jacobs | listed · no book | 2.4¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| De'Von Achane | listed · no book | 1.9¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Christian McCaffrey | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jonathan Taylor | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kyren Williams | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Kenneth Walker III | no book | — | |||
| Ashton Jeanty | no book | — | |||
| Alvin Kamara | no book | — | |||
| Breece Hall | no book | — | |||
| Chase Brown | no book | — | |||
| Chuba Hubbard | no book | — | |||
| Cam Skattebo | no book | — | |||
| David Montgomery | no book | — | |||
| Josh Allen | no book | — | |||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | no book | — | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| Player AH | — | no book | |||
| + 4 more listed on Kalshi only · + 31 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Receiving yards leader
Kalshi lists 27 · Polymarket lists 63 · 16 priced on bothWidest gap: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kalshi 2.0¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 36¢, Polymarket field sums to 38¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 4.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -2.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| CeeDee Lamb | 11.5¢ | 9.7¢ | +1.8¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 1.5¢ | 2.5¢ | -1.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Puka Nacua | 6.5¢ | 6.1¢ | +0.4¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| George Pickens | listed · no book | 4.0¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Drake London | 4.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Jefferson | 3.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Garrett Wilson | listed · no book | 2.9¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Malik Nabers | listed · no book | 1.8¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Emeka Egbuka | listed · no book | 1.1¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Bowers | listed · no book | 0.6¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| A.J. Brown | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Chris Olave | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Nico Collins | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Zay Flowers | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Tetairoa McMillan | 2.5¢ | — | |||
| Mike Evans | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Brian Thomas Jr. | no book | — | |||
| Courtland Sutton | no book | — | |||
| Davante Adams | no book | — | |||
| DK Metcalf | no book | — | |||
| Jaylen Waddle | no book | — | |||
| Ladd McConkey | no book | — | |||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | no book | — | |||
| Rome Odunze | no book | — | |||
| Devonta Smith | — | 2.1¢ | |||
| KC Concepcion | — | 0.3¢ | |||
| Jordyn Tyson | — | 0.2¢ | |||
| Carnell Tate | — | 0.2¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| + 1 more listed on Kalshi only · + 37 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Receptions leader
Kalshi lists 0 · Polymarket lists 63 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet. Polymarket field sums to 54¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | — | 14.9¢ | |||
| Puka Nacua | — | 10.8¢ | |||
| Trey McBride | — | 10.8¢ | |||
| Emeka Egbuka | — | 3.4¢ | |||
| Justin Jefferson | — | 2.7¢ | |||
| George Pickens | — | 2.6¢ | |||
| Brock Bowers | — | 2.5¢ | |||
| Malik Nabers | — | 2.3¢ | |||
| A.J. Brown | — | 1.8¢ | |||
| KC Concepcion | — | 1.2¢ | |||
| + 53 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Passing touchdowns leader
Kalshi lists 28 · Polymarket lists 76 · 27 priced on bothWidest gap: Joe Burrow, Kalshi 6.0¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 60¢, Polymarket field sums to 75¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 14.5¢ | 20.5¢ | -6.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Matthew Stafford | 2.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -4.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jared Goff | 20.0¢ | 23.5¢ | -3.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Trevor Lawrence | 5.5¢ | 6.7¢ | -1.2¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Tyler Shough | 2.5¢ | 1.5¢ | +1.0¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jacoby Brissett | 1.5¢ | 1.1¢ | +0.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Lamar Jackson | 1.5¢ | 1.0¢ | +0.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Patrick Mahomes | 7.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Drake Maye | listed · no book | 2.7¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bo Nix | listed · no book | 2.5¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| C.J. Stroud | listed · no book | 2.5¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Aaron Rodgers | 1.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bryce Young | 1.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Caleb Williams | 1.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jayden Daniels | listed · no book | 1.5¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Geno Smith | listed · no book | 1.0¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Cam Ward | listed · no book | 0.9¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Purdy | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Daniel Jones | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Dak Prescott | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Allen | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Herbert | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jalen Hurts | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jordan Love | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Malik Willis | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Sam Darnold | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Shedeur Sanders | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Baker Mayfield | no book | — | |||
| Michael Penix Jr. | — | 1.5¢ | |||
| Deshaun Watson | — | 1.0¢ | |||
| Kyler Murray | — | 0.9¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| + 39 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Rushing touchdowns leader
Kalshi lists 25 · Polymarket lists 75 · 21 priced on bothWidest gap: Christian McCaffrey, Kalshi 1.4¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 40¢, Polymarket field sums to 76¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | 1.5¢ | 2.9¢ | -1.4¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Derrick Henry | 25.5¢ | 25.0¢ | +0.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Chase Brown | 1.5¢ | 2.0¢ | -0.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Jacobs | 1.5¢ | 2.0¢ | -0.5¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kyren Williams | 1.5¢ | 2.0¢ | -0.5¢ | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | listed · no book | 28.5¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jonathan Taylor | 6.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Ashton Jeanty | listed · no book | 1.9¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Javonte Williams | 1.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| James Cook III | listed · no book | 1.2¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| David Montgomery | listed · no book | 0.9¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Omarion Hampton | listed · no book | 0.5¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Saquon Barkley | listed · no book | 0.4¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | listed · no book | 0.4¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Breece Hall | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Chuba Hubbard | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bijan Robinson | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Cam Skattebo | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| De'Von Achane | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Allen | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kenneth Walker III | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Alvin Kamara | no book | — | |||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | no book | — | |||
| Lamar Jackson | no book | — | |||
| RJ Harvey | no book | — | |||
| Jalen Hurts | — | 1.6¢ | |||
| James Connor | — | 1.2¢ | |||
| J.K. Dobbins | — | 1.2¢ | |||
| Kimani Vidal | — | 0.9¢ | |||
| Jeremiyah Love | — | 0.8¢ | |||
| Quinshon Judkins | — | 0.8¢ | |||
| Rico Dowdle | — | 0.4¢ | |||
| Zach Charbonnet | — | 0.4¢ | |||
| Joe Mixon | — | 0.3¢ | |||
| TreVeyon Henderson | — | 0.3¢ | |||
| + 44 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Receiving touchdowns leader
Kalshi lists 26 · Polymarket lists 62 · 14 priced on bothWidest gap: Puka Nacua, Kalshi 0.9¢ below Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 44¢, Polymarket field sums to 3¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | 1.5¢ | 2.4¢ | -0.9¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 16.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Davante Adams | 5.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Bowers | 3.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Jefferson | 3.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Tee Higgins | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| A.J. Brown | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| CeeDee Lamb | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Drake London | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Garrett Wilson | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Ja'Marr Chase | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Malik Nabers | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Nico Collins | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Mike Evans | 5.0¢ | — | |||
| Tetairoa McMillan | 2.0¢ | — | |||
| Zay Flowers | 2.0¢ | — | |||
| Ladd McConkey | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Rome Odunze | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| George Pickens | no book | — | |||
| Jaylen Waddle | no book | — | |||
| Brian Thomas Jr. | no book | — | |||
| Courtland Sutton | no book | — | |||
| DK Metcalf | no book | — | |||
| Travis Kelce | — | 1.0¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| Player AG | — | no book | |||
| + 2 more listed on Kalshi only · + 38 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Scrimmage touchdowns leader
Kalshi lists 0 · Polymarket lists 96 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet. Polymarket field sums to 84¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Jahmyr Gibbs | — | 31.5¢ | |||
| Jonathan Taylor | — | 14.5¢ | |||
| Derrick Henry | — | 8.6¢ | |||
| James Cook III | — | 2.6¢ | |||
| Justin Jefferson | — | 2.5¢ | |||
| D'Andre Swift | — | 2.4¢ | |||
| De'Von Achane | — | 2.4¢ | |||
| Omarion Hampton | — | 2.2¢ | |||
| George Kittle | — | 2.2¢ | |||
| Chase Brown | — | 2.1¢ | |||
| + 86 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Sacks leader
Kalshi lists 24 · Polymarket lists 57 · 12 priced on bothWidest gap: T.J. Watt, Kalshi 3.5¢ above Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 32¢, Polymarket field sums to 13¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Watt | 8.5¢ | 5.0¢ | +3.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Myles Garrett | 2.5¢ | 3.2¢ | -0.7¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Aidan Hutchinson | 8.0¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Danielle Hunter | 3.0¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Micah Parsons | 3.0¢ | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Maxx Crosby | 2.5¢ | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Trey Hendrickson | listed · no book | 1.8¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Sweat | listed · no book | 0.9¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jonathan Greenard | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| David Bailey | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Nik Bonitto | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Will Anderson Jr. | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Alex Highsmith | 3.0¢ | — | |||
| Khalil Mack | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Dallas Turner | no book | — | |||
| Byron Young | no book | — | |||
| Greg Rousseau | no book | — | |||
| Chase Young | no book | — | |||
| Brian Burns | no book | — | |||
| Nick Bosa | no book | — | |||
| Quinnen Williams | no book | — | |||
| Tuli Tuipulotu | no book | — | |||
| Jaelan Phillips | — | 1.4¢ | |||
| Jared Verse | — | 0.6¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| Player AF | — | no book | |||
| + 2 more listed on Kalshi only · + 35 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Interceptions leader
Kalshi lists 24 · Polymarket lists 50 · 6 priced on bothWidest gap: Jaycee Horn, Kalshi 2.6¢ above Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 7¢, Polymarket field sums to 23¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaycee Horn | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | +2.6¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kerby Joseph | listed · no book | 2.9¢ | — | thin Poly book | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Kevin Byard III | listed · no book | 1.6¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Marlon Humphrey | listed · no book | 1.1¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Sauce Gardner | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Derek Stingley Jr. | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Christian Gonzalez | 3.5¢ | — | |||
| Devin Lloyd | no book | — | |||
| Ernest Jones IV | no book | — | |||
| Derwin James Jr. | no book | — | |||
| Deommodore Lenoir | no book | — | |||
| Trent McDuffie | no book | — | |||
| Antoine Winfield Jr. | no book | — | |||
| Fred Warner | no book | — | |||
| Jalen Pitre | no book | — | |||
| Jessie Bates III | no book | — | |||
| Xavier McKinney | — | 12.4¢ | |||
| Tremaine Edmunds | — | 3.1¢ | |||
| Mansoor Delane | — | 0.9¢ | |||
| Other | — | no book | |||
| Player A | — | no book | |||
| Player AA | — | no book | |||
| Player AB | — | no book | |||
| Player AC | — | no book | |||
| Player AD | — | no book | |||
| Player AE | — | no book | |||
| + 8 more listed on Kalshi only · + 34 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
All-purpose yards leader
Kalshi lists 30 · Polymarket lists 0 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Ashton Jeanty | no book | — | |||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | no book | — | |||
| Breece Hall | no book | — | |||
| Bucky Irving | no book | — | |||
| Chase Brown | no book | — | |||
| Cam Skattebo | no book | — | |||
| Drake London | no book | — | |||
| Ja'Marr Chase | no book | — | |||
| Josh Jacobs | no book | — | |||
| Justin Jefferson | no book | — | |||
| + 20 more listed on Kalshi only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
MVP
Kalshi lists 49 · Polymarket lists 40 · 26 priced on bothWidest gap: Drake Maye, Kalshi 3.1¢ above Polymarket. Kalshi field sums to 102¢, Polymarket field sums to 98¢. Our model on this market →
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 6.5¢ | 3.5¢ | +3.1¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jordan Love | 3.5¢ | 1.4¢ | +2.1¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Patrick Mahomes | 7.5¢ | 9.4¢ | -1.9¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bijan Robinson | 1.5¢ | 0.3¢ | +1.2¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Caleb Williams | 2.5¢ | 3.5¢ | -1.0¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Dak Prescott | 1.5¢ | 2.4¢ | -0.8¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Trevor Lawrence | 5.5¢ | 6.3¢ | -0.7¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Josh Allen | 29.0¢ | 29.5¢ | -0.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Brock Purdy | 24.0¢ | 23.5¢ | +0.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Joe Burrow | 6.5¢ | 6.0¢ | +0.5¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Lamar Jackson | 2.5¢ | 2.2¢ | +0.3¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1.5¢ | 1.3¢ | +0.3¢ | Polymarket | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jared Goff | 3.5¢ | 3.6¢ | -0.1¢ | Kalshi | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Matthew Stafford | listed · no book | 1.7¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Herbert | listed · no book | 0.6¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Bo Nix | listed · no book | 0.4¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jalen Hurts | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Baker Mayfield | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Derrick Henry | listed · no book | 0.3¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Jaxson Dart | listed · no book | 0.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Justin Jefferson | listed · no book | 0.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Puka Nacua | listed · no book | 0.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Saquon Barkley | listed · no book | 0.2¢ | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Christian McCaffrey | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Myles Garrett | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Sam Darnold | listed · no book | listed · no book | — | — | Kalshi → · Polymarket → |
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Bryce Young | 3.5¢ | — | |||
| CJ Stroud | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| Kenneth Walker | 1.5¢ | — | |||
| A.J. Brown | no book | — | |||
| Ashton Jeanty | no book | — | |||
| Aaron Rodgers | no book | — | |||
| CeeDee Lamb | no book | — | |||
| Cam Ward | no book | — | |||
| Daniel Jones | no book | — | |||
| Deshaun Watson | no book | — | |||
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | — | 1.0¢ | |||
| Player K | — | no book | |||
| Player L | — | no book | |||
| Player M | — | no book | |||
| Player N | — | no book | |||
| Player O | — | no book | |||
| Player P | — | no book | |||
| Player Q | — | no book | |||
| Player R | — | no book | |||
| Player S | — | no book | |||
| + 13 more listed on Kalshi only · + 4 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Offensive Player of the Year
Kalshi lists 0 · Polymarket lists 83 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet. Polymarket field sums to 106¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Jahmyr Gibbs | — | 27.5¢ | |||
| Kenneth Walker III | — | 21.9¢ | |||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | — | 13.5¢ | |||
| Bijan Robinson | — | 8.5¢ | |||
| Derrick Henry | — | 3.5¢ | |||
| Josh Allen | — | 2.1¢ | |||
| Saquon Barkley | — | 2.1¢ | |||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | — | 2.0¢ | |||
| Tetairoa McMillan | — | 1.7¢ | |||
| Nico Collins | — | 1.6¢ | |||
| + 73 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
Defensive Player of the Year
Kalshi lists 0 · Polymarket lists 80 · 0 priced on bothNo player is priced with a two-sided book on both venues yet. Polymarket field sums to 101¢.
| Player | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Gap | Cheaper | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed on one venue only | |||||
| Will Anderson Jr. | — | 35.5¢ | |||
| Fred Warner | — | 8.0¢ | |||
| Aidan Hutchinson | — | 5.5¢ | |||
| T.J. Watt | — | 4.4¢ | |||
| Micah Parsons | — | 4.3¢ | |||
| Brian Burns | — | 2.5¢ | |||
| Nick Bosa | — | 2.5¢ | |||
| Abdul Carter | — | 2.0¢ | |||
| Chris Jones | — | 2.0¢ | |||
| Jalen Carter | — | 1.9¢ | |||
| + 70 more listed on Polymarket only — the highest-priced are shown; the venue’s full field counts toward its overround. | |||||
How to read this board
Each price is the mid of a real two-sided book — bid and ask both present, no more than 5¢ apart. A listing without one shows as “listed · no book” and carries no gap. The gap is the Kalshi mid minus the Polymarket mid; we flag it at 3¢. The cheaper venue is named only when both books are real and the Polymarket market has at least $500 of volume — a thin book is not a price. Kalshi’s fee is included when comparing costs; Polymarket charges none on these markets.
Kalshi first on coverage and economics, never on legality — Polymarket US is live for US traders, and it is a separate exchange from the international book priced here.
Same board, other football: the 2026 Heisman Trophy on Kalshi vs. Polymarket prices every contender across both exchanges with the cheaper venue named.
NFL season leaders on Kalshi and Polymarket — FAQ
What is on this page?
Every NFL season-long leader and award market that Kalshi or Polymarket lists — passing, rushing and receiving yards leaders, touchdown leaders, receptions, sacks, interceptions, MVP, and the AP Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year — one row per player, with each venue’s price side by side and the gap between them in cents. Players listed on only one venue appear greyed below the matched set.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket price the same player differently?
They are separate exchanges with separate order books and separate traders. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange; the Polymarket prices here are its international book, which does not share liquidity with Polymarket US. Thin season-long markets drift apart because nobody is forced to keep them aligned. The gap is where that shows.
What does the overround number mean?
The sum of a venue’s YES prices across every player it lists in a category. A perfectly priced field sums to 100¢; anything above is what the venue’s traders are collectively charging for the whole field. It is a cheap, honest read on which venue is pricing a category more generously.
Is a gap a recommendation?
No. A gap is a price difference between two venues on one question. We show it because it is where a trader should look first, and we name the cheaper venue when both books are real, but we are not saying who will lead the league. The Oracle calls on the player-prop board are the only thing on the site that says play.
Which Polymarket price is this?
Polymarket prices are from the international book. Polymarket US is a separate exchange with its own order book — verify the price there before taking a position. We ingest the international book from Polymarket’s public Gamma API and label it as such on every row.
How often does it update?
Both venues are captured twice an hour and the page rebuilds every 15 minutes. Season-long markets move slowly outside of injury news, so that cadence keeps the prices current without pretending they tick.
Go Pro · 26% off your first year
Every NFL game priced against the live Kalshi line, every week — $150/yr
Pro is the layer around the free game edges: fair value against the live Kalshi price on every market, edge alerts in Discord the moment a gap opens, and the full win-total, championship and projection boards.
Go Pro →
$111 for the first year, then $150/yr. Code applies automatically. Ends Dec 31. Monthly is $14.99/mo.
Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record →
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 6 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 7 predictions — early lines — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 5 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- NFL Player Props vs Kalshi — the edge board → — Our projection vs the live Kalshi prop line, biggest gap first
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Moneyline, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale