THE 7 ORACLESPowered by PredictionMarketsPicks
WORLD CUP 2026

Top mispricings — 10K sim vs. Kalshi

14d to kickoff

BITCOIN EDGE

Live BTC edge vs. Kalshi hourly markets

PICK OF THE DAY

Today's Oracle play

Home/NFL/NFC North
Gridiron EdgeNFC

NFC North: 2026 Odds, Win Totals & Predictions

The prediction-market read on the NFC North. Our DAEPA model favors the Detroit Lions at 9.3 projected wins. Full projected standings, per-team win totals and the 12-game divisional schedule below.

Projected 2026 standings

#TeamProj WPWRTier
1Detroit Lions9.3+1.2Playoff2Green Bay Packers9.1+1.4Playoff3Chicago Bears8.8+0.9Average4Minnesota Vikings8.3-0.2Average

Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial). Tap a team for its full schedule and Kalshi win-total edge.

NFC North winner market

A dedicated NFC North division-winner contract isn't consistently listed on Kalshi yet. In the meantime, the win-total ladders (KXNFLWINS) and conference & Super Bowl champion markets are the cleanest prediction-market read on this race — and the per-team hubs above carry each club's live line. When a division-winner market opens, the model-vs-market edge fills in here.

Head-to-head schedule (12 games)

Every NFC North team plays the other three twice. Model favorite is the side with the higher win probability (home-field included, +2.5 points).

WeekMatchupModel edge
Wk 1Packers at VikingsVikings 53%
Wk 2Vikings at BearsBears 61%
Wk 5Bears at PackersPackers 59%
Wk 7Packers at LionsLions 57%
Wk 8Vikings at LionsLions 61%
Wk 10Vikings at PackersPackers 62%
Wk 12Bears at LionsLions 58%
Wk 15Lions at VikingsVikings 53%
Wk 16Packers at BearsBears 56%
Wk 17Lions at BearsBears 57%
Wk 18Lions at PackersPackers 58%
Wk 18Bears at VikingsVikings 54%

NFC North 2026 — frequently asked

Who is favored to win the NFC North in 2026?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Detroit Lions in the NFC North, projecting 9.3 wins — 0.2 ahead of the next team, the Packers (9.1). The model sums single-game win probabilities across all 17 games for each team.

What are the projected win totals for the NFC North?

Lions 9.3, Packers 9.1, Bears 8.8, Vikings 8.3. These are model projections (Poisson-binomial expected wins); compare them to the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS lines on each team's hub.

Can you trade NFC North markets on Kalshi?

Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all four NFC North teams, plus individual game winners (KXNFLGAME) one to two weeks before kickoff, and conference and Super Bowl champion markets — available in all 50 states as CFTC-regulated event contracts. A dedicated division-winner market is not consistently listed; when it is, we surface the model-vs-market edge here.

How many times do NFC North teams play each other in 2026?

Every NFL division opponent is played twice — home and away — so the four NFC North teams contest 12 divisional games in 2026. Those head-to-head results decide most division-winner outcomes; the full schedule is listed above.

Trade NFL markets on Kalshi →Kalshi NFL hub →All 32 win totals →

Get the daily NFL prediction-market read — NFC North edges + every division, free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Every NFL division

AFC East →AFC North →AFC South →AFC West →NFC East →NFC South →NFC West →

Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.