New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, November 29, 2026 · Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Saints
40%
model win prob
Bengals
60%
model win prob
Model line
Bengals −3.5
Kalshi (Bengals)
—
Edge
pending
Model favors the Bengals — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff
KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.
Power-rating comparison
The prediction-market read
In Week 12, the New Orleans Saints travel to face the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Bengals 15th of 32 (Average tier, -0.1) and the Saints 21st (Average tier, -0.9). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Bengals by 3.5 — a 60% win probability for the Bengals.
Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 60% (Bengals) / 40% (Saints) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Saints vs Bengals — frequently asked
Who is favored in Saints vs Bengals in Week 12?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Bengals by 3.5 points and gives them a 60% win probability over the Saints. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.
What does the model project for Saints vs Bengals?
Home win probability 60% (Bengals), away 40% (Saints). That comes from a power-rating differential of +0.8 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Bengals rate 15th of 32 (Average tier), the Saints 21st (Average tier).
Can you trade Saints vs Bengals on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where do the Bengals host the Saints?
New Orleans Saints visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, November 29, 2026 in NFL Week 12, at Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.