Gridiron EdgeWeek 12 · 2026NFC East rivalry

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Updated October 14, 2026 · model ratings

Line held — QB decision pending

Thursday, November 26, 2026 · AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

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Win probability held until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed.

Run this matchup yourself → Full PWR board for all 32 → Player prop gaps for this game →

47%

Madden 27

53%

Madden 27

Run the numbers yourself

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The Ladder — Eagles at Cowboys

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Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.

Eagles at CowboysSpreadQB HOLD

Kalshi has not listed a two-sided book on this ladder yet.

StrikeKalshi YES · 0–100¢Take itBooksGap

Market

—

The starting quarterback is not confirmed, so we publish no model number on this game. The market prices are shown as they are.

Legend

Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
book consensus (no-vig)
Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.

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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

Eagles at Cowboys Kalshi spread ladder for Week 12: the Kalshi price at every spread strike — The Eagles–Cowboys spread ladder — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Eagles vs Cowboys power ratings (Week 12)

TeamRatingRankTier

Philadelphia Eagles-0.117thAverage

Dallas Cowboys-0.822ndAverage

Eagles and Cowboys season outlook

PHIDAL

Average wins8.27.7

Make playoffs37%28%

Win division28%18%

Win Super Bowl2.5%1.4%

10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works →

Line held until the starting QB is known

Line held: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys, NFL Week 12 2026. We don't publish a model line, lean or pick until both starting quarterbacks are confirmed, and one isn't yet. This updates the moment both starters are confirmed. Quarterback is the one input big enough to swamp every other term in a game line, so we don't post a number until we know who's throwing.

Full division picture on the NFC East hub.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Eagles vs Cowboys on Kalshi

Kalshi event: KXNFLGAME-26NOV26PHIDAL
Market-implied (Cowboys): not listed yet
Our ratings line (Cowboys): held — QB pending
Model vs market: —

Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week and has not listed KXNFLGAME-26NOV26PHIDAL yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game to quote. When it opens, the model buys the Cowboys at 52c or below, or the Eagles at 38c or below — a 5-point threshold either way. The numbers above fill in on their own.

Every Kalshi NFL market we track →

Where Eagles vs Cowboys trades

Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.

Venue	Cowboys	As of	Trade
Kalshi	not listed on Kalshi yet — opens week of the game		Trade on Kalshi →
Novig	56% 56c	Sep 13, 11:40 AM ET	Open Novig →
Polymarket	no captured price for this game — international book		Sign-up offer →
Polymarket US	no captured price for this game — US exchange		Sign-up offer →
Robinhoodsame Kalshi contract	same Kalshi contract, not listed yet		Open Robinhood →
Coinbasesame Kalshi contract	same Kalshi contract, not listed yet		Open Coinbase →
DraftKings Predictions	price not available — sign-up offer →		Sign-up offer →
FanDuel Predicts	price not available — sign-up offer →		Sign-up offer →
Fanatics Markets	price not available — sign-up offer →		Sign-up offer →

A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions, FanDuel Predicts and Fanatics Markets run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.

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Watch the breakdown: Eagles vs Cowboys

NFL Win Totals 2026: Jets, Dolphins, Cardinals, Browns & Raiders | Fade the Field Ep. 14 — video thumbnail

45:52NFL Win Totals 2026: Jets, Dolphins, Cardinals, Browns & Raiders | Fade the Field Ep. 14Jul 28, 2026

42:21Fade The Field Ep. 13Jul 21, 2026

Eagles vs Cowboys — frequently asked

Who is favored in Eagles vs Cowboys, NFL Week 12 2026?

Trade this game on Kalshi →Cowboys hub →Eagles hub →Kalshi NFL hub →Week 12 edge board →NFL predictions hub →

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The first meeting

These two already played once in 2026, back in Week 7. Division games are the pairings the model gets two swings at, and the second line usually moves off what the first one showed. Eagles–Cowboys, Week 7 →

After this one

Eagles: Week 13 at CardinalsModel line →Cowboys: Week 13 at SeahawksModel line →

More Week 12 matchups

Packers at RamsRams −4.5

Bears at LionsLions −3.5

Chiefs at BillsBills −7.5

Broncos at SteelersSteelers −1

Saints at BengalsBengals −4

Raiders at BrownsBrowns −6.5

Ravens at TexansTexans −3

Giants at ColtsColts −3.5

Jets at DolphinsDolphins −3.5

Falcons at VikingsVikings −0.5

Titans at JaguarsJaguars −9

Commanders at Cardinalseven

Seahawks at 49ersSeahawks −2

Patriots at ChargersPatriots −3.5

Panthers at BuccaneersBuccaneers −3

Full Week 12 board →Next: NFL Week 13 predictions →

Same model, inside your AI agent

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