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Samaje Perine Week 7 Projection & Kalshi Props

RB · Cincinnati Bengals · bye week 6

This week on the boardNFL Week 7 predictions →NFL Week 8 predictions — early lines →Week 6 results →

Week 7 gamesPatriots at BearsSteelers at Saints49ers at FalconsBengals at RavensBuccaneers at PanthersGiants at TexansColts at VikingsDolphins at JetsBrowns at TitansBroncos at CardinalsPackers at LionsRams at RaidersChiefs at SeahawksCowboys at Eagles

Week 7 vs BAL — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 7 projection for Samaje Perine, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Samaje Perine this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 7 — how often he gets there

Every result Samaje Perine could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rec Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 9·90th 47

Receptions

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 0·median 1·90th 4

Rush Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 4·median 20·90th 77

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 7.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes — preview it free; publishing runs on an Enterprise license.

The Ladder — Samaje Perine

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Samaje PerineReceptionsMARKET READView 2+ rec on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 2+ rec at 54¢ — a coin flip. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 2+ rec
YES 54¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Oracle Ladders venue check

At 2+ rec Kalshi's NO costs 47¢, the books imply 46¢ — 0.8 points below the book read.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →
Samaje PerineRush AttMARKET READView 7+ rush att on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 7+ rush att at 61¢. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 7+ rush att
YES 62¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →

Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Samaje Perine Kalshi prop ladder for Week 7: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Samaje Perine's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Samaje Perine — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Samaje Perine Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/samaje-perine?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Samaje Perine Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/samaje-perine?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Samaje Perine with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
30+ rush ydsCIN v BAL44.5¢46.1%2bk-1.6¢over · Kalshi 46.7¢under · ESPN Bet 56.5¢Kalshi →
2+ recCIN v BAL53.5¢54.3%6bk-0.8¢over · Novig 53.1¢under · DK 46.7¢Kalshi →
anytime TDCIN v BAL22.5¢—one-sidedover · Novig 24¢under · Novig 78.5¢Kalshi →
10+ rec ydsCIN v BAL43.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Novig 45.5¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢Kalshi →
15+ rec ydsCIN v BAL30.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 32.5¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢Kalshi →
20+ rec ydsCIN v BAL21.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Novig 23¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢Kalshi →
25+ rec ydsCIN v BAL15.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 16.9¢under · ProphetX 85.3¢Kalshi →
30+ rec ydsCIN v BAL10.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 11.7¢under · Kalshi 91.6¢Kalshi →
40+ rec ydsCIN v BAL4.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 5.3¢under · Kalshi 96.3¢Kalshi →
3+ recCIN v BAL27.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Kalshi 74.4¢Kalshi →
4+ rush attCIN v BAL92.0¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
7+ rush attCIN v BAL61.0¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
10+ rush attCIN v BAL30.0¢—no booksKalshi onlyKalshi →
10+ rush ydsCIN v BAL80.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 82.1¢under · Kalshi 21.1¢Kalshi →
15+ rush ydsCIN v BAL71.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 74.4¢under · Kalshi 31.5¢Kalshi →
20+ rush ydsCIN v BAL63.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 65.6¢under · Kalshi 38.6¢Kalshi →
25+ rush ydsCIN v BAL52.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 54.7¢under · Kalshi 49.8¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 24, 11:10 PM ET, books as of Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

85

5.0 per game

Consensus ADP

277

round 24

RB rank

RB58

model has him RB59

2026 range

10th pct 43·median 85·90th pct 146

Measured, not simulated. Our RB projections have landed inside this band 81% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

The market drafts him 2 spots earlier than our board does at RB — we are lower on him than consensus.

Bengals 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Week 1

vs TB

Week 2

at HOU

Week 3

at PIT

Week 4

vs JAX

Week 5

at MIA

Week 7

at BAL

Week 8

vs TEN

Week 9

at ATL

Week 10

vs PIT

Week 11

at WAS

Week 12

vs NO

Week 13

at CLE

Week 14

vs KC

Week 15

at CAR

Week 16

at IND

Week 17

vs BAL

Week 18

vs CLE

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Samaje Perine

What are Samaje Perine's Kalshi props for Week 7?

As of Oct 24, 11:10 PM ET, Kalshi lists 17 strikes on Samaje Perine against BAL: 25+ rush yds at 52.5¢, 30+ rush yds at 44.5¢, 30+ rec yds at 10.0¢, 7+ rush att at 61.0¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Samaje Perine 25+ rush yds?

As of Oct 24, 11:10 PM ET, the cheapest over is Kalshi at 54.7¢ (next best 55¢), and the cheapest under is Kalshi at 49.8¢ (next best 58¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Samaje Perine's 2026 projection?

Samaje Perine projects 85 half-PPR points (5.0 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 277 (round 24). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-24; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.