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Jalen Coker

WR · Carolina Panthers · bye week 5

BUST

Week 6 vs PHI — every Kalshi strike, the sportsbook consensus, and our model's call. Prediction-market props, priced in cents.

Our Week 6 projection for Jalen Coker, the Oracle calls on his Kalshi props, and the season range behind them. The draft-season read (ADP, value tag) sits at the bottom. Same numbers our model serves to AI assistants — free, no key.

Where the market has Jalen Coker this week

A gap between two venues is a price difference, not a recommendation. Prices move; the timestamp on each line is the clock it was read on.

Week 6 — how often he gets there

Every result Jalen Coker could post this week, and the share of them that reach the listed number.

Rec Yds

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 16·median 50·90th 138

Receptions

Range only — this stat has no percentage we would stand behind.

10th 2·median 5·90th 10

The spread comes from how far actual results have landed from projections of this size, fitted on four seasons — not a simulation. Season and week figures are different vintages: the 2026 range elsewhere on this page is preseason, this block is Week 6.

The week's sharpest prop, across every player

One player here; the whole slate there. The largest model-vs-Kalshi prop gap live this week, refreshed every 5 minutes and free to embed.

The Ladder — Jalen Coker

All ladders →

Every Kalshi strike listed on this player beside the sportsbook consensus, with our probability marked at the strike we called.

Jalen CokerReceptionsMARKET READView 5+ rec on Kalshi →

Kalshi prices 5+ rec at 54¢ — a coin flip. Where the Oracle line sits on each rung is Pro.

Market · 5+ rec
YES 54¢

Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

Oracle Ladders venue check

At 6+ rec Kalshi's NO costs 62¢, the books imply 59¢ — 1.7 points below the book read.

Legend
  • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
  • book consensus (no-vig)
  • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
  • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

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Jalen Coker Kalshi prop ladder for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
Jalen Coker's headline Kalshi ladder this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this player’s prop ladder

A live card locked to Jalen Coker — the Kalshi price at every strike of his headline prop beside the sportsbook consensus — for a team blog, a fantasy newsletter or a player post. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

Article width · 560×300

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  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-player-ladder/jalen-coker/hero"
  width="560"
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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Jalen Coker Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/jalen-coker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar · 320×280

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  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-player-ladder/jalen-coker/sidebar"
  width="320"
  height="280"
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  title="Jalen Coker — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Jalen Coker Kalshi prop ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/players/jalen-coker?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-player-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Prop market — every Kalshi strike

Full market board →
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for Jalen Coker with a two-sided book: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus at that strike, the gap in cents, and the cheapest venue per side. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
ContractKalshiConsensusGapBest priceTrade
5+ recCAR v PHI53.5¢55.2%6bk-1.7¢over · Novig 54.5¢under · ESPN Bet 45.5¢Kalshi →
60+ rec ydsCAR v PHI46.5¢47.2%3bk-0.7¢over · Novig 48.1¢under · ProphetX 54.5¢Kalshi →
6+ recCAR v PHI39.0¢40.7%exch-1.7¢over · Kalshi 41.7¢under · Novig 62¢Kalshi →
50+ rec ydsCAR v PHI57.5¢56.2%exch+1.3¢over · ProphetX 59.7¢under · Kalshi 45.7¢Kalshi →
anytime TDCAR v PHI25.5¢—one-sidedover · Novig 26.5¢under · Novig 75¢Kalshi →
70+ rec ydsCAR v PHI36.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Novig 38¢under · Kalshi 66.6¢Kalshi →
80+ rec ydsCAR v PHI27.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · ProphetX 29.9¢under · Kalshi 75.4¢Kalshi →
90+ rec ydsCAR v PHI20.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Novig 22.5¢under · Kalshi 82.1¢Kalshi →
100+ rec ydsCAR v PHI14.5¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 16.9¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢Kalshi →
110+ rec ydsCAR v PHI10.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 12.7¢Kalshi →
3+ recCAR v PHI85.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 86.8¢under · Kalshi 16.9¢Kalshi →
4+ recCAR v PHI72.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 75.4¢under · Kalshi 31.5¢Kalshi →
7+ recCAR v PHI25.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 28.4¢Kalshi →
8+ recCAR v PHI14.0¢off-ladderoff-ladderover · Kalshi 16.9¢under · Kalshi 88.7¢Kalshi →

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents, read across two clocks — Kalshi as of Oct 17, 12:10 AM ET, books as of Oct 17, 12:15 AM ET. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Draft-season read — 2026 projection, ADP and value

Projected points

121

7.1 per game

Consensus ADP

141

round 12

WR rank

WR57

model has him WR71

2026 range

10th pct 57·median 110·90th pct 179

Measured, not simulated. Our WR projections have landed inside this band 78% of the time against a 80% target, on the 2024-25 holdout. The median sits below the projection because most players lose time — the projection is an expected total, not the typical outcome.

The market drafts him 8 spots earlier than our board does at WR — we are lower on him than consensus.

Panthers 2026 schedule

Team hub →

Every game carries our model line against the live Kalshi contract price.

How this projection is built

Season projections come from our own usage model — target and carry share, efficiency and games played — then the published rank blends that model with consensus ADP at a weight fitted per position. The raw model loses to consensus ADP at every position, so the board leads with the blend and the disagreement is the content, not a claim that we are right.

The engine behind the game numbers grades at 59.6% straight up across 3,266 games (2013–2024). Those figures grade DAEPA, the underlying play-by-play model. Every published call is graded here.

Want the whole board? All 322 players are free — and any AI assistant can read them directly through our MCP server, with no key and no signup.

Questions about Jalen Coker

What are Jalen Coker's Kalshi props for Week 6?

As of Oct 17, 12:10 AM ET, Kalshi lists 14 strikes on Jalen Coker against PHI: anytime TD at 25.5¢, 80+ rec yds at 27.5¢, 90+ rec yds at 20.5¢, 100+ rec yds at 14.5¢. A Kalshi prop contract pays $1 if the threshold is cleared, so the price in cents is the market's implied probability. Every strike on this page carries the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold beside it.

Where is the best price on Jalen Coker anytime TD?

As of Oct 17, 12:10 AM ET, the cheapest over is Novig at 26.5¢ (next best 27¢), and the cheapest under is Novig at 75¢ (next best 76.3¢). Prices are per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks at their raw quote — so the two are directly comparable. Cheapest is not the same as correct: compare it to our model's probability for the same threshold before taking a position.

What is Jalen Coker's 2026 projection?

Jalen Coker projects 121 half-PPR points (7.1 per game) for 2026, against a consensus ADP of 141 (round 12). The page also carries a measured 10th–90th percentile range: it is the fitted distribution of actual-over-projected outcomes, holdout-validated, not a simulation.

How does a Kalshi player-prop contract pay out?

A Kalshi player-prop contract settles at $1 if the player clears the stated threshold and $0 if he does not, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability of the threshold being cleared. Buying YES at 62¢ returns 38¢ per contract on a clear and loses 62¢ otherwise; buying NO at 38¢ is the mirror. Because both sides of a two-sided Kalshi book sum to about 100¢, no de-vigging is needed before comparing it to a model probability — a sportsbook price has to be de-vigged first.

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Projections as of 2026-10-16; ADP source composite. Fantasy projections are estimates, not predictions — trade and draft responsibly.