All 32 NFL Teams: 2026 Win Totals & Market Edge
Every team's prediction-market hub, grouped by division and ranked by our DAEPA model's projected wins. Tap any team for its full schedule, power rating, and live Kalshi win-total edge.
AFC
NFC
Projected wins = Σ single-game win probabilities (Poisson-binomial, DAEPA power ratings, home field +2.5). Model projections, not market lines — each team hub carries the live Kalshi KXNFLWINS comparison.
Go Pro · 26% off your first year
Every NFL game priced against the live Kalshi line, every week — $150/yr
Pro is the layer around the free game edges: fair value against the live Kalshi price on every market, edge alerts in Discord the moment a gap opens, and the full win-total, championship and projection boards.
$111 for the first year, then $150/yr. Code applies automatically. Ends Dec 31. Monthly is $14.99/mo.
Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record →
This week's slate: model line vs the market, every game
The team index is season-level. This is the week: our model line beside the market line for every game, the gap in points, refreshed every 5 minutes.
NFL team win totals 2026 — frequently asked
Which NFL team has the highest projected win total in 2026?
Our 10,000-season simulation on our DAEPA power ratings projects the San Francisco 49ers highest at 11.9 wins. Each team's projection plays its full 17-game schedule out; tap any team for its Kalshi KXNFLWINS win-total edge.
How are these NFL win totals calculated?
They are the mean of our 10,000-season simulation, which plays every schedule out on our DAEPA (Defense-Adjusted EPA) power ratings with rating uncertainty and the real NFL tiebreakers — the same figure on every team page, the win-totals board and the futures board. They carry no hindsight and update as ratings move. On each team hub we compare the projection to the live Kalshi win-total line to surface the prediction-market edge.
Can you trade NFL team win totals on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi lists season win totals (KXNFLWINS) for all 32 teams as CFTC-regulated event contracts, available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some, plus individual game winners closer to kickoff and conference and Super Bowl champion markets. Each team hub carries that club’s live ladder.
Get the daily NFL prediction-market read — every team's win-total edge, free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Keep exploring
Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Team stat tiles
2025 regular-season NFL visuals — free to embed
Team passing: efficiency vs. volume
2025 regular season
Are they good or just throwing a lot? Pass volume vs. EPA per dropback. Bubble size = passing TDs.
RB opportunity share
2025 regular season
Bell cows vs. committee — share of team backfield opportunities (carries + targets), colored by efficiency.