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NFL Player Projections
2026 · Week 1 · DAEPA matchup + injury adjusted · Half-PPR
Board last written Aug 31, 2026. Updated monthly off-season as rosters change — weekly once the season starts.
These are matchup-adjusted fantasy projections for every NFL skill player — quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, and tight ends — built on the same Defense-Adjusted EPA (DAEPA) engine that powers our game edges and win totals. For each player we start from multi-year usage and efficiency, adjust for the specific defense they face that week, and layer in a Player Importance Score (PIS) that models how injuries up and down the depth chart move a player's expected volume. The output is a half-PPR point projection with a 90th-percentile ceiling and 10th-percentile floor, so you can see the range of outcomes, not just the median.
Off-season, the board is a monthly snapshot that moves on roster and depth-chart news; once the season starts it refreshes weekly as matchups and injury reports land. Use it to settle start/sit calls, find where our number diverges from consensus, and pair it with the usage stat tiles to understand why a player is projected where they are.
Watch: why Omarion Hampton is a 2026 breakout — backfield opportunity, the DAEPA matchup read, and the projection that follows.
| Player | Pos | Team | Opp | Proj Pts ↓ | Ceiling | Floor | Injury | PIS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenST | QB | BUF | HOU | 19.4 | 26.2 | 12.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Patrick MahomesST | QB | KC | DEN | 18.5 | 25.0 | 12.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Trevor LawrenceST | QB | JAX | CLE | 17.9 | 24.2 | 11.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brock PurdyST | QB | SF | LAR | 17.8 | 24.1 | 11.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Malik WillisST | QB | MIA | LV | 17.8 | 24.0 | 11.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaxson DartST | QB | NYG | DAL | 17.5 | 23.6 | 11.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Christian McCaffreyST | RB | SF | LAR | 16.9 | 25.3 | 8.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Bo NixST | QB | DEN | KC | 16.8 | 22.6 | 10.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Justin HerbertST | QB | LAC | ARI | 16.7 | 22.5 | 10.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jalen HurtsST | QB | PHI | WAS | 16.5 | 22.3 | 10.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Drake MayeST | QB | NE | SEA | 16.4 | 22.2 | 10.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kyler MurrayST | QB | MIN | GB | 16.4 | 22.1 | 10.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dak PrescottST | QB | DAL | NYG | 16.2 | 21.9 | 10.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jacoby BrissettST | QB | ARI | LAC | 16.2 | 21.9 | 10.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Bijan RobinsonST | RB | ATL | PIT | 16.1 | 24.2 | 8.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Joe BurrowST | QB | CIN | TB | 16.1 | 21.7 | 10.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Puka NacuaST | WR | LAR | SF | 16.0 | 23.9 | 8.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Saquon BarkleyST | RB | PHI | WAS | 15.8 | 23.7 | 7.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Matthew StaffordST | QB | LAR | SF | 15.8 | 21.3 | 10.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ashton JeantyST | RB | LV | MIA | 15.8 | 23.6 | 7.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| De'Von AchaneST | RB | MIA | LV | 15.7 | 23.6 | 7.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Baker MayfieldST | QB | TB | CIN | 15.7 | 21.2 | 10.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jared GoffST | QB | DET | NO | 15.7 | 21.2 | 10.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jonathan TaylorST | RB | IND | BAL | 15.4 | 23.1 | 7.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jayden DanielsST | QB | WAS | PHI | 15.2 | 20.5 | 9.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Daniel JonesST | QB | IND | BAL | 15.2 | 20.5 | 9.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Lamar JacksonST | QB | BAL | IND | 15.1 | 20.4 | 9.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Caleb WilliamsST | QB | CHI | CAR | 14.9 | 20.1 | 9.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Bucky IrvingST | RB | TB | CIN | 14.5 | 21.8 | 7.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chase BrownST | RB | CIN | TB | 14.3 | 21.4 | 7.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kyren WilliamsST | RB | LAR | SF | 14.3 | 21.4 | 7.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Garrett WilsonST | WR | NYJ | TEN | 14.1 | 21.2 | 7.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Malik NabersST | WR | NYG | DAL | 14.1 | 21.2 | 7.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Zay FlowersST | WR | BAL | IND | 13.8 | 20.7 | 6.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Breece HallST | RB | NYJ | TEN | 13.8 | 20.6 | 6.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Omarion HamptonST | RB | LAC | ARI | 13.7 | 20.6 | 6.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Deshaun WatsonST | QB | CLE | JAX | 13.7 | 18.5 | 8.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tony PollardST | RB | TEN | NYJ | 13.7 | 20.5 | 6.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jordan LoveST | QB | GB | MIN | 13.6 | 18.4 | 8.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Carnell TateST | WR | TEN | NYJ | 13.6 | 20.4 | 6.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| CeeDee LambST | WR | DAL | NYG | 13.5 | 20.3 | 6.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jahmyr GibbsST | RB | DET | NO | 13.5 | 20.3 | 6.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cam SkatteboST | RB | NYG | DAL | 13.4 | 20.1 | 6.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ja'Marr ChaseST | WR | CIN | TB | 13.4 | 20.1 | 6.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyler ShoughST | QB | NO | DET | 13.3 | 18.0 | 8.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| C.J. StroudST | QB | HOU | BUF | 13.3 | 17.9 | 8.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaST | WR | SEA | NE | 13.2 | 19.8 | 6.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| DeVonta SmithST | WR | PHI | WAS | 13.1 | 19.7 | 6.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Davante Adams | WR | LAR | SF | 13.1 | 19.6 | 6.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Aaron RodgersST | QB | PIT | ATL | 13.0 | 17.6 | 8.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | NYJ | 13.0 | 19.6 | 6.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Drake LondonST | WR | ATL | PIT | 13.0 | 19.6 | 6.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| George Pickens | WR | DAL | NYG | 12.8 | 19.3 | 6.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Justin JeffersonST | WR | MIN | GB | 12.8 | 19.2 | 6.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Sam DarnoldST | QB | SEA | NE | 12.8 | 17.3 | 8.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Derrick HenryST | RB | BAL | IND | 12.8 | 19.1 | 6.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cam WardST | QB | TEN | NYJ | 12.7 | 17.2 | 8.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Javonte WilliamsST | RB | DAL | NYG | 12.5 | 18.8 | 6.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Bryce YoungST | QB | CAR | CHI | 12.5 | 16.9 | 8.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Geno SmithST | QB | NYJ | TEN | 12.2 | 16.4 | 7.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Emeka EgbukaST | WR | TB | CIN | 12.1 | 18.1 | 6.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tetairoa McMillanST | WR | CAR | CHI | 12.0 | 18.1 | 6.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownST | WR | DET | NO | 11.9 | 17.9 | 6.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tua TagovailoaST | QB | ATL | PIT | 11.9 | 16.1 | 7.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Alec PierceST | WR | IND | BAL | 11.8 | 17.6 | 5.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chris OlaveST | WR | NO | DET | 11.7 | 17.5 | 5.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | DET | 11.7 | 17.5 | 5.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Nico CollinsST | WR | HOU | BUF | 11.7 | 17.5 | 5.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | TEN | 11.5 | 17.3 | 5.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Rome OdunzeST | WR | CHI | CAR | 11.5 | 17.3 | 5.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | GB | 11.5 | 17.2 | 5.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| D'Andre SwiftST | RB | CHI | CAR | 11.4 | 17.1 | 5.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | ARI | 11.2 | 16.8 | 5.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaylen WaddleST | WR | DEN | KC | 11.1 | 16.6 | 5.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | GB | 11.0 | 16.5 | 5.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | TB | 10.9 | 16.3 | 5.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ladd McConkeyST | WR | LAC | ARI | 10.8 | 16.2 | 5.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB | TB | CIN | 10.8 | 16.1 | 5.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaylen WarrenST | RB | PIT | ATL | 10.8 | 16.1 | 5.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | MIA | 10.6 | 14.4 | 6.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | DAL | 10.5 | 15.8 | 5.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| A.J. BrownST | WR | NE | SEA | 10.5 | 15.8 | 5.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Travis EtienneST | RB | NO | DET | 10.5 | 15.7 | 5.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | KC | 10.3 | 15.5 | 5.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| J.K. DobbinsST | RB | DEN | KC | 10.2 | 15.2 | 5.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mike EvansST | WR | SF | LAR | 10.1 | 15.2 | 5.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| James CookST | RB | BUF | HOU | 10.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Michael Carter | RB | TEN | NYJ | 9.9 | 14.8 | 4.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Quinshon JudkinsST | RB | CLE | JAX | 9.8 | 14.7 | 4.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Terry McLaurinST | WR | WAS | PHI | 9.8 | 14.7 | 4.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brock BowersST | TE | LV | MIA | 9.8 | 14.1 | 5.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | ATL | 9.7 | 14.6 | 4.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| DK MetcalfST | WR | PIT | ATL | 9.7 | 14.5 | 4.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Darius Slayton | WR | NYG | DAL | 9.5 | 14.2 | 4.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Rashee RiceST | WR | KC | DEN | 9.5 | 14.2 | 4.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | CIN | 9.4 | 14.2 | 4.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tre TuckerST | WR | LV | MIA | 9.4 | 14.0 | 4.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dallas GoedertST | TE | PHI | WAS | 9.2 | 13.3 | 5.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chuba HubbardST | RB | CAR | CHI | 9.1 | 13.7 | 4.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jameson Williams | WR | DET | NO | 9.1 | 13.6 | 4.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | TEN | 9.1 | 13.6 | 4.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | CHI | 9.1 | 13.6 | 4.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jeremiyah LoveST | RB | ARI | LAC | 9.0 | 13.5 | 4.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jordan MasonST | RB | MIN | GB | 8.9 | 13.4 | 4.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kyle PittsST | TE | ATL | PIT | 8.9 | 12.9 | 4.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | WAS | 8.9 | 13.3 | 4.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Christian WatsonST | WR | GB | MIN | 8.9 | 13.3 | 4.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Michael Pittman | WR | PIT | ATL | 8.9 | 13.3 | 4.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | DET | 8.8 | 13.3 | 4.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kimani Vidal | RB | LAC | ARI | 8.8 | 13.2 | 4.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Josh Downs | WR | IND | BAL | 8.7 | 13.0 | 4.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | CAR | 8.6 | 12.9 | 4.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | MIA | 8.6 | 12.9 | 4.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyler WarrenST | TE | IND | BAL | 8.6 | 12.5 | 4.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Colston LovelandST | TE | CHI | CAR | 8.6 | 12.4 | 4.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | NE | 8.6 | 12.8 | 4.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| George KittleST | TE | SF | LAR | 8.6 | 12.4 | 4.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | NYJ | 8.5 | 12.8 | 4.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kayshon Boutte | WR | NE | SEA | 8.5 | 12.7 | 4.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Trey McBrideST | TE | ARI | LAC | 8.4 | 12.2 | 4.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | LAC | 8.4 | 12.6 | 4.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Parker WashingtonST | WR | JAX | CLE | 8.3 | 12.4 | 4.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | SEA | 8.3 | 12.4 | 4.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | KC | 8.3 | 12.4 | 4.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kenneth Walker IIIST | RB | KC | DEN | 8.2 | 12.3 | 4.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cade OttonST | TE | TB | CIN | 8.2 | 11.8 | 4.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Oronde Gadsden IIST | TE | LAC | ARI | 8.1 | 11.7 | 4.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAX | CLE | 8.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| David MontgomeryST | RB | HOU | BUF | 7.9 | 11.9 | 4.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | GB | 7.9 | 11.9 | 4.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.ST | WR | ARI | LAC | 7.9 | 11.9 | 4.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Woody Marks | RB | HOU | BUF | 7.9 | 11.8 | 4.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Juwan JohnsonST | TE | NO | DET | 7.8 | 11.3 | 4.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | HOU | 7.6 | 11.5 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Isaiah LikelyST | TE | NYG | DAL | 7.6 | 11.1 | 4.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mark AndrewsST | TE | BAL | IND | 7.6 | 11.0 | 4.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | JAX | 7.6 | 11.4 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | CAR | 7.6 | 11.3 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jawhar Jordan | RB | HOU | BUF | 7.5 | 11.3 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | IND | 7.5 | 11.2 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| TreVeyon HendersonST | RB | NE | SEA | 7.5 | 11.2 | 3.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Harold Fannin Jr.ST | TE | CLE | JAX | 7.4 | 10.8 | 4.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | LAR | 7.4 | 11.1 | 3.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | ATL | 7.4 | 11.0 | 3.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jayden Reed | WR | GB | MIN | 7.3 | 11.0 | 3.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dalton SchultzST | TE | HOU | BUF | 7.3 | 10.6 | 4.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| DJ MooreST | WR | BUF | HOU | 7.2 | 10.8 | 3.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Terrance FergusonST | TE | LAR | SF | 7.2 | 10.4 | 3.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jake FergusonST | TE | DAL | NYG | 7.1 | 10.3 | 3.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| KC ConcepcionST | WR | CLE | JAX | 7.1 | 10.7 | 3.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | JAX | 7.1 | 10.7 | 3.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Sam LaPortaST | TE | DET | NO | 7.1 | 10.3 | 3.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Theo Johnson | TE | NYG | DAL | 7.0 | 10.2 | 3.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Travis KelceST | TE | KC | DEN | 7.0 | 10.1 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | SEA | 7.0 | 10.4 | 3.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Greg DulcichST | TE | MIA | LV | 7.0 | 10.1 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Blake Corum | RB | LAR | SF | 6.9 | 10.4 | 3.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tucker KraftST | TE | GB | MIN | 6.9 | 10.0 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Audric Estimé | RB | NO | DET | 6.9 | 10.4 | 3.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| T.J. HockensonST | TE | MIN | GB | 6.9 | 10.0 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | DEN | 6.9 | 10.3 | 3.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Hunter HenryST | TE | NE | SEA | 6.8 | 9.9 | 3.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | NYJ | 6.7 | 10.1 | 3.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Darnell Mooney | WR | NYG | DAL | 6.7 | 10.0 | 3.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Elic Ayomanor | WR | TEN | NYJ | 6.7 | 10.0 | 3.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | PIT | 6.7 | 10.0 | 3.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | TEN | 6.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Theo Wease Jr. | WR | MIA | LV | 6.5 | 9.7 | 3.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | DET | NO | 6.5 | 9.7 | 3.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Malik WashingtonST | WR | MIA | LV | 6.3 | 9.5 | 3.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | CLE | 6.3 | 9.5 | 3.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dalton KincaidST | TE | BUF | HOU | 6.3 | 9.1 | 3.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Marquise Brown | WR | PHI | WAS | 6.1 | 9.2 | 3.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mike GesickiST | TE | CIN | TB | 6.1 | 8.8 | 3.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brenton StrangeST | TE | JAX | CLE | 6.1 | 8.8 | 3.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Justice Hill | RB | BAL | IND | 6.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Troy Franklin | WR | DEN | KC | 5.9 | 8.9 | 3.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Bam Knight | RB | ARI | LAC | 5.9 | 8.9 | 3.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Gunnar HelmST | TE | TEN | NYJ | 5.9 | 8.6 | 3.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Evan EngramST | TE | DEN | KC | 5.9 | 8.6 | 3.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | TB | 5.9 | 8.8 | 3.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jacory Croskey-MerrittST | RB | WAS | PHI | 5.9 | 8.8 | 3.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jadarian PriceST | RB | SEA | NE | 5.9 | 8.8 | 3.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | CIN | 5.8 | 8.7 | 2.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Pat FreiermuthST | TE | PIT | ATL | 5.8 | 8.4 | 3.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| AJ BarnerST | TE | SEA | NE | 5.7 | 8.3 | 3.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kenyon SadiqST | TE | NYJ | TEN | 5.6 | 8.2 | 3.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaylen Wright | RB | MIA | LV | 5.5 | 8.3 | 2.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | WAS | 5.5 | 8.3 | 2.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Rachaad White | RB | WAS | PHI | 5.5 | 8.2 | 2.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| John Metchie III | WR | CAR | CHI | 5.5 | 8.2 | 2.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Isaiah Hodgins | WR | NYG | DAL | 5.5 | 8.2 | 2.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | NYG | 5.5 | 8.2 | 2.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chig OkonkwoST | TE | WAS | PHI | 5.4 | 7.8 | 3.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Devin Singletary | RB | NYG | DAL | 5.3 | 7.9 | 2.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Xavier Legette | WR | CAR | CHI | 5.3 | 7.9 | 2.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | ARI | 5.2 | 7.8 | 2.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | DAL | NYG | 5.2 | 7.8 | 2.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | HOU | 5.2 | 7.7 | 2.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Isaiah Williams | WR | NYJ | TEN | 5.1 | 7.7 | 2.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | DET | 5.1 | 7.7 | 2.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mack Hollins | WR | NE | SEA | 5.0 | 7.6 | 2.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Colby Parkinson | TE | LAR | SF | 5.0 | 7.3 | 2.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Michael Mayer | TE | LV | MIA | 5.0 | 7.3 | 2.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaydon Blue | RB | DAL | NYG | 5.0 | 7.5 | 2.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | JAX | 5.0 | 7.5 | 2.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | WAS | 5.0 | 7.4 | 2.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Zavier Scott | RB | MIN | GB | 4.9 | 7.4 | 2.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | SF | 4.9 | 7.1 | 2.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ted Hurst | WR | TB | CIN | 4.9 | 7.3 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cooper Kupp | WR | SEA | NE | 4.9 | 7.3 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| David Njoku | TE | LAC | ARI | 4.9 | 7.0 | 2.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Travis Hunter | WR | JAX | CLE | 4.9 | 7.3 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | DAL | 4.8 | 7.3 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jake Tonges | TE | SF | LAR | 4.8 | 7.0 | 2.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Sean Tucker | RB | TB | CIN | 4.8 | 7.2 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kene Nwangwu | RB | NYJ | TEN | 4.8 | 7.2 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaret Patterson | RB | LAC | ARI | 4.8 | 7.2 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jahdae Walker | WR | CHI | CAR | 4.7 | 7.0 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | ATL | PIT | 4.7 | 7.0 | 2.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chimere Dike | WR | TEN | NYJ | 4.7 | 7.0 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | TEN | 4.7 | 7.0 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Bhayshul TutenST | RB | JAX | CLE | 4.6 | 7.0 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | CLE | 4.6 | 6.9 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Malik Davis | RB | DAL | NYG | 4.6 | 6.9 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Andrei Iosivas | WR | CIN | TB | 4.6 | 6.9 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | CAR | 4.5 | 6.6 | 2.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | LAC | 4.5 | 6.8 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Isaiah Davis | RB | NYJ | TEN | 4.5 | 6.8 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Pat Bryant | WR | DEN | KC | 4.5 | 6.7 | 2.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Zavion Thomas | WR | CHI | CAR | 4.5 | 6.7 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chris Brazzell II | WR | CAR | CHI | 4.4 | 6.7 | 2.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | DEN | 4.4 | 6.6 | 2.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | IND | 4.4 | 6.6 | 2.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR | ARI | LAC | 4.3 | 6.5 | 2.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cedric Tillman | WR | CLE | JAX | 4.3 | 6.5 | 2.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | NYG | DAL | 4.3 | 6.5 | 2.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Darnell Washington | TE | PIT | ATL | 4.2 | 6.1 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Van Jefferson | WR | WAS | PHI | 4.2 | 6.3 | 2.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Zachariah Branch | WR | ATL | PIT | 4.2 | 6.3 | 2.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | PIT | 4.2 | 6.3 | 2.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | LV | 4.2 | 6.3 | 2.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chris Bell | WR | MIA | LV | 4.2 | 6.3 | 2.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Casey Washington | WR | ATL | PIT | 4.2 | 6.3 | 2.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Daniel Bellinger | TE | TEN | NYJ | 4.1 | 6.0 | 2.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jack Bech | WR | LV | MIA | 4.1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | NE | 4.1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jalin Hyatt | WR | NYG | DAL | 4.1 | 6.1 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tory Horton | WR | SEA | NE | 4.0 | 6.1 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mitchell Tinsley | WR | CIN | TB | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Emari Demercado | RB | KC | DEN | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tre Harris | WR | LAC | ARI | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tez Johnson | WR | TB | CIN | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Isaiah Bond | WR | CLE | JAX | 4.0 | 5.9 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tutu Atwell | WR | MIA | LV | 4.0 | 5.9 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jalen Tolbert | WR | MIA | LV | 4.0 | 5.9 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kendre Miller | RB | NO | DET | 3.9 | 5.9 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kevin Austin Jr. | WR | NO | DET | 3.9 | 5.9 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dylan Drummond | WR | ATL | PIT | 3.9 | 5.9 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| David Sills | WR | TB | CIN | 3.9 | 5.9 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Raheim Sanders | RB | CLE | JAX | 3.9 | 5.8 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| KaVontae Turpin | WR | DAL | NYG | 3.9 | 5.8 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Matthew Golden | WR | GB | MIN | 3.9 | 5.8 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dameon Pierce | RB | PHI | WAS | 3.9 | 5.8 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyler Johnson | WR | DAL | NYG | 3.8 | 5.8 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Xavier Hutchinson | WR | HOU | BUF | 3.8 | 5.7 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | HOU | 3.8 | 5.7 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | HOU | 3.8 | 5.5 | 2.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| DJ Giddens | RB | IND | BAL | 3.8 | 5.7 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | CAR | 3.7 | 5.6 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Josh Palmer | WR | BUF | HOU | 3.7 | 5.6 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | SEA | 3.6 | 5.5 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Xavier Smith | WR | LAR | SF | 3.6 | 5.4 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | PHI | 3.6 | 5.4 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tommy Tremble | TE | CAR | CHI | 3.6 | 5.2 | 2.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | BUF | 3.6 | 5.3 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tanner Conner | TE | NYG | DAL | 3.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | DEN | KC | 3.5 | 5.3 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Austin Hooper | TE | ATL | PIT | 3.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Scott Miller | WR | CHI | CAR | 3.5 | 5.3 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Noah Fant | TE | NO | DET | 3.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Luke McCaffrey | WR | WAS | PHI | 3.5 | 5.2 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. | WR | LV | MIA | 3.5 | 5.2 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | DEN | KC | 3.4 | 5.2 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jeremy McNichols | RB | WAS | PHI | 3.4 | 5.1 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Roman Wilson | WR | PIT | ATL | 3.4 | 5.1 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cade Stover | TE | HOU | BUF | 3.4 | 4.9 | 1.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jordan Whittington | WR | LAR | SF | 3.4 | 5.0 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ashton Dulin | WR | IND | BAL | 3.4 | 5.0 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | CAR | CHI | 3.4 | 4.8 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brashard Smith | RB | KC | DEN | 3.4 | 5.0 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dyami Brown | WR | WAS | PHI | 3.3 | 5.0 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brock Wright | TE | DET | NO | 3.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Josh Oliver | TE | MIN | GB | 3.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Treylon Burks | WR | WAS | PHI | 3.3 | 4.9 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | WR | IND | BAL | 3.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | LV | 3.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | DEN | KC | 3.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kaelon Black | RB | SF | LAR | 3.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | WAS | 3.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Greg Dortch | WR | DET | NO | 3.1 | 4.7 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jerome Ford | RB | WAS | PHI | 3.0 | 4.6 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Demarcus Robinson | WR | SF | LAR | 3.0 | 4.6 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Noah Gray | TE | KC | DEN | 3.0 | 4.4 | 1.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Rasheen Ali | RB | BAL | IND | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | NO | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jeremy Ruckert | TE | NYJ | TEN | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Elijah Arroyo | TE | SEA | NE | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tim Patrick | WR | NYJ | TEN | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brycen Tremayne | WR | CAR | CHI | 3.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Eli Stowers | TE | PHI | WAS | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Konata Mumpfield | WR | LAR | SF | 2.9 | 4.4 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Adam Trautman | TE | DEN | KC | 2.9 | 4.2 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Gage Larvadain | WR | CLE | JAX | 2.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Austin Trammell | WR | JAX | CLE | 2.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaylin Lane | WR | WAS | PHI | 2.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Max Klare | TE | LAR | SF | 2.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ray Davis | RB | BUF | HOU | 2.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mo Alie-Cox | TE | IND | BAL | 2.8 | 4.1 | 1.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Hunter Luepke | RB | DAL | NYG | 2.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Elijah Moore | WR | PHI | WAS | 2.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Sam Roush | TE | CHI | CAR | 2.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Luke Schoonmaker | TE | DAL | NYG | 2.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Will Shipley | RB | PHI | WAS | 2.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Charlie Kolar | TE | LAC | ARI | 2.7 | 4.0 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| John Bates | TE | WAS | PHI | 2.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Elijah Higgins | TE | ARI | LAC | 2.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| George Holani | RB | SEA | NE | 2.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Davis Allen | TE | LAR | SF | 2.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Grant Calcaterra | TE | PHI | WAS | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Will Kacmarek | TE | MIA | LV | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tanner Hudson | TE | CIN | TB | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Oscar Delp | TE | NO | DET | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Andrew Beck | RB | NYJ | TEN | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Johnny Mundt | TE | PHI | WAS | 2.5 | 3.7 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mitchell Evans | TE | CAR | CHI | 2.5 | 3.7 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jimmy Horn Jr. | WR | CAR | CHI | 2.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| British Brooks | RB | HOU | BUF | 2.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kyle Juszczyk | RB | SF | LAR | 2.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Marlin Klein | TE | HOU | BUF | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyler Badie | RB | DEN | KC | 2.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Corey Kiner | RB | ARI | LAC | 2.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ian Thomas | TE | LV | MIA | 2.4 | 3.5 | 1.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith | WR | LAC | ARI | 2.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tahj Brooks | RB | CIN | TB | 2.4 | 3.5 | 1.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kyle Williams | WR | NE | SEA | 2.4 | 3.5 | 1.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chris Brooks | RB | GB | MIN | 2.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Arian Smith | WR | NYJ | TEN | 2.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Eli Raridon | TE | NE | SEA | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ben Sinnott | TE | WAS | PHI | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kaleb Johnson | RB | PIT | ATL | 2.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Nate Boerkircher | TE | JAX | CLE | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Malachi Corley | WR | CLE | JAX | 2.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Anthony Firkser | TE | WAS | PHI | 2.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| AJ Dillon | RB | CAR | CHI | 2.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Alec Ingold | RB | LAC | ARI | 2.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ameer Abdullah | RB | JAX | CLE | 2.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Nate Adkins | TE | DEN | KC | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Drew Sample | TE | CIN | TB | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford | TE | DAL | NYG | 2.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Terrell Jennings | RB | NE | SEA | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jackson Hawes | TE | BUF | HOU | 1.9 | 2.8 | 1.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brenen Thompson | WR | LAC | ARI | 1.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Evan Hull | RB | HOU | BUF | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| CJ Daniels | WR | LAR | SF | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Luke Farrell | TE | SF | LAR | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Julius Chestnut | RB | TEN | NYJ | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Malik Benson | WR | LV | MIA | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Hunter Long | TE | JAX | CLE | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Foster Moreau | TE | HOU | BUF | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Elijah Sarratt | WR | BAL | IND | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyler Conklin | TE | DET | NO | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | PROBABLE | — |
| Colbie Young | WR | CIN | TB | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Barion Brown | WR | NO | DET | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Bryce Lance | WR | NO | DET | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | MIA | LV | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. | RB | JAX | CLE | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kaden Wetjen | WR | PIT | ATL | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Nicholas Singleton | RB | TEN | NYJ | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jack Stoll | TE | CLE | JAX | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kendrick Law | WR | DET | NO | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cyrus Allen | WR | KC | DEN | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Reggie Virgil | WR | ARI | LAC | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | MIA | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Demond Claiborne | RB | MIN | GB | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Skyler Bell | WR | BUF | HOU | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Emmanuel Henderson Jr. | WR | SEA | NE | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Josh Cameron | WR | JAX | CLE | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Adam Randall | RB | BAL | IND | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | KC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Adam Prentice | RB | DEN | KC | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | DEN | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kaytron Allen | RB | WAS | PHI | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Bauer Sharp | TE | TB | CIN | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Max Bredeson | TE | MIN | GB | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Josh Cuevas | TE | BAL | IND | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Matthew Hibner | TE | BAL | IND | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Seydou Traore | TE | MIA | LV | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Justin Joly | TE | DEN | KC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Fernando MendozaST | QB | LV | MIA | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Riley Nowakowski | TE | PIT | ATL | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | TB | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | GB | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Joe Royer | TE | CLE | JAX | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Justin Fields | QB | KC | DEN | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mac Jones | QB | SF | LAR | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | GB | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | PROBABLE | — |
| Anthony Smith | WR | DAL | NYG | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tanner Koziol | TE | JAX | CLE | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Deion Burks | WR | IND | BAL | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | JAX | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyrod Taylor | QB | GB | MIN | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jake Browning | QB | TB | CIN | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Ty Simpson | QB | LAR | SF | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Lewis Bond | WR | HOU | BUF | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Marcus Mariota | QB | WAS | PHI | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Drew Allar | QB | PIT | ATL | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Carson Beck | QB | ARI | LAC | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | PIT | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Seth McGowan | RB | IND | BAL | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Davis Mills | QB | HOU | BUF | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brandon Allen | QB | NYG | DAL | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cade Klubnik | QB | NYJ | TEN | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| Brady Cook | QB | NYJ | TEN | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | PROBABLE | — |
| CJ Williams | WR | JAX | CLE | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Taylen Green | QB | CLE | JAX | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | DET | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Eli Heidenreich | RB | PIT | ATL | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Cole Payton | QB | PHI | WAS | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | DAL | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Behren Morton | QB | NE | SEA | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Garrett Nussmeier | QB | KC | DEN | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | WAS | PHI | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Josh Johnson | QB | CIN | TB | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jam Miller | RB | NE | SEA | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Riley Leonard | QB | IND | BAL | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Quinn Ewers | QB | MIA | LV | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tanner McKee | QB | PHI | WAS | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | IND | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | MIA | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | PROBABLE | — |
| Chris Oladokun | QB | KC | DEN | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jaren Kanak | TE | TEN | NYJ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Trey Lance | QB | LAC | ARI | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Jack Endries | TE | CIN | TB | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Dallen Bentley | TE | DEN | KC | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mitchell Trubisky | QB | TEN | NYJ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Carsen Ryan | TE | CLE | JAX | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Andy Dalton | QB | PHI | WAS | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Max Brosmer | QB | MIN | GB | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | PROBABLE | — |
| Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | ATL | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Joe Milton III | QB | DAL | NYG | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Kenny Pickett | QB | CAR | CHI | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | PROBABLE | — |
| Calvin Austin III | WR | NYG | DAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Dillon Gabriel | QB | CLE | JAX | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Trey Benson | RB | ARI | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Christian Kirk | WR | SF | LAR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Ricky Pearsall | WR | SF | LAR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Mason Tipton | WR | NO | DET | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| James Conner | RB | ARI | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Jayden Higgins | WR | HOU | BUF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Devin Neal | RB | NO | DET | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Ty Chandler | RB | NO | DET | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Trevor Etienne | RB | CAR | CHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | NE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Luke Musgrave | TE | GB | MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Tyrell Shavers | WR | BUF | HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Jamari Thrash | WR | CLE | JAX | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Xavier Weaver | WR | ARI | LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
| Savion Williams | WR | GB | MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | OUT | — |
470 players
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Proj Pts — Half-PPR projected fantasy points · Ceiling / Floor — 90th / 10th percentile outcomes · PIS — Player Importance Score (injury impact on team DAEPA)
Who owns the backfield
All NFL stat tiles →RB opportunity share
Bell cows vs. committee — share of team backfield opportunities (carries + targets), colored by efficiency.
NFL player projections — FAQ
How are these NFL player projections calculated?
Each projection starts from a player’s multi-year usage and efficiency, adjusts for the specific defense they face using Defense-Adjusted EPA (DAEPA), and applies a Player Importance Score that models how depth-chart injuries shift expected volume. The result is a half-PPR point projection with a 90th-percentile ceiling and a 10th-percentile floor.
What is a Player Importance Score (PIS)?
PIS estimates how much a given player’s presence or absence changes their team’s overall DAEPA efficiency. It’s how an injury to a lineman, a quarterback, or a target-hogging receiver ripples through the projections of everyone around them — a backup running back’s ceiling rises when the starter is out, and a receiver’s floor drops when his quarterback is questionable.
How often do the projections update?
Off-season they refresh monthly as rosters and depth charts change. Once the regular season starts they update weekly, incorporating the latest matchup and injury-report information before each slate.
Which scoring formats are supported, and what does half-PPR mean?
Half-PPR (half point per reception) is a common fantasy scoring format where each catch is worth 0.5 points on top of yardage and touchdown scoring — it sits between standard scoring and full-PPR. These weekly projections are published in half-PPR. Our season-long draft board supports all three: standard, half-PPR and full-PPR, selectable on the free Fantasy Draft Kit and via the scoring parameter on our MCP draft tools.
Draft with the model inside your AI assistant
These projections are the same board the draft assistant serves — callable from Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor, filtered by position, with floor/ceiling and the model-vs-ADP gap on every player. All eight tools answer with no key and no account.
Set up the draft assistant →
More NFL Markets
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL Player Props vs Kalshi — the edge board → — Our projection vs the live Kalshi prop line, biggest gap first
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free model win probability vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Moneyline, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale