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Home/NFL/Week 3/Vikings vs Buccaneers
Gridiron EdgeWeek 3 · 2026

Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16

Final. Buccaneers' next game: Buccaneers vs Falcons, Week 8 →Upset: Vikings closed -105 and won. Every 2026 upset, by closing line →

Updated · model ratings

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Quick Answer

Final (Sunday, September 27, 2026): Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 — NFL Week 3, 2026. Our pre-game market-anchored line had the Vikings by 1.5 (55% to win); the Vikings won, so that call hit. The last Kalshi price we archived before kickoff had the Vikings at 53c. The graded recap below covers how it happened and how each player call on our board resolved.

Every NFL edge on the board →

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Settled

Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16Final

Model call: HIT

Our pre-game market-anchored line had the Vikings by 1.5 (55% to win). The Vikings won — that call landed.

Closing-line value on the Vikings: -4c — we archived the Vikings at 56c on Sep 21; the last Kalshi price before kickoff was 53c on Sep 27. The market moved against our side before kickoff.

Next: NFL Week 4 predictions →See how the model has done vs Kalshi →

Every game · Week 3

The best play from every Week 3 game, and where to get in

This game: Vikings to win, a price play at 52¢, resting orders only.

Kickoff board How to read the Kickoff Board →

Week 3 · 2026-09-28

No actionable edge on this game — 1 market priced and every one inside our tolerance.

MarketPriceModelCall¼ Kelly
Vikings moneylineModel 55% vs the last Kalshi price before kickoff, 53% on MIN — kept as the pre-game record.53c55%Pass—

Edge is model probability minus the market's implied probability, in percentage points. Prop rows show our tier, and our odds only where our probabilities are calibrated; props carry no Kelly stake. One published number per market: where our sources disagreed we publish the most conservative defensible figure, and where they disagreed by more than 15 points the row is a conflict and carries no stake. ¼ Kelly is the share of a bankroll quarter-Kelly would put on the row at the published price — click it to size against your own bankroll on our Kelly calculator, or call kelly_size from our MCP server inside your own agent.

Data quality & caveats
  • • Kalshi is not quoting this game yet — the board covers derivative markets only.

Minnesota 23, Tampa Bay 16: an 86-yard punt return, six sacks of Mayfield, and Reichard from 54, 56 and 43

Myles Price returned a punt 86 yards for his first career touchdown after one Tampa Bay possession, Kyler Murray hit Jordan Addison from 41 on third-and-8, and Will Reichard kicked field goals of 54, 56 and 43 in a game in which the two offenses converted four of thirty-two third downs between them. Baker Mayfield was sacked six times, had an 85-yard touchdown to Chris Godwin Jr. wiped out by a hold, and hurt his thumb on a desperation pass in the final minute; Justin Jefferson hurt his right ankle in the first quarter and did not return. Minnesota is 3-0, Tampa Bay 0-3 for the first time since 2014.

Vikings 23—Buccaneers 16

Final✓ Call hit

Two published claims on this game pointed at opposite teams, and both have to be told. The chip grades the stored probability, which had Tampa Bay at 44.7% — the market’s number, anchored at weight zero from a 1.5-point Minnesota line — so it picked Minnesota, and Minnesota won: a hit. The model’s own read was Tampa Bay by 2.6, the wrong team, a 4.1-point MODERATE lean toward the Buccaneers, who lost by seven. The ledger position is Tampa Bay: 2026_03_MIN_TB_moneyline, MODERATE, Buccaneers YES at 52c on Friday 2026-09-18 (11:44 UTC), when the anchored line was Tampa Bay by 1.5 — 55.3% Tampa Bay against a Kalshi price of 52c, a 3.3-point edge — closing at 48.5c, CLV minus 3.5c, and Tampa Bay lost. By Saturday the anchored line had flipped to Minnesota by 1.5, and the page’s Kickoff Board showed the opposite Lean, which the article carried: Vikings to win, the YES at 53c, rest at 52, walk away at 52 maker-only, 1.5% quarter-Kelly, described as “a price play” with the ratings model on Tampa Bay by 2.6. Graded where it was made, that call won. Same mechanism — Kalshi lagging the anchored line — pointing at different teams nine days apart; the ledger captured the first side and never re-sided. The ledger is the record and its row is a loss; the article’s Lean is graded at its stated price and is a win; this page reports both and does not net them. The player board split. MIN Kyler Murray over 24.5 rushing yards, HIGH, the YES at 38.5c closing 42.5c, CLV plus 4c — he ran twice for 17, a loss in his first full game as a Viking. TB Kenny Gainwell under 19.5 rushing yards, MODERATE, the YES at 45.5c so the NO cost 54.5c, closing 45.5c, CLV flat — three carries for minus four, a win. Nineteen WATCH rows went 9-8 with two ungraded (Josh Oliver, questionable in the week, does not appear in the box score) and are graded apart.

Opening and closing line

DraftKings via ESPN, one book. Not the Kalshi price — that block reads our own tape.

Spread
Buccaneers −1.5 → Buccaneers −1.5
Total
43.5 → 42.5
Moneyline
MIN +105 / TB −125 → MIN −105 / TB −115

The spread did not move. The total fell 1 to 42.5; the game landed on 39.

How it happened

Q1

Reichard from 54, Price for 86 after one Tampa possession, and Hurst from 40 down the seam

Minnesota’s opening drive ended in Reichard’s 54-yarder, Tampa Bay went three-and-out, and Price darted up the middle of the punt return, cut right and went 86 yards down the sideline for a 10-0 lead. Mayfield answered in five plays, a 40-yard throw down the seam to rookie Ted Hurst III. Jefferson had two catches for 32 yards before a defender fell on his right ankle; he watched a couple of series from the sideline and then walked to the locker room.

After one
Vikings 10, Buccaneers 7
Price
4 punt returns · 106 yds · 86-yd TD
Jefferson
2 rec · 32 yds, then out (right ankle)

ESPN — AP recap

Q2

Otton for 37 to the Minnesota 7, two holding penalties, a field goal — then Murray to Addison for 41 on third-and-8

Mayfield and Cade Otton connected for 37 to give Tampa Bay a first down at the Minnesota 7; consecutive holds on Cody Mauch and Graham Barton pushed it back and Chase McLaughlin’s 28-yarder tied it. Eighty-two seconds later Murray, on third-and-8, went deep to Addison, who beat Jacob Parrish one-on-one and adjusted to the ball for a 41-yard score. Seventeen-ten at the half, and the Vikings had nine first downs for the game.

Halftime
Vikings 17, Buccaneers 10
Addison
5 rec · 90 yds · 1 TD
Murray
15/29 · 168 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT

ESPN — AP recap

Q3

Robinson’s interception at the 22 became three points; Godwin’s 85-yard touchdown became a flag

A’Shawn Robinson intercepted Murray to set Tampa Bay up at the Minnesota 22, and the Buccaneers went backwards: Bucky Irving ran for three and dropped a pass, Mayfield was sacked on third down, and McLaughlin kicked a 38-yarder, 17-13. On third-and-30 later in the quarter Mayfield hit Godwin for an 85-yard touchdown that came back on a hold by Luke Goedeke, and the drive ended with a punt after losing 20 yards. Tampa Bay converted two of seventeen third downs; Minnesota two of fifteen.

Third down
MIN 2/15 · TB 2/17
Mayfield sacked
6 times for 31 yards
Mayfield
17/34 · 217 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT

ESPN — AP recap

Q4

McLaughlin from 54 made it a one-point game; Reichard from 56 and 43; Mayfield hurt on a desperation throw

A helmet-to-helmet hit on Emeka Egbuka gave Tampa Bay a first down on third-and-29 and McLaughlin’s 54-yarder cut it to 17-16 with 9:02 left. Minnesota held the ball for eleven plays and 5:52 — seventeen yards — and Reichard hit from 56, then from 43 with 33 seconds left after an interception. Andrew Van Ginkel and Isaiah Rodgers each picked off a pass in the quarter; Mayfield hurt his thumb on a desperation throw and was replaced by rookie Jalon Daniels for the final minute.

Reichard
3/3 FG (54, 56, 43) · 11 points
McLaughlin
3/3 FG (28, 38, 54)
Tampa Bay turnovers
2 (both interceptions)

ESPN — box score

What this recap does not know

  • The ledger has graded this game’s position: 2026_03_MIN_TB_moneyline graded LOSS (minus 52c) at 2026-09-28 00:55 UTC (20:55 ET Sunday), via the canonical settle pass (gridiron_edge/scripts/capture_edge_clv.py --season 2026 --week 3 --mode settle --tables game), run by Cowork once Kalshi had finalized the contracts — the same code the Tue/Wed launchd schedule runs. That grade matches the outcome stated above; the P/L figure is the ledger’s number, not this page’s. The prop rows on this page are not yet graded by the ledger — the Tue/Wed launchd pass owns them (--tables prop was not run) — so every prop grade above is derived from the ESPN box score by script (handoffs/artifacts/NFL_W3_SUNDAY_2026/prop-reconciliation-w03-sunday.csv), never by hand; entry_price on a NO or UNDER row is the YES price, so that side’s cost is 100 minus it, and no P/L is summed on this page. If the ledger ever disagrees with anything above, the ledger is right and this page is wrong.
  • The ledger row sides Tampa Bay; Saturday’s page and article sided Minnesota. This recap states both and does not resolve why a row captured 2026-09-18 was not re-sided when the anchored line flipped during the week. That is a question for the capture pipeline, not for this page.
  • Which defender intercepted which Tampa Bay quarterback in the fourth quarter is not stated by the sources this recap read; the box score credits Van Ginkel and Rodgers with one interception each and charges Mayfield and Daniels with one each.
  • Mayfield’s thumb: an ESPN headline attached to the summary calls it dislocated with an MRI to come; the AP says he hurt it and was screaming in pain before walking off. No further severity is known. Jefferson’s ankle has none either. Jalen McMillan (knee) left in the first quarter for Tampa Bay; Charles Demmings (hamstring) left for Minnesota.
  • The negated Godwin touchdown, the two holding penalties at the Minnesota 7 and the Egbuka hit are the AP’s account; ESPN’s drive chart records outcomes only.
  • ESPN’s summary carried no weather block. Attendance (61,212) is ESPN’s figure and is not independently confirmed.
  • This recap does not know what the Kalshi book did during the game. Nothing above is a live price; the entry and close quoted are the ledger’s captures, the DraftKings numbers are ESPN’s archived open and close, and the prop grades are resolutions against the box score, not settlements read off the exchange.

Reporting verified 2026-09-27. Further sources: ESPN — AP recap: Vikings beat Buccaneers 23-16 but lose Jefferson to an ankle injury. Bucs’ Mayfield also hurt · ESPN — box score · ESPN — core odds, opening and closing DraftKings line

Kyler Murray’s first real start as a Viking, against an 0-2 Tampa Bay team that needs one

Murray lasted eleven snaps as a Viking before a concussion ended his debut; he has cleared protocol, been named the Week 3 starter and does not appear on the injury report at all. Minnesota is 2-0 on the back of a defense allowing 12.5 points a game. Tampa Bay is 0-2 with a quarterback who missed his Wednesday press conference with an illness and then practised in full.

Vikings defense · Buccaneers offense

The Vikings defense is the reason they are 2-0

Edge: Vikings

Minnesota has allowed an average of 12.5 points through two weeks and has been close to impassable once opponents get near the goal line, allowing touchdowns on roughly 12 percent of red-zone trips. That is the unit Baker Mayfield has to solve to keep Tampa Bay from starting 0-3. The Vikings are managing bodies up front — Jalen Redmond (elbow), Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (oblique) and Nick Samac (knee) were all limited Wednesday — but nobody central was held out.

Vikings scoring defense
12.5 PPG allowed through two games
Vikings red-zone TD rate allowed
~12% of opponent trips inside the 20
Records
MIN 2-0, TB 0-2

Source: Covers — Vikings vs Buccaneers Week 3 preview

Vikings offense · Buccaneers defense

Eleven snaps of evidence

Close to even

Murray was concussed on his eleventh snap in the opener against Green Bay, so Sunday is effectively his first extended look running Kevin O’Connell’s offense — a job he won in preseason over Carson Wentz and J.J. McCarthy after Arizona released him in March. Minnesota has been winning without the offense contributing much, which is precisely why this is the swing variable: an offense that starts working turns a good team into a difficult one. Aaron Jones Sr. (knee) did not practise Wednesday, but Kevin O’Connell said Friday he will be available.

Murray as a Viking
11 snaps before a Week 1 concussion
Cleared and named starter
vikings.com, 2026-09-21 — not on the Week 3 injury report
Aaron Jones Sr. (knee)
Available (O’Connell, Friday)

Source: vikings.com — Kyler Murray to start at quarterback in Week 3

Buccaneers pass rush · Vikings protection

Tampa Bay held three front-seven bodies out of practice

Edge: Vikings

Rueben Bain Jr. (groin) and Josiah Trotter (shoulder) are both OUT, with Anthony Nelson (shin) back to full practice — a meaningful share of the group meant to make a returning quarterback uncomfortable is missing. Minnesota’s line has its own question at right tackle, where Brian O’Neill was limited with a knee — the same issue that followed him through Week 2. Whether Tampa Bay can generate pressure without its full rotation is the most direct route to disrupting Murray’s first full game.

Buccaneers ruled OUT
Bain Jr. (groin), Trotter (shoulder); Nelson back to full
Brian O’Neill (knee)
Limited Wednesday, full in the latest report
Baker Mayfield (illness)
Full participant Wednesday

Source: vikings.com — Week 3 injury report vs Tampa Bay

What this read does not know

  • Baker Mayfield’s illness is undisclosed and no source addressed whether it carries any game-day effect. He practised in full and is not in question to play; that is all that is established.
  • Minnesota’s interior line is the late question. Center Nick Samac is OUT and left tackle Christian Darrisaw had not practised in the latest official report.
  • Murray’s workload and mobility after a concussion are unaddressed. He has eleven snaps of 2026 evidence, and nothing in the reporting establishes how much designed movement Minnesota intends to use.
  • Aaron Jones Sr. is available after a Wednesday DNP , so the workload split with DeeJay Dallas is the open question rather than whether Jones plays.
  • We publish no position on this game — the model rows for it sit in held stat families on a run with a systemic one-way lean. See the week’s handoff.

Reporting verified 2026-09-25. Further sources: vikings.com — Kyler Murray to start at quarterback in Week 3 · vikings.com — Week 3 injury report vs Tampa Bay · JoeBucsFan — Baker Mayfield is battling an illness · Covers — Vikings vs Buccaneers Week 3 preview · NFL.com — official Week 3 injury report (latest practice participation) · ESPN — NFL injuries, Friday 09-25 designations

Every defense's injury load this week, by unit: the defensive injury cluster board.

PMP · WK 3 MODEL LINE
Sun, Sep 27
AWAY MIN +0.6
vs MIN -1.5
HOME TB +0.8
Fair (books) · TB 45% home win prob
Kalshi · TB — yes mid
Edge — fair − Kalshi
📍 Tampa, FL PASS — no position

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Vikings

55%

fair value (books)

Buccaneers

45%

fair value (books)

Run this matchup yourself → Full PWR board for all 32 → Player prop gaps for this game → Whose number this is →

44%

Madden 27

56%

Madden 27

Run the numbers yourself

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The Ladder — Vikings at Buccaneers How to read the Ladder →

All ladders →

Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.

Vikings at BuccaneersSpreadMARKET READ

This ladder is settled: the rungs above are the pre-kickoff record, not a live quote.

    Market
    —

    Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

    Legend
    • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
    • book consensus (no-vig)
    • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
    • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
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    Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

    Share this Oracle Ladder

    Vikings at Buccaneers Kalshi spread ladder for Week 3: the Kalshi price at every spread strike
    The Vikings–Buccaneers spread ladder — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

    Vikings vs Buccaneers power ratings (Week 3) What PWR measures →

    TeamRatingRankTier
    Minnesota Vikings+0.614thAverage
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers+0.812thAverage

    Vikings and Buccaneers season outlook

    MINTB
    Average wins11.67.2
    Make playoffs84%30%
    Win division46%26%
    Win Super Bowl5.1%2.5%

    10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works →

    Vikings vs Buccaneers — player pages

    All players →

    Justin Jefferson

    WR

    Emeka Egbuka

    WR

    Bucky Irving

    RB

    Chris Godwin Jr.

    WR

    Jordan Addison

    WR

    Kenny Gainwell

    RB

    Aaron Jones

    RB

    Jordan Mason

    RB

    Baker Mayfield

    QB

    Kyler Murray

    QB

    Jauan Jennings

    WR

    T.J. Hockenson

    TE

    Gavin Bartholomew

    MIN Vikings D/ST

    One page per player: every strike Kalshi lists, the sportsbook consensus at the same threshold, the season projection and the measured range.

    Before kickoff: Vikings–Buccaneers, 56 games in

    How this read is built →

    Written before the game and kept as published. Final: Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 — the graded call is above.

    These two have played 56 times going back through the record we hold, and the modern-era series is 7-2 to the Buccaneers since 2002. History is not a handicapping input for us — rosters turn over and the model only reads 2026 ratings — but it is the reason this game gets attention the ratings alone would not justify. The number: +0.8 against +0.6, Buccaneers by 2.5, 57% to win.

    The defense wins the headline matchup here: the Buccaneers grade +1.2 on that side of the ball (3rd of 32) against a Vikings offense at -2.4 (30th) — 3.5 points the wrong way for the offense. Going the other direction, the Buccaneers offense (-0.9, 25th) meets the Vikings defense (+2.4, 1st), a 3.3-point gap.

    Zoom out to the full season and the model projects the Buccaneers at 7.2 wins (favored in 10 of 17) and the Vikings at 11.6 (favored in 10) — 4.3 wins apart across the year. By win probability this is the 11th-hardest game on the Buccaneers' schedule and the 4th-hardest on the Vikings'.

    Calibration check, because a near-even number is the easiest kind to overtrust: across 3266 walk-forward games (2013-2024) the model gave a side 55-60% in 797 of them, and those sides won 57%. The Buccaneers at 57% are in that band. A margin that thin is why we would rather wait for a price than call it a lean.

    Kalshi listed this game as KXNFLGAME-26SEP27MINTB, and the contract has settled now that the game has been played. The last price we archived before kickoff is in the settled-market section on this page; there is no live price and no position left to take.

    Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

    Vikings vs Buccaneers on Kalshi

    Kalshi event
    KXNFLGAME-26SEP27MINTB
    Market-implied (Buccaneers)
    not listed yet
    Fair value — books (Buccaneers)
    45%
    Fair value vs market
    —

    This game has been played, so nothing above is a live market. Our pre-game market-anchored line number was 45% for the Buccaneers. Those are kept as the record of what the model said before kickoff, not as a quote you can act on — the contract has settled at $1 or $0.

    Every Kalshi NFL market we track →

    Where Vikings vs Buccaneers trades Why the venues differ →

    Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.

    VenueBuccaneersTrade
    Kalshigame played — market settledTrade on Kalshi →
    Novig49% 49cOpen Novig →
    Polymarket.com (international)no captured price for this game — international bookInformational
    Polymarket USno captured price for this game — US exchangeSign-up offer →
    Robinhoodsame Kalshi contractsame Kalshi contract, not listed yetOpen Robinhood →
    Coinbasesame Kalshi contractsame Kalshi contract, not listed yetOpen Coinbase →
    DraftKings Predictionsprice not available — sign-up offer →Sign-up offer →
    FanDuel Predictsprice not available — sign-up offer →Sign-up offer →

    A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions and FanDuel Predicts run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Vikings vs Buccaneers, Week 3 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/vikings-vs-buccaneers-week-03-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

    Watch the breakdown: Vikings vs Buccaneers

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    Vikings vs Buccaneers — frequently asked

    Who won Vikings vs Buccaneers in Week 3?

    Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 — final, played Sunday, September 27, 2026; our pre-game market-anchored line had the Vikings by 1.5 (55% to win), and the Vikings won, so that call hit. The full graded recap, with every player call resolved, is on this page.

    Who did the model favor in Vikings vs Buccaneers before kickoff?

    Before kickoff the market line favored the Vikings by 1.5 points, a 55% win probability over the Buccaneers. That number is kept on this page as the record of the call; Kalshi's KXNFLGAME-26SEP27MINTB market has since settled, so no price on it is live.

    What is the all-time record between the Vikings and Buccaneers?

    Our records hold 56 meetings. Since 2002 the regular-season series is 7-2 for the Buccaneers over 9 games. The model does not use series history — it prices the 2026 ratings only.

    How do you take a position on Vikings vs Buccaneers?

    The contract will be KXNFLGAME-26SEP27MINTB on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Buccaneers at 43c or below, or the Vikings at 53c or below. There is no point spread — you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.

    When and where do the Buccaneers host the Vikings?

    Minnesota Vikings visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, September 27, 2026 — a Sunday game in NFL Week 3, at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL.

    What does the model project for the Buccaneers and Vikings this season?

    Across all 17 games the model projects the Buccaneers at 7.2 wins (favored in 10) and the Vikings at 11.6 (favored in 10). This game ranks 11th-hardest on the Buccaneers' schedule and 4th-hardest on the Vikings', by win probability.

    What are the Kalshi odds for Vikings vs Buccaneers?

    Kalshi listed this game as KXNFLGAME-26SEP27MINTB, and the contract has settled now that the game has been played. The last price we archived before kickoff is in the settled-market section on this page; there is no live price and no position left to take.

    Could you trade Vikings vs Buccaneers on Kalshi?

    This game has been played, so the Week 3 market KXNFLGAME-26SEP27MINTB has settled — there is no position left to take on it. While it was open it traded as an event contract rather than a point spread: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available in most states, with sports contracts restricted in some, you bought a YES or NO contract on a team between 1c and 99c, and it settled at $1 or $0, so the price paid was the break-even probability. Kalshi lists the next week's games on the same terms.

    Is Vikings moneyline worth a position?

    Our model puts it at 55% against a market price implying 53%, an edge of +2.3 points. Model 55% vs the last Kalshi price before kickoff, 53% on MIN — kept as the pre-game record. We pass — no position.

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    Next up for each team

    Vikings: Week 4 vs DolphinsModel line →Buccaneers: Week 4 vs PackersModel line →

    More Week 3 matchups

    Falcons at PackersModel: Packers −6Chargers at BillsModel: Bills −7.5Panthers at BrownsModel: Browns −1.5Jets at LionsModel: Lions −6Texans at ColtsModel: Colts −1.5Patriots at JaguarsModel: Jaguars −0.5Chiefs at DolphinsModel: Chiefs −1Titans at GiantsModel: evenBengals at SteelersModel: Steelers −2Seahawks at CommandersModel: Seahawks −8Cardinals at 49ersModel: 49ers −7.5Ravens at CowboysModel: Ravens −0.5Raiders at SaintsModel: Saints −5Rams at BroncosModel: Rams −0.5Eagles at BearsModel: Eagles −2

    Full Week 3 board →Next: NFL Week 4 predictions →

    Same model, inside your AI agent

    The engine behind these numbers is callable from Claude, ChatGPT or Grok through our MCP server — every Kalshi prop this week priced venue by venue, spread and win-total ladders against the whole distribution, correlation-aware same-game combos, and the weekly game edges. The free tools answer with no key and no account.

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    Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.

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