Bears Playoff Odds After the Caleb Williams Injury: Is the Kalshi Price a Steal?
September 21, 2026 · Short · The 7 Oracles
What’s in this video
Alex Campbell of The 7 Oracles argues that Chicago's playoff qualifier contract dropped too sharply after Caleb Williams left the Week 2 Minnesota game with a hamstring injury. He contends a short-term absence for a quarterback on a 1-1 team shouldn't swing a season-long playoff contract as much as it did, and that the remaining schedule still offers a path to the postseason. The analysis checks this view against the hourly Kalshi tape and the PredictionMarketsPicks power ratings.
Key points
- Caleb Williams left the Week 2 Minnesota game with a hamstring injury while Chicago sat at 1-1.
- Alex Campbell says the playoff qualifier contract moved too far given the nature of the injury and record.
- The case rests on Chicago's remaining schedule still allowing a route back into playoff contention.
- The claim is checked against the hourly Kalshi tape for the Bears' playoff contract.
- PredictionMarketsPicks power ratings are used as a secondary check on the market's reaction.
Full transcript
Alex Campbell of The 7 Oracles argues that Chicago's playoff qualifier contract was marked down too far after Caleb Williams left the Week 2 Minnesota game with a hamstring injury. The case is that a short absence for a quarterback on a 1-1 team should not move a season-long playoff contract as far as it moved, and that the remaining schedule leaves a path back to the postseason. This article checks that case against the hourly Kalshi tape and against the PredictionMarketsPicks power ratings.
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