Will the Denver Broncos Win 11 Games? 🏈 NFL Win Total Predictions & Betting Strategy

And this one is will the Broncos win 11 games? If you're looking right now, the Broncos are a very sexy pick from people because like quiet as it kept, they were the number two seed last year, right? Because of that, a lot of people think a healthy Broncos team who has made some improvements on defense will will give them the opportunity to have a much better season this year. the yes there um there's been projected wins for them anywhere um between nine and 10 games depending upon where you are right on Koshi um currently the Broncos 10 wins is the projection based off of the amount of volume on the forecast 10.4 four is the is the forecast right now. So the the question then becomes will the will the Broncos win 11 games right now for the Broncos with everything they have coming back Nicks going into another season the defense being what they are the offensive weapons that they've added what's your what's your thought process on the Broncos? So my wins index I have them at 10.12 but their actual win total I have them currently at 12 and five. So I have them achieving that 11 win prop. The big thing for them is they get the the worst first quarter of the season and I think that they're a 500 team in there. It is literally set up for them to fail. They're at the let's see they're at the Chiefs to start off the season. They're home against Jacksonville which is a tough one. Home against the Rams and then they're at the 49ers. That's a murderer's row for the first month. I think they'll be two and two in that stretch. And the big thing is you can put some money into the yes on them achieving 11 wins right now. And then you can probably tank more into them achieving it after a two and two start because people will think, "Oh, they're not the team. They're not ready." I think they have an easier backend. That's where they'll make you your money and that's where you can actually get some wins. Especially start now, but then when they go two and two, you put more money down. over at the Seven Oracles, the prediction, the projection is at nine. Um, and I think that that comes with a a few things. A, obviously, whenever you have a winning season, um, you come back and the strength of schedule is going to be um, bigger. Um, I also, for me personally, I'm looking at the health of Bo Knicks. Will he be good to go? If he's not, what does that mean for the team? I think it's interesting because when you you talk about where they're trading at, no on 11 plus wins is trading at 60 cents whereas yes on 11 plus wins is 41 cents. Clearly the yes on 11 plus wins is where you can really make bread. If you agree with our model right now, then you would go no on 10 plus wins because you don't think they're going to get to 10. If you're with if you're with CJ, which I think I'm closer to CJ on this. Um I think that they definitely get the 10 wins, you know, the yes on 10 wins is 56 um 56 cents. So within there, the value for me is to find that sweet spot that 10 10 wins in there. And that's probably where I would be looking at trying to wager. If I wanted to wager on there, I'd be going for that um 10 cent mark. Yeah, you can actually play it both ways. So the no on 11 wins gets you a larger rake. So you can put that in there right now. You can actually play that into the season again with that rough start. You can sell that off, use the equity from that and then you can reinvest in whether you think it's 10 or 11 wins and probably get a larger rake at that point than you would get right now. So you can play it both ways. That no is a a good button to press, especially when there's a rough start to the season like the Broncos