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Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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Raiders vs Jets player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 8. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 29, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Raiders vs Jets, Week 8. The widest Kalshi-vs-sportsbook gap is Tre Tucker 50+ rec yds at 45¢ against a 50% book consensus — Kalshi 5¢ below the books.

Kalshi as of Oct 29, 4:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 29, 4:15 PM ET · 248 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 4 priced against 3+ books · widest gap: Tre Tucker 50+ rec yds, Kalshi 5¢ below consensus

This week on the boardNFL Week 8 predictions →Week 9 predictions →Week 7 results →

Week 8 gamesPanthers at PackersRavens at BillsTitans at BengalsCardinals at CowboysVikings at LionsColts at JaguarsRaiders at JetsBrowns at SteelersFalcons at BuccaneersChargers at RamsChiefs at BroncosPatriots at DolphinsEagles at CommandersBears at Seahawks

Prop market board — Raiders vs Jets

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Tre TuckerLV v NYJ50+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ45.0¢50.0%3bk-5.0¢gapo -106 / u -122o -109 / u -109over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · ProphetX 52.2¢—Kalshi →
Mike WashingtonLV v NYJ30+ rush ydsLV @ NYJ50.0¢48.9%3bk+1.1¢o -117o -108 / u -119over · ESPN Bet 51.2¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢—Kalshi →
Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ50+ rush ydsLV @ NYJ49.0¢50.0%6bk-1.0¢o -108 / u -108o -117 / u -108over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · Novig 51.9¢—Kalshi →
Michael MayerLV v NYJ25+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ49.5¢50.0%3bk-0.5¢—o -138over · DK 53.1¢under · DK 52.6¢—Kalshi →
Ashton JeantyLV v NYJanytime TDLV @ NYJ46.5¢—one-sidedo +100 / u -117—over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · Novig 53.9¢—Kalshi →
Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ2+ TDsLV @ NYJ10.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ3+ TDsLV @ NYJ3.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ10+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ81.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -567o -800over · Kalshi 84.9¢—Kalshi →
Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ30+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ47.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +100 / u -127o -104over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · Kalshi 55.7¢—Kalshi →
Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ80+ rush ydsLV @ NYJ17.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +355o +355over · Kalshi 21.1¢—Kalshi →
Brock BowersLV v NYJanytime TDLV @ NYJ43.5¢—one-sidedo +117 / u -194—over · DK 45.5¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢—Kalshi →
Dont'e ThorntonLV v NYJanytime TDLV @ NYJ10.0¢—one-sidedo +733 / u -4900o +620over · DK 11.1¢under · Kalshi 91.6¢—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LVanytime TDLV @ NYJ34.0¢—one-sidedo +170 / u -317—over · BetRivers 35.7¢under · Kalshi 68.6¢—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV2+ TDsLV @ NYJ5.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV3+ TDsLV @ NYJ2.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV50+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ58.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -153 / u -133o -170over · Novig 60.5¢under · Kalshi 44.7¢—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV55+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ53.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -122 / u +117—over · Novig 55¢under · Novig 46.1¢—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV60+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ47.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +108 / u -217o -104over · Novig 48.1¢under · Kalshi 55.7¢—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV70+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ36.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +163o +150over · Novig 38¢—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV80+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ28.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +233o +215over · Novig 30¢—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV90+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ20.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +344o +320over · Novig 22.5¢—Kalshi →
Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV100+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ14.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +471o +430over · Kalshi 16.9¢—Kalshi →
Geno SmithNYJ v LV2+ pass TDsLV @ NYJ47.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Geno SmithNYJ v LV225+ pass ydsLV @ NYJ47.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -108o -108over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · BetRivers 53.5¢—Kalshi →
Geno SmithNYJ v LV250+ pass ydsLV @ NYJ33.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +174o +172over · Novig 36.5¢—Kalshi →
Geno SmithNYJ v LV10+ rush ydsLV @ NYJ41.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +122o +124 / u -160over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · ProphetX 61.5¢—Kalshi →
Kenyon SadiqNYJ v LVanytime TDLV @ NYJ15.5¢—one-sidedo +426 / u -1329o +355over · Kalshi 16.9¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢—Kalshi →
Kenyon SadiqNYJ v LV20+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ44.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +111o +110over · Novig 47.4¢—Kalshi →
Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ1+ pass TDsLV @ NYJ82.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ2+ pass TDsLV @ NYJ51.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ225+ pass ydsLV @ NYJ59.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -156 / u +122o -176over · Novig 60.9¢under · Kalshi 44.7¢—Kalshi →
Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ250+ pass ydsLV @ NYJ41.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +111 / u -144o +109over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Novig 59¢—Kalshi →
Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ275+ pass ydsLV @ NYJ27.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +190 / u -567o +170over · Novig 34.5¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
LV Raiders D/STLV v NYJanytime TDLV @ NYJ12.0¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 14.8¢—Kalshi →
Mason TaylorNYJ v LV25+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ45.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +104o -103over · Novig 49¢—Kalshi →
NY Jets D/STNYJ v LVanytime TDLV @ NYJ13.0¢—one-sided——over · Fanatics 15.4¢—Kalshi →
Omar CooperNYJ v LVanytime TDLV @ NYJ23.5¢—one-sidedo +292 / u -669—over · DK 24.4¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢—Kalshi →
Omar CooperNYJ v LV40+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ52.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -127o -127over · Kalshi 54.7¢—Kalshi →
Omar CooperNYJ v LV50+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ39.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +125o +112over · Kalshi 42.7¢—Kalshi →
Tre TuckerLV v NYJanytime TDLV @ NYJ25.5¢—one-sidedo +257 / u -567o +225over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢—Kalshi →
Tre TuckerLV v NYJ70+ rec ydsLV @ NYJ26.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +213 / u -525o +200over · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
41 of 41 two-sided strikes · + 207 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Oct 29, 4:15 PM ET

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Raiders vs Jets player prop ladders for Week 8: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Raiders vs Jets prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Raiders vs Jets, Week 8 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Raiders vs Jets, Week 8 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/raiders-vs-jets-week-08-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Raiders vs Jets, Week 8 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/raiders-vs-jets-week-08-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Raiders at Jets · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 4:10 PM ET

Player prop (147)Kalshi4:10 PM ETPolymarket USPolymarketPartner5:04 PM ETBest price
Garrett Wilson 50+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Garrett Wilson 60+ rec ydsno current price55¢56.7¢ after fees—
Mike Washington Jr. 30+ rush ydsno current price55¢56.7¢ after fees—
Dont'e Thornton Jr. 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Garrett Wilson 90+ rec ydsno current price27¢28.4¢ after fees—
Brock Bowers anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Garrett Wilson first TD8¢8.5¢ after fees10¢10.6¢ after feesKalshi2.1¢ less
Kirk Cousins 250+ pass ydsno current price45¢46.7¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 50+ rush ydsno current price51¢52.7¢ after fees—
Cody White 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kirk Cousins 225+ pass ydsno current price60¢61.7¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Omar Cooper Jr. anytime TDno current price24¢25.3¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson anytime TDno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker anytime TDno current price26¢27.3¢ after fees—
Omar Cooper Jr. first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Geno Smith 225+ pass ydsno current price48¢49.7¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 2+ TDsno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Omar Cooper Jr. 50+ rec ydsno current price44¢45.7¢ after fees—
Kirk Cousins 2+ pass TDsno current price53¢54.7¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson 80+ rec ydsno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Kenyon Sadiq anytime TDno current price18¢19¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty anytime TDno current priceno two-sided book—
Omar Cooper Jr. 40+ rec ydsno current price55¢56.7¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson 70+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kenyon Sadiq 20+ rec ydsno current price47¢48.7¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker 50+ rec ydsno current price48¢49.7¢ after fees—
Kirk Cousins 150+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Geno Smith 2+ pass TDsno current price49¢50.7¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 10+ rec ydsno current price84¢84.9¢ after fees—
Kirk Cousins 275+ pass ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker 70+ rec ydsno current price31¢32.5¢ after fees—
Dont'e Thornton Jr. anytime TDno current price12¢12.7¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson 2+ TDsno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 250+ pass ydsno current price35¢36.6¢ after fees—
Kirk Cousins 1+ pass TDsno current price84¢84.9¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson 3+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ashton Jeanty first TD12¢12.7¢ after fees15¢15.9¢ after feesKalshi3.1¢ less
Ashton Jeanty 3+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Kirk Cousins 300+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Cody White first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Dont'e Thornton Jr. first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Adonai Mitchell first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Kenyon Sadiq first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Michael Mayer first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Tre Tucker first TD7¢7.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesEven
Mike Washington Jr. first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesEven
Mason Taylor first TD5¢5.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesEven
Jalen Nailor first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Geno Smith first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Dylan Laube first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Dareke Young first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik Benson first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Isaiah Williams first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Jeremy Ruckert first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Jelani Woods first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Malik McClain first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Tim Patrick first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Kirk Cousins 3+ pass TDsno current price23¢24.2¢ after fees—
Kirk Cousins 4+ pass TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Geno Smith 1+ pass TDsno current price83¢84¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 3+ pass TDsno current price20¢21.1¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 4+ pass TDsno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
Kirk Cousins 175+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kirk Cousins 200+ pass ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kirk Cousins 325+ pass ydsno current price15¢15.9¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 150+ pass ydsno current price88¢88.7¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 175+ pass ydsno current price80¢81.1¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 200+ pass ydsno current price65¢66.6¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 275+ pass ydsno current price24¢25.3¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 300+ pass ydsno current price16¢16.9¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 325+ pass ydsno current price10¢10.6¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 3+ receptionsno current price72¢73.4¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 4+ receptionsno current price53¢54.7¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 5+ receptionsno current price38¢39.6¢ after fees—
Michael Mayer 2+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Michael Mayer 3+ receptionsno current price60¢61.7¢ after fees—
Michael Mayer 4+ receptionsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker 3+ receptionsno current price72¢73.4¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker 4+ receptionsno current price53¢54.7¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker 5+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Adonai Mitchell 2+ receptionsno current price59¢60.7¢ after fees—
Adonai Mitchell 3+ receptionsno current price37¢38.6¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson 4+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Garrett Wilson 5+ receptionsno current price65¢66.6¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson 6+ receptionsno current price50¢51.7¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson 7+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Garrett Wilson 8+ receptionsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kenyon Sadiq 2+ receptionsno current price62¢63.6¢ after fees—
Kenyon Sadiq 3+ receptionsno current price39¢40.7¢ after fees—
Mason Taylor 2+ receptionsno current price78¢79.2¢ after fees—
Mason Taylor 3+ receptionsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Mason Taylor 4+ receptionsno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Omar Cooper Jr. 3+ receptionsno current price65¢66.6¢ after fees—
Omar Cooper Jr. 4+ receptionsno current price45¢46.7¢ after fees—
Omar Cooper Jr. 5+ receptionsno current price30¢31.5¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ashton Jeanty 40+ rec ydsno current price35¢36.6¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 50+ rec ydsno current price23¢24.2¢ after fees—
Michael Mayer 10+ rec ydsno current price81¢82.1¢ after fees—
Michael Mayer 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Michael Mayer 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Michael Mayer 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Michael Mayer 50+ rec ydsno current price21¢22.2¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Tre Tucker 40+ rec ydsno current price62¢63.6¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker 60+ rec ydsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Adonai Mitchell 10+ rec ydsno current price73¢74.4¢ after fees—
Adonai Mitchell 20+ rec ydsno current price57¢58.7¢ after fees—
Adonai Mitchell 30+ rec ydsno current price40¢41.7¢ after fees—
Garrett Wilson 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Garrett Wilson 40+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kenyon Sadiq 10+ rec ydsno current price69¢70.5¢ after fees—
Kenyon Sadiq 30+ rec ydsno current price31¢32.5¢ after fees—
Mason Taylor 10+ rec ydsno current price78¢79.2¢ after fees—
Mason Taylor 20+ rec ydsno current price58¢59.7¢ after fees—
Mason Taylor 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Omar Cooper Jr. 20+ rec ydsno current price79¢80.2¢ after fees—
Omar Cooper Jr. 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Omar Cooper Jr. 60+ rec ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 30+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ashton Jeanty 40+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Ashton Jeanty 60+ rush ydsno current price37¢38.6¢ after fees—
Ashton Jeanty 70+ rush ydsno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
Mike Washington Jr. 20+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Mike Washington Jr. 40+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Mike Washington Jr. 50+ rush ydsno current price26¢27.3¢ after fees—
Cody White anytime TDno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Dylan Laube anytime TDno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
Jalen Nailor anytime TDno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Jalen Nailor 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kirk Cousins anytime TDno current price4¢4.3¢ after fees—
Michael Mayer anytime TDno current price22¢23.2¢ after fees—
Michael Mayer 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Mike Washington Jr. anytime TDno current price23¢24.2¢ after fees—
Mike Washington Jr. 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Tre Tucker 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Adonai Mitchell anytime TDno current price19¢20.1¢ after fees—
Adonai Mitchell 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Geno Smith anytime TDno current price12¢12.7¢ after fees—
Geno Smith 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Kenyon Sadiq 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Malik McClain anytime TDno current price8¢8.5¢ after fees—
Mason Taylor anytime TDno current price20¢21.1¢ after fees—
Mason Taylor 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Omar Cooper Jr. 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Tim Patrick anytime TDno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Sponsored by Polymarket US

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Polymarket US only (28)

  • Ashton Jeanty 16+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 51¢
  • Braelon Allen 3+ TDsPolymarket US 7¢
  • Braelon Allen 9+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 49¢
  • Brock Bowers 2+ TDsPolymarket US 11¢
  • Brock Bowers 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 58¢
  • Brock Bowers 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 45¢
  • Brock Bowers 40+ rec ydsPolymarket US 84¢
  • Brock Bowers 50+ rec ydsPolymarket US 73¢
  • Brock Bowers 60+ rec ydsPolymarket US 64¢
  • Brock Bowers 70+ rec ydsPolymarket US 53¢
  • Brock Bowers 80+ rec ydsPolymarket US 44¢
  • Brock Bowers 90+ rec ydsPolymarket US 34¢
  • Brock Bowers 100+ rec ydsPolymarket US 26¢
  • Brock Bowers 110+ rec ydsPolymarket US 20¢
  • Brock Bowers first TDPolymarket US 13¢
  • Dareke Young anytime TDPolymarket US 5¢
  • Geno Smith 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 46¢
  • Geno Smith 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 16¢
  • Geno Smith 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 57¢
  • Geno Smith 22+ passing completionsPolymarket US 43¢
  • Isaiah Davis first TDPolymarket US 5¢
  • Isaiah Williams anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
  • Jalen Nailor 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 56¢
  • Jelani Woods anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
  • Jeremy Ruckert anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
  • Kirk Cousins 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 52¢
  • Malik Benson anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
  • Omar Cooper Jr. 9+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 59¢

Kalshi only (113)

  • Garrett Wilson 55+ rec ydsKalshi 54¢
  • Garrett Wilson 100+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 80+ rush ydsKalshi 20¢
  • Michael Mayer 25+ rec ydsKalshi 52¢
  • NY Jets D/ST anytime TDKalshi 15¢
  • Geno Smith 10+ rush ydsKalshi 42¢
  • LV Raiders D/ST anytime TDKalshi 14¢
  • Mason Taylor 25+ rec ydsKalshi 48¢
  • Kirk Cousins 34+ pass attemptsKalshi 52¢
  • Geno Smith 26+ pass attemptsKalshi 78¢
  • Geno Smith 31+ pass attemptsKalshi 50¢
  • Geno Smith 36+ pass attemptsKalshi 24¢
  • Kirk Cousins 16+ completionsKalshi 90¢
  • Kirk Cousins 21+ completionsKalshi 52¢
  • Kirk Cousins 26+ completionsKalshi 20¢
  • Geno Smith 15+ completionsKalshi 90¢
  • Geno Smith 20+ completionsKalshi 55¢
  • Geno Smith 25+ completionsKalshi 20¢
  • Kirk Cousins 350+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Kirk Cousins 375+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Geno Smith 350+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 2+ receptionsKalshi 89¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 6+ receptionsKalshi 23¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 7+ receptionsKalshi 14¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 8+ receptionsKalshi 8¢
  • Michael Mayer 5+ receptionsKalshi 23¢
  • Michael Mayer 6+ receptionsKalshi 13¢
  • Michael Mayer 7+ receptionsKalshi 8¢
  • Michael Mayer 8+ receptionsKalshi 5¢
  • Tre Tucker 2+ receptionsKalshi 90¢
  • Tre Tucker 6+ receptionsKalshi 21¢
  • Tre Tucker 7+ receptionsKalshi 12¢
  • Tre Tucker 8+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
  • Tre Tucker 9+ receptionsKalshi 5¢
  • Adonai Mitchell 4+ receptionsKalshi 18¢
  • Adonai Mitchell 5+ receptionsKalshi 9¢
  • Adonai Mitchell 6+ receptionsKalshi 5¢
  • Garrett Wilson 10+ receptionsKalshi 8¢
  • Garrett Wilson 3+ receptionsKalshi 90¢
  • Garrett Wilson 9+ receptionsKalshi 12¢
  • Kenyon Sadiq 4+ receptionsKalshi 21¢
  • Kenyon Sadiq 5+ receptionsKalshi 11¢
  • Kenyon Sadiq 6+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
  • Mason Taylor 5+ receptionsKalshi 19¢
  • Mason Taylor 6+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
  • Mason Taylor 7+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
  • Mason Taylor 8+ receptionsKalshi 4¢
  • Omar Cooper Jr. 2+ receptionsKalshi 85¢
  • Omar Cooper Jr. 6+ receptionsKalshi 16¢
  • Omar Cooper Jr. 7+ receptionsKalshi 9¢
  • Omar Cooper Jr. 8+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 15+ rec ydsKalshi 77¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 25+ rec ydsKalshi 59¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 60+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
  • Ashton Jeanty 80+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Michael Mayer 15+ rec ydsKalshi 71¢
  • Michael Mayer 60+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Michael Mayer 70+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Michael Mayer 80+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢

+ 53 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Raiders vs Jets props — FAQ

What are the player props for Raiders vs Jets?

41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 8 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Raiders vs Jets player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 207 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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