Raiders vs Jets player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 8. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 29, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Raiders vs Jets, Week 8. The widest Kalshi-vs-sportsbook gap is Tre Tucker 50+ rec yds at 45¢ against a 50% book consensus — Kalshi 5¢ below the books.
Kalshi as of Oct 29, 4:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 29, 4:15 PM ET · 248 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 4 priced against 3+ books · widest gap: Tre Tucker 50+ rec yds, Kalshi 5¢ below consensus
This week on the boardNFL Week 8 predictions →Week 9 predictions →Week 7 results →
Week 8 gamesPanthers at PackersRavens at BillsTitans at BengalsCardinals at CowboysVikings at LionsColts at JaguarsRaiders at JetsBrowns at SteelersFalcons at BuccaneersChargers at RamsChiefs at BroncosPatriots at DolphinsEagles at CommandersBears at Seahawks
Prop market board — Raiders vs Jets
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre TuckerLV v NYJ | 50+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 45.0¢ | 50.0%3bk | -5.0¢gap | o -106 / u -122 | o -109 / u -109 | over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · ProphetX 52.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike WashingtonLV v NYJ | 30+ rush yds | LV @ NYJ | 50.0¢ | 48.9%3bk | +1.1¢ | o -117 | o -108 / u -119 | over · ESPN Bet 51.2¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ | 50+ rush yds | LV @ NYJ | 49.0¢ | 50.0%6bk | -1.0¢ | o -108 / u -108 | o -117 / u -108 | over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · Novig 51.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael MayerLV v NYJ | 25+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 49.5¢ | 50.0%3bk | -0.5¢ | — | o -138 | over · DK 53.1¢under · DK 52.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 46.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +100 / u -117 | — | over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · Novig 53.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ | 2+ TDs | LV @ NYJ | 10.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ | 3+ TDs | LV @ NYJ | 3.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ | 10+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 81.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -567 | o -800 | over · Kalshi 84.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ | 30+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 47.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +100 / u -127 | o -104 | over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · Kalshi 55.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v NYJ | 80+ rush yds | LV @ NYJ | 17.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +355 | o +355 | over · Kalshi 21.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock BowersLV v NYJ | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 43.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +117 / u -194 | — | over · DK 45.5¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Dont'e ThorntonLV v NYJ | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 10.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +733 / u -4900 | o +620 | over · DK 11.1¢under · Kalshi 91.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 34.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +170 / u -317 | — | over · BetRivers 35.7¢under · Kalshi 68.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 2+ TDs | LV @ NYJ | 5.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 3+ TDs | LV @ NYJ | 2.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 50+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 58.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -153 / u -133 | o -170 | over · Novig 60.5¢under · Kalshi 44.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 55+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 53.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -122 / u +117 | — | over · Novig 55¢under · Novig 46.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 60+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 47.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +108 / u -217 | o -104 | over · Novig 48.1¢under · Kalshi 55.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 70+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 36.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +163 | o +150 | over · Novig 38¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 80+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 28.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +233 | o +215 | over · Novig 30¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 90+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 20.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +344 | o +320 | over · Novig 22.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ v LV | 100+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 14.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +471 | o +430 | over · Kalshi 16.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Geno SmithNYJ v LV | 2+ pass TDs | LV @ NYJ | 47.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Geno SmithNYJ v LV | 225+ pass yds | LV @ NYJ | 47.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -108 | o -108 | over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · BetRivers 53.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Geno SmithNYJ v LV | 250+ pass yds | LV @ NYJ | 33.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +174 | o +172 | over · Novig 36.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Geno SmithNYJ v LV | 10+ rush yds | LV @ NYJ | 41.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +122 | o +124 / u -160 | over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · ProphetX 61.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenyon SadiqNYJ v LV | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 15.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +426 / u -1329 | o +355 | over · Kalshi 16.9¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenyon SadiqNYJ v LV | 20+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 44.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +111 | o +110 | over · Novig 47.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ | 1+ pass TDs | LV @ NYJ | 82.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ | 2+ pass TDs | LV @ NYJ | 51.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ | 225+ pass yds | LV @ NYJ | 59.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -156 / u +122 | o -176 | over · Novig 60.9¢under · Kalshi 44.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ | 250+ pass yds | LV @ NYJ | 41.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +111 / u -144 | o +109 | over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Novig 59¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kirk CousinsLV v NYJ | 275+ pass yds | LV @ NYJ | 27.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +190 / u -567 | o +170 | over · Novig 34.5¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| LV Raiders D/STLV v NYJ | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 12.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 14.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mason TaylorNYJ v LV | 25+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 45.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +104 | o -103 | over · Novig 49¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| NY Jets D/STNYJ v LV | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 13.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Fanatics 15.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Omar CooperNYJ v LV | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 23.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +292 / u -669 | — | over · DK 24.4¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Omar CooperNYJ v LV | 40+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 52.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -127 | o -127 | over · Kalshi 54.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Omar CooperNYJ v LV | 50+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 39.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +125 | o +112 | over · Kalshi 42.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tre TuckerLV v NYJ | anytime TD | LV @ NYJ | 25.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +257 / u -567 | o +225 | over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tre TuckerLV v NYJ | 70+ rec yds | LV @ NYJ | 26.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +213 / u -525 | o +200 | over · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Kalshi 77.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Raiders at Jets · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 4:10 PM ET
| Player prop (147) | Kalshi4:10 PM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner5:04 PM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Garrett Wilson 60+ rec yds | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 30+ rush yds | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Garrett Wilson 90+ rec yds | no current price | 27¢28.4¢ after fees | — |
| Brock Bowers anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Garrett Wilson first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Kirk Cousins 250+ pass yds | no current price | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 50+ rush yds | no current price | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | — |
| Cody White 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 225+ pass yds | no current price | 60¢61.7¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. anytime TD | no current price | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson anytime TD | no current price | 36¢37.6¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker anytime TD | no current price | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Geno Smith 225+ pass yds | no current price | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 2+ TDs | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 50+ rec yds | no current price | 44¢45.7¢ after fees | — |
| Kirk Cousins 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson 80+ rec yds | no current price | 36¢37.6¢ after fees | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq anytime TD | no current price | 18¢19¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 40+ rec yds | no current price | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson 70+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq 20+ rec yds | no current price | 47¢48.7¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker 50+ rec yds | no current price | 48¢49.7¢ after fees | — |
| Kirk Cousins 150+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Geno Smith 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 49¢50.7¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 10+ rec yds | no current price | 84¢84.9¢ after fees | — |
| Kirk Cousins 275+ pass yds | no current price | 34¢35.6¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker 70+ rec yds | no current price | 31¢32.5¢ after fees | — |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. anytime TD | no current price | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson 2+ TDs | no current price | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 250+ pass yds | no current price | 35¢36.6¢ after fees | — |
| Kirk Cousins 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 84¢84.9¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson 3+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty first TD | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | Kalshi3.1¢ less |
| Ashton Jeanty 3+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Kirk Cousins 300+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Cody White first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr. first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Adonai Mitchell first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Kenyon Sadiq first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Michael Mayer first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Tre Tucker first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Mike Washington Jr. first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Mason Taylor first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Jalen Nailor first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Geno Smith first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Dylan Laube first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Dareke Young first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik Benson first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaiah Williams first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jeremy Ruckert first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jelani Woods first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik McClain first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Tim Patrick first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | — |
| Kirk Cousins 4+ pass TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Geno Smith 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 83¢84¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | — |
| Kirk Cousins 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 200+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins 325+ pass yds | no current price | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 150+ pass yds | no current price | 88¢88.7¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 175+ pass yds | no current price | 80¢81.1¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 200+ pass yds | no current price | 65¢66.6¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 275+ pass yds | no current price | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 300+ pass yds | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 325+ pass yds | no current price | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 3+ receptions | no current price | 72¢73.4¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 4+ receptions | no current price | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 5+ receptions | no current price | 38¢39.6¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Mayer 2+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Mayer 3+ receptions | no current price | 60¢61.7¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Mayer 4+ receptions | no current price | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker 3+ receptions | no current price | 72¢73.4¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker 4+ receptions | no current price | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker 5+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Adonai Mitchell 2+ receptions | no current price | 59¢60.7¢ after fees | — |
| Adonai Mitchell 3+ receptions | no current price | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson 4+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Garrett Wilson 5+ receptions | no current price | 65¢66.6¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson 6+ receptions | no current price | 50¢51.7¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson 7+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Garrett Wilson 8+ receptions | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq 2+ receptions | no current price | 62¢63.6¢ after fees | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq 3+ receptions | no current price | 39¢40.7¢ after fees | — |
| Mason Taylor 2+ receptions | no current price | 78¢79.2¢ after fees | — |
| Mason Taylor 3+ receptions | no current price | 54¢55.7¢ after fees | — |
| Mason Taylor 4+ receptions | no current price | 36¢37.6¢ after fees | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 3+ receptions | no current price | 65¢66.6¢ after fees | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 4+ receptions | no current price | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 5+ receptions | no current price | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 40+ rec yds | no current price | 35¢36.6¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 50+ rec yds | no current price | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Mayer 10+ rec yds | no current price | 81¢82.1¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Mayer 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Mayer 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Mayer 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Mayer 50+ rec yds | no current price | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 40+ rec yds | no current price | 62¢63.6¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker 60+ rec yds | no current price | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | — |
| Adonai Mitchell 10+ rec yds | no current price | 73¢74.4¢ after fees | — |
| Adonai Mitchell 20+ rec yds | no current price | 57¢58.7¢ after fees | — |
| Adonai Mitchell 30+ rec yds | no current price | 40¢41.7¢ after fees | — |
| Garrett Wilson 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Garrett Wilson 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq 10+ rec yds | no current price | 69¢70.5¢ after fees | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq 30+ rec yds | no current price | 31¢32.5¢ after fees | — |
| Mason Taylor 10+ rec yds | no current price | 78¢79.2¢ after fees | — |
| Mason Taylor 20+ rec yds | no current price | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | — |
| Mason Taylor 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 20+ rec yds | no current price | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 60+ rec yds | no current price | 34¢35.6¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 40+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 60+ rush yds | no current price | 37¢38.6¢ after fees | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 70+ rush yds | no current price | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 20+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 40+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 50+ rush yds | no current price | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Cody White anytime TD | no current price | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | — |
| Dylan Laube anytime TD | no current price | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | — |
| Jalen Nailor anytime TD | no current price | 17¢18¢ after fees | — |
| Jalen Nailor 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kirk Cousins anytime TD | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Mayer anytime TD | no current price | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Mayer 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. anytime TD | no current price | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Tre Tucker 2+ TDs | no current price | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | — |
| Adonai Mitchell anytime TD | no current price | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | — |
| Adonai Mitchell 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Geno Smith anytime TD | no current price | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | — |
| Geno Smith 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kenyon Sadiq 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Malik McClain anytime TD | no current price | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | — |
| Mason Taylor anytime TD | no current price | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | — |
| Mason Taylor 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | — |
| Tim Patrick anytime TD | no current price | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (28)
- Ashton Jeanty 16+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 51¢
- Braelon Allen 3+ TDsPolymarket US 7¢
- Braelon Allen 9+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 49¢
- Brock Bowers 2+ TDsPolymarket US 11¢
- Brock Bowers 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 58¢
- Brock Bowers 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 45¢
- Brock Bowers 40+ rec ydsPolymarket US 84¢
- Brock Bowers 50+ rec ydsPolymarket US 73¢
- Brock Bowers 60+ rec ydsPolymarket US 64¢
- Brock Bowers 70+ rec ydsPolymarket US 53¢
- Brock Bowers 80+ rec ydsPolymarket US 44¢
- Brock Bowers 90+ rec ydsPolymarket US 34¢
- Brock Bowers 100+ rec ydsPolymarket US 26¢
- Brock Bowers 110+ rec ydsPolymarket US 20¢
- Brock Bowers first TDPolymarket US 13¢
- Dareke Young anytime TDPolymarket US 5¢
- Geno Smith 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 46¢
- Geno Smith 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 16¢
- Geno Smith 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 57¢
- Geno Smith 22+ passing completionsPolymarket US 43¢
- Isaiah Davis first TDPolymarket US 5¢
- Isaiah Williams anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
- Jalen Nailor 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 56¢
- Jelani Woods anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
- Jeremy Ruckert anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
- Kirk Cousins 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 52¢
- Malik Benson anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
- Omar Cooper Jr. 9+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 59¢
Kalshi only (113)
- Garrett Wilson 55+ rec ydsKalshi 54¢
- Garrett Wilson 100+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Ashton Jeanty 80+ rush ydsKalshi 20¢
- Michael Mayer 25+ rec ydsKalshi 52¢
- NY Jets D/ST anytime TDKalshi 15¢
- Geno Smith 10+ rush ydsKalshi 42¢
- LV Raiders D/ST anytime TDKalshi 14¢
- Mason Taylor 25+ rec ydsKalshi 48¢
- Kirk Cousins 34+ pass attemptsKalshi 52¢
- Geno Smith 26+ pass attemptsKalshi 78¢
- Geno Smith 31+ pass attemptsKalshi 50¢
- Geno Smith 36+ pass attemptsKalshi 24¢
- Kirk Cousins 16+ completionsKalshi 90¢
- Kirk Cousins 21+ completionsKalshi 52¢
- Kirk Cousins 26+ completionsKalshi 20¢
- Geno Smith 15+ completionsKalshi 90¢
- Geno Smith 20+ completionsKalshi 55¢
- Geno Smith 25+ completionsKalshi 20¢
- Kirk Cousins 350+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
- Kirk Cousins 375+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
- Geno Smith 350+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
- Ashton Jeanty 2+ receptionsKalshi 89¢
- Ashton Jeanty 6+ receptionsKalshi 23¢
- Ashton Jeanty 7+ receptionsKalshi 14¢
- Ashton Jeanty 8+ receptionsKalshi 8¢
- Michael Mayer 5+ receptionsKalshi 23¢
- Michael Mayer 6+ receptionsKalshi 13¢
- Michael Mayer 7+ receptionsKalshi 8¢
- Michael Mayer 8+ receptionsKalshi 5¢
- Tre Tucker 2+ receptionsKalshi 90¢
- Tre Tucker 6+ receptionsKalshi 21¢
- Tre Tucker 7+ receptionsKalshi 12¢
- Tre Tucker 8+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
- Tre Tucker 9+ receptionsKalshi 5¢
- Adonai Mitchell 4+ receptionsKalshi 18¢
- Adonai Mitchell 5+ receptionsKalshi 9¢
- Adonai Mitchell 6+ receptionsKalshi 5¢
- Garrett Wilson 10+ receptionsKalshi 8¢
- Garrett Wilson 3+ receptionsKalshi 90¢
- Garrett Wilson 9+ receptionsKalshi 12¢
- Kenyon Sadiq 4+ receptionsKalshi 21¢
- Kenyon Sadiq 5+ receptionsKalshi 11¢
- Kenyon Sadiq 6+ receptionsKalshi 7¢
- Mason Taylor 5+ receptionsKalshi 19¢
- Mason Taylor 6+ receptionsKalshi 10¢
- Mason Taylor 7+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
- Mason Taylor 8+ receptionsKalshi 4¢
- Omar Cooper Jr. 2+ receptionsKalshi 85¢
- Omar Cooper Jr. 6+ receptionsKalshi 16¢
- Omar Cooper Jr. 7+ receptionsKalshi 9¢
- Omar Cooper Jr. 8+ receptionsKalshi 6¢
- Ashton Jeanty 15+ rec ydsKalshi 77¢
- Ashton Jeanty 25+ rec ydsKalshi 59¢
- Ashton Jeanty 60+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Ashton Jeanty 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Ashton Jeanty 80+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Michael Mayer 15+ rec ydsKalshi 71¢
- Michael Mayer 60+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Michael Mayer 70+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Michael Mayer 80+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
+ 53 more listed on Kalshi only.
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Raiders vs Jets props — FAQ
What are the player props for Raiders vs Jets?
41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 8 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Raiders vs Jets player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 207 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 8 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 7 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Moneyline, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale