Skip to content
THE 7 ORACLESPowered by PredictionMarketsPicks
Pro
NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals — all 32 teams

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

Home/NFL/Week 4/Colts vs Commanders
Gridiron EdgeWeek 4 · 2026

Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13

Updated · model ratings

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom (neutral site)

Quick Answer

Final (Sunday, October 4, 2026): Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13 — NFL Week 4, 2026. Our pre-game market-anchored line had the Colts by 4.5 (65% to win); the Colts won, so that call hit. The last Kalshi price we archived before kickoff had the Colts at 67c. The graded call and the settled contract are below.

Every NFL edge on the board →

Settled

Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13Final

Model call: HIT

Our pre-game market-anchored line had the Colts by 4.5 (65% to win). The Colts won — that call landed.

Closing-line value on the Colts: -1c — we archived the Colts at 68c on Sep 27; the last Kalshi price before kickoff was 67c on Oct 4. The market moved against our side before kickoff.

Next: NFL Week 5 predictions →See how the model has done vs Kalshi →

Kickoff board

Week 4 · 2026-10-06

No actionable edge on this game — 1 market priced and every one inside our tolerance.

MarketPriceModelCall¼ Kelly
Commanders moneylineModel 35% vs the last Kalshi price before kickoff, 33% on WAS — kept as the pre-game record.33c35%Pass—

Edge is model probability minus the market's implied probability, in percentage points. One published number per market: where our sources disagreed we publish the most conservative defensible figure, and where they disagreed by more than 15 points the row is a conflict and carries no stake. ¼ Kelly is the share of a bankroll quarter-Kelly would put on the row at the published price — click it to size against your own bankroll on our Kelly calculator, or call kelly_size from our MCP server inside your own agent.

Data quality & caveats
  • • Kalshi is not quoting this game yet — the board covers derivative markets only.

QB-adjusted: Marcus Mariota in London behind a blitz-heavy defense, against the league’s busiest running back and a Colts line that grades third

Jayden Daniels is out with the elbow he dislocated in Dallas, so Marcus Mariota — who beat Seattle with three touchdown passes and a read-option run on third-and-long — starts a 9:30 AM Eastern kickoff at Tottenham. Washington’s defense sends extra rushers more than almost anyone and stuffs a quarter of the runs it faces, which is the right profile against Jonathan Taylor’s 66 carries; the Colts’ answer is a line that grades third in football and a quarterback who has handled the blitz better than his five turnovers suggest. Both teams are 1-2 and both flew in on different schedules.

Injury and practice participation

McLaurin and Keenan Allen inactive; Daniels, Cosmi, Cross and White out for Washington; Pierce on IR and Slayton inactive for Indianapolis

Edge: Colts

Both No. 1 receivers are inactive. Washington ruled out Daniels, guard Sam Cosmi (concussion), safety Nick Cross (illness) and running back Rachaad White (shoulder) on Friday, and Terry McLaurin (hamstring), questionable after a Friday addition to the report, was declared inactive Sunday — his first missed game. Indianapolis downgraded Keenan Allen (groin) from questionable to out on Sunday and elevated Nick Westbrook-Ikhine from the practice squad; Alec Pierce (heel) is on injured reserve and Darius Slayton is inactive. Percy Butler (Washington, concussion) and Ashton Dulin (Indianapolis, ankle) were questionable and are active. The other inactives are Luke McCaffrey and Javontae Jean-Baptiste for Washington, and DJ Giddens, George Gumbs, Dalton Tucker and third quarterback Riley Leonard for Indianapolis.

Commanders OUT
Jayden Daniels, QB (elbow); Terry McLaurin, WR (hamstring, inactive Sunday); Sam Cosmi, G (concussion); Nick Cross, S (illness); Rachaad White, RB (shoulder)
Commanders ACTIVE (was questionable)
Percy Butler, S (concussion)
Colts ACTIVE (was questionable)
Ashton Dulin, WR (ankle)
Colts OUT
Keenan Allen, WR (groin, downgraded Sunday); Darius Slayton, WR (inactive); Alec Pierce, WR (heel) on IR since 09-29

Source: commanders.com — Game status: Commanders vs. Colts (2026-10-02)

Colts run game · Commanders front

Jonathan Taylor’s 66 carries against the league’s best run-stuff rate

Edge: Commanders

Taylor leads the NFL in carries with 66 for 258 yards and four touchdowns, but he is under four yards a carry and has not had a 100-yard game; Houston held him to 68 on 23 attempts. Washington is the wrong defense to fix that against: third in rushing yards allowed at 3.8 a carry, first in run-defense DVOA, and the owner of a league-best 25 percent stuff rate — 27 of 62 runs faced held to two yards or less. The Colts’ line grades third overall by PFF, so this is strength on strength, and it decides how many third-and-longs Daniel Jones sees against a blitz that comes 71 percent of the time in exactly that situation.

Jonathan Taylor
66 carries (1st), 258 yds, 4 TD — under 4.0 ypc, no 100-yard game; 23-68 vs. HOU
Commanders run defense
3.8 ypc allowed (3rd in yards); 25% stuff rate — NFL-best; 1st in run-defense DVOA
Colts offensive line
3rd overall, 9th in pass blocking (PFF)
Commanders on 3rd-and-long
Blitz 71% of the time

Source: NFL.com — Colts–Commanders Week 4 London preview (2026-10-01)

Both slots

Josh Downs against Mike Sainristil, and Washington’s slot receivers against Justin Walley

Close to even

The game inside the numbers is lopsided both ways. Downs is averaging 2.4 yards per route with a 33 percent target share over the last two weeks, and Sainristil has allowed a league-high five touchdowns and a 142 passer rating in coverage — and played only 26 of 67 snaps against Seattle. Going the other way, Colts slot corner Justin Walley has allowed 13 catches on 15 targets for 213 yards and two scores, and Washington runs Stefon Diggs through the slot on 44 routes with rookie Antonio Williams producing well above expectation. Mariota went 19-of-31 for 183 yards and three touchdowns without an interception against Seattle; with McLaurin inactive, more of that goes to Diggs and Williams, and more of it goes at Walley.

Josh Downs
2.4 yds/route; 32.8% target share Weeks 2–3; +12.6 receiving EPA (15th)
Mike Sainristil
5 TD allowed — NFL-high; 142.4 rating allowed; 26 of 67 snaps vs. SEA
Justin Walley
13-of-15 for 213 yds and 2 TD allowed; 158.3 rating
Marcus Mariota, Week 3
19-of-31, 183 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 110.0 rating

Source: NFL.com — Colts–Commanders Week 4 London preview (2026-10-01)

What this read does not know

  • The model line on this page was run Friday at 16:51 ET, before Sunday’s inactives. Daniels is out by editorial override; McLaurin and Keenan Allen were declared inactive Sunday and are not in the model line. Both teams lost their No. 1 receiver, so the rooms are Stefon Diggs and Antonio Williams for Washington and Josh Downs, Tyler Warren and Laquon Treadwell for Indianapolis.
  • QB-adjusted: Washington’s rating was built on Jayden Daniels. The model line on this page is adjusted for Mariota with a flat quarterback term, which does not know that Mariota beat Seattle or that Washington is 0-2-1 in international games; our lean is capped at WATCH and no game-line position is published.
  • Washington’s lead back is unreported. With White out, one outlet names Jacory Croskey-Merritt (20 touches last week) and another says Austin Ekeler is likely. Our slate carries Croskey-Merritt at a fraction of his Week 3 workload.
  • Travel is uneven and its effect is unmeasured. Washington flew Tuesday night and has been in England since Wednesday; Indianapolis practised at home through Thursday and took a red-eye to a Friday walkthrough. Both approaches have won London games.
  • The power ratings behind the model line are this week’s board (as-of 2026-09-30, written by the Week 4 pipeline run). The Colts’ rating carries a 41-point night in Baltimore and an overtime loss to Kansas City; Washington’s carries a half with Daniels and a half without him in Dallas.
  • Should you take Jonathan Taylor under 69.5 rushing yards? We hold it at WATCH, and here is the fork. Our model projects 68 yards on about 16 carries; Taylor has carried 22 times a game, which is why our own volume rule holds the call rather than publishing it. Under wins if Washington’s stuff rate is real against this line; over wins if Indianapolis simply keeps feeding him the way it has for three weeks.
  • Should you take Marcus Mariota under 1.5 passing touchdowns? It is on our board as a call, and here is the fork. Our model projects 1.1 touchdown passes and has him over 1.5 about 29% of the time; he threw three last week on 31 attempts. Under wins if Taylor’s volume and a 9:30 kickoff keep this a low-possession game; over wins if the Sainristil–Walley slot mismatch goes Washington’s way and Mariota throws it into the end zone again.

Reporting verified 2026-10-04. Further sources: colts.com — Colts announce 6 inactive players for Week 4 game vs. Commanders (2026-10-04) · Yahoo Sports — Colts v. Commanders inactives: Keenan Allen, Terry McLaurin out (2026-10-04) · commanders.com — Game status: Commanders vs. Colts (2026-10-02) · colts.com — Colts do not rule out any players ahead of Week 4 vs. Commanders (2026-10-02) · AP via ClickOrlando — Mariota to start for Commanders in London with Daniels ruled out (2026-10-02) · NFL.com — Colts–Commanders Week 4 London preview (2026-10-01) · commanders.com — Three keys: Commanders vs. Colts (2026-10-02) · Colts On SI — Three matchups that will decide the Colts’ Week 4 game (2026-10-01) · Yahoo Sports — Colts’ Daniel Jones and the step vs. the blitz (2026-10-01) · NBC Sports — Mariota and the Commanders stun the Seahawks 33-31 (2026-09-27) · Yahoo Sports — McLaurin a surprise addition to the Commanders’ Friday report (2026-10-02) · NBC Sports — Keenan Allen misses Friday’s practice, questionable (2026-10-02) · colts.com — Colts release unofficial depth chart ahead of Week 4 (2026-09-29) · colts.com — Can you sleep on a plane? Questions ahead of the London game (2026-10-02) · Washington Sun — Commanders’ London travel plan (2026-10-01)

Every defense's injury load this week, by unit: the defensive injury cluster board.

PMP · WK 4 MODEL LINE
Sun, Oct 4
AWAY IND -0.9
vs IND -4.5
HOME WAS -1.6
Fair (books) · WAS 35% home win prob
Kalshi · WAS — yes mid
Edge — fair − Kalshi
📍 London, United Kingdom PASS — no position

Kalshi hasn't priced this game yet. Get the full Week 4 card free and you'll have our number in hand the morning it opens.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Colts

65%

model win prob

Commanders

35%

model win prob

Run this matchup yourself → Full PWR board for all 32 → Player prop gaps for this game →

55%

Madden 27

45%

Madden 27

Run the numbers yourself

All tools →
Price GapsPROWhere the best price is right now — Kalshi vs Polymarket vs the books.→Combo Edge BuilderFREEPrice a same-game combo for this slate — true joint probability, free, no leg cap.→NFL Win ProbabilityFREETurn any spread and total into a win probability and projected score.→Prop BoardLIVEEvery listed player prop, model number against the Kalshi price.→

Go Pro · 26% off your first year

Every NFL line that moves before kickoff — before the market catches up

Pro is the layer around the free game edges: model win probability against the live Kalshi price on every market, edge alerts in Discord the moment a gap opens, and the full win-total, championship and projection boards.

Claim 26% off →

$111 for the first year, then $150/yr. Code applies automatically. Ends Dec 31. Monthly is $14.99/mo.

Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record →

The Ladder — Colts at Commanders

All ladders →

Our margin distribution against every Kalshi spread strike listed for this game. A single line says we lean one way; the ladder says whether that is about the middle of the distribution or its tail.

Colts at CommandersSpreadMARKET READ

Kalshi has not listed a two-sided book on this ladder yet.

    Market
    —

    Fewer than three strikes have both a two-sided Kalshi book and a model number inside our published 30–70% band, so there is no shape call here. The market prices are complete.

    Legend
    • Kalshi YES mid, 0–100¢
    • book consensus (no-vig)
    • Oracle line (Pro) · hollow = outside the 30–70% band
    • YES/NO buttons are the Kalshi taker cost; “pays” is 100¢ ÷ cost.
    Go Pro · $150/yr, $111 your first year →

    Gold is our distribution, parchment is the Kalshi contract at each strike; the band between them is green where our probability is higher and purple where it is lower. We publish our number only where we have measured it to be calibrated, between 30% and 70%; rungs outside that range show the market only, and a rung where our number sits more than 30 points from a liquid market is refused outright — a gap that size is a bug until proven otherwise. A contract pays $1 if it settles YES, so a price in cents is an implied probability. Prediction markets carry risk; contracts can settle at $0.

    Colts vs Commanders power ratings (Week 4)

    TeamRatingRankTier
    Indianapolis Colts-0.918thAverage
    Washington Commanders-1.626thAverage

    Colts and Commanders season outlook

    INDWAS
    Average wins8.36.9
    Make playoffs39%18%
    Win division21%9%
    Win Super Bowl1.6%1.0%

    10,000 simulated seasons on our preseason power ratings — real NFL tiebreakers, real 2026 schedule, no injuries or market prices. The season sim fits its own home-field (2.0 points, from played games); the game model above uses +2.5. How it works →

    Before kickoff: No home field: pricing Colts–Commanders on neutral ground

    Written before the game and kept as published. Final: Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13 — the graded call is above.

    The schedule flags this one as a neutral-site game, which changes how the number is built. The model zeroes out the usual 2.5-point home adjustment, so the line is pure ratings: -1.6 for the Commanders against -0.9 for the Colts, giving the Colts by 5 and 64% to win. The Commanders are the designated home team on paper only. Take home field out and the ratings gap is all that is left — which is why this number is a full 2.5 points different from what the same matchup would price at in Washington.

    The sharpest unit gap in the game runs one way: the Colts offense grades +0.4 (16th of 32) against a Commanders defense at -2.5 (29th) — 2.9 points of separation on our scale, and the single biggest reason the line sits where it does. Going the other direction, the Commanders offense (+0.6, 14th) meets the Colts defense (-1.9, 26th), a 2.5-point gap.

    Season-long, the model can barely split them: 7.7 projected wins for the Commanders against 8.3 for the Colts, favored in 6 and 9 of their 17 respectively. Two teams heading for the same neighborhood in the standings tend to produce exactly this kind of line. This game sits 10th-hardest on the Commanders' schedule and 11th-hardest on the Colts'.

    One team has owned this series: the Colts are 4-2 in 6 regular-season meetings since 2002. They last met in 2022: Commanders won 17-16 in October. Over their last 4 meetings the Commanders are 1-3. Worth saying plainly — the model does not know any of that. It reads 2026 ratings and nothing else, so a lopsided series is a story, not a number on this page.

    Does the model earn this number? In 448 of the 3266 walk-forward games it has been graded on (2013-2024, no market line used), it landed in the 65-70% range. Those favourites went 68%. The 64% on the Colts here sits in that same band, and the history backs it.

    Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS, so there is no price on the board and no edge to quote. The model's number to hold it to: Commanders 35%, Colts 65%. Applying our five-point threshold, that makes Commanders contracts a buy at 33c or below and Colts contracts a buy at 63c or below — anything between is inside the noise, and we pass. Week 1's KXNFLGAME contracts opened in May 2026 and the rest of the slate lists as the season gets closer; this page picks up the price automatically when it does.

    Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

    Colts vs Commanders on Kalshi

    Kalshi event
    KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS
    Market-implied (Commanders)
    not listed yet
    Our model (Commanders)
    35%
    Model vs market
    —

    This game has been played, so nothing above is a live market. Our pre-game market-anchored line number was 35% for the Commanders. Those are kept as the record of what the model said before kickoff, not as a quote you can act on — the contract has settled at $1 or $0.

    Every Kalshi NFL market we track →

    Where Colts vs Commanders trades

    Each venue’s own price where we have one; Robinhood and Coinbase resell the Kalshi contract. Home-side price shown.

    VenueCommandersTrade
    Kalshinot listed on Kalshi yet — opens week of the gameTrade on Kalshi →
    Novig34% 34cOpen Novig →
    Polymarketno captured price for this game — international bookSign-up offer →
    Polymarket USno captured price for this game — US exchangeSign-up offer →
    Robinhoodsame Kalshi contractsame Kalshi contract, not listed yetOpen Robinhood →
    Coinbasesame Kalshi contractsame Kalshi contract, not listed yetOpen Coinbase →
    DraftKings Predictionsprice not available — sign-up offer →Sign-up offer →
    FanDuel Predictsprice not available — sign-up offer →Sign-up offer →
    Fanatics Marketsprice not available — sign-up offer →Sign-up offer →

    A price under a venue name is that venue’s own; Robinhood and Coinbase list the same Kalshi contract. DraftKings Predictions, FanDuel Predicts and Fanatics Markets run on exchanges we have no price feed for, so they carry an offer and no number. We earn a referral credit or commission when you sign up through these links; it never changes the price or the model. Disclosure.

    Embed this game on your site

    A live tile locked to Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 — our model's win probability against the Kalshi price for this one game, not "whichever game is closest today" — for a team blog, a newsletter or a Discord landing page. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

    The MPU (300×250) and Leaderboard (728×90) sizes are IAB standard ad units — paste one where an ad already goes. Every NFL prediction-market widget.

    Article width · 560×320

    <iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-game/colts-vs-commanders-week-04-2026/hero"
  width="560"
  height="320"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 prediction — model vs Kalshi from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/colts-vs-commanders-week-04-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-game">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

    Sidebar · 320×340

    <iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-game/colts-vs-commanders-week-04-2026/sidebar"
  width="320"
  height="340"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 prediction — model vs Kalshi from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/colts-vs-commanders-week-04-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-game">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

    MPU · ad slot · 300×250

    <iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-game/colts-vs-commanders-week-04-2026/mpu"
  width="300"
  height="250"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 prediction — model vs Kalshi from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/colts-vs-commanders-week-04-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-game">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

    Leaderboard · ad slot · 728×90

    <iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-game/colts-vs-commanders-week-04-2026/leaderboard"
  width="728"
  height="90"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Colts vs Commanders, Week 4 prediction — model vs Kalshi from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/colts-vs-commanders-week-04-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-game">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

    Colts vs Commanders — frequently asked

    Who won Colts vs Commanders in Week 4?

    Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13 — final, played Sunday, October 4, 2026; our pre-game market-anchored line had the Colts by 4.5 (65% to win), and the Colts won, so that call hit. The graded call and the settled Kalshi contract are on this page.

    Who did the model favor in Colts vs Commanders before kickoff?

    Before kickoff the market line favored the Colts by 4.5 points, a 65% win probability over the Commanders. That number is kept on this page as the record of the call; Kalshi's KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS market has since settled, so no price on it is live.

    Is there a home-field advantage in this game?

    No. The schedule flags it as a neutral-site game, so the model applies zero home-field points instead of the usual 2.5. The Commanders are the designated home team for scheduling purposes only. The resulting line — Colts by 5 — is the raw ratings gap between -1.6 and -0.9.

    How do you take a position on Colts vs Commanders?

    The contract will be KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange open to traders in all 50 states. It has not opened yet; when it does, the model would take the Commanders at 33c or below, or the Colts at 63c or below. There is no point spread — you buy a yes or no contract on a team and it settles at $1 or $0.

    Where do the Commanders and Colts play this game?

    Indianapolis Colts and the Washington Commanders meet at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom on Sunday, October 4, 2026, NFL Week 4. The Commanders are the designated home team, so the game does not carry home-field advantage in our model.

    What does the model project for the Commanders and Colts this season?

    Across all 17 games the model projects the Commanders at 7.7 wins (favored in 6) and the Colts at 8.3 (favored in 9). This game ranks 10th-hardest on the Commanders' schedule and 11th-hardest on the Colts', by model win probability.

    What are the Kalshi odds for Colts vs Commanders?

    Kalshi has not listed KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS yet, so there is no Kalshi price for this game — anyone quoting one is quoting something else. Kalshi opens NFL game markets week by week. When it opens, our model would take the Commanders at 33c or below or the Colts at 63c or below, off a 5-point line.

    Could you trade Colts vs Commanders on Kalshi?

    This game has been played, so the Week 4 market KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS has settled — there is no position left to take on it. While it was open it traded as an event contract rather than a point spread: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange open to traders in all 50 states, you bought a YES or NO contract on a team between 1c and 99c, and it settled at $1 or $0, so the price paid was the break-even probability. Kalshi lists the next week's games on the same terms.

    How often does the model win when it is 65% on a team like the Colts?

    68% of the time. Over 3266 walk-forward games from 2013-2024 — trained only on prior seasons, no market line as an input — the model put a team in the 65-70% range 448 times, and those teams won 68% of them. The Colts at 65% over the Commanders sit in that band, off a 5-point model line. Straight-up across all 3266 graded games the model picked winners at 59.6%, with a Brier score of 0.236 against 0.25 for a coin flip.

    Is Commanders moneyline worth a position?

    Our model puts it at 35% against a market price implying 33%, an edge of +1.5 points. Model 35% vs the last Kalshi price before kickoff, 33% on WAS — kept as the pre-game record. We pass — no position.

    Trade this game on Kalshi →Commanders hub →Colts hub →Kalshi NFL hub →Week 4 edge board →NFL predictions hub →

    Every Thursday before kickoff: the full Week 4 card, market price vs our number. Free.

    No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

    Next up for each team

    Colts: Week 5 at SteelersModel line →Commanders: Week 5 vs GiantsModel line →

    More Week 4 matchups

    Steelers at BrownsBrowns −2Titans at RavensRavens −7.5Patriots at BillsBills −2.5Jets at BearsBears −2.5Jaguars at BengalsJaguars −0.5Cowboys at TexansTexans −2.5Cardinals at GiantsCardinals −0.5Rams at EaglesRams −0.5Packers at BuccaneersPackers −3.5Dolphins at VikingsVikings −5Chiefs at RaidersChiefs −0.5Chargers at SeahawksSeahawks −8Broncos at 49ers49ers −3.5Lions at PanthersevenFalcons at SaintsSaints −2

    Full Week 4 board →Next: NFL Week 5 predictions →

    Same model, inside your AI agent

    The engine behind these numbers is callable from Claude, ChatGPT or Grok through our MCP server — every Kalshi prop this week priced venue by venue, spread and win-total ladders against the whole distribution, correlation-aware same-game combos, and the weekly game edges. The free tools answer with no key and no account.

    See the in-season NFL tools →

    Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.

    More NFL model boards