MS Senate
Mississippi Senate winner? (2026)
300k contracts traded · 214k open
MS SENATE 2026Live · updated hourlyForecasters: Safe R · Cook, Inside Elections
Mississippi Senate Race 2026: Scott Colom vs Cindy Hyde-Smith Odds
Mississippi is a safe Republican hold with Cindy Hyde-Smith running for re-election. The market prices it as settled; Mississippi’s alignment has produced the occasional closer-than-expected result, but the contract treats a genuine upset as a deep tail. Useful mostly as a red-state calibration point on the board.
Seat held by Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)running
Quick Answer
As of October 12, 2026, Cindy Hyde-Smith leads the Mississippi Senate market at 91¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 91%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe R (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections), so the gap between that rating and this price is the whole question.
Seat held by Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) — incumbent.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Oct 12, 4:07 PM UTC · refreshed hourly through Election Day.
Who is running for Mississippi Senate
Scott Colom
Democrat8¢
Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican91¢
Seat held by Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) — incumbent.
Live Mississippi Senate Market
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real moneyTrade →
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip.
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<a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/midterms-2026/mississippi-senate?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=graphic&utm_campaign=midterms-mississippi-senate-graphic"><img src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/midterms-2026/graphics/mississippi-senate-race-odds-2026.png" alt="Chart of Kalshi odds for the 2026 Mississippi Senate race: Cindy Hyde-Smith 92%, Scott Colom 9%." width="1200" height="675"></a>
<p>Source: <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/midterms-2026/mississippi-senate?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=graphic&utm_campaign=midterms-mississippi-senate-graphic">PredictionMarketsPicks</a> (CC BY 4.0)</p>Election Night board in your inbox — every race's live price, free
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Mississippi Senate 2026 — frequently asked
Who is favored to win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
As of October 12, 2026, Kalshi prices Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) at 91¢ — a 91% implied chance — to win the Mississippi Senate race; Scott Colom (D) is at 8¢. Each contract pays $1 if its side wins, so the price in cents is the market’s probability, and it reprices continuously. Forecasters rate the race Safe R (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections); the gap between that rating and the price is what this page tracks.
Is the Mississippi Senate race a toss-up?
No. The market prices Cindy Hyde-Smith at 91¢, which leaves the rest of the field roughly 9%. A toss-up in market terms means the leading contract sits near 50¢. The live board above updates hourly.
Who is running for Mississippi Senate in 2026?
The general-election candidates for the Mississippi Senate race are Scott Colom (Democrat) and Cindy Hyde-Smith (Republican), per the Kalshi contracts, whose rules name each candidate’s party as of 2026-10-06. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
How do I trade the Mississippi Senate market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists the Mississippi Senate winner as a set of YES/NO contracts, one per outcome, each settling at $1 if it happens and $0 if it doesn’t. Buy the side you think is underpriced relative to your own probability, and the difference between your estimate and the market price is your edge. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states; every price on this page links straight to the live market.
How accurate were prediction markets in Mississippi in 2024?
Prediction markets had a strong 2024 — Kalshi and Polymarket called all seven swing states correctly the night before, often while the polling averages were still split. Our full state-by-state scorecard, including where the markets missed, is in the 2024 accuracy audit linked below, and it’s the best base rate for how much to trust the Mississippi contract this cycle.