Louisiana Senate Results 2026: Letlow Beats Davis
Quick Answer
Julia Letlow (R) won the 2026 Louisiana Senate race, beating Jamie Davis (D).
The seat stayed with the same party.
Forecasters before the vote: Safe R (Cook Political Report); Likely R (Inside Elections); Lean R (Sabato's Crystal Ball).
How the market priced it
Kalshi’s last price at 11 PM ET on Nov. 2, the night before the vote.
- Julia Letlow87¢
- Jamie Davis14¢
The market had it: Julia Letlow was the favorite at 87¢.
How the markets did across every pre-registered race: the 2026 prediction market scorecard.
Louisiana Senate 2026 — frequently asked
Who won the 2026 Louisiana Senate race?
Julia Letlow (R) won the 2026 Louisiana Senate race, beating Jamie Davis (D). Fox News called the race (Nov. 4, 1:41 AM ET).
What did prediction markets price before the vote?
At 11 PM ET on Nov. 2, Kalshi's last price before polls opened: Julia Letlow 87¢, Jamie Davis 14¢. Each contract pays $1 if that side wins, so the price reads as an implied probability.
Was it a flip?
No. Republicans held the seat.
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Race call as credited above. Prices from Kalshi. This page reports results and prices and takes no side.