NH Senate
New Hampshire Senate winner? (2026)
136k contracts traded · 88k open
NH SENATE 2026Live · updated hourlyRating: Lean D
New Hampshire Senate Race 2026 — Live Prediction Market Odds
New Hampshire is an open seat after Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement, and the market prices it as lean-Democratic rather than safe — an open seat in a swing-y state is genuinely contestable. The contract reprices on candidate recruitment and the national mood; New Hampshire’s thin margins mean a few points of environment can pull this one toward a true toss-up, so read the live price against the generic ballot.
Seat held by Jeanne Shaheen (D)retiring — OPEN SEAT
Who holds the New Hampshire seat
Jeanne Shaheen
DemocratOpen seat
Seat is open in 2026 — the field is still forming; the live board below carries every priced contender.
Live New Hampshire Senate Market
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How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip.
New Hampshire Senate 2026 — frequently asked
Who is favored to win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
The live board above shows the current market favorite — read each contract’s price as the market’s implied probability, so a 55¢ contract is a 55% chance. Going into the cycle the seat is held by Jeanne Shaheen (Democrat) and rated lean d; because a real-money market reprices continuously, take today’s favorite off the price, not a static rating.
How do I trade the New Hampshire Senate market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists the New Hampshire Senate winner as a set of YES/NO contracts, one per outcome, each settling at $1 if it happens and $0 if it doesn’t. Buy the side you think is underpriced relative to your own probability, and the difference between your estimate and the market price is your edge. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states; every price on this page links straight to the live market.
How accurate were prediction markets in New Hampshire in 2024?
Prediction markets had a strong 2024 — Kalshi and Polymarket called all seven swing states correctly the night before, often while the polling averages were still split. Our full state-by-state scorecard, including where the markets missed, is in the 2024 accuracy audit linked below, and it’s the best base rate for how much to trust the New Hampshire contract this cycle.
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