DE Senate
Delaware Senate winner? (2026)
27k contracts traded Β· 21k open
DE SENATE 2026Live Β· updated hourlyForecasters: Safe D Β· Cook, Inside Elections
Delaware Senate Race 2026 β Live Prediction Market Odds
Delaware is about as safe as Democratic seats get, with Chris Coons running for re-election in a state that has not sent a Republican to the Senate in decades. The market prices it as a formality; the contract is a floor reference more than a trade β useful for calibrating what a near-certain hold looks like when you are pricing the states that actually swing.
Seat held by Chris Coons (D)running
Quick Answer
As of October 12, 2026, Democratic party leads the Delaware Senate market at 98Β’ β real money putting the implied probability at 98%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe D (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections), so the gap between that rating and this price is the whole question.
Seat held by Chris Coons (D) β incumbent.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Prices updated Oct 12, 4:07 AM UTC Β· refreshed hourly through Election Day.
Live Delaware Senate Market
Kalshi Β· CFTC-regulated Β· real moneyTrade β
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the marketβs implied probability β a 58Β’ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50Β’, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip.
Use this graphic β free with credit (CC BY 4.0)
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<a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/midterms-2026/delaware-senate?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=graphic&utm_campaign=midterms-delaware-senate-graphic"><img src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/midterms-2026/graphics/delaware-senate-race-odds-2026.png" alt="Chart of Kalshi odds for the 2026 Delaware Senate race: Democrats 99%, Republicans 2%." width="1200" height="675"></a>
<p>Source: <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/midterms-2026/delaware-senate?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=graphic&utm_campaign=midterms-delaware-senate-graphic">PredictionMarketsPicks</a> (CC BY 4.0)</p>Election Night board in your inbox β every race's live price, free
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A live card locked to the Delaware Senate race β not βwhichever race is closest todayβ β for a state paper, a newsletter or a campaign-watcher blog. Free; the credit line is the only ask. Prices refresh every 15 minutes.
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<iframe src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/midterms-race/de/sidebar" width="300" height="600" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="Delaware Senate 2026 β live prediction market prices β PredictionMarketsPicks"></iframe> <p><a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/midterms-2026/delaware-senate">Delaware Senate race odds</a> by PredictionMarketsPicks</p>
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Delaware Senate 2026 β frequently asked
Who is favored to win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
As of October 12, 2026, Kalshi prices Democrats at 98Β’ β a 98% implied chance β to win the Delaware Senate race; Republicans is at 2Β’. Each contract pays $1 if its side wins, so the price in cents is the marketβs probability, and it reprices continuously. Forecasters rate the race Safe D (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections); the gap between that rating and the price is what this page tracks.
Is the Delaware Senate race a toss-up?
No. The market prices Democrats at 98Β’, which leaves the rest of the field roughly 2%. A toss-up in market terms means the leading contract sits near 50Β’. The live board above updates hourly.
How do I trade the Delaware Senate market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists the Delaware Senate winner as a set of YES/NO contracts, one per outcome, each settling at $1 if it happens and $0 if it doesnβt. Buy the side you think is underpriced relative to your own probability, and the difference between your estimate and the market price is your edge. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states; every price on this page links straight to the live market.
How accurate were prediction markets in Delaware in 2024?
Prediction markets had a strong 2024 β Kalshi and Polymarket called all seven swing states correctly the night before, often while the polling averages were still split. Our full state-by-state scorecard, including where the markets missed, is in the 2024 accuracy audit linked below, and itβs the best base rate for how much to trust the Delaware contract this cycle.