DE Senate
Delaware Senate winner? (2026)
9.2k contracts traded · 7.7k open
DE SENATE 2026Live · updated hourlyRating: Safe D
Delaware Senate Race 2026 — Live Prediction Market Odds
Delaware is about as safe as Democratic seats get, with Chris Coons running for re-election in a state that has not sent a Republican to the Senate in decades. The market prices it as a formality; the contract is a floor reference more than a trade — useful for calibrating what a near-certain hold looks like when you are pricing the states that actually swing.
Seat held by Chris Coons (D)running
Quick Answer
As of August 27, 2026, Democratic party leads the Delaware Senate market at 98¢ — real money putting the implied probability at 98%. Forecasters rate the seat Safe D, so the gap between that rating and this price is the whole question.
Seat held by Chris Coons (D) — incumbent.
Why trust the price: prediction markets called all seven 2024 presidential swing states correctly, often while polling averages were still split. Our state-by-state audit grades where they missed too.
Who holds the Delaware seat
Chris Coons
DemocratIncumbent
Holds the seat and is on the 2026 ballot — read the live board below for the current market favorite.
Live Delaware Senate Market
Kalshi · CFTC-regulated · real moneyTrade →
How to read this
Each contract pays $1 at resolution, so the price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a 58¢ contract is a 58% chance. When the leading price sits near 50¢, the market is telling you the race is a genuine coin flip.
Delaware Senate 2026 — frequently asked
Who is favored to win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
The live board above shows the current market favorite — read each contract’s price as the market’s implied probability, so a 55¢ contract is a 55% chance. Going into the cycle the seat is held by Chris Coons (Democrat) and rated safe d; because a real-money market reprices continuously, take today’s favorite off the price, not a static rating.
How do I trade the Delaware Senate market on Kalshi?
Kalshi lists the Delaware Senate winner as a set of YES/NO contracts, one per outcome, each settling at $1 if it happens and $0 if it doesn’t. Buy the side you think is underpriced relative to your own probability, and the difference between your estimate and the market price is your edge. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to traders in all 50 states; every price on this page links straight to the live market.
How accurate were prediction markets in Delaware in 2024?
Prediction markets had a strong 2024 — Kalshi and Polymarket called all seven swing states correctly the night before, often while the polling averages were still split. Our full state-by-state scorecard, including where the markets missed, is in the 2024 accuracy audit linked below, and it’s the best base rate for how much to trust the Delaware contract this cycle.
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