Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets
Sunday, January 3, 2027 · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Vikings
46%
model win prob
Jets
54%
model win prob
Model line
Jets −1.5
Kalshi (Jets)
—
Edge
pending
Model favors the Jets — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff
KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.
Power-rating comparison
The prediction-market read
In Week 17, the Minnesota Vikings travel to face the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Jets 29th of 32 (Below Avg tier, -2.3) and the Vikings 26th (Average tier, -1.3). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Jets by 1.5 — a 54% win probability for the Jets.
Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 54% (Jets) / 46% (Vikings) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.
Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.
Vikings vs Jets — frequently asked
Who is favored in Vikings vs Jets in Week 17?
Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Jets by 1.5 points and gives them a 54% win probability over the Vikings. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.
What does the model project for Vikings vs Jets?
Home win probability 54% (Jets), away 46% (Vikings). That comes from a power-rating differential of -1.0 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Jets rate 29th of 32 (Below Avg tier), the Vikings 26th (Average tier).
Can you trade Vikings vs Jets on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.
When and where do the Jets host the Vikings?
Minnesota Vikings visit the New York Jets on Sunday, January 3, 2027 in NFL Week 17, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ.
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Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.