New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Sunday, January 3, 2027 · AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Giants

37%

model win prob

Cowboys

63%

model win prob

Model line

Cowboys −4.5

Kalshi (Cowboys)

—

Edge

pending

Model favors the Cowboys — Kalshi market opens closer to kickoff

KXNFLGAME lists this game one to two weeks out. The model read above is live; the market column fills in automatically when the contract opens.

Power-rating comparison

TeamRatingRankTier

New York Giants-1.125thAverage

Dallas Cowboys+0.911thAverage

The prediction-market read

In Week 17, the New York Giants travel to face the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX. Our DAEPA power-rating model rates the Cowboys 11th of 32 (Average tier, +0.9) and the Giants 25th (Average tier, -1.1). After a 2.5-point home-field adjustment, the model lands on the Cowboys by 4.5 — a 63% win probability for the Cowboys.

Kalshi lists each game's winner market one to two weeks before kickoff, so the live price for this matchup isn't posted yet. When it opens we compare the implied probability to our 63% (Cowboys) / 37% (Giants) model split and flag any gap of five points or more as an edge.

This is a NFC East divisional game — both teams meet twice in 2026, and division results carry the tiebreakers that decide the NFC East race. Track the full division on the NFC East hub.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

Giants vs Cowboys — frequently asked

Who is favored in Giants vs Cowboys in Week 17?

Our DAEPA power-rating model favors the Cowboys by 4.5 points and gives them a 63% win probability over the Giants. Kalshi lists the game's win market one to two weeks before kickoff; the model line above is live now.

What does the model project for Giants vs Cowboys?

Home win probability 63% (Cowboys), away 37% (Giants). That comes from a power-rating differential of +2.0 plus 2.5 points home field, run through a Normal model (σ=13.5). The Cowboys rate 11th of 32 (Average tier), the Giants 25th (Average tier).

Can you trade Giants vs Cowboys on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists each NFL game's winner market (KXNFLGAME), typically one to two weeks before kickoff, to traders in all 50 states. You take a yes/no position on a team that settles at $1 or $0 — no point spread, just the binary outcome.