FOMC Rate Decision Tracker
Live Kalshi prediction market probabilities for the next Fed rate decision — cut, hold, or hike.
What Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing right now, rendered in a tile that updates itself. One line of code, zero JavaScript, CSP-safe — and every tile credits PredictionMarketsPicks.
The next FOMC decision, recession odds, CPI, the S&P 500 year-end distribution, the Macro Pulse health score and the economic calendar — what Kalshi is pricing right now.
Live Kalshi prediction market probabilities for the next Fed rate decision — cut, hold, or hike.
Live market-implied probability of a US recession from Kalshi NBER contracts. Updates every 5 minutes.
Live market-implied CPI probability distribution from Kalshi bracket markets. Implied median, Fed 2% target marker, and core CPI. Updated every 5 minutes.
Crowd-sourced probability distribution of S&P 500 year-end closing levels from 27 Kalshi bracket markets. Mode, implied median, tail risk.
Single 0–100 composite of US macro health derived from 11 FRED economic series — growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment. Classified into five regimes from Recession Watch to Expansion. Updates daily.
Upcoming US macro releases — FOMC, CPI, NBER recession quarter — with countdowns and the live Kalshi prediction market consensus per event. Refreshes every 15 minutes.
NFL model vs. the live Kalshi price — this week, per game, per team, the boards — plus NHL team cards, Super Bowl odds, Premier League and Kalshi vs. Polymarket sports gaps, and UFC fight cards.
The current NFL week's sharpest matchup — PMP Gridiron model win probability vs live Kalshi KXNFLGAME prices, edge in percentage points. One always-current embeddable widget that auto-advances every week.
A single NFL game as a card: away and home logos, the PMP model win probability, the Kalshi KXNFLGAME price in cents, the edge in percentage points, and a BUY/PASS verdict. Lock it to any game, or let the generic tile feature the week’s biggest edge.
One NFL team as a card: crest, the PMP model’s projected 2026 win total with its standard deviation and league rank, the Kalshi KXNFLWINS-27 market-implied line, and the raw divergence between them. The generic embed features the biggest live model-vs-market disagreement.
One NHL team as a card: the 10,000-season simulation’s playoff chance and projected points, the Kalshi make-the-playoffs price, the Stanley Cup chance against Kalshi, and the Goal Light power rank. The generic embed features the club whose simulated playoff chance sits furthest from its Kalshi price; every club is also addressable by its team-page slug.
The Super Bowl LXI contenders ranked by live Kalshi champion-market price — every NFL team’s title odds on the KXSB winner series, with a countdown to Super Bowl LXI (Feb 14, 2027, SoFi Stadium). Updated hourly.
Weekly PMP Gridiron Edge top-of-the-league power rankings with week-over-week movement arrows. Points-scale PWR (expected margin vs. an average team on a neutral field) for the NFL’s best teams. Refreshes weekly in-season, monthly off-season.
The biggest gaps between the PMP Gridiron Edge model and the NFL prediction market, ranked. Each row is the side the model backs, its win probability, the Kalshi-implied price, and the edge in percentage points. The consumer-safe expression of the edge — model + public prices only.
Rotating 3–5 card carousel of the top NFL game mispricings — PMP Gridiron Edge model vs live Kalshi prices. Off-season surfaces the Week 1 slate; in-season refreshes weekly. Updates every 5 minutes.
The active NFL week’s full slate with the PMP Gridiron Edge model line and win probability for each game next to the live Kalshi prediction-market price and the model-minus-market edge. Every game, not just the disagreements. Refreshes every five minutes.
The sharpest NFL player-prop gap of the current week — our projection's probability that a player clears his line against the live Kalshi contract price, edge in percentage points. ONE always-current widget that auto-advances every week.
This week's widest spread-ladder gap as a card: the Kalshi contract price at every listed strike beside our full margin distribution, the derived verdict (SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED) and the headline strike. The picture is free; rung-by-rung numbers live on /nfl/ladder. Auto-advances every week.
One NFL player's headline Kalshi prop ladder as a card: the Kalshi price at every listed strike, the consensus line at the same strikes, and the verdict chip. Lock it to any player, or let the generic tile feature this week's top-ranked ladder. Market data only.
Live cross-exchange price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same games — NBA and MLB (NFL added in September). Where two efficient exchanges disagree, ranked by KL divergence. Updated every 15 minutes.
Live Premier League match-result prices on two US exchanges side by side — home, draw and away, cheaper venue marked per leg, plus what a complete set costs all-in. One rolling card per upcoming fixture.
Tale-of-the-tape carousel for the next UFC card — two-fighter matchups with live Kalshi win-probability prices and comma-free American odds per side, plus a labeled sportsbook reference line. Bouts without a listed market show "Market opens soon" — never a fabricated price. Rolls to the next card automatically. Updates every 15 minutes.
The 2028 presidential race, the 2026 midterms board through Election Day, and the government-shutdown market.
Live prediction market probabilities for the 2028 US presidential election from Polymarket. General election and nomination odds updated every 5 minutes.
Which party controls Congress after the 2026 midterms, with called seat counts for the House and Senate in one card. Rolls to the next Congress once its control markets are confirmed.
One embed per state that rotates through that state’s 2026 races — Senate, governor, each House district Kalshi prices, then control of Congress — at live Kalshi implied probability. Lock it to your state, or let the generic tile rotate the closest races nationally.
The closest 2026 US Senate race on the final Kalshi tape: who won, who made the call, and the last pre-election price. Lock it to one state for that race’s record. Rolls to the next cycle once its markets are confirmed.
The 2026 Senate and House results with seat counts and how the prediction markets graded, from the Kalshi tape at 11 PM ET on Nov. 2. Rolls to the next open congressional cycle once its markets are confirmed.
Live probability of a US government shutdown from Kalshi prediction markets. Active during budget deadline windows. Shows dormant monitoring state when no deadline is active.
Reality TV and awards markets — who the market says goes home, and who wins.
Live Kalshi odds for the reality show on air — who wins the season and who goes home this week — for Dancing With the Stars, Survivor and Big Brother. Lock it to one show, or let it feature whichever show’s elimination closes next.
Today’s high-temperature markets by city — the market favorite beside the forecast.
Today’s high-temperature market for a city: the NWS forecast high beside the Kalshi price on each bracket, and the bracket the market favors. Thirteen cities, including New York, Philadelphia and Boston; the generic tile shows New York City.
Oracle Unpriced — markets where the news has hit but the price hasn’t moved — and the live longshot scanner.
Live feed of prediction market contracts where breaking news has hit but contract prices haven’t moved yet. Refreshed every 15 minutes by the Oracle v2 signal engine.
Publisher licensing is per outlet: placements, sites, and the credit link. Contact Enterprise.
Preview free on your own page — a handful of loads a day per site — then license it. Live publication runs on an Enterprise key — Contact Enterprise at the7oracles@gmail.com.
Publisher licensing is per outlet: placements, sites, and the credit link. Contact Enterprise. Write to the7oracles@gmail.com.
Every tile carries the credit bar inside the frame (THE 7 ORACLES · Powered by PredictionMarketsPicks) and one credit line under it that links to the tile’s page as a standard followed link. The credit is part of the license on every tier.
Live prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.com via their public APIs; model numbers from The 7 Oracles’ simulations. Each tile’s payload refreshes on its own cadence (5–15 minutes for most; daily for Macro Pulse) and the tile re-renders on every load.
Hero 560×300 · Article 728×400 · Sidebar 320×200–360 · MPU 300×250 · Leaderboard 728×90 (IAB units) — not every tile ships every size; each tile’s page lists its own.
Enterprise keys carry your own Kalshi / Polymarket US destination; the tile’s trade button renders it instead of ours.
Need the numbers instead of the tile? JSON and CSV at /api/public/[slug] with an Enterprise key, to render natively — same credit line applies.
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The next FOMC decision — cut, hold or hike — at the price Kalshi is trading it. Updates itself.