Play of the Day · Saturday, November 14, 2026
Prediction Market Picks Today — Nov 14
The single best prediction market trade surfaced by The 7 Oracles each morning.
NO to beat CAR (CAR @ NO, Week 10)
POSITION
YES
ENTRY PRICE
55¢
CLOSES
2026-11-15
NFL Edge reads YES at 55¢ — 4.2pp of edge, strong tier.
NFL Edge flagged this contract as today's top published position: YES on "NO to beat CAR (CAR @ NO, Week 10)", priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. The model's fair value sits 4.2pp away from the market on this side. An edge is a model-vs-market disagreement, not a guarantee — size it small.
Track Record
34
Wins
33
Losses
51%
Win %
+$1.75
P/L
The Ledger — We Show the Work
Every published play, graded at contract resolution. Entry is the price paid at publish (¢ per $1 contract).
Nov 12 · YES @ 43¢
Erling Haaland anytime goal: Nottingham Forest vs Man City
Nov 7 · YES @ 55¢
Gold above $4,114.00 at Nov 5, 5:00 PM ET
Nov 5 · NO @ 77¢
Erling Haaland to score (1+ goals): RB Leipzig vs Man City, Champions League
Nov 4 · YES @ 38¢
Kansas Senate: Adam Hamilton (D) to win
Nov 3 · YES @ 63¢
TB to beat ATL (ATL @ TB, Week 8)
Nov 1 · YES @ 55¢
Jonathan Taylor 3+ receptions (IND vs JAX)
Oct 31 · NO @ 53¢
Tommy Tremble 3+ receptions (CAR vs GB)
Oct 29 · NO @ 61¢
Gold above $4,013.00 at Oct 28, 5:00 PM ET
Oct 28 · YES @ 78¢
Erling Haaland anytime goal: Aston Villa vs Man City
Oct 24 · YES @ 55¢
Phoenix high 83° or above on Oct 23
Oct 23 · NO @ 74¢
Boston high 65° or above on Oct 22
Oct 22 · NO @ 77¢
Mike Washington Jr. 15+ rushing yards: Rams at Raiders
Oct 21 · YES @ 64¢
Bucky Irving 60+ rushing yards: Packers at Buccaneers
Oct 4 · YES @ 44¢
Colts-Chiefs Sunday Night Football: Kenneth Walker anytime touchdown
Sep 20 · YES @ 61¢
Lions-Bills Thursday Night Football: Over 54.5 points
Sep 17 · YES @ 51¢
Trump's Next Press Secretary: Roma Daravi
Aug 14 · YES @ 4¢
Arizona vs Las Vegas: Over 42.5 points?
Aug 13 · YES @ 48¢
Jul 19 · YES @ 42¢
Jude Bellingham to score vs Argentina — World Cup Semifinal
Jul 15 · YES @ 27¢
Jul 14 · YES @ 30¢
Jul 10 · YES @ 52¢
Jul 7 · YES @ 61¢
Jul 6 · YES @ 38¢
Jul 4 · YES @ 47¢
Jun 29 · YES @ 61¢
Jun 28 · YES @ 36¢
Jun 25 · YES @ 52¢
Canada to win World Cup 2026 Group B
Jun 24 · YES @ 58¢
Jun 23 · YES @ 61¢
Jun 18 · NO @ 51¢
Türkiye to Advance — World Cup Group D
Jun 17 · YES @ 51¢
Jun 16 · YES @ 46¢
Jun 15 · YES @ 61¢
Jun 14 · YES @ 52¢
Jun 13 · YES @ 55¢
Son Heung-min to Lead South Korea in World Cup Goals
Jun 10 · YES @ 36¢
Jun 8 · YES @ 56¢
Sarah Jessica Parker to say "President" at Northwestern Commencement
Jun 4 · YES @ 54¢
New York Knicks to win Game 1 (vs. San Antonio Spurs)
Jun 3 · YES @ 37¢
Bitcoin above $69,250 at 5 PM ET?
Jun 2 · NO @ 52¢
A.J. Brown's Next Team — New England
May 28 · YES @ 82¢
Liberation — Best Play (2026 Tony Awards)
May 25 · YES @ 74¢
Victor Wembanyama — 2026 NBA Finals MVP
May 20 · YES @ 40¢
Karl-Anthony Towns — Eastern Conference Finals MVP
May 15 · YES @ 12¢
Will Trump say "Marjorie Traitor Greene" before Jul 1, 2026?
May 14 · YES @ 38¢
LA High Temperature > 69°F on 5/13/26
May 13 · YES @ 24¢
Spotify Global #1 in May — Michael Jackson
May 6 · NO @ 38¢
Silver ≥ $71.99 Friday Close — Silver Edge Flags 14pp Mispricing
Apr 30 · YES @ 55¢
WTI Crude Oil Closes Above $100 — April 28
Apr 28 · YES @ 39¢
Cooper Flagg — NBA Rookie of the Year
Apr 26 · YES @ 79¢
Will Trump say "Epstein" at the WHCD?
Apr 25 · YES @ 7¢
San Antonio Spurs to win 2026 NBA Championship
Apr 24 · YES @ 12¢
Caleb Banks to be drafted in the 1st round
Apr 23 · YES @ 26¢
2026 NFL Draft #4 Overall Pick — Jeremiyah Love (Titans)
Apr 22 · YES @ 36¢
Will Central Cee be featured on Drake's ICEMAN album?
Apr 20 · YES @ 67¢
Dandelion: First-Week Pure Album Sales Over 40,000
Apr 16 · YES @ 31¢
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor 50?
Apr 15 · YES @ 16¢
Rory McIlroy to Win the 2026 Masters
Apr 12 · YES @ 35¢
Harry Kane — World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Winner
Apr 9 · YES @ 12¢
Another Trump Cabinet Change This Month?
Apr 8 · YES @ 61¢
Will Lee Zeldin be announced as next Attorney General?
Apr 3 · YES @ 60¢
Will Pam Bondi leave as Attorney General?
Apr 2 · YES @ 52¢
Oklahoma vs Colorado — Gene Clemons Play of the Day
Apr 1 · YES @ 51¢
Where will the wedding of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occur?
Mar 31 · YES @ 47¢
Open positions — 10 still in play
NO to beat CAR (CAR @ NO, Week 10)
Nov 14 · YES @ 55¢
James Cook to lead the NFL in rushing yards
Nov 13 · YES @ 15¢
You Can See Everything to win Best Picture at the 2027 Oscars
Oct 5 · YES @ 6¢
Heisman Trophy Winner 2026: LaNorris Sellers (South Carolina)
Sep 4 · YES @ 3¢
Heisman Trophy Winner 2026: Sam Leavitt (LSU)
Sep 3 · YES @ 4¢
Drake — Top Artist on Spotify (USA) 2026
May 17 · YES @ 73¢
Pandemic in 2026 — Media-Frenzy Momentum (Kalshi KXNEWOUTBREAK-P-26)
May 12 · YES @ 15¢
Carnell Tate to win 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
Apr 27 · YES @ 17¢
2028 Democratic Primary Winner — Andy Beshear
Apr 17 · YES @ 4¢
Aaron Taylor-Johnson to Be the Next James Bond
Apr 14 · YES @ 22¢
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Every signal graded in public, losers left on the board. See the record →
NFL this weekNFL Week 10 predictions →NFL Week 11 predictions — early lines →Week 9 results →
Week 10 gamesCommanders at GiantsPatriots at LionsChiefs at FalconsTexans at BrownsVikings at PackersDolphins at ColtsPanthers at SaintsBills at JetsJaguars at TitansRams at CardinalsSeahawks at Raiders49ers at CowboysSteelers at BengalsChargers at Ravens
Play of the Day — frequently asked
What is the Play of the Day?
One live Kalshi contract per day. An Oracle can enter it any time up to 11:59 AM ET; if nobody has by then, it is selected automatically at 12:05 PM ET from the graded ledgers of our own tools. A play an Oracle enters always takes priority over the automatic one.
How is the automatic play chosen?
The called side has to be the market favorite (priced at 50¢ or more), the contract cannot be within 90 minutes of settling, and lower-confidence WATCH or flagged reads are never the call. A source that has lost more than 5¢ per contract over its last 30 days can appear on the Board but cannot be the call until it recovers.
What is Today's Board?
When no contract clears the bar for a call, the page shows Today's Board instead: the live reads from our tools that day, listed for you to judge, with no single play called.
How is the track record graded?
Every play is graded against the Kalshi settlement. The record on this page counts wins, losses, win rate and P/L before fees, and every graded play is listed in the archive at /picks-today/archive. Judge it on P/L, not win rate — a favorite wins more often and pays less.
Is the Play of the Day a guaranteed winner?
No. It is a market read — what the market is pricing and where our tools disagree — not a promise. Size any position you take with the Kelly calculator and trade responsibly.