Play of the Day · Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Prediction Market Picks Today — Sep 29
The single best prediction market trade surfaced by The 7 Oracles each morning.
Still live · Posted September 4
Heisman Trophy Winner 2026: LaNorris Sellers (South Carolina)
POSITION
YES
ENTRY PRICE
3¢
CLOSES
2027-01-01
Sellers is a bully at quarterback — physically dominant as a runner and still emerging as a passer. If the off-season arm work shows up, this is a video-game stat line waiting to happen, and Kalshi has it at 3¢.
Coach Gene's read: LaNorris Sellers wins games with his body. He is a physically dominant runner who already forces defenses to account for him on every snap, and the passing game is the part still coming. If the work he put in over the summer lets him take the next step with his arm, South Carolina's offense goes from dangerous to absurd and the box scores start doing the campaigning for him. The market angle: Kalshi is the cheaper venue here — 2¢ bid / 3¢ ask against 3¢ / 4¢ on Polymarket US — with more than $530K traded on the Sellers contract. Three cents is the price of a name the market has already seen and priced as a runner-first quarterback. The first big passing game changes the label and the price with it; Gene's own line is that a 3¢ Sellers can be a 65¢ asset by Halloween in a hot-start scenario, and the point is you sell into that run, you do not wait on New York. ¼-Kelly share, speculative, and set your exit before you enter.
Track Record
24
Wins
28
Losses
46%
Win %
+77¢
P/L
The Ledger — We Show the Work
Every published play, graded at contract resolution. Entry is the price paid at publish (¢ per $1 contract).
Colts-Chiefs Sunday Night Football: Kenneth Walker anytime touchdown
Sep 20 · YES @ 61¢
Lions-Bills Thursday Night Football: Over 54.5 points
Sep 17 · YES @ 51¢
Arizona vs Las Vegas: Over 42.5 points?
Aug 13 · YES @ 48¢
Jul 19 · YES @ 42¢
Jude Bellingham to score vs Argentina — World Cup Semifinal
Jul 15 · YES @ 27¢
Jul 14 · YES @ 30¢
Jul 10 · YES @ 52¢
Jul 7 · YES @ 61¢
Jul 6 · YES @ 38¢
Jul 4 · YES @ 47¢
Jun 29 · YES @ 61¢
Jun 28 · YES @ 36¢
Jun 25 · YES @ 52¢
Canada to win World Cup 2026 Group B
Jun 24 · YES @ 58¢
Jun 23 · YES @ 61¢
Jun 18 · NO @ 51¢
Türkiye to Advance — World Cup Group D
Jun 17 · YES @ 51¢
Jun 16 · YES @ 46¢
Jun 15 · YES @ 61¢
Jun 14 · YES @ 52¢
Jun 13 · YES @ 55¢
Son Heung-min to Lead South Korea in World Cup Goals
Jun 10 · YES @ 36¢
Jun 8 · YES @ 56¢
Sarah Jessica Parker to say "President" at Northwestern Commencement
Jun 4 · YES @ 54¢
New York Knicks to win Game 1 (vs. San Antonio Spurs)
Jun 3 · YES @ 37¢
Bitcoin above $69,250 at 5 PM ET?
Jun 2 · NO @ 52¢
A.J. Brown's Next Team — New England
May 28 · YES @ 82¢
Liberation — Best Play (2026 Tony Awards)
May 25 · YES @ 74¢
Victor Wembanyama — 2026 NBA Finals MVP
May 20 · YES @ 40¢
Karl-Anthony Towns — Eastern Conference Finals MVP
May 15 · YES @ 12¢
Will Trump say "Marjorie Traitor Greene" before Jul 1, 2026?
May 14 · YES @ 38¢
LA High Temperature > 69°F on 5/13/26
May 13 · YES @ 24¢
Spotify Global #1 in May — Michael Jackson
May 6 · NO @ 38¢
Silver ≥ $71.99 Friday Close — Silver Edge Flags 14pp Mispricing
Apr 30 · YES @ 55¢
WTI Crude Oil Closes Above $100 — April 28
Apr 28 · YES @ 39¢
Cooper Flagg — NBA Rookie of the Year
Apr 26 · YES @ 79¢
Will Trump say "Epstein" at the WHCD?
Apr 25 · YES @ 7¢
San Antonio Spurs to win 2026 NBA Championship
Apr 24 · YES @ 12¢
Caleb Banks to be drafted in the 1st round
Apr 23 · YES @ 26¢
2026 NFL Draft #4 Overall Pick — Jeremiyah Love (Titans)
Apr 22 · YES @ 36¢
Will Central Cee be featured on Drake's ICEMAN album?
Apr 20 · YES @ 67¢
Dandelion: First-Week Pure Album Sales Over 40,000
Apr 16 · YES @ 31¢
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor 50?
Apr 15 · YES @ 16¢
Rory McIlroy to Win the 2026 Masters
Apr 12 · YES @ 35¢
Harry Kane — World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Winner
Apr 9 · YES @ 12¢
Another Trump Cabinet Change This Month?
Apr 8 · YES @ 61¢
Will Lee Zeldin be announced as next Attorney General?
Apr 3 · YES @ 60¢
Will Pam Bondi leave as Attorney General?
Apr 2 · YES @ 52¢
Oklahoma vs Colorado — Gene Clemons Play of the Day
Apr 1 · YES @ 51¢
Where will the wedding of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occur?
Mar 31 · YES @ 47¢
Open positions — 8 still in play
Heisman Trophy Winner 2026: LaNorris Sellers (South Carolina)
Sep 4 · YES @ 3¢
Heisman Trophy Winner 2026: Sam Leavitt (LSU)
Sep 3 · YES @ 4¢
Trump's Next Press Secretary: Roma Daravi
Aug 14 · YES @ 4¢
Drake — Top Artist on Spotify (USA) 2026
May 17 · YES @ 73¢
Pandemic in 2026 — Media-Frenzy Momentum (Kalshi KXNEWOUTBREAK-P-26)
May 12 · YES @ 15¢
Carnell Tate to win 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
Apr 27 · YES @ 17¢
2028 Democratic Primary Winner — Andy Beshear
Apr 17 · YES @ 4¢
Aaron Taylor-Johnson to Be the Next James Bond
Apr 14 · YES @ 22¢