Skip to content
NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals — all 32 teams

FED DESK

Kalshi vs Polymarket vs futures on the next FOMC decision

Fed Rate Tracker · live

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

PFL · MMA2026 seasonThe 7 OraclesPart of The 7 Oracles

PFL World Tournament 2026 — Road to $1M

Eight single-elimination divisional brackets. Win your division, win $1 million — about $8 million across the field. Track the price-to-win futures as they list across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Quick Answer

As of November 7, 2026, the 2026 PFL World Tournament runs eight single-elimination divisional brackets, paying $1 million to each division champion ($8 million across the field). Price-to-win futures list on Kalshi and Polymarket close to the bracket dates — this hub shows the live field now and fills with market odds the moment contracts open, with no fabricated prices before then.

Next main eventSat, Nov 14 · TBA

PFL Dubai: Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy

Coca-Cola Arena · Dubai, United Arab Emirates

Vadim Nemkov20-2
VSHeavyweight
Sergei Bilostenniy15-4

“PFL’s fall Dubai card is a heavyweight title night: champion Vadim Nemkov defends against Sergei Bilostenniy, with unbeaten No. 4 welterweight Patrick Habirora against No. 5 Omar El Dafrawy in the co-main. When contracts list, Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated exchange gives US traders the same one-account access to a Dubai card as a Chicago one.”

See the full card & tale of the tape
Trade combat markets on Kalshi →CFTC-regulated

Featured fight

PMP · MMAPFL World TournamentThe 7 Oracles

Main Event · PFL Heavyweight World Championship · Heavyweight

Vadim Nemkov20-2
VS
Sergei Bilostenniy15-4
Market opens soon

The brackets — Road to $1M

8 divisions$1M each$8M pool

Featherweight

Field confirmed

Win the division · $1M

Reigning: Timur Khizriev

  1. 1Timur Khizriev
  2. 2AJ McKee
  3. 3Jesus Pinedo
  4. 4Salamat Isbulaev
  5. 5Gabriel Braga
  6. 6Ibragim Ibragimov
  7. 7Asael Adjoudj
  8. 8Adam Borics

Price-to-win-$1M futures not open yet — they fill here the moment the market lists.

Women's Flyweight

Field confirmed

Win the division · $1M

Reigning: Dakota Ditcheva

  1. 1Dakota Ditcheva
  2. 2Liz Carmouche
  3. 3Taila Santos
  4. 4Paulina Wisniewska
  5. 5Jena Bishop
  6. 6Denise Kielholtz
  7. 7Ariane Lipski
  8. 8Viviane Araújo

Price-to-win-$1M futures not open yet — they fill here the moment the market lists.

Lightweight

Field forming

Win the division · $1M

The lightweight bracket is still forming. Contenders and the price-to-win-$1M futures appear here once the field is set and the market lists.

Welterweight

Field forming

Win the division · $1M

The welterweight bracket is still forming. Contenders and the price-to-win-$1M futures appear here once the field is set and the market lists.

Light Heavyweight

Field forming

Win the division · $1M

The light heavyweight bracket is still forming. Contenders and the price-to-win-$1M futures appear here once the field is set and the market lists.

Heavyweight

Field forming

Win the division · $1M

The heavyweight bracket is still forming. Contenders and the price-to-win-$1M futures appear here once the field is set and the market lists.

Bantamweight

Field forming

Win the division · $1M

The bantamweight bracket is still forming. Contenders and the price-to-win-$1M futures appear here once the field is set and the market lists.

Flyweight

Field forming

Win the division · $1M

The flyweight bracket is still forming. Contenders and the price-to-win-$1M futures appear here once the field is set and the market lists.

The prediction-market read on the Road to $1M

The PFL World Tournament 2026 — Road to $1M is the marquee format in the PFL: single-elimination bracket per division. Win your division, win $1,000,000. Eight divisions, eight-fighter brackets, and a $1 million prize to each division champion — about $8 million across the whole field.

UFC terms dominate the prediction markets today, but PFL futures are wide open — and that's the point. Kalshi and Polymarket list these contracts close to the bracket dates, so this hub shows the confirmed fields now and flips each division to live market odds the moment its futures open. No prices are fabricated before then.

Prediction markets are not sportsbooks — you trade a contract that settles at $1 or $0, not a wager against a house line. Informational only; trade responsibly.

PFL cards on the calendar — odds and predictions

Every graded PFL card is on the PFL predictions hub; how PFL trades on Kalshi is in our PFL prediction markets guide.

PFL World Tournament — frequently asked

What is the PFL World Tournament "Road to $1M"?

The PFL World Tournament is single-elimination bracket per division. Win your division, win $1,000,000. PFL runs eight divisional brackets in a season, and each division champion takes home $1 million — roughly $8 million across the whole field.

Can you trade PFL World Tournament odds on a prediction market?

Yes — these are prediction markets, not a sportsbook. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange, and PFL bouts have traded on Kalshi inside its KXMMAFIGHT series. When a division's price-to-win futures list, you take a yes/no position on a fighter in a contract that settles at $1 or $0 — the price is the market-implied probability they win the bracket.

Which PFL divisions have live futures right now?

No price-to-win futures are listed yet. The confirmed brackets (Featherweight, Women's Flyweight) show their fields now, and each division flips to live market odds the moment its futures contract opens. We never show a fabricated price.

How do prediction-market futures odds work?

Each fighter's futures price is the market-implied probability they win the bracket, quoted in cents (a 30¢ contract implies a 30% chance) and shown here as comma-free American odds. Unlike a sportsbook future, the contract settles at $1 if the fighter wins the division and $0 otherwise, so the price is the probability.

PFL Dubai card →All MMA markets →Prediction markets 101 →

Get the daily prediction-market read — free to your inbox.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Prediction markets carry risk. Contracts can settle at $0. Informational only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly.