Chiefs vs Falcons player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 10. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of November 12, 2026, Kalshi lists 48 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Chiefs vs Falcons, Week 10.
Kalshi as of Nov 12, 1:20 AM ET · books as of Nov 12, 1:15 AM ET · 233 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 48 with a real two-sided book · 0 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 10 predictions →Week 11 predictions →Week 9 results →
Week 10 gamesCommanders at GiantsPatriots at LionsChiefs at FalconsTexans at BrownsVikings at PackersDolphins at ColtsPanthers at SaintsBills at JetsJaguars at TitansRams at CardinalsSeahawks at Raiders49ers at CowboysSteelers at BengalsChargers at Ravens
Prop market board — Chiefs vs Falcons
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan RobinsonATL v KC | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 59.5¢ | 60.0%exch | -0.5¢ | o -163 / u +144 | o -178 / u +132 | over · Kalshi 61.7¢under · Novig 41¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v KC | 10+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 84.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v KC | 25+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 55.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -170 | over · Kalshi 58.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v KC | 60+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 76.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -425 | over · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v KC | 70+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 66.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -240 | over · Kalshi 70.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v KC | 90+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 46.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +104 | over · ProphetX 49¢under · ESPN Bet 55.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v KC | 100+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 37.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +140 | over · Kalshi 41.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v KC | 110+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 28.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +205 | over · Kalshi 32.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v KC | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 35.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +167 / u -190 | — | over · Novig 37.5¢under · Novig 65.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v KC | 70+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 50.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -142 | over · Kalshi 54.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v KC | 110+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 18.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +317 | o +310 | over · Kalshi 22.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Emmett JohnsonKC v ATL | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 16.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +488 / u -590 | o +425 / u -25000 | over · DK 16.7¢under · Novig 85.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Emmett JohnsonKC v ATL | 40+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 9.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +614 | o +610 | over · Kalshi 11.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Emmett JohnsonKC v ATL | 20+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 25.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +277 | o +260 | over · Novig 26.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahan DotsonATL v KC | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 15.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +506 / u -641 | o +400 | over · Novig 16.5¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh DownsKC v ATL | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 20.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh DownsKC v ATL | 10+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 76.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh DownsKC v ATL | 25+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 49.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh DownsKC v ATL | 30+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 42.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh DownsKC v ATL | 50+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 19.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 63.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -194 | o -205 | over · Novig 66¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 2+ TDs | KC @ ATL | 24.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 10+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 71.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -315 | over · Kalshi 74.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 30+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 30.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +199 / u -590 | o +190 | over · Kalshi 32.5¢under · Kalshi 72.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 60+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 76.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 70+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 68.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 80+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 59.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 90+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 48.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · ESPN Bet 52.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 100+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 38.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +136 | over · ProphetX 42.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kenneth WalkerKC v ATL | 110+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 30.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +186 | over · Kalshi 34.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle PittsATL v KC | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 23.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +277 / u -326 | — | over · Novig 26.5¢under · Novig 76.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle PittsATL v KC | 30+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 61.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -220 | over · Kalshi 65.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v KC | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 7.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1076 / u -1233 | o +810 | over · DK 8.3¢under · Novig 92.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v KC | 10+ rush yds | KC @ ATL | 40.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +138 / u -300 | o +138 | over · Novig 42¢under · Kalshi 62.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Noah GrayKC v ATL | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 10.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +770 / u -953 | o +570 / u -25000 | over · DK 11.1¢under · Novig 90.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Noah GrayKC v ATL | 10+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 53.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -127 / u -170 | o -142 | over · Novig 55.9¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Noah GrayKC v ATL | 20+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 31.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +186 / u -506 | o -230 | over · Kalshi 34.6¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v ATL | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 13.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +567 | o +490 | over · BetRivers 13.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v ATL | 250+ pass yds | KC @ ATL | 45.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +105 | over · Kalshi 48.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v ATL | 300+ pass yds | KC @ ATL | 20.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +355 | o +355 | over · Novig 22¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Patrick MahomesKC v ATL | 325+ pass yds | KC @ ATL | 12.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +488 | o +490 | over · Kalshi 14.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Rashee RiceKC v ATL | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 30.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +194 / u -223 | — | over · DK 33.3¢under · Novig 69¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Rashee RiceKC v ATL | 30+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 79.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Travis KelceKC v ATL | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 28.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +228 / u -257 | — | over · DK 29.4¢under · Novig 72¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Travis KelceKC v ATL | 2+ TDs | KC @ ATL | 3.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Travis KelceKC v ATL | 50+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 49.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -104 / u +100 | — | over · Novig 51¢under · Novig 50¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Travis KelceKC v ATL | 80+ rec yds | KC @ ATL | 15.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +335 | o +335 | over · Kalshi 18¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Xavier WorthyKC v ATL | anytime TD | KC @ ATL | 19.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +308 | o +270 | over · BetRivers 23.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
48 of 48 two-sided strikes · + 185 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Nov 12, 1:15 AM ET
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Chiefs at Falcons · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 1:20 AM ET
| Player prop (145) | Kalshi1:20 AM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner2:13 AM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Johnson 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Emmett Johnson anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice first TD | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Josh Downs anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Travis Kelce anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 250+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Travis Kelce 50+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Khalil Herbert 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 80+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 90+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Olamide Zaccheaus 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Cyrus Allen 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Noah Gray 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Xavier Worthy 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 30+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Cyrus Allen anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Travis Kelce 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Xavier Worthy first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 70+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Noah Gray anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 70+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 90+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 100+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 70+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 60+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 100+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 110+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 60+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III first TD | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Josh Downs 50+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Josh Downs 10+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Xavier Worthy anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 300+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 325+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 350+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 10+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 30+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Josh Downs 30+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 10+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Noah Gray 10+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Noah Gray 20+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 30+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 110+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 110+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Jahan Dotson anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Austin Hooper first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson first TD | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Charlie Woerner first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Drake London first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Jahan Dotson first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Khalil Herbert first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Olamide Zaccheaus first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Andrew Armstrong first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Cyrus Allen first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Emmett Johnson first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Josh Downs first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Jalen Royals first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Noah Gray first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Travis Kelce first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 1+ pass TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 2+ pass TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 3+ pass TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 4+ pass TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 1+ pass TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 2+ pass TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 3+ pass TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 4+ pass TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 150+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 175+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 200+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 225+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 250+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 275+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 300+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 325+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 150+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 175+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 200+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 225+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 275+ pass yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 20+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 30+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 40+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 50+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 100+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 40+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 50+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 60+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 80+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 90+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Jahan Dotson 10+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Jahan Dotson 20+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Jahan Dotson 30+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Jahan Dotson 40+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Jahan Dotson 50+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 20+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 40+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 50+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 60+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Josh Downs 20+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Josh Downs 40+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 20+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 100+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 40+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 50+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 60+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 70+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 80+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 90+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Travis Kelce 30+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Travis Kelce 40+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Travis Kelce 60+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Travis Kelce 70+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Xavier Worthy 10+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Xavier Worthy 20+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Xavier Worthy 30+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Xavier Worthy 40+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Xavier Worthy 50+ rec yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 50+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 80+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kenneth Walker III 120+ rush yds | no current price | no current price | — |
| Austin Hooper anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Bijan Robinson 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Charlie Woerner anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Drake London 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Jahan Dotson 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Khalil Herbert anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Olamide Zaccheaus anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Andrew Armstrong anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Josh Downs 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Jalen Royals anytime TD | no current price | no current price | — |
| Patrick Mahomes 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
| Rashee Rice 2+ TDs | no current price | no current price | — |
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (54)
- Bijan Robinson 3+ TDsPolymarket US 10¢
- Bijan Robinson 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 62¢
- Bijan Robinson 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 43¢
- Bijan Robinson 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 29¢
- Bijan Robinson 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
- Bijan Robinson 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
- Bijan Robinson 24+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
- Bijan Robinson 100+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 53¢
- Bijan Robinson 120+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 38¢
- Bijan Robinson 140+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 2¢
- Chris Blair anytime TDPolymarket US 3¢
- Drake London 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Drake London 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 68¢
- Drake London 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 52¢
- Drake London 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
- Drake London 8+ receptionsPolymarket US 27¢
- Jahan Dotson 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 52¢
- Jahan Dotson 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 39¢
- Jahan Dotson 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 9¢
- Jake Briningstool anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
- Josh Downs 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 41¢
- Josh Downs 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 22¢
- Josh Downs 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 7¢
- Kenneth Walker 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 58¢
- Kenneth Walker 3+ TDsPolymarket US 9¢
- Kenneth Walker 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 27¢
- Kenneth Walker 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 21¢
- Kenneth Walker 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
- Kenneth Walker 24+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 73¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 53¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 25¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 52¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 2+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 56¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 55¢
- Noah Gray 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 42¢
- Noah Gray 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 12¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 41¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 9¢
- Patrick Mahomes 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 43¢
- Patrick Mahomes 22+ passing completionsPolymarket US 51¢
- Rashee Rice 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Rashee Rice 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 65¢
- Rashee Rice 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 49¢
- Rashee Rice 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 45¢
- Rashee Rice 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 30¢
- Rashee Rice 8+ receptionsPolymarket US 9¢
- Travis Kelce 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Travis Kelce 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 51¢
- Travis Kelce 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 42¢
- Travis Kelce 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 17¢
- Xavier Worthy 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 55¢
- Xavier Worthy 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 22¢
Kalshi only (107)
- Emmett Johnson 40+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Emmett Johnson 20+ rush ydsKalshi 26¢
- Emmett Johnson 40+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 10+ rush ydsKalshi 41¢
- Josh Downs 25+ rec ydsKalshi 51¢
- Travis Kelce 80+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
- Kenneth Walker III 170+ rush ydsKalshi 6¢
- Bijan Robinson 25+ rec ydsKalshi 57¢
- ATL Falcons D/ST anytime TDKalshi 15¢
- Patrick Mahomes 5+ pass TDsKalshi 5¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 350+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
- Patrick Mahomes 375+ pass ydsKalshi 5¢
- Bijan Robinson 15+ rec ydsKalshi 78¢
- Bijan Robinson 60+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Bijan Robinson 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Bijan Robinson 80+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Drake London 120+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Drake London 130+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Drake London 140+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Drake London 150+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jahan Dotson 15+ rec ydsKalshi 74¢
- Jahan Dotson 25+ rec ydsKalshi 58¢
- Jahan Dotson 60+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
- Jahan Dotson 70+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Jahan Dotson 80+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Jahan Dotson 90+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 100+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 15+ rec ydsKalshi 86¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 25+ rec ydsKalshi 72¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 70+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 80+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 90+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus 10+ rec ydsKalshi 46¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus 15+ rec ydsKalshi 34¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus 20+ rec ydsKalshi 25¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus 25+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus 30+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus 40+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Emmett Johnson 10+ rec ydsKalshi 58¢
- Emmett Johnson 15+ rec ydsKalshi 45¢
- Emmett Johnson 20+ rec ydsKalshi 35¢
- Emmett Johnson 25+ rec ydsKalshi 26¢
- Emmett Johnson 30+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
- Emmett Johnson 50+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Josh Downs 15+ rec ydsKalshi 69¢
- Josh Downs 60+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Josh Downs 70+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Josh Downs 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Kenneth Walker III 15+ rec ydsKalshi 62¢
- Kenneth Walker III 25+ rec ydsKalshi 40¢
- Kenneth Walker III 40+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
- Kenneth Walker III 50+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Kenneth Walker III 60+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Kenneth Walker III 70+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Noah Gray 15+ rec ydsKalshi 42¢
- Noah Gray 25+ rec ydsKalshi 24¢
- Noah Gray 30+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
- Noah Gray 40+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Noah Gray 50+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Rashee Rice 110+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
+ 47 more listed on Kalshi only.
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 9.50% × price × (1 − price) per contract under $10,000 of 30-day taker volume (max $2.38 per 100), down to 6.95% at $250,000+. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Chiefs vs Falcons props — FAQ
What are the player props for Chiefs vs Falcons?
48 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 10 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Chiefs vs Falcons player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 48 strikes with a real two-sided book; 185 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 10 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 11 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 9 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Kalshi NFL spread & total ladders, scanned live → — Every NFL strike checked for prices out of order, with Novig and Polymarket US beside it
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale