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Commanders vs 49ers player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 6. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 15, 2026, Kalshi lists 53 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Commanders vs 49ers, Week 6.

Kalshi as of Oct 15, 3:20 PM ET · books as of Oct 15, 2:15 PM ET · 161 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 53 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 6 predictions →Week 7 predictions →Week 5 results →

Week 6 gamesSeahawks at BroncosTexans at JaguarsBears at FalconsRavens at BrownsTitans at ColtsJets at PatriotsSaints at GiantsPanthers at EaglesSteelers at BuccaneersCardinals at RamsChargers at ChiefsBills at RaidersCowboys at PackersCommanders at 49ers

Prop market board — Commanders vs 49ers

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS v SF40+ rush ydsWAS @ SF52.5¢49.3%4bk+3.2¢o -104 / u -120o -103over · ProphetX 50.7¢under · Kalshi 49.8¢—Kalshi →
Antonio WilliamsWAS v SFanytime TDWAS @ SF20.5¢—one-sidedo +335o +335over · BetRivers 21.1¢—Kalshi →
Austin EkelerWAS v SFanytime TDWAS @ SF9.5¢—one-sidedo +809 / u -1011o +810over · BetRivers 10¢under · Novig 91¢—Kalshi →
Brandin CooksSF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF26.5¢—one-sidedo +239o +235over · BetRivers 27.8¢—Kalshi →
Brayden WillisSF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF9.0¢—one-sidedo +953o +810over · BetRivers 7.7¢—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF22.5¢—one-sidedo +308o +320over · BetRivers 23.5¢—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS1+ pass TDsWAS @ SF92.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS2+ pass TDsWAS @ SF71.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS3+ pass TDsWAS @ SF37.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS175+ pass ydsWAS @ SF86.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -1438o -1000over · Kalshi 88.7¢—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS225+ pass ydsWAS @ SF64.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -194 / u +150o -220over · Novig 66¢under · Kalshi 38.6¢—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS250+ pass ydsWAS @ SF50.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -108 / u -117o -104over · ProphetX 51¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS350+ pass ydsWAS @ SF8.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +770o +820over · Kalshi 9.6¢—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS20+ rush ydsWAS @ SF42.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +111o +117over · Kalshi 45.7¢—Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v WAS25+ rush ydsWAS @ SF30.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +178o +194over · ProphetX 34¢—Kalshi →
Chig OkonkwoWAS v SFanytime TDWAS @ SF21.5¢—one-sidedo +308o +270over · BetRivers 23.8¢—Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF70.5¢—one-sidedo -277o -315over · Kalshi 72.4¢—Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v WAS2+ TDsWAS @ SF32.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v WAS25+ rec ydsWAS @ SF70.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -300o -350over · Kalshi 74.4¢—Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v WAS40+ rush ydsWAS @ SF74.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -413o -425over · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v WAS50+ rush ydsWAS @ SF62.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -208o -210over · Kalshi 66.6¢—Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v WAS60+ rush ydsWAS @ SF49.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -111 / u -335o -108over · ProphetX 51.9¢under · ESPN Bet 52.4¢—Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v WAS70+ rush ydsWAS @ SF37.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +144o +156over · ProphetX 39.1¢—Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v WAS80+ rush ydsWAS @ SF25.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +228o +235over · ProphetX 29.9¢—Kalshi →
Dyami BrownWAS v SFanytime TDWAS @ SF11.0¢—one-sidedo +614o +620over · BetRivers 9.1¢—Kalshi →
George KittleSF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF46.5¢—one-sidedo +115o -285over · Novig 46.5¢—Kalshi →
George KittleSF v WAS2+ TDsWAS @ SF10.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
George KittleSF v WAS40+ rec ydsWAS @ SF74.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -400o -485over · Kalshi 78.2¢—Kalshi →
George KittleSF v WAS60+ rec ydsWAS @ SF53.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -141o -138over · Kalshi 56.7¢—Kalshi →
Jacob CowingSF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF16.5¢—one-sidedo +413o +430over · BetRivers 17.2¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v SFanytime TDWAS @ SF25.0¢—one-sidedo +257o +260over · FD 27¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v SF2+ TDsWAS @ SF3.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v SF200+ pass ydsWAS @ SF53.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -135 / u +108o -136over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Novig 48.1¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v SF300+ pass ydsWAS @ SF9.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +669o +680over · Kalshi 10.6¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v SF350+ pass ydsWAS @ SF2.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +1567—over · Kalshi 3.2¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v SF30+ rush ydsWAS @ SF58.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -186 / u +100o -184 / u +144over · Kalshi 63.7¢under · ProphetX 41¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v SF40+ rush ydsWAS @ SF41.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +115 / u -203o +117over · ProphetX 46.1¢under · Kalshi 63.7¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v SF50+ rush ydsWAS @ SF26.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +208o +215over · ProphetX 31.7¢—Kalshi →
Jordan WatkinsSF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF7.5¢—one-sidedo +900o +1050over · BetRivers 6.7¢—Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF18.5¢—one-sidedo +355 / u -400o +310over · BetRivers 19.6¢under · Novig 80¢—Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v WAS20+ rush ydsWAS @ SF56.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -170o -168over · Kalshi 60.7¢—Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF54.0¢—one-sidedo -122o -360over · DK 54.5¢—Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v WAS2+ TDsWAS @ SF14.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v WAS50+ rec ydsWAS @ SF71.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -335o -350over · Kalshi 75.4¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v SFanytime TDWAS @ SF27.0¢—one-sidedo +245o +240over · Novig 29¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v SF20+ rush ydsWAS @ SF53.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -130o -127over · ProphetX 55.9¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v SF30+ rush ydsWAS @ SF30.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +190o +194over · ProphetX 34¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v SF40+ rush ydsWAS @ SF17.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +355o +385over · ProphetX 20.6¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v SF50+ rush ydsWAS @ SF10.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +590o +630over · Kalshi 12.7¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v SF60+ rush ydsWAS @ SF6.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +852o +1100over · ProphetX 8.3¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v SF70+ rush ydsWAS @ SF5.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +1076o +740over · Kalshi 6.4¢—Kalshi →
SF 49ers D/STSF v WASanytime TDWAS @ SF12.5¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 14.8¢—Kalshi →
Terry McLaurinWAS v SFanytime TDWAS @ SF32.0¢—one-sidedo +190o -210over · Novig 34.5¢—Kalshi →
53 of 53 two-sided strikes · + 108 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Oct 15, 2:15 PM ET

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Commanders vs 49ers player prop ladders for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Commanders vs 49ers prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Commanders vs 49ers, Week 6 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

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Washington CommandersSan Francisco 49ersEvery game this week →

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Commanders vs 49ers props — FAQ

What are the player props for Commanders vs 49ers?

53 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 6 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Commanders vs 49ers player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 53 strikes with a real two-sided book; 108 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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