49ers vs Seahawks player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 78 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for 49ers vs Seahawks, Week 5.

Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET · 197 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 78 with a real two-sided book · 2 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions →Week 6 predictions →Week 4 results →

Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at Cowboys Eagles at Jaguars Bengals at Dolphins Raiders at Patriots Vikings at Saints Browns at Jets Colts at Steelers Texans at Titans Giants at Commanders Broncos at Chargers Lions at Cardinals Bears at Packers 49ers at Seahawks Ravens at Falcons Bills at Rams

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

plays only

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
Player	Contract	Matchup	Call	Our proj	Our odds	Mkt	Edge	Tier	Trade
Brock PurdyQBWatch	2+ pass TDsover 1.5	SF vs SEA	YES	1.8	53%	47¢	+5.5 pp	MODERATE	Buy YES →

1 of 1 prop

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — 49ers vs Seahawks

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Player	Prop	Game	Kalshi	Consensus	Gap	Novig	ProphetX	Best price	Our P(over)	Trade
Brock PurdySF v SEA	225+ pass yds	SF @ SEA	49.0¢	50.7%2bk	-1.7¢	o -115 / u -104	—	over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · Novig 51¢	—	Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v SEA	50+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	48.0¢	49.6%4bk	-1.6¢	o -111 / u -117	o -117	over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · ESPN Bet 52.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v SEA	15+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	51.0¢	50.5%7bk	+0.5¢	o -108 / u -104	o -117 / u -104	over · Novig 51.9¢under · Novig 51¢	—	Kalshi →
AJ BarnerSEA v SF	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	24.0¢	—	one-sided	o +277 / u -567	o +225	over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Brandin CooksSF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	9.5¢	—	one-sided	o +641 / u -3233	o +740	over · Kalshi 11.7¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	13.5¢	—	one-sided	o +567 / u -614	o +380	over · FD 14.3¢under · Novig 86¢	—	Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v SEA	1+ pass TDs	SF @ SEA	81.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Brock PurdyQBSF v SEA	2+ pass TDs	SF @ SEA	46.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	🔒	Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v SEA	3+ pass TDs	SF @ SEA	17.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v SEA	200+ pass yds	SF @ SEA	65.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -233 / u +117	—	over · Kalshi 68.6¢under · Kalshi 37.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v SEA	250+ pass yds	SF @ SEA	34.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +156 / u -194	—	over · Kalshi 37.6¢under · Novig 66¢	—	Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v SEA	15+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	64.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -186 / u +138	o -200	over · Novig 65¢under · Kalshi 39.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v SEA	20+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	51.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -108 / u -102	o -108 / u -420	over · Novig 51.9¢under · Novig 50.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Brock PurdySF v SEA	25+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	38.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +156 / u -203	o +162	over · ProphetX 38.2¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	55.5¢	—	one-sided	o -138 / u -108	o -156	over · Kalshi 57.7¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	2+ TDs	SF @ SEA	16.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	15+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	83.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -614 / u +376	o -900	over · Novig 86¢under · Novig 21¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	40+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	43.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +115 / u -138	o +108	over · Novig 46.5¢under · Novig 58¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	50+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	26.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +203 / u -233	o +205	over · Kalshi 31.5¢under · Novig 70¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	60+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	17.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +317 / u -426	o +320	over · Kalshi 22.2¢under · Novig 81¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	30+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	79.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -567 / u +355	o -800	over · Kalshi 81.1¢under · Novig 22¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	40+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	68.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -270 / u +186	o -300	over · Kalshi 72.4¢under · Novig 35¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	50+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	54.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -144 / u +108	o -156	over · Kalshi 57.7¢under · Novig 48.1¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	60+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	41.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +117 / u -150	o +122	over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Novig 60¢	—	Kalshi →
Christian McCaffreySF v SEA	70+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	30.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +190 / u -257	o +178	over · Kalshi 33.5¢under · Novig 72¢	—	Kalshi →
Cooper KuppSEA v SF	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	19.0¢	—	one-sided	o +365 / u -733	o +290	over · Kalshi 21.1¢under · Kalshi 83¢	—	Kalshi →
Cooper KuppSEA v SF	2+ TDs	SF @ SEA	2.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Deebo Samuel Sr.SF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	27.5¢	—	one-sided	o +223 / u -400	o +182	over · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Kalshi 74.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Deebo Samuel Sr.SF v SEA	40+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	41.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +144 / u -186	o +132	over · Novig 41¢under · Kalshi 61.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Deebo Samuel Sr.SF v SEA	60+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	14.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +376	o +400	over · Kalshi 19¢	—	Kalshi →
Elijah ArroyoSEA v SF	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	9.0¢	—	one-sided	o +852 / u -9900	o +580	over · FD 10¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Emanuel WilsonSEA v SF	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	50.5¢	—	one-sided	o -122 / u -117	o -127	over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Emanuel WilsonSEA v SF	15+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	33.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Emanuel WilsonSEA v SF	25+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	16.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Emanuel WilsonSEA v SF	40+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	77.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
George KittleSF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	32.5¢	—	one-sided	o +182 / u -300	o +144	over · Kalshi 34.6¢under · Kalshi 69.5¢	—	Kalshi →
George KittleSF v SEA	2+ TDs	SF @ SEA	6.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
George KittleSF v SEA	50+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	52.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -167 / u +127	o -176	over · Kalshi 55.7¢under · Novig 44.1¢	—	Kalshi →
George KittleSF v SEA	60+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	42.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -104 / u -122	o -104	over · Kalshi 45.7¢under · Novig 55¢	—	Kalshi →
George KittleSF v SEA	70+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	33.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +153 / u -186	o +150	over · Kalshi 35.6¢under · Novig 65¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v SF	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	47.0¢	—	one-sided	o -108 / u -138	o -117	over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · Kalshi 55.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v SF	2+ TDs	SF @ SEA	12.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v SF	70+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	70.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -257 / u +186	o -300	over · Novig 72¢under · Kalshi 33.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v SF	80+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	61.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -190 / u +138	o -210	over · Novig 65.5¢under · Novig 42¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v SF	90+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	52.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -133 / u +104	o -142	over · Kalshi 55.7¢under · Novig 49¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v SF	100+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	44.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +111 / u -133	o +101	over · Novig 47.4¢under · Novig 57.1¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v SF	110+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	36.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +153 / u -194	o +138	over · Kalshi 38.6¢under · Novig 66¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v SF	120+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	34.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +208	o +182	over · Novig 32.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	11.5¢	—	one-sided	o +669 / u -770	o +470	over · FD 12.5¢under · Novig 88.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v SEA	10+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	65.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -203 / u +144	o -225	over · Novig 67¢under · Kalshi 40.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v SEA	20+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	40.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +141 / u -170	o +138	over · Novig 41.5¢under · Kalshi 62.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v SEA	25+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	29.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +203 / u -270	o +205	over · ProphetX 32.8¢under · Novig 73¢	—	Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v SEA	30+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	22.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +292	o +285	over · Kalshi 24.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Kaelon BlackSF v SEA	40+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	11.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +525 / u -1011	o +490	over · Kalshi 13.8¢under · Kalshi 90.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Luke FarrellSF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	6.0¢	—	one-sided	o +1233	o +900	over · DK 7.1¢	—	Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	31.0¢	—	one-sided	o +208 / u -355	o +160	over · Novig 32.5¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v SEA	2+ TDs	SF @ SEA	5.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v SEA	60+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	39.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +141 / u -178	o +144	over · ProphetX 41¢under · Novig 64¢	—	Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v SEA	70+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	27.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +217 / u -285	o +205	over · Kalshi 31.5¢under · Novig 74¢	—	Kalshi →
Mike EvansSF v SEA	80+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	18.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +317	o +320	over · Kalshi 22.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashid ShaheedSEA v SF	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	20.0¢	—	one-sided	o +344 / u -809	o +270	over · BetRivers 21.3¢under · Kalshi 82.1¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashid ShaheedSEA v SF	15+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	61.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -170 / u +133	o -184	over · Novig 63¢under · Kalshi 42.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashid ShaheedSEA v SF	25+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	43.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +127 / u -150	o +122	over · Novig 44.1¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashid ShaheedSEA v SF	40+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	24.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +300 / u -400	o +290	over · Novig 25¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashid ShaheedSEA v SF	50+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	15.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +488	o +480	over · Novig 17¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashid ShaheedSEA v SF	60+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	10.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +700	o +740	over · ProphetX 11.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Rashid ShaheedSEA v SF	70+ rec yds	SF @ SEA	6.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +953	o +1050	over · Kalshi 8.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	8.5¢	—	one-sided	o +809 / u -4900	o +610	over · Kalshi 9.6¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	2+ pass TDs	SF @ SEA	50.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	3+ pass TDs	SF @ SEA	19.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	200+ pass yds	SF @ SEA	67.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -245 / u +122	—	over · Novig 71¢under · Kalshi 36.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	225+ pass yds	SF @ SEA	53.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -127 / u -104	—	over · Kalshi 55.7¢under · Kalshi 49.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	250+ pass yds	SF @ SEA	37.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +147 / u -186	—	over · Kalshi 39.7¢under · Kalshi 64.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	300+ pass yds	SF @ SEA	14.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +426	—	over · Kalshi 16.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	10+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	32.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +163 / u -212	—	over · Kalshi 35.6¢under · Novig 67.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Sam DarnoldSEA v SF	15+ rush yds	SF @ SEA	18.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +335 / u -525	—	over · Kalshi 21.1¢under · Kalshi 84¢	—	Kalshi →
SF 49ers D/STSF v SEA	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	10.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Tory HortonSEA v SF	anytime TD	SF @ SEA	12.5¢	—	one-sided	o +567 / u -1900	o +415	over · Kalshi 13.8¢under · Kalshi 88.7¢	—	Kalshi →

78 of 78 two-sided strikes · + 119 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET

49ers vs Seahawks player prop ladders for Week 5: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus — The 49ers vs Seahawks prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to 49ers vs Seahawks, Week 5 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks Every game this week →

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

49ers vs Seahawks props — FAQ

What are the player props for 49ers vs Seahawks?

78 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are 49ers vs Seahawks player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 78 strikes with a real two-sided book; 119 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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