Dolphins vs Colts player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 10. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of November 12, 2026, Kalshi lists 42 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Dolphins vs Colts, Week 10.

Kalshi as of Nov 12, 12:20 PM ET · books as of Nov 12, 11:15 AM ET · 182 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 42 with a real two-sided book · 0 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 10 predictions →Week 11 predictions →Week 9 results →

Week 10 gamesCommanders at Giants Patriots at Lions Chiefs at Falcons Texans at Browns Vikings at Packers Dolphins at Colts Panthers at Saints Bills at Jets Jaguars at Titans Rams at Cardinals Seahawks at Raiders 49ers at Cowboys Steelers at Bengals Chargers at Ravens

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

plays only

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
Player	Contract	Matchup	Call	Our proj	Our odds	Mkt	Tier	Trade
Jonathan TaylorRBWatch	60+ rush ydsover 59.5	IND vs MIA	NO	🔒			MODERATE	Buy NO →

1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Dolphins vs Colts

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Player	Prop	Game	Kalshi	Consensus	Gap	Novig	ProphetX	Best price	Our P(over)	Trade
Anthony GouldIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	12.5¢	—	one-sided	o +590	o -152	over · DK 12.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Ashton DulinIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	9.5¢	—	one-sided	o +733	—	over · Kalshi 10.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v IND	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	19.5¢	—	one-sided	o +355	o +335	over · Kalshi 21.1¢	—	Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v IND	50+ rec yds	MIA @ IND	35.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +122	over · Kalshi 38.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Caleb DouglasMIA v IND	60+ rec yds	MIA @ IND	25.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +178	over · Kalshi 28.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	12.0¢	—	one-sided	o +669	o +530	over · Novig 13¢	—	Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v MIA	175+ pass yds	MIA @ IND	55.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -150	over · Kalshi 59.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Deion BurksIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	14.0¢	—	one-sided	o +545	o -144	over · DK 14.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Greg DulcichMIA v IND	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	17.0¢	—	one-sided	o +441	o -156	over · Novig 18.5¢	—	Kalshi →
IND Colts D/STIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	14.0¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 15.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylen WrightMIA v IND	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	10.0¢	—	one-sided	o +809	—	over · Novig 11¢	—	Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	50.5¢	—	one-sided	—	o -360	over · Kalshi 53.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v MIA	2+ TDs	MIA @ IND	13.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v MIA	50+ rush yds	MIA @ IND	67.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v MIA	60+ rush yds	MIA @ IND	58.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -150 / u -120	—	over · Novig 60¢under · Kalshi 44.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v MIA	70+ rush yds	MIA @ IND	49.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v MIA	100+ rush yds	MIA @ IND	22.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +365	o +355	over · Novig 21.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v MIA	120+ rush yds	MIA @ IND	12.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +700	—	over · Novig 12.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Kaytron AllenMIA v IND	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	7.5¢	—	one-sided	o +900	o +600	over · DK 9.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Kevin ColemanMIA v IND	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	8.0¢	—	one-sided	o +900	—	over · DK 9.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Kyle McCordMIA v IND	1+ pass TDs	MIA @ IND	63.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Kyle McCordMIA v IND	2+ pass TDs	MIA @ IND	24.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Kyle McCordMIA v IND	125+ pass yds	MIA @ IND	72.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -355	—	over · Kalshi 75.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Kyle McCordMIA v IND	150+ pass yds	MIA @ IND	57.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Kyle McCordMIA v IND	175+ pass yds	MIA @ IND	41.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +122	over · ProphetX 45¢	—	Kalshi →
Kyle McCordMIA v IND	200+ pass yds	MIA @ IND	27.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +233	o +235	over · ProphetX 29.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Laquon TreadwellIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	19.5¢	—	one-sided	o +326	o -172	over · DK 20¢	—	Kalshi →
Laquon TreadwellIND v MIA	50+ rec yds	MIA @ IND	19.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Malik WashingtonMIA v IND	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	22.0¢	—	one-sided	o +335	o -170	over · Novig 23¢	—	Kalshi →
Malik WashingtonMIA v IND	15+ rec yds	MIA @ IND	73.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -520	over · Kalshi 77.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Malik WashingtonMIA v IND	30+ rec yds	MIA @ IND	47.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o -150	over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · DK 52.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Malik WashingtonMIA v IND	40+ rec yds	MIA @ IND	33.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +140	over · Kalshi 36.6¢	—	Kalshi →
MIA Dolphins D/STMIA v IND	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	11.5¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 12.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Ollie GordonMIA v IND	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	41.5¢	—	one-sided	o +135 / u -153	o -240	over · Novig 42.6¢under · Novig 60.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Ollie GordonMIA v IND	2+ TDs	MIA @ IND	10.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Ollie GordonMIA v IND	70+ rush yds	MIA @ IND	49.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -133 / u -133	—	over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Kalshi 53.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Ollie GordonMIA v IND	90+ rush yds	MIA @ IND	31.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	o +178	over · ProphetX 36¢	—	Kalshi →
Seth McGowanIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	24.0¢	—	one-sided	o +270	—	over · DK 26.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Seth McGowanIND v MIA	25+ rush yds	MIA @ IND	47.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -102 / u -217	o -104	over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · ESPN Bet 53.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyler WarrenIND v MIA	anytime TD	MIA @ IND	29.0¢	—	one-sided	o +203 / u -223	o -198	over · Kalshi 31.5¢under · Novig 69¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyler WarrenIND v MIA	40+ rec yds	MIA @ IND	56.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Tyler WarrenIND v MIA	50+ rec yds	MIA @ IND	45.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →

42 of 42 two-sided strikes · + 140 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Nov 12, 11:15 AM ET

Dolphins vs Colts player prop ladders for Week 10: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus — The Dolphins vs Colts prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Dolphins vs Colts, Week 10 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

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Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts Every game this week →

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Dolphins at Colts · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 12:20 PM ET

Player prop (118)	Kalshi12:20 PM ET	Polymarket USPolymarketPartner12:38 PM ET	Best price
Ollie Gordon II anytime TD	42¢43.7¢ after fees	44¢46.3¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Jaylen Wright 2+ TDs	no two-sided book	no two-sided book	—
Ashton Dulin anytime TD	10¢10.6¢ after fees	11¢11.9¢ after fees	Kalshi1.3¢ less
Jonathan Taylor 70+ rush yds	51¢52.7¢ after fees	52¢54.4¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Tyler Warren 40+ rec yds	58¢59.7¢ after fees	60¢62.3¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Tyler Warren 50+ rec yds	47¢48.7¢ after fees	47¢49.4¢ after fees	Even
Kyle McCord 200+ pass yds	29¢30.4¢ after fees	29¢31¢ after fees	Even
Ashton Dulin 2+ TDs	no two-sided book	2¢2.2¢ after fees	—
Ollie Gordon II 70+ rush yds	51¢52.7¢ after fees	57¢59.3¢ after fees	Kalshi6.6¢ less
Tyler Warren 3+ TDs	no two-sided book	2¢2.2¢ after fees	—
Laquon Treadwell anytime TD	20¢21.1¢ after fees	20¢21.5¢ after fees	Even
Daniel Jones anytime TD	13¢13.8¢ after fees	13¢14.1¢ after fees	Even
Kaytron Allen 2+ TDs	no two-sided book	no two-sided book	—
Ollie Gordon II 2+ TDs	12¢12.7¢ after fees	11¢11.9¢ after fees	Even
Jonathan Taylor 60+ rush yds	60¢61.7¢ after fees	62¢64.2¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Kyle McCord 175+ pass yds	44¢45.7¢ after fees	44¢46.3¢ after fees	Even
Kyle McCord 150+ pass yds	60¢61.7¢ after fees	60¢62.3¢ after fees	Even
Kyle McCord 125+ pass yds	74¢75.3¢ after fees	74¢75.8¢ after fees	Even
Ollie Gordon II 90+ rush yds	35¢36.6¢ after fees	36¢38.2¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Jonathan Taylor 2+ TDs	14¢14.8¢ after fees	15¢16.2¢ after fees	Kalshi1.4¢ less
Kyle McCord 2+ pass TDs	26¢27.3¢ after fees	29¢31¢ after fees	Kalshi3.6¢ less
Caleb Douglas anytime TD	20¢21.1¢ after fees	20¢21.5¢ after fees	Even
Malik Washington 30+ rec yds	50¢51.8¢ after fees	57¢59.3¢ after fees	Kalshi7.6¢ less
Caleb Douglas 60+ rec yds	27¢28.4¢ after fees	31¢33¢ after fees	Kalshi4.7¢ less
Kaytron Allen anytime TD	9¢9.6¢ after fees	8¢8.7¢ after fees	Even
Jonathan Taylor anytime TD	52¢53.7¢ after fees	52¢54.4¢ after fees	Even
Malik Washington 40+ rec yds	35¢36.6¢ after fees	39¢41.3¢ after fees	Kalshi4.7¢ less
Laquon Treadwell 50+ rec yds	22¢23.2¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Kyle McCord 1+ pass TDs	64¢65.6¢ after fees	64¢66.2¢ after fees	Even
Caleb Douglas 50+ rec yds	37¢38.6¢ after fees	41¢43.3¢ after fees	Kalshi4.7¢ less
Daniel Jones 175+ pass yds	58¢59.7¢ after fees	59¢61.3¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Jonathan Taylor 50+ rush yds	70¢71.5¢ after fees	72¢73.9¢ after fees	Kalshi2.4¢ less
Kevin Coleman Jr. anytime TD	9¢9.6¢ after fees	9¢9.8¢ after fees	Even
Malik Washington anytime TD	23¢24.2¢ after fees	21¢22.6¢ after fees	Polymarket US1.7¢ less
Jaylen Wright anytime TD	11¢11.7¢ after fees	10¢10.9¢ after fees	Even
Anthony Gould anytime TD	13¢13.8¢ after fees	12¢13¢ after fees	Even
Greg Dulcich anytime TD	18¢19¢ after fees	17¢18.3¢ after fees	Even
Seth McGowan anytime TD	26¢27.3¢ after fees	25¢26.8¢ after fees	Even
Tyler Warren anytime TD	30¢31.5¢ after fees	30¢32¢ after fees	Even
Deion Burks anytime TD	15¢15.9¢ after fees	15¢16.2¢ after fees	Even
Kyle McCord 3+ pass TDs	9¢9.6¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US7.4¢ less
Laquon Treadwell 40+ rec yds	35¢36.6¢ after fees	40¢42.3¢ after fees	Kalshi5.7¢ less
Daniel Jones 4+ pass TDs	6¢6.4¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US4.2¢ less
Deion Burks 30+ rec yds	32¢33.5¢ after fees	35¢37.2¢ after fees	Kalshi3.6¢ less
Daniel Jones 275+ pass yds	11¢11.7¢ after fees	14¢15.1¢ after fees	Kalshi3.5¢ less
Ollie Gordon II 50+ rush yds	76¢77.3¢ after fees	79¢80.6¢ after fees	Kalshi3.3¢ less
Tyler Warren 2+ TDs	5¢5.3¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US3.1¢ less
Ollie Gordon II 80+ rush yds	43¢44.7¢ after fees	45¢47.4¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Deion Burks 20+ rec yds	49¢50.7¢ after fees	51¢53.4¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Daniel Jones 2+ pass TDs	34¢35.6¢ after fees	36¢38.2¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Caleb Douglas 40+ rec yds	52¢53.7¢ after fees	54¢56.4¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Jonathan Taylor 90+ rush yds	30¢31.5¢ after fees	32¢34.1¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Daniel Jones 225+ pass yds	29¢30.4¢ after fees	31¢33¢ after fees	Kalshi2.6¢ less
Daniel Jones 3+ pass TDs	13¢13.8¢ after fees	15¢16.2¢ after fees	Kalshi2.4¢ less
Jonathan Taylor 3+ TDs	4¢4.3¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US2.1¢ less
Seth McGowan 2+ TDs	4¢4.3¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US2.1¢ less
Greg Dulcich 40+ rec yds	43¢44.7¢ after fees	44¢46.3¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Daniel Jones 200+ pass yds	42¢43.7¢ after fees	43¢45.3¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Jonathan Taylor 80+ rush yds	40¢41.7¢ after fees	41¢43.3¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Jonathan Taylor 20+ rec yds	59¢60.7¢ after fees	60¢62.3¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Greg Dulcich 50+ rec yds	31¢32.5¢ after fees	32¢34.1¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Seth McGowan 20+ rush yds	62¢63.6¢ after fees	63¢65.2¢ after fees	Kalshi1.6¢ less
Ollie Gordon II 60+ rush yds	66¢67.6¢ after fees	67¢69.1¢ after fees	Kalshi1.5¢ less
Malik Washington 50+ rec yds	26¢27.3¢ after fees	27¢28.9¢ after fees	Kalshi1.5¢ less
Ollie Gordon II 100+ rush yds	26¢27.3¢ after fees	27¢28.9¢ after fees	Kalshi1.5¢ less
Malik Washington 20+ rec yds	71¢72.4¢ after fees	72¢73.9¢ after fees	Kalshi1.5¢ less
Daniel Jones 150+ pass yds	73¢74.4¢ after fees	74¢75.8¢ after fees	Kalshi1.4¢ less
Kyle McCord 225+ pass yds	18¢19¢ after fees	19¢20.5¢ after fees	Kalshi1.4¢ less
Tyler Warren 30+ rec yds	75¢76.3¢ after fees	76¢77.7¢ after fees	Kalshi1.4¢ less
Caleb Douglas 20+ rec yds	80¢81.1¢ after fees	81¢82.5¢ after fees	Kalshi1.3¢ less
Jonathan Taylor 40+ rush yds	82¢83¢ after fees	83¢84.3¢ after fees	Kalshi1.3¢ less
Laquon Treadwell 2+ TDs	3¢3.2¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US1¢ less
Caleb Douglas 2+ TDs	3¢3.2¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US1¢ less
Malik Washington 2+ TDs	3¢3.2¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US1¢ less
Ollie Gordon II 3+ TDs	3¢3.2¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Polymarket US1¢ less
Ashton Dulin first TD	4¢4.3¢ after fees	3¢3.3¢ after fees	Even
Daniel Jones first TD	4¢4.3¢ after fees	3¢3.3¢ after fees	Even
Jaylen Wright first TD	4¢4.3¢ after fees	3¢3.3¢ after fees	Even
Anthony Gould first TD	5¢5.3¢ after fees	4¢4.4¢ after fees	Even
Greg Dulcich first TD	5¢5.3¢ after fees	4¢4.4¢ after fees	Even
Caleb Douglas first TD	6¢6.4¢ after fees	5¢5.5¢ after fees	Even
Laquon Treadwell first TD	7¢7.5¢ after fees	6¢6.5¢ after fees	Even
Malik Washington first TD	7¢7.5¢ after fees	6¢6.5¢ after fees	Even
Drew Ogletree anytime TD	7¢7.5¢ after fees	6¢6.5¢ after fees	Even
Seth McGowan first TD	9¢9.6¢ after fees	8¢8.7¢ after fees	Even
Tyler Warren first TD	10¢10.6¢ after fees	9¢9.8¢ after fees	Even
Ollie Gordon II first TD	16¢16.9¢ after fees	15¢16.2¢ after fees	Even
Greg Dulcich 30+ rec yds	59¢60.7¢ after fees	59¢61.3¢ after fees	Even
Tyler Warren 60+ rec yds	33¢34.5¢ after fees	33¢35.1¢ after fees	Even
Caleb Douglas 30+ rec yds	67¢68.5¢ after fees	67¢69.1¢ after fees	Even
Jonathan Taylor 10+ rec yds	80¢81.1¢ after fees	79¢80.6¢ after fees	Even
Daniel Jones 1+ pass TDs	75¢76.3¢ after fees	74¢75.8¢ after fees	Even
Greg Dulcich 20+ rec yds	75¢76.3¢ after fees	75¢76.8¢ after fees	Even
Jonathan Taylor 30+ rec yds	40¢41.7¢ after fees	39¢41.3¢ after fees	Even
Seth McGowan 30+ rush yds	43¢44.7¢ after fees	42¢44.3¢ after fees	Even
Jonathan Taylor first TD	20¢21.1¢ after fees	20¢21.5¢ after fees	Even
Daniel Jones 250+ pass yds	18¢19¢ after fees	18¢19.4¢ after fees	Even
Kyle McCord 250+ pass yds	10¢10.6¢ after fees	10¢10.9¢ after fees	Even
Deion Burks first TD	4¢4.3¢ after fees	4¢4.4¢ after fees	Even
Daniel Jones 2+ TDs	2¢2.1¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Even
Greg Dulcich 2+ TDs	2¢2.1¢ after fees	2¢2.2¢ after fees	Even
Drew Ogletree first TD	no two-sided book	no two-sided book	—
Kaytron Allen first TD	no two-sided book	no two-sided book	—
Kevin Coleman Jr. first TD	no two-sided book	no two-sided book	—
Daniel Jones 100+ pass yds	94¢94.4¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Daniel Jones 125+ pass yds	85¢85.9¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Kyle McCord 100+ pass yds	86¢86.8¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Deion Burks 10+ rec yds	70¢71.5¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Laquon Treadwell 10+ rec yds	81¢82.1¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Laquon Treadwell 20+ rec yds	66¢67.6¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Laquon Treadwell 30+ rec yds	50¢51.8¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Tyler Warren 20+ rec yds	89¢89.7¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Greg Dulcich 10+ rec yds	89¢89.7¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Malik Washington 10+ rec yds	85¢85.9¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Seth McGowan 10+ rush yds	83¢84¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Ollie Gordon II 40+ rush yds	86¢86.8¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Anthony Gould 2+ TDs	2¢2.1¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—
Deion Burks 2+ TDs	2¢2.1¢ after fees	no two-sided book	—

This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Polymarket US only (47)

Caleb Douglas 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 68¢
Caleb Douglas 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 49¢
Caleb Douglas 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 18¢
Caleb Douglas 10+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
Caleb Douglas 20+ longest receptionPolymarket US 5¢
Daniel Jones 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 56¢
Daniel Jones 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 2¢
Daniel Jones 15+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 45¢
Daniel Jones 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 2¢
Deion Burks 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
Greg Dulcich 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 71¢
Greg Dulcich 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 51¢
Greg Dulcich 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 21¢
Greg Dulcich 9+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
Greg Dulcich 20+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢
Jonathan Taylor 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 67¢
Jonathan Taylor 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 44¢
Jonathan Taylor 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 19¢
Jonathan Taylor 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 51¢
Jonathan Taylor 19+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
Jonathan Taylor 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
Jonathan Taylor 24+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
Jonathan Taylor 120+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 2¢
Kyle McCord 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 61¢
Kyle McCord 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 2¢
Kyle McCord 4+ pass TDsPolymarket US 2¢
Kyle McCord 11+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 53¢
Kyle McCord 16+ passing completionsPolymarket US 60¢
Kyle McCord 28+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 47¢
Kyle McCord 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
Laquon Treadwell 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 44¢
Laquon Treadwell 8+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
Malik Washington 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 67¢
Malik Washington 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
Malik Washington 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 32¢
Malik Washington 11+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
Malik Washington 20+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢
Ollie Gordon II 12+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
Ollie Gordon II 15+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 47¢
Ollie Gordon II 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
Ollie Gordon II 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
Tyler Warren 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 71¢
Tyler Warren 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 58¢
Tyler Warren 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 22¢
Tyler Warren 8+ receptionsPolymarket US 16¢
Tyler Warren 12+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 71¢
Tyler Warren 20+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢

Kalshi only (76)

Jonathan Taylor 100+ rush ydsKalshi 24¢
IND Colts D/ST anytime TDKalshi 15¢
Jonathan Taylor 120+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
Seth McGowan 25+ rush ydsKalshi 48¢
MIA Dolphins D/ST anytime TDKalshi 12¢
Malik Washington 15+ rec ydsKalshi 76¢
Daniel Jones 300+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
Kyle McCord 275+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
Deion Burks 15+ rec ydsKalshi 59¢
Deion Burks 25+ rec ydsKalshi 40¢
Deion Burks 40+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
Deion Burks 50+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
Deion Burks 60+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
Deion Burks 70+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
Jonathan Taylor 15+ rec ydsKalshi 68¢
Jonathan Taylor 25+ rec ydsKalshi 49¢
Jonathan Taylor 40+ rec ydsKalshi 25¢
Jonathan Taylor 50+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
Jonathan Taylor 60+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
Jonathan Taylor 70+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
Laquon Treadwell 15+ rec ydsKalshi 75¢
Laquon Treadwell 25+ rec ydsKalshi 57¢
Laquon Treadwell 60+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
Laquon Treadwell 70+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
Laquon Treadwell 80+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
Laquon Treadwell 90+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
Tyler Warren 100+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
Tyler Warren 25+ rec ydsKalshi 82¢
Tyler Warren 70+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
Tyler Warren 80+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
Tyler Warren 90+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
Caleb Douglas 100+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
Caleb Douglas 15+ rec ydsKalshi 85¢
Caleb Douglas 25+ rec ydsKalshi 74¢
Caleb Douglas 70+ rec ydsKalshi 22¢
Caleb Douglas 80+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
Caleb Douglas 90+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
Greg Dulcich 15+ rec ydsKalshi 82¢
Greg Dulcich 25+ rec ydsKalshi 67¢
Greg Dulcich 60+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
Greg Dulcich 70+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
Greg Dulcich 80+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
Malik Washington 25+ rec ydsKalshi 62¢
Malik Washington 60+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
Malik Washington 70+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
Malik Washington 80+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
Daniel Jones 10+ rush ydsKalshi 49¢
Daniel Jones 15+ rush ydsKalshi 35¢
Daniel Jones 20+ rush ydsKalshi 25¢
Daniel Jones 25+ rush ydsKalshi 18¢
Daniel Jones 30+ rush ydsKalshi 12¢
Daniel Jones 40+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
Jonathan Taylor 110+ rush ydsKalshi 16¢
Jonathan Taylor 130+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
Jonathan Taylor 140+ rush ydsKalshi 6¢
Seth McGowan 15+ rush ydsKalshi 74¢
Seth McGowan 40+ rush ydsKalshi 28¢
Seth McGowan 50+ rush ydsKalshi 18¢
Seth McGowan 60+ rush ydsKalshi 12¢
Seth McGowan 70+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢

+ 16 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 9.50% × price × (1 − price) per contract under $10,000 of 30-day taker volume (max $2.38 per 100), down to 6.95% at $250,000+. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Dolphins vs Colts props — FAQ

What are the player props for Dolphins vs Colts?

42 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 10 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Dolphins vs Colts player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 42 strikes with a real two-sided book; 140 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

More NFL Markets

NFL Week 10 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
NFL Week 11 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
NFL Week 9 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
Kalshi NFL spread & total ladders, scanned live → — Every NFL strike checked for prices out of order, with Novig and Polymarket US beside it
Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale