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NFL 2026

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Chargers vs Chiefs player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 6. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 15, 2026, Kalshi lists 43 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Chargers vs Chiefs, Week 6.

Kalshi as of Oct 15, 9:20 AM ET · books as of Oct 15, 4:15 AM ET · 117 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 43 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 6 predictions →Week 7 predictions →Week 5 results →

Week 6 gamesSeahawks at BroncosTexans at JaguarsBears at FalconsRavens at BrownsTitans at ColtsJets at PatriotsSaints at GiantsPanthers at EaglesSteelers at BuccaneersCardinals at RamsChargers at ChiefsBills at RaidersCowboys at PackersCommanders at 49ers

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktTierTrade
Kenneth Walker IIIRBWatch90+ rush ydsover 89.5KC vs LACNO🔒MODERATEBuy NO →

1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Chargers vs Chiefs

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Kenneth WalkerRBKC v LAC90+ rush ydsLAC @ KC49.5¢48.8%3bk+0.7¢o -104 / u -115o +101 / u -115over · ProphetX 49.8¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢🔒Kalshi →
Xavier WorthyKC v LACanytime TDLAC @ KC36.5¢34.2%exch+2.3¢o +178 / u -285o +156 / u -235over · BetRivers 34.5¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KCanytime TDLAC @ KC13.0¢13.9%exch-0.9¢o +614 / u -700o +570 / u -1100over · Novig 14¢under · Novig 87.5¢—Kalshi →
Charlie KolarLAC v KCanytime TDLAC @ KC12.5¢—one-sided——over · BetRivers 13.3¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KC1+ pass TDsLAC @ KC64.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KC3+ pass TDsLAC @ KC7.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KC125+ pass ydsLAC @ KC85.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -1011o -1150over · Kalshi 89.7¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KC175+ pass ydsLAC @ KC62.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -186 / u +144o -210over · Novig 65¢under · Novig 41¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KC200+ pass ydsLAC @ KC45.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +108 / u -133o +104over · Kalshi 47.7¢under · Kalshi 56.7¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KC250+ pass ydsLAC @ KC19.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +344 / u -506o +325over · Kalshi 22.2¢under · Novig 83.5¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KC275+ pass ydsLAC @ KC12.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +488o +570over · Kalshi 14.8¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v KC300+ pass ydsLAC @ KC7.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +1076 / u -1718o +910over · Kalshi 8.5¢under · Kalshi 94.4¢—Kalshi →
KC Chiefs D/STKC v LACanytime TDLAC @ KC13.5¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 15.9¢—Kalshi →
Keaton MitchellLAC v KCanytime TDLAC @ KC15.5¢—one-sidedo +426 / u -1150o +400over · Kalshi 16.9¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢—Kalshi →
Keaton MitchellLAC v KC20+ rush ydsLAC @ KC46.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LACanytime TDLAC @ KC60.5¢—one-sidedo -174 / u +122o -174over · Kalshi 62.7¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC50+ rush ydsLAC @ KC86.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -809o -1000over · Novig 89¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC60+ rush ydsLAC @ KC80.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -426o -485over · Novig 81¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC70+ rush ydsLAC @ KC69.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -245o -270over · Novig 71¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerRBKC v LAC80+ rush ydsLAC @ KC62.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -156o -170over · Novig 60.9¢🔒Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC100+ rush ydsLAC @ KC41.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +144o +150over · ProphetX 40¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC110+ rush ydsLAC @ KC33.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +203o +215over · ProphetX 31.7¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC120+ rush ydsLAC @ KC26.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +270—over · Novig 27¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC130+ rush ydsLAC @ KC20.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +365—over · Novig 21.5¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC140+ rush ydsLAC @ KC15.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +506—over · Novig 16.5¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC150+ rush ydsLAC @ KC11.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +641o +810over · ProphetX 11¢—Kalshi →
Kenneth WalkerKC v LAC160+ rush ydsLAC @ KC7.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +809—over · Kalshi 9.6¢—Kalshi →
Kimani VidalLAC v KC15+ rush ydsLAC @ KC54.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
LA Chargers D/STLAC v KCanytime TDLAC @ KC12.0¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 13.8¢—Kalshi →
Noah GrayKC v LACanytime TDLAC @ KC15.5¢—one-sided——over · BetRivers 14.3¢—Kalshi →
Omarion HamptonLAC v KCanytime TDLAC @ KC24.5¢—one-sidedo +257 / u -525o +250over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LACanytime TDLAC @ KC18.5¢—one-sidedo +426 / u -1150o +430over · BetRivers 18.5¢under · Kalshi 83¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC1+ pass TDsLAC @ KC84.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC2+ pass TDsLAC @ KC52.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC3+ pass TDsLAC @ KC23.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC175+ pass ydsLAC @ KC80.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -567o -520over · ProphetX 83.9¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC200+ pass ydsLAC @ KC66.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -257o -240over · Kalshi 68.6¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC225+ pass ydsLAC @ KC52.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -127o -132over · ESPN Bet 54.5¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC250+ pass ydsLAC @ KC37.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +153o +152over · Novig 39.5¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC275+ pass ydsLAC @ KC24.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +257o +270over · ProphetX 27¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC300+ pass ydsLAC @ KC14.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +471o +460over · Kalshi 16.9¢—Kalshi →
Patrick MahomesKC v LAC325+ pass ydsLAC @ KC8.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +614o +740over · Kalshi 10.6¢—Kalshi →
Travis KelceKC v LACanytime TDLAC @ KC34.5¢—one-sidedo +186 / u -317o +170over · DK 34.5¢under · Kalshi 67.6¢—Kalshi →
43 of 43 two-sided strikes · + 74 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Oct 15, 4:15 AM ET

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Chargers vs Chiefs player prop ladders for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Chargers vs Chiefs prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Chargers vs Chiefs, Week 6 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

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Los Angeles ChargersKansas City ChiefsEvery game this week →

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Chargers vs Chiefs props — FAQ

What are the player props for Chargers vs Chiefs?

43 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 6 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Chargers vs Chiefs player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 43 strikes with a real two-sided book; 74 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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