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NFL 2026

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Broncos vs Chargers player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 53 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Broncos vs Chargers, Week 5.

Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET · 157 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 53 with a real two-sided book · 4 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions →Week 6 predictions →Week 4 results →

Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at CowboysEagles at JaguarsBengals at DolphinsRaiders at PatriotsVikings at SaintsBrowns at JetsColts at SteelersTexans at TitansGiants at CommandersBroncos at ChargersLions at CardinalsBears at Packers49ers at SeahawksRavens at FalconsBills at Rams

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktEdgeTierTrade
Keaton MitchellRBWatch30+ rush ydsover 29.5LAC vs DENNO🔒MODERATEBuy NO →

1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Broncos vs Chargers

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Jaylen WaddleDEN v LAC50+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC54.5¢51.7%3bk+2.8¢o -115 / u +100o -128 / u -106over · DK 52.4¢under · Kalshi 47.7¢—Kalshi →
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN v LAC15+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC47.0¢49.0%3bk-2.0¢o -106 / u -117o -107over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · BetRivers 52.8¢—Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v LAC15+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC48.5¢50.0%5bk-1.5¢o -113 / u -113o -111 / u -112over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · DK 51.7¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v DEN200+ pass ydsDEN @ LAC50.5¢50.0%3bk+0.5¢o -113 / u -104—over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Novig 51¢—Kalshi →
Keaton MitchellRBLAC v DEN30+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC50.5¢51.0%2bk-0.5¢o -115 / u +100o -127over · Novig 53.5¢under · Novig 50¢🔒Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v LACanytime TDDEN @ LAC18.0¢—one-sidedo +376 / u -900o +290over · Kalshi 20.1¢under · Kalshi 84¢—Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v LAC2+ pass TDsDEN @ LAC45.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v LAC225+ pass ydsDEN @ LAC48.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -113 / u -111—over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Novig 52.6¢—Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v LAC275+ pass ydsDEN @ LAC21.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +264—over · Kalshi 25.3¢—Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v LAC10+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC64.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -203 / u +156o -230over · Novig 67¢under · Novig 39.1¢—Kalshi →
Bo NixDEN v LAC20+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC35.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +144 / u -186o +150over · Kalshi 38.6¢under · Novig 65¢—Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v LACanytime TDDEN @ LAC28.5¢—one-sidedo +208 / u -355o +160over · Kalshi 31.5¢under · Kalshi 74.4¢—Kalshi →
Courtland SuttonDEN v LAC40+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC45.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +104 / u -133o +104over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · Novig 57.1¢—Kalshi →
Evan EngramDEN v LACanytime TDDEN @ LAC15.0¢—one-sidedo +488 / u -1567o +425over · DK 16.7¢under · Kalshi 86.8¢—Kalshi →
J.K. DobbinsDEN v LACanytime TDDEN @ LAC38.0¢—one-sidedo +141 / u -233o -320over · Kalshi 40.7¢under · Kalshi 64.6¢—Kalshi →
J.K. DobbinsDEN v LAC50+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC52.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -125 / u +100o -132 / u -420over · Novig 55.6¢under · Novig 50¢—Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v LACanytime TDDEN @ LAC30.0¢—one-sidedo +203 / u -355o -320over · Kalshi 32.5¢under · Kalshi 72.4¢—Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v LAC60+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC43.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +127 / u -163o +127over · Novig 44.1¢under · Kalshi 60.7¢—Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v LAC70+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC33.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +208 / u -245o +194over · Novig 32.5¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢—Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v LAC90+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC16.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +426o +400over · Kalshi 19¢—Kalshi →
Jaylen WaddleDEN v LAC100+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC12.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +545o +570over · Kalshi 14.8¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v DENanytime TDDEN @ LAC13.5¢—one-sidedo +525 / u -1900o +390over · Kalshi 14.8¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v DEN2+ pass TDsDEN @ LAC35.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v DEN175+ pass ydsDEN @ LAC66.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -233 / u +108—over · Kalshi 69.5¢under · Kalshi 36.6¢—Kalshi →
Justin HerbertLAC v DEN250+ pass ydsDEN @ LAC21.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +270—over · Kalshi 24.2¢—Kalshi →
Keaton MitchellLAC v DENanytime TDDEN @ LAC21.0¢—one-sidedo +270 / u -525o +245over · Kalshi 23.2¢under · Kalshi 81.1¢—Kalshi →
Keaton MitchellLAC v DEN25+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC64.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -174 / u +144o -194over · Novig 63.5¢under · Kalshi 38.6¢—Kalshi →
Keaton MitchellLAC v DEN40+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC37.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +170 / u -212o +170over · Novig 37¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢—Kalshi →
Keaton MitchellLAC v DEN50+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC25.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +326 / u -400o +300over · Novig 23.5¢under · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Kimani VidalLAC v DENanytime TDDEN @ LAC14.5¢—one-sidedo +471 / u -1567o +360over · BetRivers 15.4¢under · Kalshi 86.8¢—Kalshi →
LA Chargers D/STLAC v DENanytime TDDEN @ LAC12.0¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 13.8¢—Kalshi →
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN v LACanytime TDDEN @ LAC10.5¢—one-sidedo +733 / u -9900o +520over · FD 11.1¢under · Kalshi 90.6¢—Kalshi →
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN v LAC40+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC16.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +426o +430over · ProphetX 18.9¢—Kalshi →
Nate AdkinsDEN v LACanytime TDDEN @ LAC7.5¢—one-sidedo +1076 / u -1329o +680over · DK 7.7¢under · Novig 93¢—Kalshi →
Omarion HamptonLAC v DEN25+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC73.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -326 / u +245o -330over · Novig 76.5¢under · Novig 29¢—Kalshi →
Omarion HamptonLAC v DEN30+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC66.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -217 / u +156o -230over · Novig 68.5¢under · Kalshi 36.6¢—Kalshi →
Omarion HamptonLAC v DEN40+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC50.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -106 / u -122o -103over · ProphetX 50.7¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢—Kalshi →
Omarion HamptonLAC v DEN50+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC34.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +167 / u -223o +178over · ProphetX 36¢under · Kalshi 68.6¢—Kalshi →
Oronde GadsdenLAC v DEN2+ TDsDEN @ LAC3.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Quentin JohnstonLAC v DENanytime TDDEN @ LAC23.0¢—one-sidedo +270 / u -488o +210over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LACanytime TDDEN @ LAC30.5¢—one-sidedo +203 / u -335o +160over · Novig 33¢under · Kalshi 72.4¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LAC15+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC75.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -355 / u +233o -375over · Kalshi 77.3¢under · Kalshi 27.4¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LAC25+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC55.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -144 / u +108o -138over · ProphetX 58¢under · Kalshi 47.7¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LAC50+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC15.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +344 / u -488o +340over · Kalshi 19¢under · Novig 83¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LAC10+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC74.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -257 / u +178o -280over · Novig 72¢under · Kalshi 28.4¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LAC15+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC61.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -144 / u +113o -200over · Novig 59¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LAC20+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC48.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +115 / u -144o +102over · Novig 46.5¢under · Kalshi 54.7¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LAC25+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC36.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +186 / u -245o +160over · Novig 35¢under · Kalshi 67.6¢—Kalshi →
RJ HarveyDEN v LAC30+ rush ydsDEN @ LAC27.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +264 / u -317o +230over · Novig 27.5¢under · Novig 76¢—Kalshi →
Tre' HarrisLAC v DENanytime TDDEN @ LAC19.5¢—one-sidedo +355 / u -809o +315over · Kalshi 21.1¢under · Kalshi 82.1¢—Kalshi →
Tre' HarrisLAC v DEN2+ TDsDEN @ LAC2.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Troy FranklinDEN v LAC15+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC59.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -150 / u +113o -170over · Novig 60¢under · Kalshi 43.7¢—Kalshi →
Troy FranklinDEN v LAC40+ rec ydsDEN @ LAC24.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +285 / u -376o +285over · Novig 26¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢—Kalshi →
53 of 53 two-sided strikes · + 104 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET

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Broncos vs Chargers player prop ladders for Week 5: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Broncos vs Chargers prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Broncos vs Chargers, Week 5 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

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Denver BroncosLos Angeles ChargersEvery game this week →

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Broncos vs Chargers props — FAQ

What are the player props for Broncos vs Chargers?

53 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Broncos vs Chargers player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 53 strikes with a real two-sided book; 104 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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