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Titans vs Colts player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 6. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 14, 2026, Kalshi lists 42 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Titans vs Colts, Week 6.

Kalshi as of Oct 14, 1:20 PM ET · books as of Oct 14, 11:15 AM ET · 190 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 42 with a real two-sided book · 3 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 6 predictions →Week 7 predictions →Week 5 results →

Week 6 gamesSeahawks at BroncosTexans at JaguarsBears at FalconsRavens at BrownsTitans at ColtsJets at PatriotsSaints at GiantsPanthers at EaglesSteelers at BuccaneersCardinals at RamsChargers at ChiefsBills at RaidersCowboys at PackersCommanders at 49ers

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktTierTrade
Tony PollardRBWatch50+ rush ydsover 49.5TEN vs INDNOSkew51.5—49¢MODERATEBuy NO →
Jonathan TaylorRBWatch60+ rush ydsover 59.5IND vs TENNO🔒MODERATEBuy NO →
Tyjae SpearsRBWatch15+ rec ydsover 14.5TEN vs INDYES🔒MODERATEBuy YES →

3 of 3 props · 2 locked (Pro)

Skew — our projection is an average, and on a right-skewed stat a few big games can pull it past a threshold most games never reach. The call comes from the full distribution, not the average; the badge says the two disagree. Never the top call.

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Titans vs Colts

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Jonathan TaylorRBIND v TEN90+ rush ydsTEN @ IND47.5¢50.0%3bk-2.5¢o -111 / u +100o -111 / u -112over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · Novig 50¢🔒Kalshi →
Tony PollardRBTEN v IND50+ rush ydsTEN @ IND51.5¢50.2%3bk+1.3¢o -106 / u -104o -111 / u -105over · Novig 51.5¢under · Novig 51¢🔒Kalshi →
Keenan AllenIND v TEN40+ rec ydsTEN @ IND50.5¢49.3%3bk+1.2¢o -106 / u -113o -106 / u -112over · Novig 51.5¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Tyjae SpearsRBTEN v IND15+ rec ydsTEN @ IND50.5¢50.4%2bk+0.1¢o -122 / u -113u -122over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢🔒Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v TENanytime TDTEN @ IND16.5¢17.9%exch-1.4¢o +456 / u -567o +415 / u -650over · Kalshi 18¢under · Kalshi 84.9¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v TENanytime TDTEN @ IND69.5¢68.7%exch+0.8¢o -257 / u +203o -280 / u +200over · Kalshi 71.5¢under · Kalshi 32.5¢—Kalshi →
Calvin RidleyTEN v IND15+ rec ydsTEN @ IND48.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -127o +101over · ProphetX 49.8¢—Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v IND2+ pass TDsTEN @ IND30.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v IND200+ pass ydsTEN @ IND52.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -125 / u -102o -117over · ProphetX 53.9¢under · Novig 50.5¢—Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v IND275+ pass ydsTEN @ IND12.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +456o +530over · Kalshi 14.8¢—Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v IND10+ rush ydsTEN @ IND57.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -163o -156over · Kalshi 59.7¢—Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v IND15+ rush ydsTEN @ IND41.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +115o +127over · ProphetX 44.1¢—Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v IND20+ rush ydsTEN @ IND29.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +203o +178over · Kalshi 31.5¢—Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v IND30+ rush ydsTEN @ IND13.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +456o +570over · ProphetX 14.9¢—Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v INDanytime TDTEN @ IND22.0¢—one-sidedo +292 / u -669o +285over · Kalshi 24.2¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v IND50+ rec ydsTEN @ IND52.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -127 / u -194o -132over · Kalshi 54.7¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢—Kalshi →
Daniel BellingerTEN v INDanytime TDTEN @ IND6.5¢—one-sidedo +1233o +900over · DK 6.7¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v TEN1+ pass TDsTEN @ IND82.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v TEN2+ pass TDsTEN @ IND48.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v TEN200+ pass ydsTEN @ IND72.0¢—no bookso -270o -350over · Novig 73¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v TEN350+ pass ydsTEN @ IND5.5¢—no bookso +1150—over · Kalshi 6.4¢—Kalshi →
Daniel JonesIND v TEN10+ rush ydsTEN @ IND39.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +135o +138over · ProphetX 42¢—Kalshi →
Elic AyomanorTEN v IND15+ rec ydsTEN @ IND51.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -138o -138over · Kalshi 53.8¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v TEN2+ TDsTEN @ IND31.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorRBIND v TEN60+ rush ydsTEN @ IND78.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -506o -550over · Kalshi 81.1¢🔒Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v TEN70+ rush ydsTEN @ IND69.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -257o -280over · Novig 72¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v TEN80+ rush ydsTEN @ IND59.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -178o -176over · Kalshi 62.7¢—Kalshi →
Jonathan TaylorIND v TEN110+ rush ydsTEN @ IND33.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +182o +186over · ProphetX 35¢—Kalshi →
Josh DownsIND v TENanytime TDTEN @ IND31.5¢—one-sidedo +186 / u -335o +160over · Kalshi 33.5¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢—Kalshi →
Josh DownsIND v TEN50+ rec ydsTEN @ IND47.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +106o +105over · Novig 48.5¢—Kalshi →
Josh DownsIND v TEN60+ rec ydsTEN @ IND36.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +167o +164over · Novig 37.5¢—Kalshi →
Josh DownsIND v TEN70+ rec ydsTEN @ IND26.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +264o +245over · Novig 27.5¢—Kalshi →
Keenan AllenIND v TEN2+ TDsTEN @ IND2.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Seth McGowanIND v TENanytime TDTEN @ IND10.0¢—one-sidedo +641 / u -4900o +570over · Kalshi 11.7¢under · Kalshi 91.6¢—Kalshi →
Seth McGowanIND v TEN15+ rush ydsTEN @ IND47.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +117o +127over · ProphetX 44.1¢—Kalshi →
Seth McGowanIND v TEN20+ rush ydsTEN @ IND33.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +190o +215over · ProphetX 31.7¢—Kalshi →
Tony PollardTEN v INDanytime TDTEN @ IND32.5¢—one-sidedo +163 / u -300o -270over · Kalshi 34.6¢under · Kalshi 69.5¢—Kalshi →
Tony PollardTEN v IND70+ rush ydsTEN @ IND26.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +228o +225over · Novig 30.5¢—Kalshi →
Tyjae SpearsTEN v IND25+ rec ydsTEN @ IND30.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +178o +215over · ProphetX 31.7¢—Kalshi →
Tyler WarrenIND v TENanytime TDTEN @ IND36.5¢—one-sidedo +147 / u -245o +138 / u -210over · Kalshi 38.6¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢—Kalshi →
Tyler WarrenIND v TEN60+ rec ydsTEN @ IND44.0¢—no bookso +115o +122 / u -148over · ProphetX 45¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢—Kalshi →
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN v IND50+ rec ydsTEN @ IND33.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +199 / u -567o +225over · ProphetX 30.8¢under · Kalshi 69.5¢—Kalshi →
42 of 42 two-sided strikes · + 148 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Oct 14, 11:15 AM ET

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Titans vs Colts player prop ladders for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Titans vs Colts prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Titans vs Colts, Week 6 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

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The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Titans vs Colts props — FAQ

What are the player props for Titans vs Colts?

42 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 6 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Titans vs Colts player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 42 strikes with a real two-sided book; 148 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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