Seahawks vs Raiders player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 10. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of November 11, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Seahawks vs Raiders, Week 10.
Kalshi as of Nov 11, 4:20 AM ET · books as of Nov 11, 3:15 AM ET · 188 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 0 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 10 predictions →Week 11 predictions →Week 9 results →
Week 10 gamesCommanders at GiantsPatriots at LionsChiefs at FalconsTexans at BrownsVikings at PackersDolphins at ColtsPanthers at SaintsBills at JetsJaguars at TitansRams at CardinalsSeahawks at Raiders49ers at CowboysSteelers at BengalsChargers at Ravens
Prop market board — Seahawks vs Raiders
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ BarnerSEA v LV | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 25.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SEA | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 34.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SEA | 20+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 73.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SEA | 30+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 55.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SEA | 40+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 37.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ashton JeantyLV v SEA | 50+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 25.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock BowersLV v SEA | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 29.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Cooper KuppSEA v LV | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 15.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 12.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 2+ pass TDs | SEA @ LV | 30.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 3+ pass TDs | SEA @ LV | 8.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 175+ pass yds | SEA @ LV | 55.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 200+ pass yds | SEA @ LV | 38.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 225+ pass yds | SEA @ LV | 24.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 250+ pass yds | SEA @ LV | 14.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 275+ pass yds | SEA @ LV | 9.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 10+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 56.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 15+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 43.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 20+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 28.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Fernando MendozaLV v SEA | 25+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 20.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jadarian PriceSEA v LV | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 30.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jadarian PriceSEA v LV | 30+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 70.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jadarian PriceSEA v LV | 40+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 53.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jadarian PriceSEA v LV | 50+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 40.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jadarian PriceSEA v LV | 60+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 28.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v LV | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 48.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v LV | 2+ TDs | SEA @ LV | 11.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA v LV | 90+ rec yds | SEA @ LV | 48.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael MayerLV v SEA | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 11.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike WashingtonLV v SEA | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 16.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike WashingtonLV v SEA | 10+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 82.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike WashingtonLV v SEA | 20+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 63.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike WashingtonLV v SEA | 30+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 41.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Tre TuckerLV v SEA | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 16.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Tre TuckerLV v SEA | 40+ rec yds | SEA @ LV | 28.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Tre TuckerLV v SEA | 50+ rec yds | SEA @ LV | 20.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Zach CharbonnetSEA v LV | anytime TD | SEA @ LV | 42.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Zach CharbonnetSEA v LV | 40+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 71.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Zach CharbonnetSEA v LV | 50+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 59.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Zach CharbonnetSEA v LV | 60+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 48.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Zach CharbonnetSEA v LV | 70+ rush yds | SEA @ LV | 33.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
Share this Oracle Ladder
Embed this game’s spread ladder
A live card locked to Seahawks vs Raiders, Week 10 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.
Every NFL prediction-market widget.
Article width · 560×300
<iframe src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/seahawks-vs-raiders-week-10-2026/hero" width="560" height="300" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" title="Seahawks vs Raiders, Week 10 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks"> </iframe> <p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Seahawks vs Raiders, Week 10 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/seahawks-vs-raiders-week-10-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Sidebar · 320×280
<iframe src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/seahawks-vs-raiders-week-10-2026/sidebar" width="320" height="280" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" title="Seahawks vs Raiders, Week 10 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks"> </iframe> <p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Seahawks vs Raiders, Week 10 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/seahawks-vs-raiders-week-10-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Seahawks at Raiders · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 4:20 AM ET
| Player prop (84) | Kalshi4:20 AM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner4:47 AM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Mayer first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Bowers first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jalen Nailor 2+ TDs | no two-sided book | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime TD | 49¢50.7¢ after fees | 51¢53.4¢ after fees | Kalshi2.6¢ less |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 90+ rec yds | 50¢51.8¢ after fees | 52¢54.4¢ after fees | Kalshi2.6¢ less |
| Brock Bowers 2+ TDs | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US3.1¢ less |
| Brock Bowers anytime TD | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | 30¢32¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.5¢ less |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ TDs | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | 14¢15.1¢ after fees | Kalshi1.4¢ less |
| Tre Tucker anytime TD | 17¢18¢ after fees | 16¢17.3¢ after fees | Even |
| AJ Barner first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba first TD | 17¢18¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty anytime TD | 36¢37.6¢ after fees | 35¢37.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Cooper Kupp anytime TD | 17¢18¢ after fees | 18¢19.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.4¢ less |
| Ashton Jeanty 30+ rush yds | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| AJ Barner anytime TD | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | 28¢29.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Michael Mayer anytime TD | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | 13¢14.1¢ after fees | Even |
| Zach Charbonnet anytime TD | 44¢45.7¢ after fees | 45¢47.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.6¢ less |
| Brock Bowers 90+ rec yds | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | 24¢25.7¢ after fees | Kalshi2.5¢ less |
| Zach Charbonnet 70+ rush yds | 38¢39.6¢ after fees | 41¢43.3¢ after fees | Kalshi3.6¢ less |
| Tre Tucker 50+ rec yds | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | 25¢26.8¢ after fees | Kalshi3.6¢ less |
| Jadarian Price 50+ rush yds | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | 45¢47.4¢ after fees | Kalshi2.6¢ less |
| Jadarian Price anytime TD | 33¢34.5¢ after fees | 35¢37.2¢ after fees | Kalshi2.6¢ less |
| Jadarian Price 60+ rush yds | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | 32¢34.1¢ after fees | Kalshi2.6¢ less |
| Mike Washington Jr. 30+ rush yds | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | 46¢48.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.6¢ less |
| Mike Washington Jr. 20+ rush yds | 67¢68.5¢ after fees | 66¢68.1¢ after fees | Even |
| Mike Washington Jr. anytime TD | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | 19¢20.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Jadarian Price 20+ rush yds | 88¢88.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jadarian Price 30+ rush yds | 74¢75.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 40+ rec yds | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | 36¢38.2¢ after fees | Kalshi4.7¢ less |
| Ashton Jeanty 40+ rush yds | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | 43¢45.3¢ after fees | Kalshi2.6¢ less |
| Zach Charbonnet 60+ rush yds | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | 54¢56.4¢ after fees | Kalshi2.6¢ less |
| Zach Charbonnet 50+ rush yds | 64¢65.6¢ after fees | 66¢68.1¢ after fees | Kalshi2.5¢ less |
| Ashton Jeanty 20+ rush yds | 77¢78.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Washington Jr. 10+ rush yds | 86¢86.8¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jadarian Price 40+ rush yds | 60¢61.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Zach Charbonnet 40+ rush yds | 76¢77.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Ashton Jeanty 50+ rush yds | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | 29¢31¢ after fees | Even |
| Zach Charbonnet 90+ rush yds | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | 21¢22.6¢ after fees | Even |
| Ashton Jeanty 2+ TDs | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US4.2¢ less |
| Jadarian Price 2+ TDs | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US4.2¢ less |
| Tre Tucker 30+ rec yds | 47¢48.7¢ after fees | 49¢51.4¢ after fees | Kalshi2.6¢ less |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 130+ rec yds | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | 25¢26.8¢ after fees | Kalshi2.5¢ less |
| Cooper Kupp first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 6¢6.5¢ after fees | Polymarket US2¢ less |
| Brock Bowers 70+ rec yds | 40¢41.7¢ after fees | 41¢43.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.6¢ less |
| AJ Barner 30+ rec yds | 40¢41.7¢ after fees | 41¢43.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1.6¢ less |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 110+ rec yds | 35¢36.6¢ after fees | 36¢38.2¢ after fees | Kalshi1.6¢ less |
| Tre Tucker 20+ rec yds | 63¢64.6¢ after fees | 64¢66.2¢ after fees | Kalshi1.6¢ less |
| Zach Charbonnet 80+ rush yds | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | 30¢32¢ after fees | Kalshi1.6¢ less |
| Mike Washington Jr. 2+ TDs | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| Cooper Kupp 2+ TDs | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| AJ Barner 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Ashton Jeanty first TD | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | 11¢11.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Zach Charbonnet 2+ TDs | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | 11¢11.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Bowers 60+ rec yds | 50¢51.8¢ after fees | 50¢52.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Michael Mayer 20+ rec yds | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | 55¢57.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Jalen Nailor 20+ rec yds | 38¢39.6¢ after fees | 38¢40.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Michael Mayer 30+ rec yds | 36¢37.6¢ after fees | 36¢38.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Bowers 80+ rec yds | 31¢32.5¢ after fees | 31¢33¢ after fees | Even |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 120+ rec yds | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | 29¢31¢ after fees | Even |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 100+ rec yds | 44¢45.7¢ after fees | 43¢45.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Bowers 100+ rec yds | 18¢19¢ after fees | 18¢19.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Jalen Nailor anytime TD | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | 11¢11.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Mike Washington Jr. first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Tre Tucker first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Michael Mayer 2+ TDs | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Tre Tucker 2+ TDs | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Jalen Nailor first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jadarian Price first TD | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Zach Charbonnet first TD | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers 30+ rec yds | 84¢84.9¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers 40+ rec yds | 74¢75.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Brock Bowers 50+ rec yds | 63¢64.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jalen Nailor 10+ rec yds | 59¢60.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Mayer 10+ rec yds | 76¢77.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Tre Tucker 10+ rec yds | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| AJ Barner 10+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| AJ Barner 20+ rec yds | 58¢59.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Cooper Kupp 10+ rec yds | 74¢75.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Cooper Kupp 20+ rec yds | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Cooper Kupp 30+ rec yds | 39¢40.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 50+ rec yds | 87¢87.8¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 60+ rec yds | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 70+ rec yds | 71¢72.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 80+ rec yds | 63¢64.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (31)
- AJ Barner 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 52¢
- AJ Barner 8+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Ashton Jeanty 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Ashton Jeanty 13+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Brock Bowers 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
- Brock Bowers 8+ receptionsPolymarket US 3¢
- Brock Bowers 17+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Brock Bowers 20+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢
- Cooper Kupp 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 45¢
- Cooper Kupp 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 3¢
- Jadarian Price 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Jadarian Price 9+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Jadarian Price 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
- Jalen Nailor 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba 3+ TDsPolymarket US 3¢
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 59¢
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba 8+ receptionsPolymarket US 44¢
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10+ receptionsPolymarket US 3¢
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba 20+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba 24+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Michael Mayer 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 76¢
- Michael Mayer 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 54¢
- Mike Washington Jr. 12+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
- Mike Washington Jr. 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
- Tre Tucker 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 71¢
- Tre Tucker 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
- Tre Tucker 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 3¢
- Tre Tucker 10+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Zach Charbonnet 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Zach Charbonnet 11+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Zach Charbonnet 16+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 2¢
Kalshi only (123)
- Fernando Mendoza anytime TDKalshi 14¢
- Fernando Mendoza 200+ pass ydsKalshi 40¢
- Fernando Mendoza 225+ pass ydsKalshi 26¢
- Fernando Mendoza 15+ rush ydsKalshi 45¢
- Emanuel Wilson 2+ TDsKalshi 2¢
- Fernando Mendoza 25+ rush ydsKalshi 22¢
- Fernando Mendoza 175+ pass ydsKalshi 56¢
- Fernando Mendoza 3+ pass TDsKalshi 9¢
- Fernando Mendoza 275+ pass ydsKalshi 11¢
- Fernando Mendoza 2+ TDsKalshi 2¢
- Fernando Mendoza 2+ pass TDsKalshi 31¢
- Jadarian Price 50+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Fernando Mendoza 250+ pass ydsKalshi 17¢
- Tre Tucker 90+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jack Bech anytime TDKalshi 7¢
- Jalen Nailor 50+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Fernando Mendoza 20+ rush ydsKalshi 33¢
- Fernando Mendoza 10+ rush ydsKalshi 59¢
- Connor Heyward first TDKalshi 2¢
- Dylan Laube first TDKalshi 3¢
- Dont'e Thornton Jr. first TDKalshi 4¢
- Fernando Mendoza first TDKalshi 4¢
- Jack Bech first TDKalshi 3¢
- Eric Saubert first TDKalshi 3¢
- Emanuel Wilson first TDKalshi 3¢
- George Holani first TDKalshi 2¢
- Nick Kallerup first TDKalshi 3¢
- Tory Horton first TDKalshi 6¢
- Fernando Mendoza 1+ pass TDsKalshi 70¢
- Fernando Mendoza 125+ pass ydsKalshi 84¢
- Fernando Mendoza 150+ pass ydsKalshi 71¢
- Fernando Mendoza 300+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
- Fernando Mendoza 325+ pass ydsKalshi 5¢
- Ashton Jeanty 10+ rec ydsKalshi 84¢
- Ashton Jeanty 15+ rec ydsKalshi 75¢
- Ashton Jeanty 20+ rec ydsKalshi 65¢
- Ashton Jeanty 25+ rec ydsKalshi 55¢
- Ashton Jeanty 30+ rec ydsKalshi 46¢
- Ashton Jeanty 40+ rec ydsKalshi 30¢
- Ashton Jeanty 50+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
- Ashton Jeanty 60+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Ashton Jeanty 70+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Ashton Jeanty 80+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Brock Bowers 110+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Brock Bowers 120+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Brock Bowers 130+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Brock Bowers 25+ rec ydsKalshi 89¢
- Jalen Nailor 15+ rec ydsKalshi 47¢
- Jalen Nailor 25+ rec ydsKalshi 30¢
- Jalen Nailor 30+ rec ydsKalshi 24¢
- Jalen Nailor 40+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Jalen Nailor 60+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Michael Mayer 15+ rec ydsKalshi 66¢
- Michael Mayer 25+ rec ydsKalshi 44¢
- Michael Mayer 40+ rec ydsKalshi 23¢
- Michael Mayer 50+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Michael Mayer 60+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Michael Mayer 70+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Tre Tucker 15+ rec ydsKalshi 72¢
- Tre Tucker 25+ rec ydsKalshi 55¢
+ 63 more listed on Kalshi only.
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 9.50% × price × (1 − price) per contract under $10,000 of 30-day taker volume (max $2.38 per 100), down to 6.95% at $250,000+. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Seahawks vs Raiders props — FAQ
What are the player props for Seahawks vs Raiders?
41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 10 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Seahawks vs Raiders player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 147 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 10 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 11 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 9 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Kalshi NFL spread & total ladders, scanned live → — Every NFL strike checked for prices out of order, with Novig and Polymarket US beside it
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale