Patriots vs Lions player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 10. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of November 12, 2026, Kalshi lists 44 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Patriots vs Lions, Week 10.
Kalshi as of Nov 12, 1:20 AM ET · books as of Nov 12, 1:15 AM ET · 167 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 44 with a real two-sided book · 0 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 10 predictions →Week 11 predictions →Week 9 results →
Week 10 gamesCommanders at GiantsPatriots at LionsChiefs at FalconsTexans at BrownsVikings at PackersDolphins at ColtsPanthers at SaintsBills at JetsJaguars at TitansRams at CardinalsSeahawks at Raiders49ers at CowboysSteelers at BengalsChargers at Ravens
Prop market board — Patriots vs Lions
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v NE | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 49.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 51.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v NE | 2+ TDs | NE @ DET | 12.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v NE | 70+ rec yds | NE @ DET | 60.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v NE | 80+ rec yds | NE @ DET | 51.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | over · ESPN Bet 52.4¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v NE | 90+ rec yds | NE @ DET | 40.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +127 | over · Kalshi 43.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Corey KinerNE v DET | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 41.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +122 / u -130 | — | over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Novig 56.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Corey KinerNE v DET | 40+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 66.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Corey KinerNE v DET | 50+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 52.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -122 | over · ProphetX 55¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Corey KinerNE v DET | 55+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 46.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Corey KinerNE v DET | 70+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 29.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +203 | o +198 | over · Novig 33¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| DeMario DouglasNE v DET | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 27.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +251 / u -292 | o +215 / u -690 | over · Novig 28.5¢under · Novig 74.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 24.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +308 / u -365 | — | over · Novig 24.5¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | 2+ pass TDs | NE @ DET | 55.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | 175+ pass yds | NE @ DET | 88.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | 225+ pass yds | NE @ DET | 70.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | 250+ pass yds | NE @ DET | 57.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -160 / u +117 | — | over · Kalshi 60.7¢under · Novig 46.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | 275+ pass yds | NE @ DET | 41.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +111 / u -178 | — | over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Kalshi 61.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | 20+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 63.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | 30+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 42.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v DET | 40+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 26.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +245 | o +240 | over · Kalshi 28.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Efton ChismNE v DET | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 16.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +413 / u -506 | — | over · Novig 19.5¢under · Novig 83.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Hunter HenryNE v DET | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 26.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +251 / u -292 | — | over · Novig 28.5¢under · Novig 74.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v NE | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 17.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +400 / u -488 | — | over · Novig 20¢under · Novig 83¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v NE | 15+ rec yds | NE @ DET | 55.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v NE | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 71.0¢ | — | one-sided | o -257 / u +223 | — | over · Novig 72¢under · Novig 31¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v NE | 2+ TDs | NE @ DET | 31.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v NE | 10+ rec yds | NE @ DET | 85.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -669 / u +213 | — | over · Novig 87¢under · Kalshi 16.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v NE | 30+ rec yds | NE @ DET | 51.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -117 / u -174 | — | over · Kalshi 53.8¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v NE | 60+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 82.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v NE | 70+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 74.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v NE | 80+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 65.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v NE | 100+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 45.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | over · Kalshi 47.7¢under · ESPN Bet 53.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v NE | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 32.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +190 / u -217 | — | over · Novig 34.5¢under · Novig 68.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v NE | 2+ TDs | NE @ DET | 5.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v NE | 20+ rec yds | NE @ DET | 86.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -1550 | over · Kalshi 88.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v NE | 3+ pass TDs | NE @ DET | 29.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v NE | 275+ pass yds | NE @ DET | 44.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -108 | — | over · Kalshi 48.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Lan LarisonNE v DET | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 17.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +413 / u -506 | — | over · Kalshi 19¢under · Novig 83.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mack HollinsNE v DET | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 26.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +264 / u -277 | — | over · Novig 27.5¢under · Novig 73.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v NE | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 32.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +199 / u -228 | o -200 | over · Novig 33.4¢under · Novig 69.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v NE | 15+ rec yds | NE @ DET | 87.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Sione VakiDET v NE | anytime TD | NE @ DET | 13.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +614 / u -733 | o +455 | over · Fanatics 13.3¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sione VakiDET v NE | 15+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 41.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +104 / u -228 | o +104 | over · Kalshi 46.7¢under · DK 54.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sione VakiDET v NE | 20+ rush yds | NE @ DET | 29.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +182 / u -400 | o +178 | over · Kalshi 34.6¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
44 of 44 two-sided strikes · + 123 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Nov 12, 1:15 AM ET
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Patriots at Lions · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 1:20 AM ET
| Player prop (143) | Kalshi1:20 AM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner2:20 AM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime TD | no current price | 52¢54.4¢ after fees | — |
| Corey Kiner anytime TD | no current price | 43¢45.3¢ after fees | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 80+ rec yds | no current price | 53¢55.4¢ after fees | — |
| Lan Larison anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 100+ rush yds | no current price | 50¢52.4¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 2+ TDs | no current price | 33¢35.1¢ after fees | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown first TD | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | 13¢14.1¢ after fees | Even |
| DeMario Douglas anytime TD | no current price | 29¢31¢ after fees | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 2+ TDs | no current price | 15¢16.2¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye anytime TD | no current price | 24¢25.7¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 57¢59.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD | no current price | 71¢73¢ after fees | — |
| Sione Vaki 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 275+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 70+ rec yds | no current price | 61¢63.3¢ after fees | — |
| Corey Kiner 50+ rush yds | no current price | 55¢57.4¢ after fees | — |
| Lan Larison first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 2+ TDs | no current price | 5¢5.5¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 20+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 90+ rec yds | no current price | 41¢43.3¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 6¢6.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1.2¢ less |
| Corey Kiner 40+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff 275+ pass yds | no current price | 46¢48.4¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams anytime TD | no current price | 33¢35.1¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry anytime TD | no current price | 27¢28.9¢ after fees | — |
| Sione Vaki 15+ rush yds | no current price | 47¢49.4¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 31¢33¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 225+ pass yds | no current price | 74¢75.8¢ after fees | — |
| Efton Chism III anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sione Vaki anytime TD | no current price | 14¢15.1¢ after fees | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 15+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sione Vaki 20+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta anytime TD | no current price | 32¢34.1¢ after fees | — |
| Mack Hollins anytime TD | no current price | 26¢27.8¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs first TD | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | 24¢25.7¢ after fees | Kalshi1.5¢ less |
| Corey Kiner 70+ rush yds | no current price | 32¢34.1¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 80+ rush yds | no current price | 70¢72¢ after fees | — |
| Eli Raridon first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Drake Maye 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 250+ pass yds | no current price | 60¢62.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 40+ rush yds | no current price | 27¢28.9¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa anytime TD | no current price | 18¢19.4¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 6¢6.5¢ after fees | Polymarket US2¢ less |
| Drake Maye first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Corey Kiner first TD | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | 11¢11.9¢ after fees | Even |
| DeMario Douglas first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Mack Hollins first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Jared Goff first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | Even |
| Brock Wright first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| DeAndre Carter first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams first TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Sione Vaki first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Efton Chism III first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Williams first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 88¢89¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 62¢64.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 16¢17.3¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 85¢86.2¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 28¢29.9¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 12¢13¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff 200+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jared Goff 225+ pass yds | no current price | 77¢78.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 250+ pass yds | no current price | 64¢66.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 300+ pass yds | no current price | 36¢38.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 325+ pass yds | no current price | 24¢25.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 350+ pass yds | no current price | 16¢17.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff 375+ pass yds | no current price | 11¢11.9¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 200+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 300+ pass yds | no current price | 32¢34.1¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 325+ pass yds | no current price | 23¢24.7¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 350+ pass yds | no current price | 14¢15.1¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 375+ pass yds | no current price | 10¢10.9¢ after fees | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 100+ rec yds | no current price | 33¢35.1¢ after fees | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 110+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 120+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 40+ rec yds | no current price | 89¢89.9¢ after fees | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 50+ rec yds | no current price | 81¢82.5¢ after fees | — |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown 60+ rec yds | no current price | 71¢73¢ after fees | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 25+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 40+ rec yds | no current price | 23¢24.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 40+ rec yds | no current price | 40¢42.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ rec yds | no current price | 27¢28.9¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 60+ rec yds | no current price | 19¢20.5¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ rec yds | no current price | 13¢14.1¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams 100+ rec yds | no current price | 18¢19.4¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jameson Williams 50+ rec yds | no current price | 60¢62.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams 60+ rec yds | no current price | 49¢51.4¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams 70+ rec yds | no current price | 39¢41.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams 80+ rec yds | no current price | 31¢33¢ after fees | — |
| Jameson Williams 90+ rec yds | no current price | 24¢25.7¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sam LaPorta 40+ rec yds | no current price | 57¢59.3¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 50+ rec yds | no current price | 43¢45.3¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 60+ rec yds | no current price | 32¢34.1¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 70+ rec yds | no current price | 24¢25.7¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 80+ rec yds | no current price | 16¢17.3¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 110+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 120+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 130+ rush yds | no current price | 28¢29.9¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 140+ rush yds | no current price | 20¢21.5¢ after fees | — |
| Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sione Vaki 10+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Sione Vaki 25+ rush yds | no current price | 25¢26.8¢ after fees | — |
| Sione Vaki 30+ rush yds | no current price | 18¢19.4¢ after fees | — |
| Corey Kiner 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Corey Kiner 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Corey Kiner 80+ rush yds | no current price | 23¢24.7¢ after fees | — |
| Corey Kiner 90+ rush yds | no current price | 17¢18.3¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 10+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 15+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 25+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 50+ rush yds | no current price | 15¢16.2¢ after fees | — |
| Brock Wright anytime TD | no current price | 8¢8.7¢ after fees | — |
| DeAndre Carter anytime TD | no current price | 7¢7.6¢ after fees | — |
| Isaac TeSlaa 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | — |
| Jared Goff anytime TD | no current price | 5¢5.5¢ after fees | — |
| Sam LaPorta 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.4¢ after fees | — |
| Corey Kiner 2+ TDs | no current price | 9¢9.8¢ after fees | — |
| DeMario Douglas 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.4¢ after fees | — |
| Drake Maye 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | — |
| Efton Chism III 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.2¢ after fees | — |
| Eli Raridon anytime TD | no current price | 25¢26.8¢ after fees | — |
| Eli Raridon 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | — |
| Hunter Henry 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | — |
| Kyle Williams anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Williams 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | — |
| Lan Larison 2+ TDs | no current price | 3¢3.3¢ after fees | — |
| Mack Hollins 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.4¢ after fees | — |
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (37)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 3+ TDsPolymarket US 3¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 76¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 62¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 8+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 11+ receptionsPolymarket US 15¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 20+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 40¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 25+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢
- Corey Kiner 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Corey Kiner 8+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- DeMario Douglas 10+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- DeMario Douglas 20+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢
- Drake Maye 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 56¢
- Hunter Henry 8+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 49¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 25¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 15¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 83¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 3+ TDsPolymarket US 3¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 44¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 26+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 120+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 3¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 140+ scrimmage yardsPolymarket US 3¢
- Jameson Williams 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Jameson Williams 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 52¢
- Jameson Williams 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 38¢
- Jameson Williams 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 24¢
- Jameson Williams 14+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Jameson Williams 25+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢
- Jared Goff 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 45¢
- Jared Goff 20+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Mack Hollins 8+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Sam LaPorta 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 44¢
- Sam LaPorta 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 29¢
- Sam LaPorta 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 18¢
- Sam LaPorta 13+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 50¢
- Sam LaPorta 20+ longest receptionPolymarket US 2¢
- Tyler Conklin anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
Kalshi only (42)
- Corey Kiner 55+ rush ydsKalshi 49¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 190+ rush ydsKalshi 6¢
- Sam LaPorta 15+ rec ydsKalshi 89¢
- Jared Goff 5+ pass TDsKalshi 6¢
- Drake Maye 5+ pass TDsKalshi 6¢
- Jared Goff 400+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
- Drake Maye 400+ pass ydsKalshi 6¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 130+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 140+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 150+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 160+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 50+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 60+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 70+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Isaac TeSlaa 80+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 15+ rec ydsKalshi 80¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 25+ rec ydsKalshi 63¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 80+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Jameson Williams 110+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Jameson Williams 120+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Jameson Williams 130+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Jameson Williams 25+ rec ydsKalshi 85¢
- Sam LaPorta 100+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Sam LaPorta 110+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Sam LaPorta 25+ rec ydsKalshi 77¢
- Sam LaPorta 90+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 150+ rush ydsKalshi 15¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 160+ rush ydsKalshi 12¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 170+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Jahmyr Gibbs 180+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jared Goff 10+ rush ydsKalshi 17¢
- Jared Goff 15+ rush ydsKalshi 10¢
- Sione Vaki 40+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Sione Vaki 50+ rush ydsKalshi 8¢
- Sione Vaki 60+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Corey Kiner 100+ rush ydsKalshi 12¢
- Corey Kiner 110+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Corey Kiner 120+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Drake Maye 60+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- DET Lions D/ST anytime TDKalshi 17¢
- NE Patriots D/ST anytime TDKalshi 16¢
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 9.50% × price × (1 − price) per contract under $10,000 of 30-day taker volume (max $2.38 per 100), down to 6.95% at $250,000+. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Patriots vs Lions props — FAQ
What are the player props for Patriots vs Lions?
44 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 10 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Patriots vs Lions player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 44 strikes with a real two-sided book; 123 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 10 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 11 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 9 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Kalshi NFL spread & total ladders, scanned live → — Every NFL strike checked for prices out of order, with Novig and Polymarket US beside it
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale