Texans vs Titans player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 76 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Texans vs Titans, Week 5.

Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET · 320 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 76 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions →Week 6 predictions →Week 4 results →

Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at Cowboys Eagles at Jaguars Bengals at Dolphins Raiders at Patriots Vikings at Saints Browns at Jets Colts at Steelers Texans at Titans Giants at Commanders Broncos at Chargers Lions at Cardinals Bears at Packers 49ers at Seahawks Ravens at Falcons Bills at Rams

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

plays only

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
Player	Contract	Matchup	Call	Our proj	Our odds	Mkt	Edge	Tier	Trade
Tony PollardRBWatch	50+ rush ydsover 49.5	TEN vs HOU	NO	🔒				MODERATE	Buy NO →

1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Texans vs Titans

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Player	Prop	Game	Kalshi	Consensus	Gap	Novig	ProphetX	Best price	Our P(over)	Trade
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	6+ rec	HOU @ TEN	48.0¢	49.3%3bk	-1.3¢	o -117 / u -125	o -122 / u -123	over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · DK 54.5¢	—	Kalshi →
C.J. StroudHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	10.5¢	—	one-sided	o +590 / u -1567	o +455	over · Kalshi 11.7¢under · Kalshi 90.6¢	—	Kalshi →
C.J. StroudHOU v TEN	27+ pass att	HOU @ TEN	80.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
C.J. StroudHOU v TEN	2+ pass TDs	HOU @ TEN	46.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
C.J. StroudHOU v TEN	3+ pass TDs	HOU @ TEN	18.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
C.J. StroudHOU v TEN	225+ pass yds	HOU @ TEN	59.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
C.J. StroudHOU v TEN	250+ pass yds	HOU @ TEN	44.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
C.J. StroudHOU v TEN	10+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	51.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
C.J. StroudHOU v TEN	25+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	15.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Calvin RidleyTEN v HOU	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	5.5¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 6.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	10.5¢	—	one-sided	o +545 / u -4900	o +415	over · Kalshi 11.7¢under · Kalshi 90.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	1+ pass TDs	HOU @ TEN	58.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	2+ pass TDs	HOU @ TEN	20.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	150+ pass yds	HOU @ TEN	77.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	175+ pass yds	HOU @ TEN	61.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	200+ pass yds	HOU @ TEN	44.5¢	—	no books	o +111 / u -147	—	over · Novig 47.4¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	300+ pass yds	HOU @ TEN	6.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	20+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	25.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Cam WardTEN v HOU	30+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	12.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v HOU	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	19.5¢	—	one-sided	o +292 / u -614	o +240	over · Kalshi 21.1¢under · Kalshi 82.1¢	—	Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v HOU	25+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	79.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -900 / u -223	—	over · Kalshi 82.1¢under · Kalshi 23.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v HOU	50+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	53.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -120 / u -104	o -144	over · Novig 54.5¢under · Kalshi 48.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v HOU	60+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	40.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +127 / u -163	—	over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Novig 62¢	—	Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v HOU	70+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	31.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +194 / u -245	—	over · Kalshi 33.5¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v HOU	80+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	21.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +277	—	over · Kalshi 23.2¢	—	Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v HOU	90+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	15.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +400	—	over · Kalshi 16.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Carnell TateTEN v HOU	100+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	10.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +567	o +495	over · Kalshi 11.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Dalton SchultzHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	25.0¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 27.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Dalton SchultzHOU v TEN	40+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	46.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Dalton SchultzHOU v TEN	70+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	15.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
David MontgomeryHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	41.5¢	—	one-sided	o +108 / u -1567	o -420	over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Kalshi 61.7¢	—	Kalshi →
David MontgomeryHOU v TEN	2+ TDs	HOU @ TEN	10.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
David MontgomeryHOU v TEN	10+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	43.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
David MontgomeryHOU v TEN	50+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	46.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
David MontgomeryHOU v TEN	70+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	21.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Elic AyomanorTEN v HOU	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	10.0¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 11.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Elic AyomanorTEN v HOU	15+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	52.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Elic AyomanorTEN v HOU	40+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	17.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Elic AyomanorTEN v HOU	50+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	10.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Elic AyomanorTEN v HOU	2+ rec	HOU @ TEN	47.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Gunnar HelmTEN v HOU	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	12.5¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 14.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Gunnar HelmTEN v HOU	15+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	54.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Gunnar HelmTEN v HOU	25+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	35.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
HOU Texans D/STHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	13.0¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 14.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylin NoelHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	13.5¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 15.9¢	—	Kalshi →
Jaylin NoelHOU v TEN	20+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	47.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Kayshon BoutteHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	14.0¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Fanatics 13.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	37.0¢	—	one-sided	o +133 / u -1567	o -320	over · Kalshi 39.7¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	2+ TDs	HOU @ TEN	7.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	50+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	77.0¢	—	no books	o -376 / u +104	—	over · Novig 79¢under · Kalshi 26.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	60+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	67.5¢	—	no books	o -245 / u +113	—	over · Kalshi 70.5¢under · Kalshi 35.6¢	—	Kalshi →
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	70+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	58.5¢	—	no books	o -163 / u +100	—	over · Kalshi 61.7¢under · Kalshi 44.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	80+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	49.5¢	—	no books	o -108 / u -141	—	over · Novig 51.9¢under · Kalshi 53.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	100+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	33.0¢	—	no books	o +174 / u -614	—	over · Novig 36.5¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢	—	Kalshi →
Nico CollinsHOU v TEN	110+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	23.0¢	—	no books	o +213	—	over · Kalshi 27.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Tony PollardTEN v HOU	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	25.5¢	—	one-sided	o +233 / u -3233	o +172	over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢	—	Kalshi →
Tony PollardTEN v HOU	2+ TDs	HOU @ TEN	5.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Tony PollardRBTEN v HOU	50+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	49.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o -113 / u -113	o -128	over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · Novig 53.1¢	🔒	Kalshi →
Tony PollardTEN v HOU	60+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	36.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +150 / u -194	—	over · Novig 40¢under · Novig 66¢	—	Kalshi →
Tony PollardTEN v HOU	70+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	26.0¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +245 / u -335	—	over · Novig 29¢under · Novig 77¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyjae SpearsTEN v HOU	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	10.0¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 11.7¢	—	Kalshi →
Tyjae SpearsTEN v HOU	15+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	32.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Tyjae SpearsTEN v HOU	10+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	64.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Tyjae SpearsTEN v HOU	15+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	49.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Tyjae SpearsTEN v HOU	20+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	36.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN v HOU	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	14.0¢	—	one-sided	o +426 / u -1900	o +345	over · Kalshi 15.9¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN v HOU	40+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	39.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	o +113 / u -144	—	over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Novig 59¢	—	Kalshi →
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN v HOU	5+ rec	HOU @ TEN	35.5¢	off-ladder	off-ladder	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Woody MarksHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	28.5¢	—	one-sided	o +153 / u -4900	o -320	over · Kalshi 30.4¢under · Kalshi 73.4¢	—	Kalshi →
Woody MarksHOU v TEN	15+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	31.0¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Woody MarksHOU v TEN	25+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	13.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Woody MarksHOU v TEN	6+ rush att	HOU @ TEN	81.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Woody MarksHOU v TEN	30+ rush yds	HOU @ TEN	48.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Xavier HutchinsonHOU v TEN	anytime TD	HOU @ TEN	12.0¢	—	one-sided	—	—	over · Kalshi 13.8¢	—	Kalshi →
Xavier HutchinsonHOU v TEN	15+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	50.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →
Xavier HutchinsonHOU v TEN	25+ rec yds	HOU @ TEN	32.5¢	—	no books	—	—	Kalshi only	—	Kalshi →

76 of 76 two-sided strikes · + 244 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET

Texans vs Titans player prop ladders for Week 5: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus — The Texans vs Titans prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Texans vs Titans, Week 5 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

Article width · 560×300

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/texans-vs-titans-week-05-2026/hero"
  width="560"
  height="300"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Texans vs Titans, Week 5 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Texans vs Titans, Week 5 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/texans-vs-titans-week-05-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar · 320×280

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/texans-vs-titans-week-05-2026/sidebar"
  width="320"
  height="280"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Texans vs Titans, Week 5 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Texans vs Titans, Week 5 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/texans-vs-titans-week-05-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Houston Texans Tennessee Titans Every game this week →

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Texans vs Titans props — FAQ

What are the player props for Texans vs Titans?

76 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Texans vs Titans player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 76 strikes with a real two-sided book; 244 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

More NFL Markets

NFL Week 5 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
NFL Week 6 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
NFL Week 4 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Moneyline, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or moneyline into a calibrated win probability
NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale