Skip to content
THE 7 ORACLESPowered by PredictionMarketsPicks
Pro
NFL EDGES

Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

Gridiron Edge · 5-min refresh

NFL 2026

Power rankings, futures & win totals — all 32 teams

COMBO EDGE

Correlation-aware Kalshi combos — free

Bears vs Falcons player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 6. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 14, 2026, Kalshi lists 43 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Bears vs Falcons, Week 6.

Kalshi as of Oct 14, 8:20 AM ET · books as of Oct 14, 8:15 AM ET · 133 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 43 with a real two-sided book · 4 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 6 predictions →Week 7 predictions →Week 5 results →

Week 6 gamesSeahawks at BroncosTexans at JaguarsBears at FalconsRavens at BrownsTitans at ColtsJets at PatriotsSaints at GiantsPanthers at EaglesSteelers at BuccaneersCardinals at RamsChargers at ChiefsBills at RaidersCowboys at PackersCommanders at 49ers

Prop market board — Bears vs Falcons

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Drake LondonATL v CHI90+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL48.5¢49.8%4bk-1.3¢o -113 / u -122o -108 / u -112over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · ProphetX 52.8¢—Kalshi →
Luther BurdenCHI v ATL50+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL51.0¢50.2%4bk+0.8¢o -108 / u -104o -120 / u -106over · ESPN Bet 51.2¢under · Novig 51¢—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHI90+ rush ydsCHI @ ATL49.5¢49.1%5bk+0.4¢o -104 / u -113o -104 / u -112over · Novig 51¢under · ProphetX 52.8¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v ATL35+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL50.0¢50.0%6bk0.0¢o -108 / u -104o -109 / u -104over · Novig 51.9¢under · Novig 51¢—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHIanytime TDCHI @ ATL64.0¢—one-sidedo -203 / u -300o -230over · DK 66.1¢under · Kalshi 38.6¢—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHI2+ TDsCHI @ ATL25.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHI50+ rush ydsCHI @ ATL86.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -852o -1100over · Kalshi 88.7¢—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHI60+ rush ydsCHI @ ATL75.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -456 / u +104o -510over · Kalshi 80.2¢under · Kalshi 29.4¢—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHI80+ rush ydsCHI @ ATL56.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -174o -170over · Kalshi 60.7¢—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHI100+ rush ydsCHI @ ATL41.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +125 / u -300o +127over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Kalshi 61.7¢—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHI110+ rush ydsCHI @ ATL31.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +178o +178over · Novig 36¢—Kalshi →
Bijan RobinsonATL v CHI120+ rush ydsCHI @ ATL22.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +239—over · Kalshi 28.4¢—Kalshi →
Brian RobinsonATL v CHIanytime TDCHI @ ATL24.0¢—one-sidedo +257o +260over · DK 27¢—Kalshi →
Charlie WoernerATL v CHIanytime TDCHI @ ATL6.0¢—one-sidedo +1329 / u -2173o +1000over · DK 6.3¢under · Kalshi 95.3¢—Kalshi →
Cole KmetCHI v ATLanytime TDCHI @ ATL14.5¢—one-sidedo +471o +455over · Kalshi 16.9¢—Kalshi →
Cole KmetCHI v ATL15+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL36.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +141o +144over · Kalshi 40.7¢—Kalshi →
Cole KmetCHI v ATL25+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL21.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +292o +320over · ProphetX 23.8¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v ATLanytime TDCHI @ ATL32.0¢—one-sidedo +194 / u -344o -205over · DK 33.9¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v ATL25+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL64.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -212 / u -186o -255over · Novig 67.9¢under · Kalshi 39.7¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v ATL60+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL21.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +300o +320over · ProphetX 23.8¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v ATL70+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL12.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +441o +530over · Kalshi 15.9¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v ATLanytime TDCHI @ ATL61.0¢—one-sidedo -178 / u -376o -210over · DK 63¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v ATL2+ TDsCHI @ ATL22.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Drake LondonATL v CHIanytime TDCHI @ ATL43.0¢—one-sidedo +117 / u -376o -280over · DK 45.5¢under · Kalshi 60.7¢—Kalshi →
Drake LondonATL v CHI2+ TDsCHI @ ATL9.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Kalif RaymondCHI v ATL25+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL46.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +100 / u -125o -108over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · Novig 55.6¢—Kalshi →
Kalif RaymondCHI v ATL50+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL15.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +388o +405over · Kalshi 19¢—Kalshi →
Kyle PittsATL v CHIanytime TDCHI @ ATL20.5¢—one-sidedo +308o +320over · Kalshi 23.2¢—Kalshi →
Kyle PittsATL v CHI2+ TDsCHI @ ATL2.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Kyle PittsATL v CHI25+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL54.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -150 / u -223o -170over · Novig 60¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢—Kalshi →
Kyle PittsATL v CHI40+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL31.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +174o +178over · Kalshi 35.6¢—Kalshi →
Kyle PittsATL v CHI60+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL15.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +456o +490over · Kalshi 16.9¢—Kalshi →
Luther BurdenCHI v ATLanytime TDCHI @ ATL31.5¢—one-sidedo +190o -215over · DK 33.3¢—Kalshi →
Luther BurdenCHI v ATL40+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL62.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -190 / u +127o -194over · Novig 65.5¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
Luther BurdenCHI v ATL60+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL37.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +135o +140over · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
Luther BurdenCHI v ATL70+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL28.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +208o +215over · ProphetX 31.7¢—Kalshi →
Luther BurdenCHI v ATL80+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL19.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +308o +320over · Kalshi 23.2¢—Kalshi →
Olamide ZaccheausATL v CHIanytime TDCHI @ ATL7.5¢—one-sidedo +1011 / u -1900o +930over · FD 8.3¢under · Kalshi 93.5¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v ATL25+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL72.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -285 / u +104o -350over · Novig 74¢under · Kalshi 31.5¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v ATL40+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL53.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -127 / u -223o -132over · Novig 55.9¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v ATL50+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL40.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +127o +127over · Kalshi 43.7¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v ATL60+ rec ydsCHI @ ATL31.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +194o +194over · Novig 34¢—Kalshi →
Zachariah BranchATL v CHIanytime TDCHI @ ATL7.5¢—one-sidedo +1011 / u -1329o +890over · FD 8.3¢under · Novig 93¢—Kalshi →
43 of 43 two-sided strikes · + 90 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Oct 14, 8:15 AM ET

Share this Oracle Ladder

Bears vs Falcons player prop ladders for Week 6: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Bears vs Falcons prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Bears vs Falcons, Week 6 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

Article width · 560×300

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/bears-vs-falcons-week-06-2026/hero"
  width="560"
  height="300"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Bears vs Falcons, Week 6 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Bears vs Falcons, Week 6 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/bears-vs-falcons-week-06-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Sidebar · 320×280

<iframe
  src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/bears-vs-falcons-week-06-2026/sidebar"
  width="320"
  height="280"
  frameborder="0"
  loading="lazy"
  title="Bears vs Falcons, Week 6 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks">
</iframe>
<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Bears vs Falcons, Week 6 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/bears-vs-falcons-week-06-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Chicago BearsAtlanta FalconsEvery game this week →

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Bears vs Falcons props — FAQ

What are the player props for Bears vs Falcons?

43 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 6 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Bears vs Falcons player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 43 strikes with a real two-sided book; 90 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

More NFL Markets