PMP · MODEL LINE vs MARKET 2026 · WEEK 5
MatchupModel lineMktEdge
PHI @ JAX
HELD — review 75% 77% -2pp
CIN @ MIA
HELD — review 73% 76% -2pp
LV @ NE
NE −8.0 62% 63% 0pp
MIN @ NO
NO −0.5 41% 45% -3pp
CLE @ NYJ
NYJ −1.0 59% 56% +2pp
IND @ PIT
PIT −2.0 59% 59% 0pp
HOU @ TEN
HELD — review 73% 76% -2pp
NYG @ WAS
WAS −6.5 62% 63% 0pp
DEN @ LAC
DEN −0.5 62% 64% -1pp
DET @ ARI
DET −1.5 69% 70% -1pp
CHI @ GB
HELD — review 45% 48% -3pp
SF @ SEA
SEA −4.5 60% 62% -1pp
BAL @ ATL
ATL −4.5 62% 62% +1pp
BUF @ LAR
LAR −3.0 62% 62% +1pp
Model line = PMP Gridiron Edge favorite & spread · Fair (books) = the market line win probability for that side · Mkt = Kalshi-implied · Edge = Fair (books) − Kalshi (pp)
THE 7 ORACLES Trade on Kalshi