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Live game edges β€” model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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NFL 2026

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Correlation-aware Kalshi combos β€” free

Buccaneers vs Cowboys player props β€” Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line β†’

Quick Answer

As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 316 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Buccaneers vs Cowboys, Week 5.

Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET Β· books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET Β· 345 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game Β· 316 with a real two-sided book Β· 23 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions β†’Week 6 predictions β†’Week 4 results β†’

Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at CowboysEagles at JaguarsBengals at DolphinsRaiders at PatriotsVikings at SaintsBrowns at JetsColts at SteelersTexans at TitansGiants at CommandersBroncos at ChargersLions at CardinalsBears at Packers49ers at SeahawksRavens at FalconsBills at Rams

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges β€” our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktEdgeTierTrade
Dak PrescottQBWatch2+ pass TDsover 1.5DAL vs TBNOSkew1.651%32Β’+18.4 ppMODERATEBuy NO β†’
Tez JohnsonWRWatch2+ receptionsover 1.5TB vs DALYES1.857%40Β’+17.5 ppMODERATEBuy YES β†’
Emeka EgbukaWRWatch4+ receptionsover 3.5TB vs DALYESπŸ”’MODERATEBuy YES β†’
Jalon DanielsQBWatch2+ pass TDsover 1.5TB vs DALNOπŸ”’MODERATEBuy NO β†’
Bucky IrvingRBWatch3+ receptionsover 2.5TB vs DALYESπŸ”’MODERATEBuy YES β†’
Ryan FlournoyWRWatch4+ receptionsover 3.5DAL vs TBNOπŸ”’MODERATEBuy NO β†’
Kenny GainwellRBWatch3+ receptionsover 2.5TB vs DALYESπŸ”’MODERATEBuy YES β†’
Chris Godwin Jr.WRWatch4+ receptionsover 3.5TB vs DALYESπŸ”’MODERATEBuy YES β†’
Jalon DanielsQBWatch40+ rush ydsover 39.5TB vs DALNOπŸ”’MODERATEBuy NO β†’
Kenny GainwellRBWatch10+ rush ydsover 9.5TB vs DALNOπŸ”’MODERATEBuy NO β†’
Dak PrescottQBWatch10+ rush ydsover 9.5DAL vs TBYESπŸ”’MODERATEBuy YES β†’
Bucky IrvingRBWatch15+ rec ydsover 14.5TB vs DALYESπŸ”’MODERATEBuy YES β†’
Kenny GainwellRBWatch15+ rec ydsover 14.5TB vs DALYESπŸ”’MODERATEBuy YES β†’
Cade OttonTEWatch25+ rec ydsover 24.5TB vs DALYESπŸ”’MODERATEBuy YES β†’

14 of 14 props Β· 12 locked (Pro)

Skew β€” our projection is an average, and on a right-skewed stat a few big games can pull it past a threshold most games never reach. The call comes from the full distribution, not the average; the badge says the two disagree. Never the top call.

Watch β€” the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board β€” Buccaneers vs Cowboys

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

πŸ”’ Filter by our call β€” Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Javonte WilliamsDAL v TB70+ rush ydsTB @ DAL45.5Β’50.0%4bk-4.5Β’o +122 / u -133o +110 / u -170over Β· Novig 45Β’under Β· DK 52.4Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
CeeDee LambDAL v TB6+ recTB @ DAL63.5Β’60.4%2bk+3.1Β’o -186 / u +156o -198 / u +128over Β· BetRivers 62.3Β’under Β· Kalshi 38.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaWRTB v DAL4+ recTB @ DAL41.5Β’43.4%5bk-1.9Β’o +125 / u -138o +128 / u -142over Β· Fanatics 43.5Β’under Β· ESPN Bet 57.4Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Tez JohnsonWRTB v DAL2+ recTB @ DAL39.5Β’41.1%6bk-1.6Β’o +147 / u -150o +150 / u -154over Β· ProphetX 40Β’under Β· Novig 60Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Kenny GainwellRBTB v DAL15+ rec ydsTB @ DAL42.5Β’44.0%2bk-1.5Β’o +117 / u -138o +108over Β· DK 40.2Β’under Β· Novig 58Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Dak PrescottDAL v TB275+ pass ydsTB @ DAL46.5Β’47.8%2bk-1.3Β’o +108 / u -122β€”over Β· Fanatics 46.5Β’under Β· ESPN Bet 54.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Ted Hurst IIITB v DAL15+ rec ydsTB @ DAL54.5Β’53.2%2bk+1.3Β’o -133 / u +117o -138over Β· ESPN Bet 54.5Β’under Β· Novig 46.1Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
CeeDee LambDAL v TB80+ rec ydsTB @ DAL54.5Β’53.4%3bk+1.1Β’o -133 / u +117o -142 / u -105over Β· Fanatics 53.5Β’under Β· Novig 46.1Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Bucky IrvingTB v DAL50+ rush ydsTB @ DAL53.5Β’54.4%3bk-0.9Β’o -127 / u +113o -136 / u +109over Β· BetRivers 54.8Β’under Β· Novig 46.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
George PickensDAL v TB5+ recTB @ DAL51.5Β’52.4%6bk-0.9Β’o -117 / u +113o -115 / u +109over Β· ProphetX 53.5Β’under Β· Novig 46.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jalon DanielsQBTB v DAL40+ rush ydsTB @ DAL56.5Β’55.8%3bk+0.7Β’o -141 / u +125o -152 / u +109over Β· ESPN Bet 56.5Β’under Β· Novig 44.4Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Kenny GainwellRBTB v DAL2+ recTB @ DAL59.5Β’60.2%6bk-0.7Β’o -160 / u +153o -164 / u +144over Β· Novig 61.5Β’under Β· Novig 39.5Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Tyler GoodsonDAL v TB15+ rush ydsTB @ DAL51.5Β’52.2%2bk-0.7Β’o -113 / u -104o -130 / u -120over Β· Novig 53.1Β’under Β· Kalshi 50.8Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Ted Hurst IIITB v DAL2+ recTB @ DAL46.5Β’47.1%6bk-0.6Β’o +108 / u -115o +107 / u -120over Β· ESPN Bet 46.5Β’under Β· Novig 53.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Tez JohnsonTB v DAL15+ rec ydsTB @ DAL45.5Β’46.1%3bk-0.6Β’o +113 / u -122o +104 / u -140over Β· Novig 46.9Β’under Β· BetRivers 53.1Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaWRTB v DAL3+ recTB @ DAL62.5Β’62.0%5bk+0.5Β’o -186 / u +174o -172 / u +166over Β· ProphetX 63.2Β’under Β· Novig 36.5Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
KaVontae TurpinDAL v TB1+ recTB @ DAL48.5Β’49.0%5bk-0.5Β’o +102 / u -106o +100 / u -109over Β· Novig 49.5Β’under Β· Novig 51.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cade OttonTB v DAL4+ recTB @ DAL48.5Β’48.9%6bk-0.4Β’o +102 / u -108o +105 / u -108over Β· ProphetX 48.8Β’under Β· Novig 51.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Chris Godwin Jr.WRTB v DAL4+ recTB @ DAL54.5Β’54.1%6bk+0.4Β’o -127 / u +117o -118 / u +117over Β· ProphetX 54.1Β’under Β· Novig 46.1Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Bucky IrvingRBTB v DAL3+ recTB @ DAL39.5Β’39.8%6bk-0.3Β’o +150 / u -153o +148 / u -156over Β· Novig 40Β’under Β· Novig 60.5Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Jake FergusonDAL v TB4+ recTB @ DAL44.5Β’44.8%6bk-0.3Β’o +122 / u -130o +121 / u -128over Β· Novig 45Β’under Β· ProphetX 56.1Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Javonte WilliamsDAL v TB15+ rec ydsTB @ DAL50.5Β’50.2%6bk+0.3Β’o -104 / u -106o -103 / u +101over Β· ESPN Bet 50Β’under Β· ProphetX 49.8Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Javonte WilliamsDAL v TB3+ recTB @ DAL52.5Β’52.8%6bk-0.3Β’o -113 / u +111o -108 / u +109over Β· ProphetX 51.9Β’under Β· Novig 47.4Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Dak PrescottQBDAL v TB10+ rush ydsTB @ DAL50.5Β’50.7%7bk-0.2Β’o -104 / u +102o -106 / u +101over Β· Novig 51Β’under Β· Novig 49.5Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Bucky IrvingRBTB v DAL15+ rec ydsTB @ DAL45.5Β’45.6%3bk-0.1Β’o +113 / u -127o +114 / u -164over Β· ProphetX 46.7Β’under Β· BetRivers 54.5Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
CeeDee LambDAL v TB7+ recTB @ DAL48.5Β’48.6%7bk-0.1Β’o +104 / u -108o +102 / u -109over Β· Novig 49Β’under Β· Novig 51.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Ryan FlournoyWRDAL v TB4+ recTB @ DAL42.5Β’42.6%6bk-0.1Β’o +138 / u -150o +140 / u -142over Β· ProphetX 41.7Β’under Β· ProphetX 58.7Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Sean TuckerTB v DAL10+ rush ydsTB @ DAL50.5Β’50.6%3bk-0.1Β’o -111 / u +100o -110 / u -105over Β· ProphetX 52.4Β’under Β· Novig 50Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Chris Godwin Jr.TB v DAL8+ recTB @ DAL6.5Β’10.4%exch-3.9Β’o +733 / u -1567o +900 / u -2400over Β· DK 6.9Β’under Β· Novig 94Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Bucky IrvingTB v DAL50+ rec ydsTB @ DAL4.5Β’7.9%exch-3.4Β’o +1329 / u -3233o +910 / u -7500over Β· Kalshi 5.3Β’under Β· Kalshi 96.3Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Chris Godwin Jr.TB v DAL40+ rec ydsTB @ DAL35.5Β’38.8%exch-3.3Β’o +144 / u -170o +142 / u -205over Β· FD 36Β’under Β· Novig 63Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Dak PrescottDAL v TB175+ pass ydsTB @ DAL91.5Β’88.3%exch+3.2Β’o -1329 / u +809o -1900 / u +620over Β· Kalshi 92.5Β’under Β· Kalshi 9.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Chris Godwin Jr.TB v DAL7+ recTB @ DAL11.5Β’14.6%exch-3.1Β’o +525 / u -809o +570 / u -1050over Β· BetRivers 11.1Β’under Β· Novig 89Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Javonte WilliamsDAL v TB50+ rush ydsTB @ DAL71.5Β’68.4%exch+3.1Β’o -270 / u +213o -280 / u +178over Β· Novig 73Β’under Β· Kalshi 30.4Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
KaVontae TurpinDAL v TB25+ rec ydsTB @ DAL10.5Β’13.3%exch-2.8Β’o +567 / u -1567o +620 / u -1900over Β· Kalshi 11.7Β’under Β· Kalshi 90.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL v TB25+ rec ydsTB @ DAL9.5Β’12.2%exch-2.7Β’o +641 / u -1567o +670 / u -2300over Β· Kalshi 10.6Β’under Β· Kalshi 91.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jalon DanielsTB v DAL125+ pass ydsTB @ DAL81.5Β’78.9%exch+2.6Β’o -488 / u +355o -640 / u +330over Β· Kalshi 83Β’under Β· Kalshi 20.1Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Sean TuckerTB v DAL50+ rush ydsTB @ DAL6.5Β’9.0%exch-2.5Β’o +1076 / u -1567o +840 / u -4900over Β· Kalshi 7.5Β’under Β· Novig 94Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL v TB15+ rec ydsTB @ DAL22.5Β’24.8%exch-2.3Β’o +257 / u -426o +285 / u -480over Β· Kalshi 24.2Β’under Β· Kalshi 79.2Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Dak PrescottDAL v TB200+ pass ydsTB @ DAL83.5Β’81.3%exch+2.2Β’o -590 / u +456o -660 / u +360over Β· Kalshi 84.9Β’under Β· Kalshi 18Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Sean TuckerTB v DAL25+ rush ydsTB @ DAL22.5Β’24.6%exch-2.1Β’o +300 / u -355o +285 / u -365over Β· Kalshi 24.2Β’under Β· Novig 78Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Bucky IrvingTB v DAL4+ recTB @ DAL21.5Β’23.5%exch-2.0Β’o +326 / u -400o +285 / u -430over Β· Kalshi 23.2Β’under Β· Novig 80Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL90+ rec ydsTB @ DAL7.5Β’9.5%exch-2.0Β’o +900 / u -1329o +900 / u -5750over Β· Kalshi 8.5Β’under Β· Novig 93Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Javonte WilliamsDAL v TB50+ rec ydsTB @ DAL6.5Β’8.5%exch-2.0Β’o +1150 / u -1567o +910 / u -5750over Β· Kalshi 7.5Β’under Β· Novig 94Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Chris Godwin Jr.TB v DAL50+ rec ydsTB @ DAL25.5Β’27.4%exch-1.9Β’o +239 / u -300o +260 / u -335over Β· FD 24.4Β’under Β· Novig 75Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Dak PrescottDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL14.5Β’16.4%exch-1.9Β’o +506 / u -567o +480 / u -690over Β· Kalshi 15.9Β’under Β· Novig 85Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jake FergusonDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL28.5Β’30.4%exch-1.9Β’o +228 / u -239o +215 / u -260over Β· Kalshi 30.4Β’under Β· Novig 70.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Ted Hurst IIITB v DAL3+ recTB @ DAL22.5Β’24.4%exch-1.9Β’o +300 / u -400o +270 / u -425over Β· Kalshi 24.2Β’under Β· Kalshi 79.2Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Chris Godwin Jr.TB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL16.5Β’18.3%exch-1.8Β’o +456 / u -471o +405 / u -610over Β· BetRivers 17.2Β’under Β· Novig 82.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
KaVontae TurpinDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL8.5Β’10.3%exch-1.8Β’o +852 / u -1011o +830 / u -1750over Β· DK 9.5Β’under Β· Novig 91Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Sean TuckerTB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL16.5Β’18.3%exch-1.8Β’o +441 / u -456o +425 / u -570over Β· Kalshi 18Β’under Β· Novig 82Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cade OttonTB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL15.5Β’17.2%exch-1.7Β’o +471 / u -525o +470 / u -570over Β· Kalshi 16.9Β’under Β· Novig 84Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jalon DanielsTB v DAL150+ pass ydsTB @ DAL69.5Β’67.8%exch+1.7Β’o -245 / u +213o -265 / u +174over Β· Novig 71Β’under Β· Novig 31.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jalon DanielsTB v DAL225+ pass ydsTB @ DAL26.5Β’28.2%exch-1.7Β’o +245 / u -285o +235 / u -310over Β· Fanatics 27.4Β’under Β· Novig 74Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Tyler GoodsonDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL10.5Β’12.2%exch-1.7Β’o +733 / u -809o +670 / u -950over Β· Kalshi 11.7Β’under Β· Novig 89Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Chris Godwin Jr.TB v DAL6+ recTB @ DAL21.5Β’23.1%exch-1.6Β’o +308 / u -355o +320 / u -500over Β· BetRivers 20Β’under Β· Novig 78Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL80+ rec ydsTB @ DAL11.5Β’13.1%exch-1.6Β’o +614 / u -900o +620 / u -1900over Β· Kalshi 12.7Β’under Β· Kalshi 89.7Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL7+ recTB @ DAL7.5Β’9.1%exch-1.6Β’o +1011 / u -1567o +900 / u -1900over Β· DK 7.2Β’under Β· Kalshi 93.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
George PickensDAL v TB6+ recTB @ DAL34.5Β’36.1%exch-1.6Β’o +170 / u -178o +170 / u -205over Β· FD 34.7Β’under Β· Novig 64Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jake FergusonDAL v TB40+ rec ydsTB @ DAL28.5Β’30.1%exch-1.6Β’o +223 / u -245o +225 / u -265over Β· BetRivers 28.2Β’under Β· Novig 71Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Kenny GainwellTB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL15.5Β’17.1%exch-1.6Β’o +471 / u -567o +455 / u -720over Β· Kalshi 16.9Β’under Β· Novig 85Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cade OttonTB v DAL60+ rec ydsTB @ DAL14.5Β’16.0%exch-1.5Β’o +488 / u -614o +490 / u -1200over Β· FD 13.7Β’under Β· Novig 86Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
CeeDee LambDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL48.5Β’50.0%exch-1.5Β’o -102 / u -102o -108 / u -108over Β· Novig 50.5Β’under Β· Novig 50.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Hunter LuepkeDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL6.5Β’8.0%exch-1.5Β’o +1150 / u -1329o +1100 / u -1900over Β· Kalshi 7.5Β’under Β· Novig 93Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Ryan FlournoyDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL21.5Β’23.0%exch-1.5Β’o +335 / u -365o +310 / u -400over Β· Novig 23Β’under Β· Novig 78.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Ted Hurst IIITB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL14.5Β’16.0%exch-1.5Β’o +525 / u -590o +495 / u -630over Β· DK 15.4Β’under Β· Novig 85.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
CeeDee LambDAL v TB70+ rec ydsTB @ DAL62.5Β’61.1%exch+1.4Β’o -178 / u +156o -194 / u +129over Β· Fanatics 63Β’under Β· Novig 39.1Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL60+ rec ydsTB @ DAL23.5Β’24.9%exch-1.4Β’o +285 / u -335o +285 / u -400over Β· Kalshi 25.3Β’under Β· Novig 77Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL6+ recTB @ DAL13.5Β’14.9%exch-1.4Β’o +545 / u -614o +570 / u -730over Β· BetRivers 13.3Β’under Β· Novig 86Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jake FergusonDAL v TB50+ rec ydsTB @ DAL17.5Β’18.9%exch-1.4Β’o +400 / u -488o +400 / u -800over Β· Kalshi 19Β’under Β· Novig 83Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Luke SchoonmakerDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL6.5Β’7.9%exch-1.4Β’o +1329 / u -1438o +1000 / u -1850over Β· Novig 7Β’under Β· Novig 93.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Tyler GoodsonDAL v TB30+ rush ydsTB @ DAL23.5Β’24.9%exch-1.4Β’o +300 / u -326o +285 / u -340over Β· BetRivers 23Β’under Β· Novig 76.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Bucky IrvingRBTB v DAL2+ recTB @ DAL64.5Β’63.2%exch+1.3Β’o -194 / u +170o -210 / u +144over Β· Novig 66Β’under Β· Novig 37Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL70+ rec ydsTB @ DAL17.5Β’18.8%exch-1.3Β’o +400 / u -471o +405 / u -890over Β· Kalshi 19Β’under Β· Novig 82.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
George PickensDAL v TB130+ rec ydsTB @ DAL9.5Β’10.8%exch-1.3Β’o +770 / u -1329o +770 / u -3800over Β· DK 9.7Β’under Β· Kalshi 91.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cade OttonTB v DAL70+ rec ydsTB @ DAL9.5Β’10.7%exch-1.2Β’o +770 / u -3233o +810 / u -1000over Β· FD 9.8Β’under Β· ProphetX 90.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cade OttonTB v DAL5+ recTB @ DAL29.5Β’30.7%exch-1.2Β’o +217 / u -239o +215 / u -260over Β· FD 30.3Β’under Β· Novig 70.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL50+ rec ydsTB @ DAL32.5Β’33.7%exch-1.2Β’o +186 / u -203o +178 / u -270over Β· Kalshi 34.6Β’under Β· Novig 67Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
George PickensDAL v TB60+ rec ydsTB @ DAL54.5Β’55.7%exch-1.2Β’o -133 / u +125o -136 / u +113over Β· DK 54.3Β’under Β· Novig 44.4Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Sean TuckerTB v DAL20+ rush ydsTB @ DAL30.5Β’29.3%exch+1.2Β’o +233 / u -292o +205 / u -330over Β· Novig 30Β’under Β· Kalshi 71.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Tez JohnsonTB v DAL50+ rec ydsTB @ DAL10.5Β’11.7%exch-1.2Β’o +669 / u -1011o +740 / u -3000over Β· Kalshi 11.7Β’under Β· Kalshi 90.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
KaVontae TurpinDAL v TB15+ rec ydsTB @ DAL22.5Β’23.6%exch-1.1Β’o +277 / u -488o +300 / u -530over Β· Kalshi 24.2Β’under Β· Kalshi 79.2Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Ryan FlournoyDAL v TB70+ rec ydsTB @ DAL11.5Β’12.6%exch-1.1Β’o +669 / u -900o +630 / u -2200over Β· Kalshi 12.7Β’under Β· Kalshi 89.7Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jalon DanielsTB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL24.5Β’25.5%exch-1.0Β’o +292 / u -317o +270 / u -345over Β· Novig 25.5Β’under Β· Novig 76Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cade OttonTB v DAL50+ rec ydsTB @ DAL23.5Β’24.4%exch-0.9Β’o +300 / u -335o +300 / u -355over Β· FD 21.7Β’under Β· Novig 77Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL25.5Β’26.4%exch-0.9Β’o +277 / u -300o +260 / u -325over Β· Novig 26.5Β’under Β· Novig 75Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
George PickensDAL v TB7+ recTB @ DAL22.5Β’23.4%exch-0.9Β’o +308 / u -355o +320 / u -395over Β· FD 22.2Β’under Β· Novig 78Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Ryan FlournoyDAL v TB60+ rec ydsTB @ DAL17.5Β’18.4%exch-0.9Β’o +400 / u -770o +400 / u -850over Β· Kalshi 19Β’under Β· Kalshi 84Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Cade OttonTETB v DAL25+ rec ydsTB @ DAL58.5Β’59.3%exch-0.8Β’o -156 / u +138o -162 / u +136over Β· FD 59.3Β’under Β· Novig 42Β’πŸ”’Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL40+ rec ydsTB @ DAL44.5Β’43.7%exch+0.8Β’o +113 / u -127o +125 / u -164over Β· ProphetX 44.4Β’under Β· Novig 55.9Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
George PickensDAL v TB50+ rec ydsTB @ DAL62.5Β’61.7%exch+0.8Β’o -186 / u +163o -196 / u +130over Β· DK 64Β’under Β· Novig 38Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Jake FergusonDAL v TB60+ rec ydsTB @ DAL10.5Β’11.3%exch-0.8Β’o +733 / u -1011o +740 / u -2500over Β· Kalshi 11.7Β’under Β· Kalshi 90.6Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Javonte WilliamsDAL v TB4+ recTB @ DAL30.5Β’31.3%exch-0.8Β’o +217 / u -245o +196 / u -260over Β· Novig 31.5Β’under Β· Novig 71Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
CeeDee LambDAL v TB9+ recTB @ DAL22.5Β’23.2%exch-0.7Β’o +335 / u -376o +300 / u -405over Β· FD 21.7Β’under Β· Novig 79Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emeka EgbukaTB v DAL5+ recTB @ DAL25.5Β’26.2%exch-0.7Β’o +270 / u -308o +270 / u -330over Β· DK 24.8Β’under Β· Novig 75.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Tez JohnsonTB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL11.5Β’12.2%exch-0.7Β’o +733 / u -809o +680 / u -890over Β· Novig 12Β’under Β· Novig 89Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL8.5Β’9.1%exch-0.6Β’o +1011 / u -1076o +950 / u -1300over Β· Novig 9Β’under Β· Novig 91.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Bucky IrvingTB v DALanytime TDTB @ DAL32.5Β’33.1%exch-0.6Β’o +199 / u -203o +192 / u -230over Β· FD 33.3Β’under Β· Novig 67Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
CeeDee LambDAL v TB120+ rec ydsTB @ DAL24.5Β’25.1%exch-0.6Β’o +270 / u -400o +265 / u -465over Β· BetRivers 23.5Β’under Β· Kalshi 77.3Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
Emari DemercadoDAL v TBanytime TDTB @ DAL7.5Β’8.1%exch-0.6Β’o +1233 / u -1438o +980 / u -2200over Β· Novig 7.5Β’under Β· Kalshi 93.5Β’β€”Kalshi β†’
316 of 316 two-sided strikes Β· showing 100 Β· + 29 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced Β· Our P(over) is Pro Β· book consensus as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET

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Buccaneers vs Cowboys player prop ladders for Week 5: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Buccaneers vs Cowboys prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week β€” free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Buccaneers vs Cowboys, Week 5 β€” the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game β€” for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

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The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict β€” SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board β€” and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike β€” exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Buccaneers vs Cowboys props β€” FAQ

What are the player props for Buccaneers vs Cowboys?

316 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 β€” passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines β€” each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Buccaneers vs Cowboys player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout β€” Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 316 strikes with a real two-sided book; 29 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1Β’ bid against a 99Β’ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts β€” for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve β€” for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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