49ers vs Falcons player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 7. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 21, 2026, Kalshi lists 45 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for 49ers vs Falcons, Week 7. The widest Kalshi-vs-sportsbook gap is Drake London 80+ rec yds at 55¢ against a 50% book consensus — Kalshi 5¢ above the books.
Kalshi as of Oct 21, 4:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 21, 2:15 PM ET · 176 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 45 with a real two-sided book · 3 priced against 3+ books · widest gap: Drake London 80+ rec yds, Kalshi 5¢ above consensus
This week on the boardNFL Week 7 predictions →Week 8 predictions →Week 6 results →
Week 7 gamesPatriots at BearsSteelers at Saints49ers at FalconsBengals at RavensBuccaneers at PanthersGiants at TexansColts at VikingsDolphins at JetsBrowns at TitansBroncos at CardinalsPackers at LionsRams at RaidersChiefs at SeahawksCowboys at Eagles
Prop market board — 49ers vs Falcons
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonATL v SF | 80+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 55.0¢ | 49.6%4bk | +5.4¢gap | o -113 / u -122 | o -122 / u +110 | over · ESPN Bet 51.2¢under · ProphetX 47.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | 20+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 48.5¢ | 49.9%4bk | -1.4¢ | o -113 / u -115 | o -122 / u -122 | over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · FD 53.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v SF | 25+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 51.0¢ | 50.0%4bk | +1.0¢ | o -113 / u +106 | o -122 / u -121 | over · DK 52.2¢under · Novig 48.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v SF | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 66.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -208 / u +186 | o -255 | over · Novig 67.5¢under · Novig 35¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v SF | 50+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 13.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +400 | o +355 | over · Kalshi 15.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v SF | 80+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 48.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -133 / u -150 | o -150 | over · Kalshi 54.7¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v SF | 90+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 40.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +108 | o +101 | over · Kalshi 45.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v SF | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 23.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +292 / u -567 | o +270 | over · Kalshi 25.3¢under · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v SF | 20+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 62.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -223 | o -240 | over · Kalshi 67.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v SF | 25+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 51.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -138 | o -138 | over · Kalshi 55.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v SF | 40+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 25.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +203 | o +186 | over · Kalshi 30.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 22.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +335 / u -400 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Novig 23¢under · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | 1+ pass TDs | SF @ ATL | 86.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | 2+ pass TDs | SF @ ATL | 56.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | 3+ pass TDs | SF @ ATL | 25.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | 175+ pass yds | SF @ ATL | 82.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -669 | o -660 | over · Kalshi 84.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | 200+ pass yds | SF @ ATL | 72.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -317 / u +199 | o -315 | over · Kalshi 75.4¢under · Kalshi 31.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | 225+ pass yds | SF @ ATL | 59.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -178 | o -176 | over · Kalshi 63.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brock PurdySF v ATL | 250+ pass yds | SF @ ATL | 45.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +104 / u -3233 | o -104 | over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · Kalshi 57.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian McCaffreySF v ATL | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 68.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -233 / u +213 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Novig 70¢under · Novig 31.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian McCaffreySF v ATL | 2+ TDs | SF @ ATL | 29.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian McCaffreySF v ATL | 25+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 74.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -335 | o -455 | over · Novig 77¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian McCaffreySF v ATL | 40+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 53.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -150 | o -170 | over · Kalshi 57.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian McCaffreySF v ATL | 50+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 40.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +113 | o +104 | over · Kalshi 45.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian McCaffreySF v ATL | 60+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 51.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -122 | o -132 | over · Kalshi 54.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian McCaffreySF v ATL | 70+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 37.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +133 | o +122 | over · Kalshi 42.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v SF | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 38.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +138 / u -203 | o -245 / u -25000 | over · Kalshi 40.7¢under · Kalshi 64.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v SF | 60+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 69.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -257 / u -127 | o -300 | over · Novig 72¢under · Kalshi 35.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v SF | 70+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 61.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -170 / u -150 | o -184 | over · Novig 63¢under · Kalshi 43.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v SF | 90+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 41.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +127 | o +117 / u -144 | over · Novig 44.1¢under · ProphetX 59¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v SF | 100+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 32.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +186 / u -9900 | o +170 / u -180 | over · Novig 35¢under · ProphetX 64.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George KittleSF v ATL | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 41.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +138 / u -156 | o -265 / u -25000 | over · BetRivers 41.7¢under · Novig 60.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George KittleSF v ATL | 2+ TDs | SF @ ATL | 7.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| George KittleSF v ATL | 60+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 57.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -170 | o -184 | over · Kalshi 62.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| George KittleSF v ATL | 70+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 47.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -113 / u -9900 | o -122 | over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · DK 52.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahan DotsonATL v SF | 15+ rec yds | SF @ ATL | 67.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -300 | o -350 | over · Kalshi 74.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kaelon BlackSF v ATL | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 18.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +388 / u -900 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · BetRivers 20¢under · Kalshi 84¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kaelon BlackSF v ATL | 25+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 56.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -170 | o -184 | over · Kalshi 62.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle JuszczykSF v ATL | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 14.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +525 / u -733 | o +450 / u -25000 | over · Novig 16¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle PittsATL v SF | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 23.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +300 / u -614 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Novig 25¢under · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Luke FarrellSF v ATL | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 6.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1150 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Kalshi 7.5¢under · Kalshi 94.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v SF | 225+ pass yds | SF @ ATL | 54.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -130 | o -138 | over · Novig 56.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v SF | 325+ pass yds | SF @ ATL | 9.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +641 | o +620 | over · Kalshi 11.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v SF | 10+ rush yds | SF @ ATL | 18.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +292 | o +275 | over · Kalshi 24.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| SF 49ers D/STSF v ATL | anytime TD | SF @ ATL | 10.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · DK 11.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
49ers vs Falcons props — FAQ
What are the player props for 49ers vs Falcons?
45 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 7 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are 49ers vs Falcons player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 45 strikes with a real two-sided book; 131 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
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