Lions vs Cardinals player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 85 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Lions vs Cardinals, Week 5.
Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET · 202 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 85 with a real two-sided book · 3 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions →Week 6 predictions →Week 4 results →
Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at CowboysEagles at JaguarsBengals at DolphinsRaiders at PatriotsVikings at SaintsBrowns at JetsColts at SteelersTexans at TitansGiants at CommandersBroncos at ChargersLions at CardinalsBears at Packers49ers at SeahawksRavens at FalconsBills at Rams
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Edge | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby BrissettQBWatch | 2+ pass TDsover 1.5 | ARI vs DET | NO | 1.3 | 64% | 45¢ | +19.1 pp | MODERATE | Buy NO → |
| Sam LaPortaTEWatch | 50+ rec ydsover 49.5 | DET vs ARI | NO | 🔒 | MODERATE | Buy NO → | |||
2 of 2 props · 1 locked (Pro)
Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board — Lions vs Cardinals
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBrideARI v DET | 80+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 51.5¢ | 50.0%3bk | +1.5¢ | o -108 / u -108 | o -127 / u -112 | over · Novig 51.9¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | 80+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 51.5¢ | 50.2%3bk | +1.3¢ | o -113 / u -106 | o -108 / u -106 | over · ProphetX 51.9¢under · Novig 51.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI v DET | 35+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 50.0¢ | 50.0%5bk | 0.0¢ | o -108 / u -108 | o -112 / u -112 | over · Novig 51.9¢under · Novig 51.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 70+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 55.5¢ | 52.5%exch | +3.0¢ | o -122 / u -104 | o -138 / u -105 | over · Novig 55¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 6.5¢ | 8.2%exch | -1.7¢ | o +1329 / u -1900 | o +900 / u -1900 | over · DK 5.3¢under · Kalshi 94.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 56.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -130 / u +113 | o -156 | over · Novig 56.5¢under · Kalshi 45.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | 2+ TDs | DET @ ARI | 16.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | 50+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 79.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -456 | o -520 | over · Novig 82¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | 60+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 70.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -257 / u +194 | o -300 | over · Novig 72¢under · Kalshi 33.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | 70+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 62.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -170 / u +127 | o -184 | over · Novig 63¢under · Kalshi 40.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | 90+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 41.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +133 / u -163 | o +127 | over · Novig 42.9¢under · Novig 62¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | 100+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 32.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +190 | o +194 | over · ProphetX 34¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v ARI | 110+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 23.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +264 | o +285 | over · ProphetX 26¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bam KnightARI v DET | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 5.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 6.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Elijah HigginsARI v DET | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 8.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +900 | o +730 | over · FD 9.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v ARI | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 18.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +388 / u -1150 | o +305 | over · BetRivers 19.2¢under · Kalshi 83¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v ARI | 25+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 51.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -133 / u +104 | o -132 | over · Kalshi 54.7¢under · Novig 49¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v ARI | 40+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 31.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +190 / u -233 | o +186 | over · Novig 34.5¢under · Novig 70¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v ARI | 60+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 14.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +441 | o +455 | over · Kalshi 18¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 13.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +471 / u -1567 | o +425 | over · Kalshi 15.9¢under · Kalshi 88.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 1+ pass TDs | DET @ ARI | 85.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettQBARI v DET | 2+ pass TDs | DET @ ARI | 56.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 3+ pass TDs | DET @ ARI | 24.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 225+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 73.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -376 / u +113 | — | over · Kalshi 75.4¢under · Kalshi 29.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 250+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 61.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -194 / u +150 | — | over · Kalshi 64.6¢under · Novig 40¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 275+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 45.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -108 / u -117 | — | over · Kalshi 48.7¢under · Novig 53.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 300+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 32.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +170 | — | over · Kalshi 35.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 325+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 20.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +277 | — | over · Kalshi 23.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 10+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 42.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +133 / u -170 | o +127 | over · Novig 42.9¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 20+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 19.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +400 / u -614 | o +400 | over · Novig 20¢under · Kalshi 84¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 25+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 12.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +641 / u -1150 | o +740 | over · ProphetX 11.9¢under · Kalshi 90.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jacoby BrissettARI v DET | 30+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 7.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +809 / u -1900 | o +1150 | over · ProphetX 8¢under · Kalshi 94.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 77.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -326 / u +317 | o -485 | over · Novig 76.5¢under · Novig 24¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 2+ TDs | DET @ ARI | 41.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 70+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 12.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +456 | o +455 | over · Kalshi 14.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 50+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 83.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -953 | o -1550 | over · Kalshi 84.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 70+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 71.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -285 / u +194 | o -330 | over · Novig 74¢under · Kalshi 32.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 80+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 61.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -178 / u +133 | o -200 | over · Novig 64¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 90+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 52.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -122 / u -108 | o -132 | over · Novig 55¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 100+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 43.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +120 / u -156 | o +120 | over · Novig 45.5¢under · Kalshi 60.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 120+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 27.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +233 / u -1011 | — | over · Novig 30¢under · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v ARI | 140+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 16.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +426 | — | over · Novig 19¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v ARI | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 33.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +178 / u -317 | o +148 | over · FD 35.1¢under · Kalshi 68.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v ARI | 40+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 64.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -203 / u +144 | o -225 | over · Novig 67¢under · Kalshi 39.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v ARI | 50+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 56.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -127 / u -104 | o -127 | over · Novig 55.9¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v ARI | 70+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 33.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +186 / u -245 | o +170 | over · Novig 35¢under · Kalshi 69.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 1+ pass TDs | DET @ ARI | 91.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 2+ pass TDs | DET @ ARI | 68.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 3+ pass TDs | DET @ ARI | 36.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 200+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 88.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1076 / u +335 | — | over · Kalshi 90.6¢under · Kalshi 13.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 225+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 80.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -567 / u +194 | — | over · Kalshi 84¢under · Kalshi 23.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 250+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 68.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -257 / u +113 | — | over · Kalshi 71.5¢under · Kalshi 34.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 275+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 53.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -138 / u +104 | — | over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Novig 49¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 325+ pass yds | DET @ ARI | 24.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +213 / u -3233 | — | over · Kalshi 27.4¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v ARI | 10+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 19.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +335 / u -456 | o +340 | over · Kalshi 21.1¢under · Novig 82¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kendrick BourneARI v DET | 15+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 66.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -245 / u +170 | o -270 | over · Kalshi 69.5¢under · Kalshi 36.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kendrick BourneARI v DET | 40+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 27.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +223 / u -285 | o +225 | over · Kalshi 30.4¢under · Novig 74¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kendrick BourneARI v DET | 50+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 16.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +355 | o +400 | over · ProphetX 20¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI v DET | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 21.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +326 / u -669 | o +260 | over · DK 22.2¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI v DET | 2+ TDs | DET @ ARI | 2.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI v DET | 50+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 32.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +182 / u -233 | o +170 | over · Novig 35.5¢under · Novig 70¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI v DET | 60+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 23.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +277 / u -355 | o +260 | over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Novig 78¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 35.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +167 / u -285 | o +134 | over · DK 37¢under · Kalshi 67.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 2+ TDs | DET @ ARI | 6.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 40+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 81.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -506 / u +150 | o -570 | over · Kalshi 83¢under · Kalshi 21.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 50+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 72.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -257 / u +194 | o -315 | over · Novig 72¢under · Kalshi 29.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 60+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 64.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -178 / u +138 | o -210 | over · Novig 64¢under · Kalshi 39.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 80+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 45.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +117 / u -144 | o +112 | over · Novig 46.1¢under · Kalshi 57.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 90+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 36.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +167 / u -203 | o +172 | over · ProphetX 36.8¢under · Kalshi 66.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 100+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 29.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +228 / u -9900 | o +235 | over · ProphetX 29.9¢under · Kalshi 73.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 110+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 20.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +335 | o +320 | over · Novig 23¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 120+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 14.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +355 | — | over · Kalshi 19¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael WilsonARI v DET | 130+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 12.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +471 | — | over · Kalshi 15.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v ARI | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 33.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +170 / u -285 | o +156 | over · Kalshi 36.6¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaTEDET v ARI | 50+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 54.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -135 / u +104 | o -142 | over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Kalshi 47.7¢ | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Trey McBrideARI v DET | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 44.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +130 / u -144 | o -103 / u -420 | over · Novig 43.5¢under · Kalshi 58.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Trey McBrideARI v DET | 2+ TDs | DET @ ARI | 10.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Trey McBrideARI v DET | 50+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 79.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -471 | o -560 | over · Novig 82.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Trey McBrideARI v DET | 60+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 70.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -270 / u +213 | o -310 | over · Novig 73¢under · Novig 31.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Trey McBrideARI v DET | 70+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 61.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -170 / u +138 | o -184 | over · Novig 63¢under · Novig 42¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Trey McBrideARI v DET | 90+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 42.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +130 / u -163 | o +127 | over · Novig 43.5¢under · Kalshi 61.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Trey McBrideARI v DET | 100+ rec yds | DET @ ARI | 32.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +190 / u -245 | o +178 | over · Novig 34.5¢under · Novig 71¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler AllgeierARI v DET | anytime TD | DET @ ARI | 28.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +245 / u -285 | o +200 | over · Novig 29¢under · Kalshi 73.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler AllgeierARI v DET | 2+ TDs | DET @ ARI | 4.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler AllgeierARI v DET | 30+ rush yds | DET @ ARI | 43.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
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The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Lions vs Cardinals props — FAQ
What are the player props for Lions vs Cardinals?
85 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Lions vs Cardinals player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 85 strikes with a real two-sided book; 117 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
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