Bengals vs Falcons player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of November 4, 2026, Kalshi lists 40 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Bengals vs Falcons, Week 9.
Kalshi as of Nov 4, 7:10 AM ET · books as of Nov 4, 7:15 AM ET · 197 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 40 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →Week 10 predictions →Week 8 results →
Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle PittsTEWatch | 40+ rec ydsover 39.5 | ATL vs CIN | NO | 36.9 | — | 46¢ | MODERATE | Buy NO → |
1 of 1 prop
Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board — Bengals vs Falcons
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | 25+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 51.5¢ | 50.0%5bk | +1.5¢ | o -111 / u -111 | o -117 / u -118 | over · Novig 52.6¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle PittsATL v CIN | 40+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 53.5¢ | 55.1%exch | -1.6¢ | o -133 / u +117 | o -140 / u +109 | over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Novig 46.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 66.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · BetRivers 70.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | 2+ TDs | CIN @ ATL | 28.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | 10+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 78.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -426 | o -560 | over · Novig 81¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | 50+ rush yds | CIN @ ATL | 84.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1011 | o -1350 | over · Kalshi 86.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | 60+ rush yds | CIN @ ATL | 73.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -506 | o -560 | over · Kalshi 81.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | 90+ rush yds | CIN @ ATL | 51.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -130 | o -142 | over · Novig 56.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | 100+ rush yds | CIN @ ATL | 42.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +109 | over · Kalshi 45.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v CIN | 110+ rush yds | CIN @ ATL | 33.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +163 | o +152 | over · Novig 38¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Chase BrownCIN v ATL | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 54.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 60.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Chase BrownCIN v ATL | 60+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 6.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +900 | o +760 | over · Kalshi 8.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Chase BrownCIN v ATL | 60+ rush yds | CIN @ ATL | 34.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +128 | over · Kalshi 41.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 36.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +127 | — | over · Kalshi 43.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN v ATL | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 50.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · DK 53.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN v ATL | 2+ TDs | CIN @ ATL | 13.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN v ATL | 80+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 45.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +100 / u -108 | o -108 | over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · Novig 51.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN v ATL | 90+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 34.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +144 | o +138 | over · Kalshi 39.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahan DotsonATL v CIN | 25+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 50.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -127 | o -142 | over · BetRivers 54.8¢under · BetRivers 54.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahan DotsonATL v CIN | 50+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 20.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +245 | over · Kalshi 26.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 12.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +614 | — | over · Novig 14¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | 2+ pass TDs | CIN @ ATL | 68.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | 3+ pass TDs | CIN @ ATL | 39.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | 4+ pass TDs | CIN @ ATL | 16.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | 225+ pass yds | CIN @ ATL | 75.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -400 | o -400 | over · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | 250+ pass yds | CIN @ ATL | 63.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -194 / u +144 | o -194 / u +111 | over · Novig 66¢under · Kalshi 40.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | 275+ pass yds | CIN @ ATL | 49.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -108 / u -106 | — | over · Novig 51.9¢under · Novig 51.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | 300+ pass yds | CIN @ ATL | 34.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o +170 | over · ProphetX 37¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Joe BurrowCIN v ATL | 325+ pass yds | CIN @ ATL | 24.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +264 | o +260 | over · Novig 27.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle PittsATL v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 24.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · BetRivers 27¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle PittsATL v CIN | 60+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 29.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +213 / u -245 | — | over · Kalshi 31.5¢under · Novig 71¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v CIN | 2+ pass TDs | CIN @ ATL | 48.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v CIN | 3+ pass TDs | CIN @ ATL | 20.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v CIN | 200+ pass yds | CIN @ ATL | 63.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -194 / u +113 | over · ProphetX 66¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v CIN | 225+ pass yds | CIN @ ATL | 48.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -108 | — | over · Kalshi 51.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael PenixATL v CIN | 250+ pass yds | CIN @ ATL | 32.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +174 | o +172 | over · Novig 36.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mike GesickiCIN v ATL | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 28.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · BetRivers 28.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Samaje PerineCIN v ATL | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 20.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 26.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tee HigginsCIN v ATL | anytime TD | CIN @ ATL | 43.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 45.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tee HigginsCIN v ATL | 75+ rec yds | CIN @ ATL | 53.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
Share this Oracle Ladder
Embed this game’s spread ladder
A live card locked to Bengals vs Falcons, Week 9 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.
Every NFL prediction-market widget.
Article width · 560×300
<iframe src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/bengals-vs-falcons-week-09-2026/hero" width="560" height="300" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" title="Bengals vs Falcons, Week 9 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks"> </iframe> <p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Bengals vs Falcons, Week 9 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/bengals-vs-falcons-week-09-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Sidebar · 320×280
<iframe src="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-ladder/bengals-vs-falcons-week-09-2026/sidebar" width="320" height="280" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" title="Bengals vs Falcons, Week 9 — model vs Kalshi — PredictionMarketsPicks"> </iframe> <p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Bengals vs Falcons, Week 9 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/bengals-vs-falcons-week-09-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>
Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Bengals at Falcons · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 8:10 AM ET
| Player prop (141) | Kalshi8:10 AM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner8:36 AM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tee Higgins 2+ TDs | no current price | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | — |
| Joe Burrow 4+ pass TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase anytime TD | no current price | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 225+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki anytime TD | no current price | 31¢32.5¢ after fees | — |
| Tee Higgins anytime TD | no current price | 47¢48.7¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. first TD | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Even |
| Ja'Marr Chase 2+ TDs | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Joe Burrow 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | — |
| Mike Gesicki first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Bijan Robinson 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Joe Burrow anytime TD | no current price | 15¢15.9¢ after fees | — |
| Bijan Robinson 100+ rush yds | no current price | 47¢48.7¢ after fees | — |
| Joe Burrow first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Joe Burrow 300+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Joe Burrow 275+ pass yds | no current price | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | — |
| Tee Higgins first TD | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 40+ rec yds | no current price | 57¢58.7¢ after fees | — |
| Bijan Robinson anytime TD | no current price | 71¢72.4¢ after fees | — |
| Chase Brown anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahan Dotson 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Joe Burrow 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 25+ rec yds | no current price | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase first TD | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | 13¢13.8¢ after fees | Even |
| Joe Burrow 225+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Joe Burrow 2+ pass TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 60+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Joe Burrow 1+ pass TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 110+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Joe Burrow 250+ pass yds | no current price | 64¢65.6¢ after fees | — |
| Joe Burrow 325+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 80+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 3+ pass TDs | no current price | 18¢19¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 275+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Joe Burrow 350+ pass yds | no current price | 17¢18¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 250+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 90+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 2+ pass TDs | no current price | 50¢51.7¢ after fees | — |
| Bijan Robinson 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 200+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson first TD | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | 21¢22.2¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Joe Burrow 200+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 60+ rec yds | no current price | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 90+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 70+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 2+ TDs | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dohnte Meyers anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Samaje Perine anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dohnte Meyers first TD | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US2.1¢ less |
| Drew Sample first TD | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Chase Brown first TD | 17¢18¢ after fees | 17¢18¢ after fees | Even |
| Drake London first TD | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Even |
| Samaje Perine first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Even |
| Jahan Dotson first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Michael Penix Jr. 1+ pass TDs | no current price | 78¢79.2¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 4+ pass TDs | no current price | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 150+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 175+ pass yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 300+ pass yds | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. 325+ pass yds | no current price | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | — |
| Joe Burrow 375+ pass yds | no current price | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | — |
| Bijan Robinson 15+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 100+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 110+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 120+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 70+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 80+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 90+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahan Dotson 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahan Dotson 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahan Dotson 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahan Dotson 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahan Dotson 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahan Dotson 70+ rec yds | no current price | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 70+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 80+ rec yds | no current price | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | — |
| Chase Brown 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 15+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 20+ rec yds | no current price | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | — |
| Chase Brown 25+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dohnte Meyers 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dohnte Meyers 15+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dohnte Meyers 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dohnte Meyers 25+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Dohnte Meyers 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 100+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 110+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 120+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Ja'Marr Chase 70+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki 10+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki 20+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki 30+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki 40+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki 50+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki 60+ rec yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Mike Gesicki 70+ rec yds | no current price | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | — |
| Bijan Robinson 120+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 130+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 140+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Bijan Robinson 80+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 40+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 50+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 70+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 80+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Chase Brown 90+ rush yds | no current price | 17¢18¢ after fees | — |
| Samaje Perine 10+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Samaje Perine 15+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Samaje Perine 20+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Samaje Perine 25+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Samaje Perine 30+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Samaje Perine 40+ rush yds | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake London 2+ TDs | no current price | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | — |
| Jahan Dotson anytime TD | no current price | no two-sided book | — |
| Jahan Dotson 2+ TDs | no current price | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | — |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Michael Penix Jr. anytime TD | no current price | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | — |
| Dohnte Meyers 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Drew Sample anytime TD | no current price | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | — |
| Drew Sample 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Joe Burrow 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
| Samaje Perine 2+ TDs | no current price | 2¢2.1¢ after fees | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (25)
- Bijan Robinson 3+ TDsPolymarket US 12¢
- Bijan Robinson 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 43¢
- Bijan Robinson 20+ rushing attemptsPolymarket US 45¢
- Chase Brown 3+ TDsPolymarket US 7¢
- Chase Brown 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 54¢
- Dohnte Meyers 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 59¢
- Dohnte Meyers team first touchdownPolymarket US 2¢
- Drake London 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Drake London 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 55¢
- Ja'Marr Chase 3+ TDsPolymarket US 3¢
- Ja'Marr Chase 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 54¢
- Jahan Dotson 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 59¢
- Jahan Dotson 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
- Joe Burrow 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 55¢
- Joe Burrow 36+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 55¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 60¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 50¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 2+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 54¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 52¢
- Mike Gesicki 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 53¢
- Samaje Perine team first touchdownPolymarket US 2¢
- Tee Higgins 3+ TDsPolymarket US 3¢
- Tee Higgins 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 50¢
- Tee Higgins 9+ receptionsPolymarket US 14¢
Kalshi only (68)
- Tee Higgins 75+ rec ydsKalshi 55¢
- Jack Endries anytime TDKalshi 10¢
- Jahan Dotson 25+ rec ydsKalshi 55¢
- Ja'Marr Chase 150+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Bijan Robinson 50+ rush ydsKalshi 86¢
- Chase Brown 60+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Austin Hooper first TDKalshi 3¢
- Charlie Woerner first TDKalshi 2¢
- Olamide Zaccheaus first TDKalshi 3¢
- Cam Grandy first TDKalshi 2¢
- Colbie Young first TDKalshi 2¢
- Jack Endries first TDKalshi 3¢
- Joe Burrow 5+ pass TDsKalshi 8¢
- Michael Penix Jr. 350+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
- Joe Burrow 400+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
- Bijan Robinson 50+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
- Bijan Robinson 60+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Bijan Robinson 70+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Drake London 130+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
- Drake London 140+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Drake London 150+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Drake London 160+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Drake London 170+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jahan Dotson 15+ rec ydsKalshi 71¢
- Jahan Dotson 80+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Jahan Dotson 90+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 100+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 110+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 15+ rec ydsKalshi 89¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 25+ rec ydsKalshi 76¢
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 90+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Chase Brown 50+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Chase Brown 70+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Dohnte Meyers 40+ rec ydsKalshi 20¢
- Dohnte Meyers 50+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
- Dohnte Meyers 60+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Dohnte Meyers 70+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Ja'Marr Chase 130+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Ja'Marr Chase 140+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Ja'Marr Chase 160+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Mike Gesicki 15+ rec ydsKalshi 75¢
- Mike Gesicki 25+ rec ydsKalshi 59¢
- Mike Gesicki 80+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Mike Gesicki 90+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
- Samaje Perine 15+ rec ydsKalshi 28¢
- Samaje Perine 25+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
- Samaje Perine 30+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
- Samaje Perine 40+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Bijan Robinson 150+ rush ydsKalshi 16¢
- Bijan Robinson 160+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
- Bijan Robinson 170+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Bijan Robinson 180+ rush ydsKalshi 10¢
- Bijan Robinson 190+ rush ydsKalshi 8¢
- Bijan Robinson 200+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Chase Brown 100+ rush ydsKalshi 12¢
- Chase Brown 110+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Chase Brown 120+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Chase Brown 130+ rush ydsKalshi 6¢
- Samaje Perine 60+ rush ydsKalshi 10¢
- Samaje Perine 70+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
+ 8 more listed on Kalshi only.
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Bengals vs Falcons props — FAQ
What are the player props for Bengals vs Falcons?
40 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Bengals vs Falcons player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 40 strikes with a real two-sided book; 157 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 10 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 8 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale