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NFL 2026

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Bears vs Packers player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 71 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Bears vs Packers, Week 5.

Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET · 286 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 71 with a real two-sided book · 2 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions →Week 6 predictions →Week 4 results →

Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at CowboysEagles at JaguarsBengals at DolphinsRaiders at PatriotsVikings at SaintsBrowns at JetsColts at SteelersTexans at TitansGiants at CommandersBroncos at ChargersLions at CardinalsBears at Packers49ers at SeahawksRavens at FalconsBills at Rams

Oracle calls for this game

Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.

NFL player prop edges — our projection against each Kalshi contract (X or more), on the strike closest to our projection. The call is YES or NO on that contract, the market price is the price of the called side, and the edge is stated on the called side. Rows badged WATCH are not plays; rows badged SKEW are calls where the average projection sits on the other side of the threshold.
PlayerContractMatchupCallOur projOur oddsMktEdgeTierTrade
Jordan LoveQBWatch2+ pass TDsover 1.5GB vs CHIYES1.752%45¢+6.9 ppMODERATEBuy YES →
Kaleb JohnsonRBWatch40+ rush ydsover 39.5GB vs CHINO🔒MODERATEBuy NO →

2 of 2 props · 1 locked (Pro)

Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.

Prop market board — Bears vs Packers

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

🔒 Filter by our call — Pro
Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Tucker KraftGB v CHI5+ recCHI @ GB47.0¢50.0%5bk-3.0¢o +106 / u -120o -112 / u -112over · Novig 48.5¢under · DK 52.6¢—Kalshi →
Tucker KraftGB v CHI50+ rec ydsCHI @ GB47.5¢50.0%4bk-2.5¢o -113 / u -113o -112 / u -112over · Kalshi 49.8¢under · DK 52.6¢—Kalshi →
CHI Bears D/STCHI v GBanytime TDCHI @ GB14.0¢—one-sided——over · DK 16.7¢—Kalshi →
Christian WatsonGB v CHIanytime TDCHI @ GB32.5¢—one-sidedo +203o -320over · Novig 33¢—Kalshi →
Christian WatsonGB v CHI2+ TDsCHI @ GB5.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Christian WatsonGB v CHI50+ rec ydsCHI @ GB61.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -178 / u +138o -200over · Novig 64¢under · Novig 42¢—Kalshi →
Christian WatsonGB v CHI60+ rec ydsCHI @ GB50.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -120 / u -108o -122over · Novig 54.5¢under · Novig 51.9¢—Kalshi →
Christian WatsonGB v CHI80+ rec ydsCHI @ GB32.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +178 / u -233o +186over · ProphetX 35¢under · Novig 70¢—Kalshi →
Christian WatsonGB v CHI100+ rec ydsCHI @ GB17.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +335o +355over · Kalshi 20.1¢—Kalshi →
Cole KmetCHI v GBanytime TDCHI @ GB13.0¢—one-sidedo +506o +570over · Kalshi 14.8¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v GBanytime TDCHI @ GB28.0¢—one-sidedo +223o +225over · Kalshi 30.4¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v GB2+ TDsCHI @ GB4.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v GB40+ rec ydsCHI @ GB46.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +108 / u -138o +112over · ProphetX 47.2¢under · Kalshi 56.7¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v GB50+ rec ydsCHI @ GB34.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +182 / u -233o +194over · ProphetX 34¢under · Kalshi 69.5¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v GB60+ rec ydsCHI @ GB23.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +285 / u -400o +320over · ProphetX 23.8¢under · Novig 80¢—Kalshi →
Colston LovelandCHI v GB70+ rec ydsCHI @ GB15.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +441o +570over · ProphetX 14.9¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v GBanytime TDCHI @ GB45.5¢—one-sidedo +113o -320over · Novig 46.9¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v GB2+ TDsCHI @ GB10.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v GB15+ rec ydsCHI @ GB48.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -104 / u -127o +101over · ProphetX 49.8¢under · Novig 55.9¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v GB50+ rush ydsCHI @ GB63.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -203 / u +156o -240over · Novig 67¢under · Novig 39.1¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v GB60+ rush ydsCHI @ GB52.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -127 / u +100o -132over · Kalshi 55.7¢under · Novig 50¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v GB70+ rush ydsCHI @ GB41.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +127 / u -156o +132over · ProphetX 43.1¢under · Novig 60.9¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v GB80+ rush ydsCHI @ GB32.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +190 / u -245o +194over · ProphetX 34¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢—Kalshi →
D'Andre SwiftCHI v GB90+ rush ydsCHI @ GB20.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +277o +300over · ProphetX 25¢—Kalshi →
GB Packers D/STGB v CHIanytime TDCHI @ GB11.5¢—one-sided——over · DK 14.3¢—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHIanytime TDCHI @ GB9.5¢—one-sidedo +700o +740over · BetRivers 10¢—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI34+ pass attCHI @ GB49.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI1+ INTsCHI @ GB52.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveQBGB v CHI2+ pass TDsCHI @ GB44.5¢—no books——Kalshi only🔒Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI3+ pass TDsCHI @ GB16.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI150+ pass ydsCHI @ GB89.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -1567—over · Kalshi 90.6¢—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI175+ pass ydsCHI @ GB82.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -700—over · Kalshi 85.9¢—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI225+ pass ydsCHI @ GB55.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -144 / u +113—over · Kalshi 58.7¢under · Novig 46.9¢—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI250+ pass ydsCHI @ GB41.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +122 / u -156—over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Kalshi 60.7¢—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI275+ pass ydsCHI @ GB28.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +208—over · Kalshi 30.4¢—Kalshi →
Jordan LoveGB v CHI300+ pass ydsCHI @ GB17.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +365—over · Kalshi 20.1¢—Kalshi →
Kaleb JohnsonGB v CHIanytime TDCHI @ GB31.0¢—one-sidedo +190o -320over · Kalshi 33.5¢—Kalshi →
Kaleb JohnsonGB v CHI30+ rush ydsCHI @ GB61.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Kaleb JohnsonRBGB v CHI40+ rush ydsCHI @ GB43.0¢—no books——Kalshi only🔒Kalshi →
Luther Burden IIICHI v GBanytime TDCHI @ GB27.0¢—one-sidedo +228o +225over · Kalshi 29.4¢—Kalshi →
Luther Burden IIICHI v GB40+ rec ydsCHI @ GB61.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -178 / u +133o -210over · Novig 64¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
Luther Burden IIICHI v GB50+ rec ydsCHI @ GB48.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -111 / u -117o -108over · Kalshi 51.8¢under · Novig 53.9¢—Kalshi →
Luther Burden IIICHI v GB60+ rec ydsCHI @ GB36.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +150 / u -186o +150over · Kalshi 39.7¢under · Novig 65¢—Kalshi →
Luther Burden IIICHI v GB70+ rec ydsCHI @ GB27.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +228 / u -285o +235over · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Novig 74¢—Kalshi →
Luther Burden IIICHI v GB100+ rec ydsCHI @ GB8.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +641o +740over · Kalshi 10.6¢—Kalshi →
Mark RedmanGB v CHIanytime TDCHI @ GB5.5¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 6.4¢—Kalshi →
MarShawn LloydGB v CHIanytime TDCHI @ GB39.5¢—one-sidedo +163o -320over · Novig 38¢—Kalshi →
MarShawn LloydGB v CHI15+ rush ydsCHI @ GB77.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
MarShawn LloydGB v CHI25+ rush ydsCHI @ GB56.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Matthew GoldenGB v CHIanytime TDCHI @ GB28.5¢—one-sidedo +245 / u -292o +235over · Novig 29¢under · Kalshi 73.4¢—Kalshi →
Matthew GoldenGB v CHI40+ rec ydsCHI @ GB68.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -233 / u +178o -300over · Novig 70¢under · Kalshi 35.6¢—Kalshi →
Matthew GoldenGB v CHI50+ rec ydsCHI @ GB57.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -150 / u +117o -170over · Novig 60¢under · Novig 46.1¢—Kalshi →
Matthew GoldenGB v CHI60+ rec ydsCHI @ GB46.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +100 / u -127o +104over · ProphetX 49¢under · Novig 55.9¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v GBanytime TDCHI @ GB27.5¢—one-sidedo +223o +225over · Kalshi 29.4¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v GB40+ rec ydsCHI @ GB51.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -108 / u -117o -108over · Novig 51.9¢under · Kalshi 50.8¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v GB60+ rec ydsCHI @ GB28.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +223 / u -285o +225over · ProphetX 30.8¢under · Novig 74¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v GB2+ recCHI @ GB82.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -590o -730over · Kalshi 84.9¢—Kalshi →
Rome OdunzeCHI v GB4+ recCHI @ GB39.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +141o +138over · Novig 41.5¢—Kalshi →
Tucker KraftGB v CHIanytime TDCHI @ GB28.0¢—one-sidedo +245o +245over · Novig 29¢—Kalshi →
Tucker KraftGB v CHI2+ TDsCHI @ GB3.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Tucker KraftGB v CHI40+ rec ydsCHI @ GB62.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -186 / u +144o -230over · Novig 65¢under · Novig 41¢—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GBanytime TDCHI @ GB12.5¢—one-sidedo +567 / u -669u -620over · Kalshi 13.8¢under · ProphetX 86.1¢—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GB2+ pass TDsCHI @ GB45.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GB3+ pass TDsCHI @ GB17.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GB150+ pass ydsCHI @ GB86.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GB200+ pass ydsCHI @ GB62.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GB225+ pass ydsCHI @ GB48.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GB350+ pass ydsCHI @ GB5.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GB10+ rush ydsCHI @ GB50.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Tyson BagentCHI v GB20+ rush ydsCHI @ GB27.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Zavion ThomasCHI v GBanytime TDCHI @ GB6.0¢—one-sided——over · Kalshi 7.5¢—Kalshi →
71 of 71 two-sided strikes · + 215 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · Our P(over) is Pro · book consensus as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET

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Bears vs Packers player prop ladders for Week 5: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Bears vs Packers prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

Embed this game’s spread ladder

A live card locked to Bears vs Packers, Week 5 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free; the credit line is the only ask. No API key, no signup.

Every NFL prediction-market widget.

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Chicago BearsGreen Bay PackersEvery game this week →

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Bears vs Packers props — FAQ

What are the player props for Bears vs Packers?

71 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Bears vs Packers player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 71 strikes with a real two-sided book; 215 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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