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Live game edges — model vs. Kalshi, ranked

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Commanders vs Giants player props — Kalshi prices vs the books

Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 10. Game preview and model line →

Quick Answer

As of November 9, 2026, Kalshi lists 56 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Commanders vs Giants, Week 10.

Kalshi as of Nov 9, 9:10 PM ET · books as of Nov 9, 11:15 AM ET · 206 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 56 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books

This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →NFL Week 10 predictions — early lines →Week 8 results →

Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings

Prop market board — Commanders vs Giants

Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.

Every Kalshi NFL player-prop strike with a two-sided book this week: the Kalshi mid, the sportsbook consensus probability read at that strike, exchange quotes at the same strike, and the gap between Kalshi and consensus in cents. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
PlayerPropGameKalshiConsensusGapNovigProphetXBest priceOur P(over)Trade
Austin EkelerWAS v NYG25+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG52.0¢50.4%5bk+1.6¢o -113 / u -111o -120 / u -111over · Novig 53.1¢under · DK 52.4¢—Kalshi →
Antonio WilliamsWAS v NYG40+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG53.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Austin EkelerWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG21.0¢—one-sidedo +344 / u -471—over · Novig 22.5¢under · Kalshi 81.1¢—Kalshi →
Austin EkelerWAS v NYG10+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG78.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Austin EkelerWAS v NYG15+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG70.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Austin EkelerWAS v NYG20+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG63.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -184over · ProphetX 64.8¢—Kalshi →
Austin EkelerWAS v NYG30+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG38.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +124 / u -198over · ProphetX 44.6¢under · ProphetX 66.4¢—Kalshi →
Austin EkelerWAS v NYG40+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG29.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +235over · ProphetX 29.9¢—Kalshi →
Chig OkonkwoWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG24.0¢—one-sidedo +270 / u -525—over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢—Kalshi →
Chig OkonkwoWAS v NYG30+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG56.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -208—over · Kalshi 62.7¢—Kalshi →
Darnell MooneyNYG v WASanytime TDWAS @ NYG10.5¢—one-sidedo +733 / u -3233o +610 / u -25000over · Kalshi 11.7¢under · Kalshi 90.6¢—Kalshi →
Devin SingletaryNYG v WASanytime TDWAS @ NYG24.5¢—one-sidedo +199 / u -335—over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Novig 77¢—Kalshi →
Devin SingletaryNYG v WAS2+ TDsWAS @ NYG4.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Devin SingletaryNYG v WAS10+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG80.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -641o -710 / u +300over · Kalshi 82.1¢under · Kalshi 22.2¢—Kalshi →
Devin SingletaryNYG v WAS15+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG70.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -520over · Kalshi 75.4¢—Kalshi →
Devin SingletaryNYG v WAS20+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG61.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -250 / u +120over · Kalshi 64.6¢under · Kalshi 42.7¢—Kalshi →
Devin SingletaryNYG v WAS25+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG51.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -176over · Kalshi 54.7¢—Kalshi →
Devin SingletaryNYG v WAS30+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG42.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -107 / u -172over · Kalshi 44.7¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢—Kalshi →
Gregory DesrosiersNYG v WASanytime TDWAS @ NYG3.5¢—one-sidedo +1233—over · Kalshi 4.3¢—Kalshi →
Isaiah LikelyNYG v WASanytime TDWAS @ NYG30.5¢—one-sidedo +194 / u -317—over · Kalshi 32.5¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢—Kalshi →
Isaiah LikelyNYG v WAS2+ TDsWAS @ NYG4.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Isaiah LikelyNYG v WAS50+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG47.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -108 / u -102o -107 / u -148over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · Novig 50.5¢—Kalshi →
Jaden BradleyWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG7.5¢—one-sidedo +1329—over · BetRivers 5¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG25.0¢—one-sidedo +270 / u -488—over · Novig 27¢under · Kalshi 77.3¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG2+ pass TDsWAS @ NYG36.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG3+ pass TDsWAS @ NYG13.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG175+ pass ydsWAS @ NYG67.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG200+ pass ydsWAS @ NYG54.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -138 / u +100over · Kalshi 57.7¢under · Kalshi 49.8¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG30+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG56.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -160 / u -110over · Kalshi 60.7¢under · Kalshi 48.7¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG40+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG41.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +129 / u -225over · ProphetX 43.7¢under · Kalshi 62.7¢—Kalshi →
Jayden DanielsWAS v NYG50+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG24.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +245 / u -900o +245over · Novig 29¢under · Kalshi 81.1¢—Kalshi →
John BatesWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG5.5¢—one-sidedo +1233o +1100 / u -25000over · Kalshi 6.4¢under · Kalshi 95.3¢—Kalshi →
Luke McCaffreyWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG8.5¢—one-sidedo +900 / u -4900o +740 / u -25000over · BetRivers 8.3¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢—Kalshi →
Malachi FieldsNYG v WASanytime TDWAS @ NYG15.5¢—one-sidedo +441 / u -1011—over · Kalshi 16.9¢under · Kalshi 85.9¢—Kalshi →
Malachi FieldsNYG v WAS20+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG58.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -174 / u -102over · Kalshi 61.7¢under · Kalshi 45.7¢—Kalshi →
Malachi FieldsNYG v WAS25+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG51.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -118 / u -166over · BetRivers 53.1¢under · Kalshi 52.8¢—Kalshi →
Malachi FieldsNYG v WAS50+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG20.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +300o +305 / u -950over · Kalshi 24.2¢under · Kalshi 84¢—Kalshi →
Malik NabersNYG v WASanytime TDWAS @ NYG36.5¢—one-sidedo +160 / u -245—over · Novig 38.5¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢—Kalshi →
Malik NabersNYG v WAS2+ TDsWAS @ NYG6.5¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Malik NabersNYG v WAS60+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG56.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Malik NabersNYG v WAS70+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG48.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -116 / u -158over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · BetRivers 53.9¢—Kalshi →
Malik NabersNYG v WAS80+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG35.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +128 / u -260over · Kalshi 39.7¢under · Kalshi 68.6¢—Kalshi →
Malik NabersNYG v WAS100+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG22.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero +270 / u -1011o +265 / u -580over · Kalshi 25.3¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢—Kalshi →
Malik NabersNYG v WAS110+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG16.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero +400o +360 / u -1550over · Kalshi 19¢under · Kalshi 86.8¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG34.5¢—one-sidedo +170 / u -270—over · Novig 37¢under · Kalshi 68.6¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v NYG2+ TDsWAS @ NYG6.0¢—no books——Kalshi only—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v NYG20+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG77.0¢off-ladderoff-laddero -567—over · Kalshi 83¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v NYG25+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG67.5¢off-ladderoff-laddero -355—over · Kalshi 75.4¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v NYG30+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG61.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o -235 / u +125over · Kalshi 64.6¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v NYG50+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG33.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +166 / u -315over · Kalshi 37.6¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢—Kalshi →
Rachaad WhiteWAS v NYG60+ rush ydsWAS @ NYG21.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +260over · Kalshi 25.3¢—Kalshi →
Stefon DiggsWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG28.0¢—one-sidedo +213 / u -355—over · Kalshi 30.4¢under · Kalshi 74.4¢—Kalshi →
Stefon DiggsWAS v NYG50+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG38.5¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +113 / u -194over · Kalshi 42.7¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢—Kalshi →
Stefon DiggsWAS v NYG70+ rec ydsWAS @ NYG21.0¢off-ladderoff-ladder—o +275 / u -760over · Kalshi 25.3¢under · Kalshi 83¢—Kalshi →
Theo JohnsonNYG v WASanytime TDWAS @ NYG9.5¢—one-sidedo +809 / u -4900o +690 / u -25000over · DK 10.5¢under · Kalshi 91.6¢—Kalshi →
WAS Commanders D/STWAS v NYGanytime TDWAS @ NYG13.5¢—one-sided——over · Fanatics 15.4¢—Kalshi →
56 of 56 two-sided strikes · + 150 listed on Kalshi, not yet priced · book consensus as of Nov 9, 11:15 AM ET

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Commanders vs Giants player prop ladders for Week 10: the Kalshi price at every strike vs the sportsbook consensus
The Commanders vs Giants prop ladders with the widest market disagreement this week — free to share. Updates as the market moves.

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A live card locked to Commanders vs Giants, Week 10 — the Kalshi price at every spread strike for this one game — for a preview post or a game-day thread. Free to preview on your own page; publishing runs on an Enterprise license, and the credit line stays on.

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Commanders vs Giants, Week 10 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/commanders-vs-giants-week-10-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

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<p style="margin:6px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;text-align:center">Commanders vs Giants, Week 10 Kalshi spread ladder from <a href="https://predictionmarketspicks.com/nfl/commanders-vs-giants-week-10-2026?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=widget&utm_campaign=nfl-ladder">PredictionMarketsPicks</a></p>

Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US

Commanders at Giants · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 9:10 PM ET

Player prop (143)Kalshi9:10 PM ETPolymarket USPolymarketPartner9:50 PM ETBest price
Devin Singletary anytime TDno current price25¢26.3¢ after fees—
Devin Singletary 20+ rush ydsno current price66¢67.6¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 25+ rec ydsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Devin Singletary 30+ rush ydsno current price48¢49.7¢ after fees—
Devin Singletary 25+ rush ydsno current price57¢58.7¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers anytime TDno current price37¢38.6¢ after fees—
Gregory Desrosiers anytime TDno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely anytime TDno current price32¢33.5¢ after fees—
Devin Singletary 15+ rush ydsno current price75¢76.3¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 40+ rush ydsno current price44¢45.7¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler 2+ TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Devin Singletary 10+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Malik Nabers 2+ TDsno current price7¢7.5¢ after fees—
Darnell Mooney 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Theo Johnson 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Luke McCaffrey 2+ TDsno current priceno two-sided book—
Stefon Diggs anytime TDno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
Devin Singletary 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers 100+ rec ydsno current price24¢25.3¢ after fees—
John Bates anytime TDno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers 70+ rec ydsno current price50¢51.7¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesEven
Luke McCaffrey anytime TDno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 2+ TDsno current price6¢6.4¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels first TD6¢6.4¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Theo Johnson anytime TDno current price10¢10.6¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 50+ rec ydsno current price50¢51.7¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 30+ rush ydsno current price65¢66.6¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 30+ rush ydsno current price59¢60.7¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields anytime TDno current price16¢16.9¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 3+ pass TDsno current price15¢15.9¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 2+ pass TDsno current price38¢39.6¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 50+ rush ydsno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers 60+ rec ydsno current price59¢60.7¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 50+ rec ydsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo anytime TDno current price25¢26.3¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 50+ rec ydsno current price24¢25.3¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 200+ pass ydsno current price57¢58.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels anytime TDno current price25¢26.3¢ after fees—
Darnell Mooney anytime TDno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 20+ rec ydsno current price62¢63.6¢ after fees—
Rachaad White anytime TDno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 30+ rec ydsno current price61¢62.7¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler 10+ rush ydsno current price84¢84.9¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler 15+ rush ydsno current price76¢77.3¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler 20+ rush ydsno current price66¢67.6¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler 40+ rush ydsno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler 30+ rush ydsno current price47¢48.7¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers 110+ rec ydsno current price19¢20.1¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers 80+ rec ydsno current price40¢41.7¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 70+ rec ydsno current price23¢24.2¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 20+ rush ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Rachaad White 50+ rush ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 60+ rush ydsno current price24¢25.3¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 175+ pass ydsno current price71¢72.4¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 40+ rec ydsno current price55¢56.7¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler anytime TDno current price22¢23.2¢ after fees—
Austin Ekeler 25+ rush ydsno current price57¢58.7¢ after fees—
Luke McCaffrey first TD2¢2.1¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Chig Okonkwo first TD7¢7.5¢ after fees6¢6.4¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Devin Singletary first TD8¢8.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Antonio Williams first TD8¢8.5¢ after fees7¢7.5¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Malachi Fields first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees5¢5.3¢ after feesKalshi1.1¢ less
Malik Nabers first TD10¢10.6¢ after fees9¢9.6¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Rachaad White first TD12¢12.7¢ after fees11¢11.7¢ after feesPolymarket US1.1¢ less
Isaiah Likely first TD9¢9.6¢ after fees9¢9.6¢ after feesEven
Stefon Diggs first TD8¢8.5¢ after fees8¢8.5¢ after feesEven
Darnell Mooney first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Van Jefferson first TD4¢4.3¢ after fees4¢4.3¢ after feesEven
Theo Johnson first TD3¢3.2¢ after fees3¢3.2¢ after feesEven
Charlie Jones first TDno two-sided book2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Gregory Desrosiers first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
Jalin Hyatt first TDno two-sided bookno two-sided book—
John Bates first TDno two-sided book2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 1+ pass TDsno current price76¢77.3¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 4+ pass TDsno current price2¢2.1¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 125+ pass ydsno current price90¢90.6¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 150+ pass ydsno current price83¢84¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 225+ pass ydsno current price41¢42.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 250+ pass ydsno current price28¢29.4¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 275+ pass ydsno current price18¢19¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 300+ pass ydsno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Darnell Mooney 10+ rec ydsno current price66¢67.6¢ after fees—
Darnell Mooney 15+ rec ydsno current price54¢55.7¢ after fees—
Darnell Mooney 20+ rec ydsno current price44¢45.7¢ after fees—
Darnell Mooney 25+ rec ydsno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Darnell Mooney 30+ rec ydsno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 20+ rec ydsno current price87¢87.8¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 30+ rec ydsno current price75¢76.3¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 40+ rec ydsno current price62¢63.6¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 60+ rec ydsno current price39¢40.7¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 70+ rec ydsno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 80+ rec ydsno current price21¢22.2¢ after fees—
Isaiah Likely 90+ rec ydsno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 10+ rec ydsno current price78¢79.2¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 30+ rec ydsno current price46¢47.7¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 40+ rec ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 60+ rec ydsno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 70+ rec ydsno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers 30+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Malik Nabers 40+ rec ydsno current price78¢79.2¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers 50+ rec ydsno current price69¢70.5¢ after fees—
Malik Nabers 90+ rec ydsno current price32¢33.5¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 20+ rec ydsno current price82¢83¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 30+ rec ydsno current price69¢70.5¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 50+ rec ydsno current price43¢44.7¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 60+ rec ydsno current price31¢32.5¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 70+ rec ydsno current price23¢24.2¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 80+ rec ydsno current price16¢16.9¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 20+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Chig Okonkwo 40+ rec ydsno current price47¢48.7¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 50+ rec ydsno current price35¢36.6¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 60+ rec ydsno current price20¢21.1¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 70+ rec ydsno current price14¢14.8¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 80+ rec ydsno current price11¢11.7¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 20+ rec ydsno current price82¢83¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 30+ rec ydsno current price69¢70.5¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 40+ rec ydsno current price55¢56.7¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 60+ rec ydsno current price31¢32.5¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 80+ rec ydsno current price16¢16.9¢ after fees—
Van Jefferson 10+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Van Jefferson 15+ rec ydsno current priceno two-sided book—
Van Jefferson 20+ rec ydsno current price44¢45.7¢ after fees—
Van Jefferson 25+ rec ydsno current price36¢37.6¢ after fees—
Van Jefferson 30+ rec ydsno current price29¢30.4¢ after fees—
Devin Singletary 40+ rush ydsno current price34¢35.6¢ after fees—
Devin Singletary 50+ rush ydsno current price21¢22.2¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 20+ rush ydsno current price76¢77.3¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 60+ rush ydsno current price19¢20.1¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 70+ rush ydsno current price12¢12.7¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 80+ rush ydsno current price9¢9.6¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 40+ rush ydsno current price51¢52.7¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 70+ rush ydsno current price17¢18¢ after fees—
Rachaad White 80+ rush ydsno current price12¢12.7¢ after fees—
Malachi Fields 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams anytime TDno current price26¢27.3¢ after fees—
Antonio Williams 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Chig Okonkwo 2+ TDsno current price4¢4.3¢ after fees—
Jayden Daniels 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Stefon Diggs 2+ TDsno current price5¢5.3¢ after fees—
Van Jefferson anytime TDno current price13¢13.8¢ after fees—
Van Jefferson 2+ TDsno current price3¢3.2¢ after fees—
This game on Kalshi →This game on Polymarket US →

Sponsored by Polymarket US

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Polymarket US only (64)

  • Antonio Williams 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 92¢
  • Antonio Williams 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 76¢
  • Antonio Williams 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 56¢
  • Antonio Williams 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 42¢
  • Antonio Williams 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 27¢
  • Charlie Jones anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 56¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 26¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 8+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 56¢
  • Darnell Mooney 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 50¢
  • Darnell Mooney 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 26¢
  • Darnell Mooney 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 13¢
  • Devin Singletary 12+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 60¢
  • Isaiah Likely 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 87¢
  • Isaiah Likely 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
  • Isaiah Likely 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 71¢
  • Isaiah Likely 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 54¢
  • Isaiah Likely 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 38¢
  • Isaiah Likely 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 25¢
  • Isaiah Likely 11+ fantasy points (PPR)Polymarket US 52¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 57¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 1+ pass TDsPolymarket US 77¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 2+ pass TDsPolymarket US 40¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 2+ TDsPolymarket US 6¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 3+ pass TDsPolymarket US 16¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 15+ rush ydsPolymarket US 62¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 18+ passing completionsPolymarket US 60¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 20+ rush ydsPolymarket US 50¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 25+ rush ydsPolymarket US 36¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 30+ rush ydsPolymarket US 33¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 175+ pass ydsPolymarket US 75¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 200+ pass ydsPolymarket US 54¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 225+ pass ydsPolymarket US 44¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 250+ pass ydsPolymarket US 30¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 275+ pass ydsPolymarket US 20¢
  • J.J. McCarthy 300+ pass ydsPolymarket US 13¢
  • J.J. McCarthy first TDPolymarket US 7¢
  • Jalin Hyatt anytime TDPolymarket US 3¢
  • Jayden Daniels 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 46¢
  • Jayden Daniels 2+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 19¢
  • Jayden Daniels 20+ passing completionsPolymarket US 52¢
  • Jayden Daniels 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 51¢
  • Malachi Fields 2+ receptionsPolymarket US 66¢
  • Malachi Fields 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
  • Malachi Fields 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 22¢
  • Malachi Fields 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 12¢
  • Malik Nabers 3+ TDsPolymarket US 4¢
  • Malik Nabers 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 84¢
  • Malik Nabers 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 67¢
  • Malik Nabers 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 54¢
  • Malik Nabers 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 40¢
  • Malik Nabers 8+ receptionsPolymarket US 27¢
  • Malik Nabers 9+ receptionsPolymarket US 19¢
  • Rachaad White 3+ TDsPolymarket US 2¢
  • Stefon Diggs 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 79¢
  • Stefon Diggs 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 61¢
  • Stefon Diggs 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 42¢
  • Stefon Diggs 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 28¢
  • Stefon Diggs 7+ receptionsPolymarket US 18¢

+ 4 more listed on Polymarket US only.

Kalshi only (79)

  • Jaden Bradley anytime TDKalshi 9¢
  • WAS Commanders D/ST anytime TDKalshi 15¢
  • Rachaad White 25+ rush ydsKalshi 74¢
  • Ben Sinnott first TDKalshi 2¢
  • Jayden Daniels 325+ pass ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Darnell Mooney 40+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Darnell Mooney 50+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
  • Darnell Mooney 60+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Darnell Mooney 70+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Devin Singletary 10+ rec ydsKalshi 48¢
  • Devin Singletary 15+ rec ydsKalshi 37¢
  • Devin Singletary 20+ rec ydsKalshi 28¢
  • Devin Singletary 25+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Devin Singletary 30+ rec ydsKalshi 15¢
  • Devin Singletary 40+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Isaiah Likely 100+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Isaiah Likely 110+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Isaiah Likely 120+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Isaiah Likely 25+ rec ydsKalshi 81¢
  • Malachi Fields 15+ rec ydsKalshi 71¢
  • Malachi Fields 80+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Malik Nabers 120+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
  • Malik Nabers 130+ rec ydsKalshi 11¢
  • Malik Nabers 140+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Malik Nabers 150+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Malik Nabers 160+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Theo Johnson 10+ rec ydsKalshi 40¢
  • Theo Johnson 15+ rec ydsKalshi 29¢
  • Theo Johnson 20+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Theo Johnson 25+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
  • Theo Johnson 30+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
  • Theo Johnson 40+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Theo Johnson 5+ rec ydsKalshi 52¢
  • Austin Ekeler 10+ rec ydsKalshi 46¢
  • Austin Ekeler 15+ rec ydsKalshi 35¢
  • Austin Ekeler 20+ rec ydsKalshi 24¢
  • Austin Ekeler 25+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
  • Austin Ekeler 30+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Austin Ekeler 40+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Antonio Williams 100+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
  • Antonio Williams 110+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Antonio Williams 15+ rec ydsKalshi 88¢
  • Antonio Williams 25+ rec ydsKalshi 75¢
  • Antonio Williams 90+ rec ydsKalshi 13¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 100+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 110+ rec ydsKalshi 4¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 15+ rec ydsKalshi 81¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 25+ rec ydsKalshi 69¢
  • Chig Okonkwo 90+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Rachaad White 10+ rec ydsKalshi 61¢
  • Rachaad White 15+ rec ydsKalshi 47¢
  • Rachaad White 20+ rec ydsKalshi 36¢
  • Rachaad White 25+ rec ydsKalshi 27¢
  • Rachaad White 30+ rec ydsKalshi 21¢
  • Rachaad White 40+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
  • Rachaad White 50+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
  • Stefon Diggs 100+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
  • Stefon Diggs 110+ rec ydsKalshi 6¢
  • Stefon Diggs 120+ rec ydsKalshi 5¢
  • Stefon Diggs 25+ rec ydsKalshi 76¢

+ 19 more listed on Kalshi only.

Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.

The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike

Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.

How to read this board — and what we are not claiming

Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.

Commanders vs Giants props — FAQ

What are the player props for Commanders vs Giants?

56 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 10 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.

Where are Commanders vs Giants player props priced best?

The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.

What is the gap column?

The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.

Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?

Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 56 strikes with a real two-sided book; 150 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.

Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.

How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?

A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.

What is an Oracle Ladder?

An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.

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