Vikings vs Saints player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 47 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Vikings vs Saints, Week 5. The widest Kalshi-vs-sportsbook gap is Chris Olave 7+ rec at 47¢ against a 52% book consensus — Kalshi 5¢ below the books.
Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET · 164 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 47 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books · widest gap: Chris Olave 7+ rec, Kalshi 5¢ below consensus
This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions →Week 6 predictions →Week 4 results →
Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at CowboysEagles at JaguarsBengals at DolphinsRaiders at PatriotsVikings at SaintsBrowns at JetsColts at SteelersTexans at TitansGiants at CommandersBroncos at ChargersLions at CardinalsBears at Packers49ers at SeahawksRavens at FalconsBills at Rams
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Edge | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQBWatch | 2+ pass TDsover 1.5 | MIN vs NO | NO | 🔒 | MODERATE | Buy NO → | |||
1 of 1 prop · 1 locked (Pro)
Watch — the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board — Vikings vs Saints
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris OlaveNO v MIN | 7+ rec | MIN @ NO | 46.5¢ | 51.6%5bk | -5.1¢gap | o -102 / u -117 | o +104 / u -108 | over · ProphetX 49¢under · DK 50.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Chris OlaveNO v MIN | 80+ rec yds | MIN @ NO | 47.5¢ | 52.0%2bk | -4.5¢ | o -122 / u -104 | u -119 | over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · Novig 51¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN v NO | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 51.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -133 / u -1567 | o -310 | over · Kalshi 54.7¢under · Kalshi 51.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN v NO | 2+ TDs | MIN @ NO | 14.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN v NO | 15+ rec yds | MIN @ NO | 56.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -170 / u +127 | o -184 | over · Kalshi 61.7¢under · Novig 44.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN v NO | 50+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 71.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -355 / u +245 | o -485 | over · Kalshi 73.4¢under · Novig 29¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN v NO | 70+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 54.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -133 / u +108 | o -138 | over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Novig 48.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN v NO | 80+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 38.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +117 / u -150 | o +117 | over · Kalshi 45.7¢under · Novig 60¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN v NO | 90+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 29.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +178 / u -223 | o +178 | over · Kalshi 35.6¢under · Novig 69¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Alvin KamaraNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 37.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +133 / u -4900 | o -350 | over · BetRivers 38.5¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Alvin KamaraNO v MIN | 2+ TDs | MIN @ NO | 8.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Bryce LanceNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 11.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +669 / u -1900 | o +570 | over · BetRivers 11.1¢under · Kalshi 89.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Chris OlaveNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 31.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +190 / u -300 | o -350 | over · Kalshi 33.5¢under · Kalshi 71.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Chris OlaveNO v MIN | 2+ TDs | MIN @ NO | 5.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Chris OlaveNO v MIN | 60+ rec yds | MIN @ NO | 66.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -285 / u +213 | u -900 | over · Novig 74¢under · Novig 31.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| CJ DonaldsonNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 14.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +488 / u -1567 | o +425 | over · BetRivers 11.1¢under · Kalshi 87.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| DeeJay DallasMIN v NO | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 7.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1076 / u -1329 | o +810 | over · BetRivers 6.7¢under · Novig 93¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Devaughn VeleNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 19.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +344 | o +355 | over · ProphetX 22¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Devaughn VeleNO v MIN | 40+ rec yds | MIN @ NO | 48.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Devaughn VeleNO v MIN | 50+ rec yds | MIN @ NO | 27.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +156 / u -223 | o -350 | over · Kalshi 34.6¢under · Novig 69¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Devaughn VeleNO v MIN | 5+ rec | MIN @ NO | 32.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jauan JenningsMIN v NO | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 11.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +525 | o +670 | over · ProphetX 13¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan AddisonMIN v NO | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 25.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +245 | o +260 | over · Kalshi 27.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Juwan JohnsonNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 21.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +300 | o +300 | over · Kalshi 23.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Juwan JohnsonNO v MIN | 15+ rec yds | MIN @ NO | 81.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1900 / u +186 | — | over · Kalshi 85.9¢under · Kalshi 24.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Juwan JohnsonNO v MIN | 40+ rec yds | MIN @ NO | 53.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -133 / u +104 | — | over · Novig 57.1¢under · Novig 49¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Juwan JohnsonNO v MIN | 50+ rec yds | MIN @ NO | 44.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +117 / u -150 | o -350 | over · Novig 46.1¢under · Kalshi 59.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kendre MillerNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 38.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +144 | o -350 | over · Kalshi 40.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 16.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +441 / u -525 | o +430 | over · DK 17.4¢under · Novig 84¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayQBMIN v NO | 2+ pass TDs | MIN @ NO | 38.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | 🔒 | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 4+ pass TDs | MIN @ NO | 5.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 200+ pass yds | MIN @ NO | 59.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -163 / u +127 | — | over · Novig 62¢under · Novig 44.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 225+ pass yds | MIN @ NO | 45.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +104 / u -186 | — | over · Kalshi 47.7¢under · Kalshi 57.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 250+ pass yds | MIN @ NO | 24.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +208 | — | over · Kalshi 30.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 275+ pass yds | MIN @ NO | 17.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +335 | — | over · Kalshi 22.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 350+ pass yds | MIN @ NO | 3.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +1438 | — | over · Kalshi 4.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 10+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 69.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -223 / u +163 | o -270 | over · Novig 69¢under · Kalshi 34.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 15+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 59.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -138 / u +104 | o -132 | over · ProphetX 56.9¢under · Kalshi 43.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 20+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 44.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +120 | o +138 | over · ProphetX 42¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 25+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 34.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +190 / u -223 | o +225 | over · ProphetX 30.8¢under · Novig 69¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyler MurrayMIN v NO | 30+ rush yds | MIN @ NO | 24.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +277 | o +355 | over · ProphetX 22¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| MIN Vikings D/STMIN v NO | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 13.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · DK 14.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Oscar DelpNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 11.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +545 | o +570 | over · BetRivers 13.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| T.J. HockensonMIN v NO | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 19.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +300 / u -400 | o +285 | over · Kalshi 22.2¢under · Novig 80¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler ShoughNO v MIN | anytime TD | MIN @ NO | 19.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +335 | o +300 | over · DK 21.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler ShoughNO v MIN | 2+ pass TDs | MIN @ NO | 37.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler ShoughNO v MIN | 3+ pass TDs | MIN @ NO | 12.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
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The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Vikings vs Saints props — FAQ
What are the player props for Vikings vs Saints?
47 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Vikings vs Saints player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 47 strikes with a real two-sided book; 117 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
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