Packers vs Patriots player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 9. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of November 4, 2026, Kalshi lists 41 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Packers vs Patriots, Week 9.
Kalshi as of Nov 4, 5:10 PM ET · books as of Nov 4, 5:15 PM ET · 137 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 41 with a real two-sided book · 1 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 9 predictions →Week 10 predictions →Week 8 results →
Week 9 gamesJaguars at RavensBengals at FalconsBroncos at PanthersCowboys at ColtsJets at ChiefsLions at DolphinsBrowns at SaintsGiants at EaglesRams at CommandersTexans at ChargersRaiders at 49ersPackers at PatriotsCardinals at SeahawksBuccaneers at BearsBills at Vikings
Prop market board — Packers vs Patriots
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre StevensonNE v GB | 55+ rush yds | GB @ NE | 48.0¢ | 49.0%5bk | -1.0¢ | o +108 / u -113 | o -103 / u -112 | over · Novig 48.1¢under · ProphetX 52.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bo MeltonGB v NE | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 4.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1438 | — | over · Kalshi 5.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| DeMario DouglasNE v GB | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 30.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +194 / u -335 | — | over · Kalshi 33.5¢under · Kalshi 72.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 23.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +300 / u -1150 | — | over · FD 24.4¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 2+ TDs | GB @ NE | 3.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 2+ pass TDs | GB @ NE | 51.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 3+ pass TDs | GB @ NE | 22.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 150+ pass yds | GB @ NE | 84.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -1150 | o -1550 | over · Kalshi 88.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 175+ pass yds | GB @ NE | 75.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -506 | o -520 | over · Kalshi 82.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 200+ pass yds | GB @ NE | 67.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -245 | o -240 | over · ProphetX 70.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 225+ pass yds | GB @ NE | 54.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -135 / u +108 | o -138 | over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Novig 48.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 250+ pass yds | GB @ NE | 39.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +141 / u -170 | o +140 | over · Novig 41.5¢under · Novig 63¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 275+ pass yds | GB @ NE | 25.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +239 | o +235 | over · Kalshi 29.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 15+ rush yds | GB @ NE | 67.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -426 | o -425 | over · Kalshi 75.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake MayeNE v GB | 30+ rush yds | GB @ NE | 38.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +122 | o +117 | over · Kalshi 44.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Efton ChismNE v GB | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 27.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +233 / u -335 | — | over · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Kalshi 75.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Eli RaridonNE v GB | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 30.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +194 / u -567 | — | over · Kalshi 32.5¢under · Kalshi 72.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| GB Packers D/STGB v NE | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 11.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 14.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v NE | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 7.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +1011 | — | over · Kalshi 8.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v NE | 1+ pass TDs | GB @ NE | 82.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v NE | 2+ pass TDs | GB @ NE | 50.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v NE | 3+ pass TDs | GB @ NE | 20.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v NE | 250+ pass yds | GB @ NE | 65.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v NE | 300+ pass yds | GB @ NE | 35.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +153 / u -186 | o +152 | over · Novig 39.5¢under · Novig 65¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh JacobsGB v NE | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 52.0¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 54.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh JacobsGB v NE | 2+ TDs | GB @ NE | 14.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh JacobsGB v NE | 30+ rush yds | GB @ NE | 64.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -292 | o -315 | over · Kalshi 71.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh JacobsGB v NE | 50+ rush yds | GB @ NE | 39.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +125 | o +123 | over · Novig 44.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh JacobsGB v NE | 70+ rush yds | GB @ NE | 18.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +317 | o +320 | over · Kalshi 22.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle WilliamsNE v GB | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 16.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +400 / u -1011 | — | over · Novig 20¢under · Kalshi 86.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v NE | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 35.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +163 / u -285 | — | over · Fanatics 37¢under · Kalshi 66.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v NE | 2+ TDs | GB @ NE | 5.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v NE | 40+ rec yds | GB @ NE | 71.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -456 | o -520 | over · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v NE | 70+ rec yds | GB @ NE | 45.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -108 | o -112 | over · Kalshi 50.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v NE | 90+ rec yds | GB @ NE | 24.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +190 | o +186 | over · Kalshi 30.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE v GB | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 51.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 53.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE v GB | 2+ TDs | GB @ NE | 13.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE v GB | 40+ rush yds | GB @ NE | 66.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -285 | o -330 | over · Kalshi 73.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tucker KraftGB v NE | anytime TD | GB @ NE | 29.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +223 / u -426 | — | over · DK 30.8¢under · Kalshi 72.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tucker KraftGB v NE | 40+ rec yds | GB @ NE | 52.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -167 | o -176 | over · Kalshi 60.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tucker KraftGB v NE | 50+ rec yds | GB @ NE | 43.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +108 | o +101 | over · Kalshi 46.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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Same props on both venues: Kalshi vs Polymarket US
Packers at Patriots · same player, stat and threshold · cost to buy after fees · as of 6:10 PM ET
| Player prop (97) | Kalshi6:10 PM ET | Polymarket USPolymarketPartner6:14 PM ET | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye 2+ TDs | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 250+ pass yds | 41¢42.7¢ after fees | 40¢41.7¢ after fees | Polymarket US1¢ less |
| Tucker Kraft anytime TD | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | 30¢31.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Tucker Kraft 2+ TDs | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye anytime TD | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love anytime TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Matthew Golden anytime TD | 36¢37.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 225+ pass yds | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | 56¢57.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Matthew Golden 2+ TDs | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Josh Jacobs 2+ TDs | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Drake Maye 2+ pass TDs | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Drake Maye 3+ pass TDs | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | 24¢25.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Rhamondre Stevenson anytime TD | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Matthew Golden first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Jordan Love 3+ pass TDs | 22¢23.2¢ after fees | 23¢24.2¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Bo Melton anytime TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Josh Jacobs 50+ rush yds | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love 2+ pass TDs | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | 51¢52.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Josh Jacobs first TD | 14¢14.8¢ after fees | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Tucker Kraft 50+ rec yds | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 40+ rush yds | 72¢73.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 175+ pass yds | 81¢82.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 275+ pass yds | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Jordan Love 1+ pass TDs | 86¢86.8¢ after fees | 85¢85.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Matthew Golden 70+ rec yds | 49¢50.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Josh Jacobs 30+ rush yds | 70¢71.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Efton Chism III anytime TD | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Josh Jacobs anytime TD | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| DeMario Douglas anytime TD | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Eli Raridon anytime TD | 31¢32.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Matthew Golden 90+ rec yds | 29¢30.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love 250+ pass yds | 68¢69.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Matthew Golden 40+ rec yds | 78¢79.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love 300+ pass yds | 39¢40.7¢ after fees | 39¢40.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Drake Maye 300+ pass yds | 18¢19¢ after fees | 18¢19¢ after fees | Even |
| Drake Maye 30+ rush yds | 43¢44.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 150+ pass yds | 88¢88.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Tucker Kraft 40+ rec yds | 59¢60.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 200+ pass yds | 70¢71.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Williams anytime TD | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love 4+ pass TDs | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 10¢10.6¢ after fees | Kalshi2.1¢ less |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 2+ TDs | 16¢16.9¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love 275+ pass yds | 52¢53.7¢ after fees | 54¢55.7¢ after fees | Kalshi2¢ less |
| Drake Maye 25+ rush yds | 53¢54.7¢ after fees | 55¢56.7¢ after fees | Kalshi2¢ less |
| Corey Kiner 2+ TDs | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 4¢4.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Drake Maye first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Polymarket US1.1¢ less |
| Efton Chism III 2+ TDs | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Tucker Kraft first TD | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Kalshi1.1¢ less |
| Matthew Golden 110+ rec yds | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | 20¢21.1¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Matthew Golden 100+ rec yds | 25¢26.3¢ after fees | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | Kalshi1¢ less |
| Drake Maye 1+ pass TDs | 86¢86.8¢ after fees | 85¢85.9¢ after fees | Even |
| Jordan Love 350+ pass yds | 18¢19¢ after fees | 18¢19¢ after fees | Even |
| Drake Maye 325+ pass yds | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | 12¢12.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Jordan Love 375+ pass yds | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | 11¢11.7¢ after fees | Even |
| Mark Redman anytime TD | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | 9¢9.6¢ after fees | Even |
| DeMario Douglas first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Eli Raridon 2+ TDs | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | Even |
| Savion Williams first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | Even |
| Bo Melton first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Mark Redman first TD | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Corey Kiner first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Efton Chism III first TD | 6¢6.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Eli Raridon first TD | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Williams first TD | 5¢5.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson first TD | 17¢18¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 4+ pass TDs | 8¢8.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love 200+ pass yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love 225+ pass yds | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Jordan Love 325+ pass yds | 27¢28.4¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Josh Jacobs 10+ rec yds | 79¢80.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Josh Jacobs 20+ rec yds | 56¢57.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Josh Jacobs 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Matthew Golden 30+ rec yds | 87¢87.8¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Matthew Golden 50+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Matthew Golden 60+ rec yds | 59¢60.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Matthew Golden 80+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Savion Williams 10+ rec yds | 75¢76.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Savion Williams 20+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Savion Williams 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Tucker Kraft 30+ rec yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Tucker Kraft 60+ rec yds | 34¢35.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Tucker Kraft 70+ rec yds | no two-sided book | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | — |
| Josh Jacobs 20+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Josh Jacobs 40+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Josh Jacobs 60+ rush yds | 32¢33.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 20+ rush yds | 65¢66.6¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Drake Maye 40+ rush yds | no two-sided book | 28¢29.4¢ after fees | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 30+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ rush yds | 59¢60.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 60+ rush yds | 45¢46.7¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 70+ rush yds | no two-sided book | no two-sided book | — |
| Savion Williams anytime TD | 19¢20.1¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Savion Williams 2+ TDs | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Corey Kiner anytime TD | 26¢27.3¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| DeMario Douglas 2+ TDs | 7¢7.5¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
| Kyle Williams 2+ TDs | 3¢3.2¢ after fees | no two-sided book | — |
Sponsored by Polymarket US
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See https://polymarketexchange.com/files/legal/Polymarket%20US%20Rulebook%20(2026.09.30).pdf for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Polymarket US only (12)
- Cameron Latu anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
- Drake Maye 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 53¢
- Drake Maye 32+ passing attemptsPolymarket US 51¢
- Jordan Love 1+ interceptions thrownPolymarket US 63¢
- Jordan Love 24+ passing completionsPolymarket US 43¢
- Josh Jacobs 4+ receptionsPolymarket US 50¢
- Josh Jacobs 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 2¢
- Matthew Golden 6+ receptionsPolymarket US 46¢
- Pierre Strong Jr. anytime TDPolymarket US 12¢
- Savion Williams 3+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
- Tanner Arkin anytime TDPolymarket US 6¢
- Tucker Kraft 5+ receptionsPolymarket US 48¢
Kalshi only (42)
- Josh Jacobs 70+ rush ydsKalshi 21¢
- GB Packers D/ST anytime TDKalshi 14¢
- Jordan Love 10+ rush ydsKalshi 28¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 55+ rush ydsKalshi 49¢
- Drake Maye 15+ rush ydsKalshi 74¢
- Matthew Golden 150+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Jordan Love 400+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
- Drake Maye 350+ pass ydsKalshi 7¢
- Josh Jacobs 15+ rec ydsKalshi 68¢
- Josh Jacobs 40+ rec ydsKalshi 22¢
- Josh Jacobs 50+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Josh Jacobs 60+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Matthew Golden 120+ rec ydsKalshi 16¢
- Matthew Golden 130+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Matthew Golden 140+ rec ydsKalshi 9¢
- Savion Williams 50+ rec ydsKalshi 17¢
- Savion Williams 60+ rec ydsKalshi 12¢
- Savion Williams 70+ rec ydsKalshi 8¢
- Tucker Kraft 100+ rec ydsKalshi 10¢
- Tucker Kraft 110+ rec ydsKalshi 7¢
- Tucker Kraft 20+ rec ydsKalshi 85¢
- Tucker Kraft 25+ rec ydsKalshi 79¢
- Tucker Kraft 80+ rec ydsKalshi 19¢
- Tucker Kraft 90+ rec ydsKalshi 14¢
- Josh Jacobs 100+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Josh Jacobs 110+ rush ydsKalshi 8¢
- Josh Jacobs 80+ rush ydsKalshi 16¢
- Josh Jacobs 90+ rush ydsKalshi 12¢
- Jordan Love 15+ rush ydsKalshi 19¢
- Jordan Love 20+ rush ydsKalshi 11¢
- Jordan Love 25+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Drake Maye 10+ rush ydsKalshi 84¢
- Drake Maye 50+ rush ydsKalshi 17¢
- Drake Maye 60+ rush ydsKalshi 10¢
- Drake Maye 70+ rush ydsKalshi 7¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 100+ rush ydsKalshi 14¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 110+ rush ydsKalshi 9¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 120+ rush ydsKalshi 8¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 80+ rush ydsKalshi 25¢
- Rhamondre Stevenson 90+ rush ydsKalshi 18¢
- Jonnu Smith anytime TDKalshi 9¢
- NE Patriots D/ST anytime TDKalshi 17¢
Not every market is listed on both venues. A row pairs only the same player, stat and threshold, and the club must agree. The single-venue lists show the ask on the one venue that lists the contract, two-sided books only. Cost after fees is the ask plus each venue’s per-contract taker fee — Kalshi: Taker fee 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max 1.75¢. Polymarket US: Taker fee 6.95% × price × (1 − price) per contract, max $1.74 per 100. A price older than 30 minutes shows as no current price.
The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Packers vs Patriots props — FAQ
What are the player props for Packers vs Patriots?
41 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 9 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Packers vs Patriots player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 41 strikes with a real two-sided book; 96 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
More NFL Markets
- NFL Week 9 predictions — Model vs. Kalshi on every game on the board right now.
- NFL Week 10 predictions — Next week’s slate, priced the moment the lines open.
- NFL Week 8 results — Final scores and every graded call from the week just played.
- Will Derrick Henry score a TD? Live Kalshi odds → — Henry anytime TD, 2+ TDs and rushing-yard prices for every Ravens game, plus his TD record vs the market
- Markets 101: be the market maker, not the market taker → — Why the first-TD board prices out to ~118%, and how a resting bid a cent under the ask beats paying it
- Heisman odds 2026 — Kalshi vs Polymarket US → — Every contender priced on both exchanges, cheaper venue named, plus Coach Gene’s longshots
- Grok fantasy football — connect the draft desk → — One URL, no key: the grok.com/connectors walkthrough and six prompts
- NFL MCP server — the in-season desk, inside your AI agent → — Kalshi props venue by venue, spread ladders, correlation-aware combos, weekly game edges — free tools, no key
- MCP setup — connect Claude, ChatGPT or Grok in a minute → — One URL, no API key: per-host install steps and troubleshooting
- NFL 2026 Market Guide — the 61-page book → — All 32 teams priced against the market, plus a 153-player draft board
- NFL 2026 Quarter-Season Report — 64 games, 32 teams, priced → — Weeks 1–4 in one book: opening vs closing lines, the Kalshi board Sept 8 vs Oct 8, all 32 team cards
- Madden 27 ratings vs our model vs the market → — All 32 team ratings, our power ratings, and live win-total prices on one board
- NFL Predictions — every game vs the market → — Free fair value vs Kalshi on all 18 weeks
- 2026 NFL Win Totals — model vs Kalshi → — All 32 teams: projected wins vs the KXNFLWINS ladder
- NFL Standings 2026 — projected records + playoff odds → — All 8 divisions: projected record, PWR, division-title and playoff odds
- NFL Schedule Predictor 2026 — every game picked → — Straight-up winner and win probability for all 272 games, plus the 10,000-season sim
- NFL Game Edges — where the model disagrees → — Game-winner, spread & total edges vs Kalshi prices
- NFL MVP Edges → — Live MVP market mispricings vs Kalshi KXNFLMVP
- Win Total Futures → — Monte Carlo season wins vs the Kalshi line
- Championship Edges → — Playoff / conference / Super Bowl probabilities
- Kalshi NFL Markets → — How Kalshi prices every NFL market + live edges
- Power Rankings — the model methodology anchor → — All 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- Fantasy Draft Assistant — the same model, in your AI agent → — Free MCP draft desk: board, best available, sleepers vs ADP, who-do-I-draft
- NFL Model Calibration Ledger — how accurate is it, actually → — The graded record: 59.6% straight up, 0.236 Brier, and hit rate by confidence bucket across 3,266 games
- NFL Power Ratings tool — build your own PWR board → — Adjust the model weights and re-rank all 32 teams on the points-per-game scale
- NFL Win Probability calculator → — Turn any rating gap, spread or game-winner price into a calibrated win probability
- NFL Power Ratings vs. the Market — where we disagree → — Our PWR and the rating implied by live Kalshi win-total prices, all 32 teams on one points scale