Packers vs Lions player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 7. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 21, 2026, Kalshi lists 46 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Packers vs Lions, Week 7.
Kalshi as of Oct 21, 12:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 21, 11:15 AM ET · 176 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 46 with a real two-sided book · 2 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 7 predictions →Week 8 predictions →Week 6 results →
Week 7 gamesPatriots at BearsSteelers at Saints49ers at FalconsBengals at RavensBuccaneers at PanthersGiants at TexansColts at VikingsDolphins at JetsBrowns at TitansBroncos at CardinalsPackers at LionsRams at RaidersChiefs at SeahawksCowboys at Eagles
Prop market board — Packers vs Lions
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v GB | 40+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 46.5¢ | 48.1%2bk | -1.6¢ | o -104 | o -112 | over · ESPN Bet 50¢under · BetRivers 54.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tucker KraftGB v DET | 50+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 47.5¢ | 48.0%3bk | -0.5¢ | o -104 / u -130 | o -112 / u -128 | over · Novig 51¢under · ESPN Bet 55.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v GB | 50+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 49.5¢ | 49.8%4bk | -0.3¢ | o -113 / u -122 | o -118 / u -122 | over · Novig 53.1¢under · ESPN Bet 52.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET v GB | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 55.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -127 / u +104 | o -380 | over · Novig 55.9¢under · Kalshi 47.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian WatsonGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 41.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +133 | o +122 / u -25000 | over · Novig 42.9¢under · Kalshi 61.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian WatsonGB v DET | 50+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 70.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -335 | o -375 | over · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian WatsonGB v DET | 60+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 62.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -217 | o -240 | over · Kalshi 67.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian WatsonGB v DET | 70+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 55.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -138 / u +130 | o -150 / u +100 | over · Novig 58¢under · Novig 43.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Christian WatsonGB v DET | 80+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 44.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +104 | o -104 | over · Novig 49¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Isaac TeSlaaDET v GB | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 18.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +400 / u -1011 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Novig 20¢under · Kalshi 84¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v GB | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 73.5¢ | — | one-sided | o -317 / u +194 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Kalshi 75.4¢under · Kalshi 28.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v GB | 2+ TDs | GB @ DET | 35.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v GB | 60+ rush yds | GB @ DET | 75.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -567 | o -610 | over · Kalshi 81.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v GB | 80+ rush yds | GB @ DET | 60.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -212 | o -210 | over · Kalshi 64.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v GB | 90+ rush yds | GB @ DET | 51.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -138 | o -138 | over · Kalshi 57.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET v GB | 100+ rush yds | GB @ DET | 41.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +108 | o +108 | over · Kalshi 46.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v GB | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 30.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +203 / u -355 | o -205 / u -25000 | over · Kalshi 32.5¢under · Kalshi 72.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jameson WilliamsDET v GB | 60+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 41.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +108 | o +108 | over · Kalshi 46.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v GB | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 8.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +1150 / u -1567 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Novig 8¢under · Kalshi 93.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v GB | 275+ pass yds | GB @ DET | 54.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -127 / u +104 | o -138 | over · Novig 55.9¢under · Kalshi 47.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v GB | 325+ pass yds | GB @ DET | 24.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +228 | o +225 | over · Kalshi 28.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jared GoffDET v GB | 375+ pass yds | GB @ DET | 10.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +567 | o +570 | over · Kalshi 12.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jonnu SmithGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 8.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1011 / u -1567 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Novig 9¢under · Kalshi 92.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 9.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +852 / u -4900 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Novig 10.5¢under · Kalshi 91.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v DET | 2+ pass TDs | GB @ DET | 63.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v DET | 3+ pass TDs | GB @ DET | 26.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v DET | 275+ pass yds | GB @ DET | 54.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -133 / u +104 | o -138 / u -290 | over · Kalshi 56.7¢under · Kalshi 47.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v DET | 300+ pass yds | GB @ DET | 38.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +141 / u -99900 | o +132 | over · Novig 41.5¢under · Kalshi 65.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Jordan LoveGB v DET | 375+ pass yds | GB @ DET | 10.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +567 | — | over · Kalshi 12.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Josh WhyleGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 5.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1900 | o +1000 / u -25000 | over · Novig 5¢under · Kalshi 95.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mark RedmanGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 7.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1011 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Fanatics 8.3¢under · Kalshi 94.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| MarShawn LloydGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 21.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +355 / u -456 | o -305 / u -25000 | over · FD 21.7¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| MarShawn LloydGB v DET | 2+ TDs | GB @ DET | 2.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 36.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +163 / u -182 | o +150 / u -25000 | over · DK 37.7¢under · Novig 64.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v DET | 2+ TDs | GB @ DET | 6.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v DET | 70+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 52.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -133 / u +100 | o -142 | over · Novig 57.1¢under · Novig 50¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v DET | 80+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 41.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +113 | o +104 | over · Kalshi 45.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v DET | 90+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 33.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +163 | o +150 | over · Kalshi 37.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v DET | 100+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 26.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +223 / u -900 | o +215 | over · Novig 31¢under · Kalshi 78.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matthew GoldenGB v DET | 110+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 19.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +317 | o +285 | over · Kalshi 23.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Pierre StrongGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 21.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +355 / u -456 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · DK 21.7¢under · Kalshi 80.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Sam LaPortaDET v GB | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 33.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +182 / u -317 | o +170 / u -25000 | over · Novig 35.5¢under · Kalshi 69.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Savion WilliamsGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 17.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +365 / u -669 | o -25000 / u -25000 | over · Kalshi 19¢under · Kalshi 84¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Savion WilliamsGB v DET | 25+ rec yds | GB @ DET | 38.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +122 / u -153 | o +122 | over · Kalshi 41.7¢under · Novig 60.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tucker KraftGB v DET | anytime TD | GB @ DET | 33.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +186 / u -335 | o -210 / u -25000 | over · Novig 35¢under · Kalshi 69.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tucker KraftGB v DET | 2+ TDs | GB @ DET | 5.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
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The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Packers vs Lions props — FAQ
What are the player props for Packers vs Lions?
46 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 7 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Packers vs Lions player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 46 strikes with a real two-sided book; 130 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
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