Bengals vs Dolphins player props β Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line β
Quick Answer
As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 53 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Bengals vs Dolphins, Week 5.
Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET Β· books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET Β· 186 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game Β· 53 with a real two-sided book Β· 0 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions βWeek 6 predictions βWeek 4 results β
Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at CowboysEagles at JaguarsBengals at DolphinsRaiders at PatriotsVikings at SaintsBrowns at JetsColts at SteelersTexans at TitansGiants at CommandersBroncos at ChargersLions at CardinalsBears at Packers49ers at SeahawksRavens at FalconsBills at Rams
Oracle calls for this game
Where our projection disagrees with the Kalshi price by enough. The only thing on this page that says play.
| Player | Contract | Matchup | Call | Our proj | Our odds | Mkt | Edge | Tier | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase BrownRBWatch | 60+ rush ydsover 59.5 | CIN vs MIA | NO | π | MODERATE | Buy NO β | |||
1 of 1 prop Β· 1 locked (Pro)
Watch β the disagreement is real, but our inputs for that player are limited or contradicted, so we are not calling it a play. Watch rows are capped at MODERATE, can never be the top call, and are graded separately from the published record.
Prop market board β Bengals vs Dolphins
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase BrownCIN v MIA | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 58.5Β’ | β | one-sided | o -147 / u -9900 | o -210 / u -420 | over Β· Novig 59.5Β’under Β· Kalshi 43.7Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Chase BrownCIN v MIA | 2+ TDs | CIN @ MIA | 18.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Chase BrownCIN v MIA | 17+ rush att | CIN @ MIA | 49.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Chase BrownRBCIN v MIA | 60+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 59.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | π | Kalshi β |
| Chase BrownRBCIN v MIA | 70+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 46.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | π | Kalshi β |
| Chase BrownCIN v MIA | 80+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 35.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Chase BrownCIN v MIA | 90+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 22.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| CIN Bengals D/STCIN v MIA | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 13.5Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Kalshi 14.8Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Dohnte MeyersCIN v MIA | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 27.0Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Fanatics 21.3Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Greg DulcichMIA v CIN | 25+ rec yds | CIN @ MIA | 51.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Greg DulcichMIA v CIN | 40+ rec yds | CIN @ MIA | 31.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Greg DulcichMIA v CIN | 50+ rec yds | CIN @ MIA | 20.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Greg DulcichMIA v CIN | 70+ rec yds | CIN @ MIA | 7.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Greg DulcichMIA v CIN | 3+ rec | CIN @ MIA | 55.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Greg DulcichMIA v CIN | 4+ rec | CIN @ MIA | 35.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Jack EndriesCIN v MIA | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 6.5Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Fanatics 3.8Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Jaylen WrightMIA v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 24.5Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Kalshi 27.4Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Jaylen WrightMIA v CIN | 10+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 78.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Jaylen WrightMIA v CIN | 15+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 68.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Jaylen WrightMIA v CIN | 20+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 55.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Jaylen WrightMIA v CIN | 25+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 44.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Jaylen WrightMIA v CIN | 30+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 36.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Jaylen WrightMIA v CIN | 40+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 22.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Jaylen WrightMIA v CIN | 50+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 11.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 11.5Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Kalshi 12.7Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 34+ pass att | CIN @ MIA | 47.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 2+ pass TDs | CIN @ MIA | 57.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 3+ pass TDs | CIN @ MIA | 27.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 200+ pass yds | CIN @ MIA | 70.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 225+ pass yds | CIN @ MIA | 57.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 250+ pass yds | CIN @ MIA | 45.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 275+ pass yds | CIN @ MIA | 29.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 300+ pass yds | CIN @ MIA | 19.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Joe BurrowCIN v MIA | 325+ pass yds | CIN @ MIA | 10.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 8.5Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Kalshi 9.6Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 21.5Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Kalshi 23.2Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v CIN | 2+ TDs | CIN @ MIA | 2.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v CIN | 40+ rec yds | CIN @ MIA | 53.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v CIN | 50+ rec yds | CIN @ MIA | 39.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Malik WashingtonMIA v CIN | 60+ rec yds | CIN @ MIA | 30.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Malik WillisMIA v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 20.0Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Kalshi 22.2Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Malik WillisMIA v CIN | 175+ pass yds | CIN @ MIA | 60.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Malik WillisMIA v CIN | 250+ pass yds | CIN @ MIA | 18.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| MIA Dolphins D/STMIA v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 14.5Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Kalshi 15.9Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Mike GesickiCIN v MIA | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 26.0Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Kalshi 28.4Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Ollie Gordon IIMIA v CIN | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 36.0Β’ | β | one-sided | o +147 / u -3233 | o -320 | over Β· Kalshi 38.6Β’under Β· Kalshi 66.6Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
| Ollie Gordon IIMIA v CIN | 2+ TDs | CIN @ MIA | 6.0Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Ollie Gordon IIMIA v CIN | 2+ rec | CIN @ MIA | 58.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Ollie Gordon IIMIA v CIN | 50+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 42.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Ollie Gordon IIMIA v CIN | 60+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 29.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Ollie Gordon IIMIA v CIN | 70+ rush yds | CIN @ MIA | 20.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Samaje PerineCIN v MIA | 2+ TDs | CIN @ MIA | 2.5Β’ | β | no books | β | β | Kalshi only | β | Kalshi β |
| Tanner HudsonCIN v MIA | anytime TD | CIN @ MIA | 8.0Β’ | β | one-sided | β | β | over Β· Fanatics 5Β’ | β | Kalshi β |
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The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict β SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board β and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike β exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Bengals vs Dolphins props β FAQ
What are the player props for Bengals vs Dolphins?
53 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 β passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines β each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Bengals vs Dolphins player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout β Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 53 strikes with a real two-sided book; 133 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1Β’ bid against a 99Β’ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts β for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve β for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
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