Ravens vs Falcons player props — Kalshi prices vs the books
Every Kalshi player-prop strike for this game with a real two-sided book, priced against the sportsbook consensus at the same line and the exchanges that quote it, with the cheapest venue for each side named. Week 5. Game preview and model line →
Quick Answer
As of October 8, 2026, Kalshi lists 59 player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Ravens vs Falcons, Week 5.
Kalshi as of Oct 8, 3:10 PM ET · books as of Oct 8, 3:15 PM ET · 169 Kalshi prop strikes listed for this game · 59 with a real two-sided book · 2 priced against 3+ books
This week on the boardNFL Week 5 predictions →Week 6 predictions →Week 4 results →
Week 5 gamesBuccaneers at CowboysEagles at JaguarsBengals at DolphinsRaiders at PatriotsVikings at SaintsBrowns at JetsColts at SteelersTexans at TitansGiants at CommandersBroncos at ChargersLions at CardinalsBears at Packers49ers at SeahawksRavens at FalconsBills at Rams
Prop market board — Ravens vs Falcons
Gap is the Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus at that strike, in cents. Exchange quotes are raw and one-sided, as quoted. A gap is a price difference, not a call.
| Player | Prop | Game | Kalshi | Consensus | Gap | Novig | ProphetX | Best price | Our P(over) | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.ATL v BAL | 225+ pass yds | BAL @ ATL | 47.0¢ | 49.2%2bk | -2.2¢ | o -108 / u -113 | — | over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · Novig 53.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v BAL | 80+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 54.5¢ | 53.0%2bk | +1.5¢ | o -141 / u +117 | o -132 / u -410 | over · ProphetX 56.9¢under · Novig 46.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL v BAL | 25+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 49.5¢ | 50.0%6bk | -0.5¢ | o -108 / u -108 | o -112 / u -112 | over · Novig 51.9¢under · Novig 51.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 90+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 50.0¢ | 50.0%3bk | 0.0¢ | o -104 / u -104 | o -108 / u -106 | over · Novig 51¢under · Novig 51¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| ATL Falcons D/STATL v BAL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 12.5¢ | — | one-sided | — | — | over · Kalshi 14.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Austin HooperATL v BAL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 8.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +770 | o +740 | over · DK 10¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 66.0¢ | — | one-sided | o -203 / u +190 | o -255 | over · Novig 67¢under · Novig 34.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 2+ TDs | BAL @ ATL | 28.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 25+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 54.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -144 / u +104 | o -138 | over · Kalshi 57.7¢under · Novig 49¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 40+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 25.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +194 / u -257 | o +205 | over · Kalshi 31.5¢under · Novig 72¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 60+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 74.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -471 | o -560 | over · Kalshi 76.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 70+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 68.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -277 | o -280 | over · Kalshi 72.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 80+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 60.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -174 / u -122 | o -176 | over · Novig 63.5¢under · Kalshi 44.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 100+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 40.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +130 / u -163 | o +138 | over · ProphetX 42¢under · Novig 62¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 110+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 32.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +186 / u -245 | o +194 | over · ProphetX 34¢under · Kalshi 70.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Bijan RobinsonATL v BAL | 130+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 17.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +335 | — | over · Kalshi 22.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v BAL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 27.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +233 / u -285 | o +225 | over · Kalshi 29.4¢under · Novig 74¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v BAL | 2+ TDs | BAL @ ATL | 5.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v BAL | 20+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 72.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -400 / u +178 | o -520 | over · Novig 80¢under · Novig 36¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v BAL | 30+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 58.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -178 / u +133 | o -184 | over · Kalshi 62.7¢under · Novig 42.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Brian RobinsonATL v BAL | 40+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 37.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +115 / u -144 | o +117 | over · Kalshi 43.7¢under · Novig 59¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Derrick HenryBAL v ATL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 56.0¢ | — | one-sided | o -135 / u -1567 | o -310 | over · Novig 57.4¢under · Kalshi 46.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Derrick HenryBAL v ATL | 2+ TDs | BAL @ ATL | 16.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Derrick HenryBAL v ATL | 50+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 81.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -641 / u +170 | o -800 | over · Novig 86.5¢under · Kalshi 24.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Derrick HenryBAL v ATL | 60+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 72.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -335 / u +233 | o -425 | over · Kalshi 74.4¢under · Novig 30¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Derrick HenryBAL v ATL | 70+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 61.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -208 / u +156 | o -240 | over · Novig 67.5¢under · Novig 39.1¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Derrick HenryBAL v ATL | 80+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 53.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -130 / u +104 | o -138 | over · Novig 56.5¢under · Novig 49¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Derrick HenryBAL v ATL | 90+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 44.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +115 | o +112 | over · Novig 46.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v BAL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 40.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +133 | o -350 | over · FD 42.6¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v BAL | 2+ TDs | BAL @ ATL | 9.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v BAL | 40+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 82.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | o -1150 | over · Kalshi 86.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v BAL | 60+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 70.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -285 / u +203 | o -300 | over · Kalshi 73.4¢under · Novig 33¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v BAL | 90+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 43.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +113 / u -144 | o +117 | over · ProphetX 46.1¢under · Novig 59¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Drake LondonATL v BAL | 120+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 20.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +251 | — | over · Kalshi 26.3¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justice HillBAL v ATL | 10+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 53.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -150 / u +113 | o -156 | over · Kalshi 55.7¢under · Novig 46.9¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justice HillBAL v ATL | 20+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 29.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +199 | o +215 | over · ProphetX 31.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Justice HillBAL v ATL | 25+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 20.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +300 / u -456 | o +320 | over · ProphetX 23.8¢under · Novig 82¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL v BAL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 18.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +355 | o +335 | over · BetRivers 20.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL v BAL | 15+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 63.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -270 | o -300 | over · Kalshi 70.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL v BAL | 50+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 18.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +344 / u -1900 | o +380 | over · ProphetX 20.8¢under · Kalshi 86.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mark AndrewsBAL v ATL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 23.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +264 / u -9900 | o +270 | over · Kalshi 26.3¢under · Kalshi 79.2¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mark AndrewsBAL v ATL | 25+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 61.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -170 / u +122 | o -170 | over · Novig 63¢under · Kalshi 41.7¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Mark AndrewsBAL v ATL | 40+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 35.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +163 | o +178 | over · ProphetX 36¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Matt HibnerBAL v ATL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 8.0¢ | — | one-sided | o +1011 / u -1329 | o +1050 | over · BetRivers 7.7¢under · Novig 93¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael Penix Jr.ATL v BAL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 7.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1150 / u -1567 | o +810 | over · DK 6.7¢under · Kalshi 93.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael Penix Jr.ATL v BAL | 1+ pass TDs | BAL @ ATL | 78.5¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael Penix Jr.ATL v BAL | 3+ pass TDs | BAL @ ATL | 16.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael Penix Jr.ATL v BAL | 350+ pass yds | BAL @ ATL | 5.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +1150 | — | over · Kalshi 6.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Michael Penix Jr.ATL v BAL | 10+ rush yds | BAL @ ATL | 19.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Rashod BatemanBAL v ATL | 40+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 19.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +326 / u -488 | o +355 | over · ProphetX 22¢under · Novig 83¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler HuntleyBAL v ATL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 17.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +426 / u -506 | o +375 | over · DK 17.4¢under · Novig 83.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler HuntleyBAL v ATL | 175+ pass yds | BAL @ ATL | 50.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -127 / u -138 | — | over · Kalshi 52.8¢under · ESPN Bet 52.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler HuntleyBAL v ATL | 250+ pass yds | BAL @ ATL | 11.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +506 | — | over · Kalshi 13.8¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Tyler HuntleyBAL v ATL | 300+ pass yds | BAL @ ATL | 5.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o +1438 | — | over · Kalshi 6.4¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Zachariah BranchATL v BAL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 7.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +1076 / u -1567 | o +810 | over · DK 7.7¢under · Kalshi 93.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Zay FlowersBAL v ATL | anytime TD | BAL @ ATL | 29.5¢ | — | one-sided | o +213 / u -223 | o +194 | over · Novig 31.9¢under · Novig 69¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Zay FlowersBAL v ATL | 2+ TDs | BAL @ ATL | 5.0¢ | — | no books | — | — | Kalshi only | — | Kalshi → |
| Zay FlowersBAL v ATL | 60+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 58.0¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -163 / u +122 | o -170 | over · Novig 62¢under · Novig 45¢ | — | Kalshi → |
| Zay FlowersBAL v ATL | 70+ rec yds | BAL @ ATL | 47.5¢ | off-ladder | off-ladder | o -113 | o -108 | over · Kalshi 50.8¢under · ESPN Bet 53.5¢ | — | Kalshi → |
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The Ladder: the shape of the distribution vs every strike
Strikes above, distribution here: our full margin curve beside the Kalshi price at each rung, with the verdict — SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED. This week's widest gap, auto-advancing.
How to read this board — and what we are not claiming
Consensus is the median de-vigged probability across every sportsbook quoting a line, read at the Kalshi strike — exact when a book quotes that line, interpolated when two quoted lines bracket it, refused when they do not. Kalshi prices are the mid of a real two-sided book only. This page carries at least 40 such strikes or it does not exist; we are not claiming to beat the market, only to show where each price is.
Ravens vs Falcons props — FAQ
What are the player props for Ravens vs Falcons?
59 Kalshi player-prop strikes with a real two-sided book for Week 5 — passing, rushing, receiving and scoring lines — each shown on this page beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line, with the cheapest venue for each side named.
Where are Ravens vs Falcons player props priced best?
The "best price" column on each strike names the venue with the cheapest price for that side, in cents per $1 of payout — Kalshi net of its fee, sportsbooks and exchanges at their raw quote. It only appears when at least two venues quote the exact strike, because a best price needs a comparison.
What is the gap column?
The Kalshi mid minus the sportsbook consensus probability read at the same strike, in cents. Positive means Kalshi is pricing the over above the books, negative means it is cheaper. A gap is a price difference, not a recommendation.
Why are some Kalshi strikes not shown here?
Kalshi lists a game's ladder early and most strikes stay unpriced until a day or two before kickoff. This page shows the 59 strikes with a real two-sided book; 110 more are listed and not yet priced. A 1¢ bid against a 99¢ ask is a listing, not a price.
Can you trade NFL player props on Kalshi?
Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange that lists NFL player-prop contracts — for example, will a quarterback record 275 or more passing yards. Each contract settles at $1 if the answer is yes and $0 if no, so its price in cents is the market's implied probability, and traders buy and sell it from each other until it settles.
How is a Kalshi prop different from a prop at the books?
A Kalshi prop is an exchange contract: traders take either side from each other, the price moves with the order book, and a position can be sold before kickoff. At the books the house sets the line. This page reads the books' implied probability at the same line as each Kalshi strike so the two can be compared directly.
What is an Oracle Ladder?
An Oracle Ladder shows every Kalshi strike for one market as a curve — for player props, beside the sportsbook consensus at the same line. Our model's own number is published only between 30% and 70%, the band where it is measured calibrated, and any strike where it sits more than 30 points from the Kalshi price is refused rather than shown.
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